Josh Sens viewed Scheffler’s +500 price as a fair reflection of reality, stating that the Texan contends when he’s merely average and wins when he’s sharp. Given Scheffler’s tour-leading strokes-gained baseline, Sens feels bettors are getting market-equivalent odds on a probability that may be even higher than the books suggest.

Josh Sens threw a dart at Keegan Bradley at +12,000, reminding bettors he already owns a PGA title and historically raises his ceiling when the stakes spike. Sens added that a strong showing would ignite chatter about Bradley’s Ryder Cup player-captain ambitions, giving him added motivation to lean on his typically stout ball-striking under Sunday pressure.

Josh Sens echoed the Keegan Bradley love at the same +12000 price. Sens’ rationale: Bradley is a past PGA Champion who "clearly relishes big moments," and Quail Hollow offers another chance to remind the golf world—and Ryder Cup decision-makers—that he can still deliver under major-championship pressure. For bettors who prefer proven major pedigree at triple-digit odds, Sens says Bradley checks that box.

Josh Sens backed Scottie Scheffler at +500, arguing that a "so-so" week still puts him on the first page of the leaderboard and a good week wins it outright. Sens believes the betting market has Scheffler priced almost exactly at his true win probability, making the chalk surprisingly fair value.

Josh Sens advised fading Jordan Spieth in outright and matchup markets, saying the idea of Spieth completing the career Grand Slam this year 'belongs in the fantasy section of the bookstore.' Sens noted that Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler and other top-10 players are in sharper current form, while Spieth is still 'searching' for consistency, making a win against this field highly unlikely.

Josh Sens identifies Sepp Straka (+3300) as a promising pick for the upcoming THE PLAYERS Championship. Straka finished T16 at TPC Sawgrass last year and is known for his sharp ball striking. Crucially, Sens points out Straka's much-improved putting game coming into this event, which he sees as the determining factor that sets Straka up for success at Sawgrass, a course where solid putting and ball striking are essential.