Josh Sens tabbed Denny McCarthy at +11,000, stressing that Oakmont’s 2025 setup features wider fairways and larger greens than 2016. While ball-striking remains important, Sens believes the championship will ultimately come down to handling greens “as slick as skating rinks.” McCarthy ranks among the Tour’s best putters, giving him a path to contend if he keeps it in play. For Sens, that elite flat stick at five-digit odds is irresistible.

Josh Sens wagered on Scottie Scheffler at +255 because he simply could not manufacture a logical fade case. Scheffler rarely has an off week and still finds ways to be on the leaderboard when he does; Sens notes no other player in the field carries that floor/ceiling combo.

Josh Sens highlighted Harris English as his favorite sleeper at 100-1 odds. English has quietly logged three top-10 finishes in his last five U.S. Opens, demonstrating an ability to survive USGA setups. Sens added that English’s recent form is solid—multiple top-25 finishes in the past month—indicating his ball-striking is trending the right way. Given that track record and current shape, Sens believes English offers ‘decent bang for your office-pool buck’ and is worth a small outright or top-10 wager at Oakmont.

Josh Sens advised fading Rory McIlroy at Oakmont, pointing to two red flags. First, McIlroy’s last two results are a T-47 at the PGA Championship and a missed cut after a 71-78 weekend at the RBC Canadian Open, driven largely by wildly inconsistent driving. Sens stressed that wayward tee shots will be punished severely by Oakmont’s church-pew bunkers and waist-high rough. Second, McIlroy admitted he is fighting a post-Masters motivation lull, saying it has been ‘hard to get back on the horse.’ Sens concluded that the combination of shaky driver control and questionable focus makes McIlroy a poor choice for office pools or outright tickets this week.

Josh Sens said the brutal setup at Oakmont actually tilts the odds further in Scottie Scheffler’s favor. Scheffler has won three of his last four starts and led every strokes-gained category except putting this season. Sens argued that on a course where par is a good score, Scheffler’s elite tee-to-green play will separate him from a field that will all struggle on Oakmont’s slick greens. Sens acknowledged Scheffler’s sporadic putting but believes the overall gap between Scheffler and everyone else grows wider as the test gets harder. In betting terms, Sens implied Scheffler should be treated as an even shorter favorite than his current market price.

Josh Sens viewed Scheffler’s +500 price as a fair reflection of reality, stating that the Texan contends when he’s merely average and wins when he’s sharp. Given Scheffler’s tour-leading strokes-gained baseline, Sens feels bettors are getting market-equivalent odds on a probability that may be even higher than the books suggest.

Josh Sens threw a dart at Keegan Bradley at +12,000, reminding bettors he already owns a PGA title and historically raises his ceiling when the stakes spike. Sens added that a strong showing would ignite chatter about Bradley’s Ryder Cup player-captain ambitions, giving him added motivation to lean on his typically stout ball-striking under Sunday pressure.

Josh Sens echoed the Keegan Bradley love at the same +12000 price. Sens’ rationale: Bradley is a past PGA Champion who "clearly relishes big moments," and Quail Hollow offers another chance to remind the golf world—and Ryder Cup decision-makers—that he can still deliver under major-championship pressure. For bettors who prefer proven major pedigree at triple-digit odds, Sens says Bradley checks that box.

Josh Sens backed Scottie Scheffler at +500, arguing that a "so-so" week still puts him on the first page of the leaderboard and a good week wins it outright. Sens believes the betting market has Scheffler priced almost exactly at his true win probability, making the chalk surprisingly fair value.

Josh Sens advised fading Jordan Spieth in outright and matchup markets, saying the idea of Spieth completing the career Grand Slam this year 'belongs in the fantasy section of the bookstore.' Sens noted that Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler and other top-10 players are in sharper current form, while Spieth is still 'searching' for consistency, making a win against this field highly unlikely.

Josh Sens identifies Sepp Straka (+3300) as a promising pick for the upcoming THE PLAYERS Championship. Straka finished T16 at TPC Sawgrass last year and is known for his sharp ball striking. Crucially, Sens points out Straka's much-improved putting game coming into this event, which he sees as the determining factor that sets Straka up for success at Sawgrass, a course where solid putting and ball striking are essential.