For a +430 ticket, Storin highlighted Tyler Soderstrom to homer against Jacob deGrom. The narrative would have sounded crazy a few years ago, but deGrom has struggled with lefties in 2025: a 5.30 xFIP, 18.0% K-rate and only a 34.3% ground-ball rate across 50 batters, surrendering all five of his home runs to that side. Soderstrom is tied for the MLB lead with nine bombs and backs it up with elite Statcast marks—95th-percentile barrel rate, 94th-percentile xISO and xSLG. Storin added that Sacramento’s Sutter Health Park inflates homers and will feature a 10 mph wind blowing out, giving bettors multiple angles to chase Soderstrom’s long-ball upside.

Storin endorsed Oneil Cruz at +390 to homer off Angels lefty Tyler Anderson despite the same-handed matchup. Cruz has opened 2025 with an 18.5% barrel rate (93rd percentile), a 56.6% hard-hit rate (94th) and his customary 100th-percentile max exit velocity. Anderson’s 62.3% fly-ball rate this year continues a multi-season trend, and he has been vulnerable to left-handed power: 1.82 HR/9 to LHB in 2023, 1.77 HR/9 in 2024, and all three long balls allowed in 2025 have also come from lefties. Anderson’s modest 18.2% strikeout rate in the split should give Cruz plenty of contact opportunities, leading Storin to label the Pirates shortstop a strong long-ball bet.

Kenyatta Storin liked James Wood’s chances to leave the yard against Baltimore left-hander Cade Povich. Storin pointed out that Povich owns a 6.56 xERA through four starts, is in the 25th percentile or worse in barrel rate, hard-hit rate and average exit velo allowed, and was tagged for three home runs by the Reds in his last outing. Versus left-handed hitters dating back to 2024, Povich has a 5.39 xFIP, 16.2% K-rate and a massive 50% fly-ball rate, with a mere 4.9% HR/FB that Storin believes is due to regress upward. Wood, meanwhile, sits in the 95th percentile or better in barrel rate, max exit velocity, hard-hit rate and xISO, and actually sports a .324 ISO and 43.5% fly-ball rate in lefty-lefty matchups. With the Orioles’ bullpen carrying the sixth-worst xFIP (4.37) among active rosters, Storin recommended the +440 home-run prop on Wood.

Kenyatta Storin identified Colton Cowser as a great candidate for a home run prop bet on MLB Opening Day, specifically noting the pitcher's vulnerability as a key factor. Toronto starter Jose Berrios finished tied for second-most home runs allowed last season (31 HR). Berrios particularly struggled against left-handed hitters, giving up 1.58 HR per 9 innings, a persistent issue for him going back several seasons. Cowser, projected to bat leadoff, had an impressive rookie season with 24 home runs, a .204 ISO, and elite metrics in barrel rate (90th percentile) and maximum exit velocity (90th percentile). Given the game's high run total (8.5), Cowser's strong hitting profile, and favorable matchup against Berrios, Storin recommended Cowser as one of the top home run options at +500 odds.

Kenyatta Storin highlighted Rhys Hoskins as an appealing home run prop wager due to his matchup against Yankees left-hander Carlos Rodon. Rodon struggled with hard contact last season, allowing 31 home runs with notably poor percentile ranks in barrel rate (4th percentile), exit velocity (11th percentile), and hard-hit rate (32nd percentile). Hoskins, historically potent versus lefties, had an above-average ISO (.236) against southpaws last year and maintained strong fly-ball tendencies (48.4% fly-ball rate). Although Yankee Stadium will feature chilly temperatures, favorable weather conditions like steady 12 mph winds blowing out to center field further enhance Hoskins' prospects. Betting on Hoskins at +400 odds to homer could provide good value given the matchup and conditions.

Kenyatta Storin favored Mike Trout as a strong home run prop bet Opening Day against Chicago White Sox's relatively unproven starter Sean Burke. Despite limited playing time due to injuries, Trout produced elite metrics last season (98th percentile barrel rate, 99th percentile xSLG). Burke, while notable for high strikeout rates in limited major-league innings (28.9% K rate), projected as vulnerable long-term, evidenced by troubling minor league stats (4.56 xFIP and 1.63 HR/9 in Triple-A) and concerning HR projections (1.44 HR/9 predicted by ATC). Despite less-than-ideal cold weather conditions, FanDuel's projections indicate Trout as having the second-best odds to homer today. Storin recommended betting Trout at +330 odds, emphasizing the favorable matchup and Trout's historically elite hitting capabilities.