Justin Herzig urged drafters to be overweight on Jaylen Warren at current ADP. He cited historical research showing third-round rookie running backs hit a usable fantasy season less than 20 % of the time, so new draftee Caleb Johnson is unlikely to leapfrog Warren immediately. Even if the rookie flashes, Warren’s proven pass-catching role and efficiency should still provide weekly RB2/FLEX scores. Herzig reminded listeners that Warren produced 10 startable weeks last season while sharing with Najee Harris and argued there are "several pathways"—injury, rookie ineffectiveness, or pure passing-down usage—for him to clear that mark in 2024. The combination of stable floor and contingent upside makes Warren a smash pick in the middle rounds of Best Ball Mania drafts.

Justin Herzig said DeMario “Pop” Douglas should stay in Best Ball Mania draft pools because his role is safer than drafters assume. Herzig does not view rookie Kyle Williams as a real slot threat and thinks Stefon Diggs will spend more time outside, leaving Douglas to handle most underneath work. He reminded listeners that Mike Vrabel has explicitly asked for yards-after-catch weapons rather than down-field bombers and called Douglas one of the roster’s best YAC options. ETR projections still give the second-year wideout a solid target share, and with Drake Maye expected to take a sophomore leap, Herzig believes Douglas can provide 3-5 usable spike weeks despite a capped ceiling. At a price range typically littered with pure zeros, that combination of weekly snaps, scheme fit, and Vrabel’s stated offensive philosophy makes Pop a smart late-round floor play in Best Ball builds.

Justin Herzig said he is starting to load up on Braelon Allen after multiple data points hinted at early work for the fourth-rounder. Defensive-minded HC Aaron Glenn publicly spoke about a "one-two-three punch" backfield, and beat-reporter speculation—cited by Albert Breer—suggests Allen "could" earn a significant share right away. Herzig admits the source reliability is still being vetted, but he values any signal that the Jets will lighten Breece Hall’s workload after Hall averaged 23 touches down the stretch while nursing a repaired ACL. Allen averaged 3.8 yards after contact at Wisconsin and offers 245-pound goal-line sledgehammer skills the current depth chart lacks. Because Allen routinely slips into the 150s, Herzig views him as a cheap bet on touchdown volatility with latent contingency if Hall’s knee flares up.

Justin Herzig endorsed scooping Austin Ekeler in the double-digit rounds, calling him the rare veteran who offers both weekly usability and injury-driven ceiling. Herzig reminded listeners that Eric Bieniemy trusted Ekeler for 31 snaps per game last season despite poor Chargers efficiency, and new Commanders OC Kliff Kingsbury has historically funneled red-zone work to pass-catching backs (see Chase Edmonds and James Conner in Arizona). Washington spent only a seventh-round pick on Jacory Kroski-Merritt, so there is minimal draft-capital threat behind Brian Robinson. Herzig projects Ekeler for 6–8 high-leverage touches per week right away—goal-line, two-minute and long-down-and-distance snaps—and a 15–18 touch workload if Robinson misses time. In his eyes that profile is perfect for RB5/6 builds that need points early while still holding tournament-winning upside.

Justin Herzig flagged Jared Goff as one of the biggest ADP discounts on the board, landing him at pick 131—roughly 18 spots past market price. Herzig pointed out that Goff quietly finished 10th in passing yards and 9th in passing touchdowns last season, yet drafters are treating him like a fringe QB2. Stacking him is dirt-cheap because only Amon-Ra St. Brown goes early; secondary pass-catchers such as Sam LaPorta, Jameson Williams and Donovan Peoples-Jones all come after Round 6. Herzig likes Goff in three-QB builds because Detroit faces the Seahawks, Bears and Cowboys—the latter two in domes—during Underdog’s playoff weeks. With Ben Johnson returning and the Lions ranking top-10 in situation-neutral pass rate, Herzig believes Goff can post multiple 25-point spikes and pay off handsomely at this price.

Justin Herzig called Chris Olave one of the biggest bargains on the board, regularly sliding into the 60s despite a second-round pedigree last year. He emphasized that new play-caller Kellen Moore has already said publicly he wants Olave featured all over the formation, and Moore’s track record in Dallas suggests he will actually do it (CeeDee Lamb averaged a 29% target share under Moore). Herzig also circled the Saints’ six games against the NFC South’s suspect secondaries as a built-in schedule boost. While the wideout’s concussion history scares some drafters, Herzig treats those as random rather than chronic, noting Olave has never dealt with lower-body issues that sap explosiveness. Given his proven separation skills (top-10 in Reception Perception success rate) and a likely uptick in passing volume, Herzig is happy to bet Olave returns WR2 numbers at a WR3 price and still owns top-10 seasonal upside if everything clicks.

Justin Herzig framed Tyler Allgeier as one of the best late-round swings in Best Ball Mania. Allgeier sits parked around pick 155 every summer, yet Herzig noted he still flashes occasional 100-yard, multi-touchdown games in a run-centric Arthur Smith attack. The real appeal, though, is contingent upside: if Bijan Robinson ever misses time, Allgeier would inherit nearly all early-down and goal-line work in an offense that already ranked top-three in rush rate. Herzig compared the situation to Zach Charbonnet behind Kenneth Walker and Jaylen Warren behind Najee Harris, but argued Allgeier’s path is cleaner because Atlanta funnels touches to one back once the bell-cow is out. The one hole in the profile is passing-game usage—Allgeier owns just 2.9 targets per game for his career—so a Bijan injury would boost touchdowns and carries more than receptions. Even with that limitation, Herzig believes Allgeier’s week-winning ceiling makes him a must-click at his stagnant ADP.

Justin Herzig argued that Drake London has a plausible path to finishing as the overall WR1 and is worth aggressively drafting. He noted that in a tiny sample with Michael Penix late last season, London actually posted a weekly WR1 finish, showing the ceiling is there. Herzig expects Penix plus new offensive coordinator Zach Robinson (coming from the Rams’ highly concentrated passing attack) to elevate Atlanta’s offense and funnel targets to its best playmakers. London also benefits from six NFC South matchups against Carolina, New Orleans and Tampa Bay—secondaries Herzig called extremely beatable. Even if Darnell Mooney trims London’s target share a bit, Herzig thinks a 30% share isn’t necessary; a modest volume jump paired with average efficiency could still land London in the top tier. Because the payoff is massive relative to ADP, Herzig is bullish on scooping London in Best Ball Mania.

Justin Herzig said the most likely outcome is Kyren Williams keeps the Rams starting job all year because Sean McVay trusts him, but he warned drafters that Williams is overpriced in Best Ball Mania. Williams’ fantasy value is almost entirely tied to an 80-85% snap share and short-yardage work; Herzig does not believe the Notre Dame product has the athleticism or efficiency to deliver a top-5 season even if he holds that role. Meanwhile the Rams have invested consecutive fourth-round picks in running backs Blake Corum and Jarquez Hunter. Herzig highlighted Hunter’s explosiveness and predicted the rookie could steal full drives or a change-of-pace role, instantly chopping Williams’ workload. Because any dip in volume would crater Williams’ payoff and his ceiling is already limited, Herzig advised passing on him at current ADP and targeting backs with more upside in the same range.