Kenny G strongly favors taking the Washington Nationals as big underdogs at +195 against the heavily favored Pittsburgh Pirates (-220), calling it a value bet opportunity. Although the Nationals' starter Brad Lord is relatively inexperienced (normally a bullpen arm), he's off to an impressive start with a 1.80 ERA across limited innings, including a solid three-inning start against the Dodgers without allowing a run. Kenny acknowledged concerns about the Nationals' struggling bullpen (league-worst ERA of over 6), but indicated he believes they're not quite as bad as those early metrics suggest. He pointed to the Nationals' solid offensive production (12th in runs, top-10 slugging percentage), highlighting Keibert Ruiz batting .373, James Wood's five home runs, and Nathaniel Lowe's early 15 RBIs. In contrast, he pointed out significant weaknesses in the Pirates' offense, who rank dead last in batting average (.190), slugging percentage (under .300), and have struggled to score runs, even recently getting swept by the Reds. Kenny G noted the Pirates' highly-touted pitcher, Paul Skenes, is inflating Pittsburgh's odds but is coming off his worst career outing, allowing five earned runs against St. Louis. Given these factors, Kenny G recommended betting Washington at significant plus-money odds.