Jovan Burts advised taking the Miami Marlins -0.5 run line for the first five innings at +120 in their July 28, 2025 matchup with St. Louis. Burts expects a quality start from Edward Cabrera, citing Cabrera’s recent form and the Marlins’ 7-3 record over their last 10 games. On the other side, Cards starter Andre Palante has surrendered 17 runs across his previous three outings (5, 5, and 7 earned runs), prompting Burts to label him a fade candidate. With the Marlins’ offense drawing a soft matchup and Cabrera offering a clear pitching edge, Burts sees plus-money value in backing Miami to lead after five frames.

Jovan Burts said the Yankees are a strong first-five innings play at minus 1.5 runs (+200) in Toronto. His case centers on Carlos Rodon’s current form—eight shut-out innings in his last start—and the Blue Jays’ ugly splits versus left-handed pitching, batting below the Mendoza line over their last five such games. Burts added that Kevin Gausman ‘will be in real trouble,’ forecasting New York to jump on him early and hold a multi-run cushion by the sixth. With the Yankees three games back after being swept by Toronto two weeks ago, Burts expects an urgent, fast start and labels the 2-to-1 payout a value spot to double up.