Kenyatta Storin identified Colton Cowser as a great candidate for a home run prop bet on MLB Opening Day, specifically noting the pitcher's vulnerability as a key factor. Toronto starter Jose Berrios finished tied for second-most home runs allowed last season (31 HR). Berrios particularly struggled against left-handed hitters, giving up 1.58 HR per 9 innings, a persistent issue for him going back several seasons. Cowser, projected to bat leadoff, had an impressive rookie season with 24 home runs, a .204 ISO, and elite metrics in barrel rate (90th percentile) and maximum exit velocity (90th percentile). Given the game's high run total (8.5), Cowser's strong hitting profile, and favorable matchup against Berrios, Storin recommended Cowser as one of the top home run options at +500 odds.

Kenyatta Storin highlighted Rhys Hoskins as an appealing home run prop wager due to his matchup against Yankees left-hander Carlos Rodon. Rodon struggled with hard contact last season, allowing 31 home runs with notably poor percentile ranks in barrel rate (4th percentile), exit velocity (11th percentile), and hard-hit rate (32nd percentile). Hoskins, historically potent versus lefties, had an above-average ISO (.236) against southpaws last year and maintained strong fly-ball tendencies (48.4% fly-ball rate). Although Yankee Stadium will feature chilly temperatures, favorable weather conditions like steady 12 mph winds blowing out to center field further enhance Hoskins' prospects. Betting on Hoskins at +400 odds to homer could provide good value given the matchup and conditions.

Kenyatta Storin favored Mike Trout as a strong home run prop bet Opening Day against Chicago White Sox's relatively unproven starter Sean Burke. Despite limited playing time due to injuries, Trout produced elite metrics last season (98th percentile barrel rate, 99th percentile xSLG). Burke, while notable for high strikeout rates in limited major-league innings (28.9% K rate), projected as vulnerable long-term, evidenced by troubling minor league stats (4.56 xFIP and 1.63 HR/9 in Triple-A) and concerning HR projections (1.44 HR/9 predicted by ATC). Despite less-than-ideal cold weather conditions, FanDuel's projections indicate Trout as having the second-best odds to homer today. Storin recommended betting Trout at +330 odds, emphasizing the favorable matchup and Trout's historically elite hitting capabilities.