Jon Warner warned drafters to steer clear of Tyrone Tracy Jr. at his mid-round Sprint ADP. Tracy’s 2023 Purdue production was volume-driven—4.9 yards per carry and only five runs of 20+ yards—and Warner expects that volume to dry up once a more traditional early-down hammer like Cam Skattebo shows better in camp. Warner noted Tracy is a converted wideout who still struggles in pass protection, a flaw that costs rookies snaps in real NFL games no matter how explosive they look in space. Because high-value touches (goal-line and third-down reps) are likely to funnel elsewhere, Tracy would need multiple breakaway plays each week to pay off, something Warner called ‘a low-probability bet you’re being asked to draft at ceiling.’ He has Tracy two full rounds lower in his personal ranks.

Jon Warner said Cam Skattebo is one of the best values in Underdog’s Sprint right now. Warner argued the former Arizona State workhorse checks every box coaches care about: short-yardage finishing, goal-line power, pass protection, and soft hands in the screen game. Those ‘high-value touches’ mean Skattebo can deliver weekly spike weeks even if he opens the season in a committee. Warner added that NFL staffs tend to fall in love with backs who can keep the quarterback clean—exactly the skill set that earns unexpected three-down snaps late in the year when best-ball playoff weeks matter most. With drafters chasing sexier satellite types two or three rounds earlier, Warner is happy scooping Skattebo at his current ADP and letting the volume come to him.

Jon Warner called MarShawn Lloyd the forgotten back of 2023 rookie fever and a screaming value in the 17th round of Sprint drafts. Warner reminded listeners that Lloyd was pushed into the 120s last summer on raw athleticism alone, then cooled when USC’s offense sputtered. Now he lands in Green Bay behind 26-year-old Josh Jacobs, who is coming off a 3.5-yards-per-carry season and nearly 400 touches worth of tread. Warner expects Matt LaFleur to revive the two-back rotation that allowed both Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon to be fantasy relevant, noting the Packers have finished top-12 in neutral-situation rush rate in four of the last five seasons. If Jacobs misses time—or simply cedes goal-line work the way Jones once did—Lloyd’s 215-pound frame and 4.46 speed give him "league-winner contingency juice" at a near-free cost.

Jon Warner said Rico Dowdle is the exact kind of contingency bet that wins the Sprint’s late rounds. Warner argued Dowdle got a "raw deal" after averaging 4.6 yards per carry and a robust 2.95 yards after contact last season, only to watch Dallas flirt with washed veterans instead of re-signing him. He believes the Cowboys’ current depth chart—Deuce Vaughn, Royce Freeman, and rookie Nathaniel Peat—offers no real obstacle if an early-down hammer is needed. With Dallas ranking top-10 in red-zone rush rate the past three years, Warner sees a clear touchdown pathway should Dowdle resurface as Jerry Jones’s inevitable post-camp signing. Because Dowdle often goes undrafted, Warner recommended scooping him as a final-round lottery ticket in every best-ball portfolio.

Jon Warner questioned Josh Allen’s current 6.3 average draft slot in the Sprint and advised passing on him at that price. Warner noted the same ADP spike happened last year before correcting and argued the Sprint’s rotisserie playoff format still demands ceiling games, making the opportunity cost of skipping elite RBs and WRs too steep. In a 216-player pool you can grab starting backs like Tony Pollard in Round 6, something you forfeit if you spend that pick on a onesie. Buffalo’s neutral Week 16-18 schedule offers no clear matchup advantage, so Warner believes Allen belongs closer to the late-second round rather than the mid-first.