Josh Gayle recommends betting the over on Charlie Morton's hits allowed prop, set at 4.5 hits, in his matchup against the Diamondbacks. Morton, now 41 years old, has consistently struggled to limit contact this season, allowing five or more hits in both of his starts so far this year and in 15 of his last 17 appearances dating back to last season. Arizona's lineup, despite losing Ketel Marte to a hamstring injury, remains strong enough to take advantage of Morton's struggles. Morton has also specifically struggled historically against the Diamondbacks, surrendering five or more hits in each of his last three starts against them. Additionally, his issues are compounded away from home, and with this game taking place in Arizona, conditions further support fading Morton. Gayle acknowledges Morton's control problems could lead to walks rather than hits, but remains confident enough given the consistent trend to recommend betting this prop at -130 odds.