Judah Fortgang recommended taking Tank Bigsby at +160 for an anytime touchdown against Carolina. He pointed out that the Panthers allowed positive expected points on 51% of runs last year—dead last by a wide margin—and made few offseason upgrades. Fortgang expects Jacksonville to lean on a dedicated power back near the goal line, noting that Travis Etienne will be flexed around the formation. With uncertainty still baked into the market and a dream matchup against the league’s worst short-yardage defense, Fortgang views Bigsby as a live longshot to convert one of Jacksonville’s projected red-zone rushes.

Judah Fortgang said James Conner is a strong anytime-touchdown bet in Week 1 because the Saints finished bottom-three in every major rushing metric over the final stretch of last season. Conner ranked sixth league-wide in share of team red-zone touches, making him Arizona’s default goal-line option. Fortgang noted that even if Trey Benson siphons off some early-down work, the high-leverage carries should still belong to Conner. With Arizona installed as one of the biggest favorites on the slate, he expects a run-heavy second half that produces multiple snaps inside the five-yard line, giving Conner several chances to punch one in.