Kingpin advised taking Gleyber Torres over 1.5 total bases, citing his recent hot streak and favorable matchup against inexperienced Brewers starter Quinn Priester. Torres has been producing consistently since joining Detroit, recorded multiple hits previously, and is poised for another strong offensive outing.

Kingpin highlighted Mitch Keller’s considerable strikeout upside against a punchless Washington offense. Keller has effective swing-and-miss pitches and faces a Nationals lineup especially struggling against right-handed pitchers with Keller’s profile. Given Washington's high strikeout rate and low-scoring record, Keller is expected to clear his strikeout prop comfortably with at least 7 Ks.

Kingpin recommended betting on Yordan Alvarez to homer at +300 odds, emphasizing his strong matchup against Cardinals starter Erick Fedde, a righty who lacks overpowering velocity. With Busch Stadium’s setting favorable for power hitters, Alvarez has a good opportunity to break out and hit a home run, especially after quieter recent games.

Kingpin sees value in backing Kevin Gausman over 6.5 strikeouts, highlighting his dominant splitter and Atlanta's slumping, strikeout-prone lineup. Gausman is projected to work deep into the game thanks to his recent effectiveness and durability, which means he has a solid floor to rack up at least 7 Ks.

Kingpin pointed to Pete Alonso as a prime candidate to homer at appealing odds (+250). Alonso faces Twins starter Bailey Ober, a fly-ball pitcher who could struggle to contain Alonso's power bat in favorable evening hitting conditions. Kingpin highlighted Minnesota's ongoing struggles and Alonso’s excellent power matchup as rationale for this home run prop.

Kingpin expects Jeffrey Springs to surpass his strikeout total of 7.5 against an anemic White Sox lineup that's been striking out frequently. Springs, noted for his swing-and-miss stuff, has looked sharp early in the season. Kingpin considers him fully stretched out and sees ideal conditions for him to tally at least 8 strikeouts against Chicago's struggling offense.

Kingpin advised taking the over on strikeouts (5.5) for Merrill Kelly against the Marlins, noting Miami's high whiff tendencies. The Marlins have shown a high strikeout rate, and Kelly possesses strong command and consistent performance that should allow him to navigate through the Miami lineup efficiently. Given Miami's susceptibility to strikeouts, Kingpin projected at least 6 strikeouts for Kelly in this favorable matchup.

Kingpin advocated taking Max Fried’s strikeout over (7.5) against the Royals, highlighting Kansas City's free swinging lineup and Fried's ability to dominate hitters with a mix of velocity and effective breaking pitches. Given the Yankees' decisive edge in this game and Fried’s elite form, Kingpin sees plenty of swing-and-miss potential, projecting Fried to comfortably achieve at least 8 strikeouts.

Kingpin likes Bryce Harper to accumulate over 1.5 total bases in his matchup against struggles of aging veteran pitcher Justin Verlander. Harper tends to excel against power pitchers and is currently seeing the ball well, increasing the probability he'll exceed this total base threshold either via an extra-base hit or multiple hits.

Kingpin recommended backing Mitch Keller for over 6.5 strikeouts against the weak-hitting Nationals offense. Keller has swing-and-miss upside, and the Nats have been vulnerable to strikeouts, particularly against right-handed pitchers who possess Keller’s type of strikeout-oriented arsenal. Kingpin expects an aggressive approach from Keller, projecting at least 7 strikeouts.

Kingpin endorsed betting on Luis Castillo exceeding 7.5 strikeouts, citing motivation in his return to Cincinnati and an aggressive Reds lineup prone to strikeouts. Castillo has pitched exceptionally well recently, and his familiarity with Great American Ball Park combined with the Reds’ swing-heavy approach creates high strikeout potential. Kingpin highlighted the favorable narrative and matchup to confidently predict Castillo striking out at least 8 batters.

Kingpin sees this as prime value on Casey Mize as a slight underdog today at Minnesota. Mize has been lights-out this season with a remarkable 0.77 ERA through three starts (2-0 with 15 strikeouts in 11.2 innings), showing excellent command. He faces the struggling rookie Simeon Woods Richardson (5.59 ERA), creating a clear pitching advantage for Detroit. Coming off a heartbreaking blown lead yesterday, Kingpin expects the Tigers to respond strongly behind their ace.

Kingpin recommends betting on MacKenzie Gore to defeat the Marlins, highlighting Gore's exceptional start to the season with a robust 13.2 K/9 rate and 2.65 ERA. Miami's lineup is strikeout-prone and generally struggles to score, making Gore’s swing-and-miss ability an ideal matchup. Despite losing CJ Abrams, the Nationals have shown enough offensive spark to support Gore and defeat the Marlins today.

Kingpin expects veteran Kyle Hendricks to struggle against an Astros lineup looking to rebound from a quiet performance yesterday. Despite Hendricks’ commendable start (only 2 runs allowed in 11 innings this season), Houston has historically dominated recent matchups with the Angels (winning 7 of last 8 meetings) and features a deep lineup capable of causing issues. Kingpin thinks Hendricks' finesse repertoire could falter against a motivated Astros offense, recommending Houston as the clear play today.

Kingpin identifies Hunter Greene as a strong play today against the struggling Pirates offense. Greene has been lights-out this season (1-1 with a 1.31 ERA and double-digit strikeout rate), showcasing elite velocity. Pittsburgh's offense has sputtered, scoring just five runs combined in the first two games of this series. The Pirates are sending an inexperienced pitcher in Carmen Mlodzinski to the mound, creating a significant pitching mismatch. Kingpin strongly recommends backing Greene and the Reds, potentially on the run line.

Despite the Royals' recent offensive struggles, Kingpin is bullish on Cole Ragans today against Cleveland. Ragans has been exceptional, allowing only 2 runs in his last two starts while registering 21 strikeouts in just 11 innings. Although historically he has struggled vs. Cleveland, his recent dominance (2.81 ERA this season and Cy Young-level stuff) suggests he can handle a lineup that's modest at best. With Kansas City eager to avoid a sweep, Ragans appears ready to carry the Royals to a victory today.

Kingpin favors Chris Sale today on the road against Tampa Bay, noting that Sale appears rejuvenated in his stint with Atlanta. He has posted a 3.00 ERA through his first two outings with strong strikeout numbers, facing a Tampa lineup that recently struggled (no-hit into the fifth inning yesterday). Rookie Shane Baz, the Rays' starter, has electric stuff but is coming off injury with limited MLB experience. Kingpin expects Sale's veteran presence and current form to hold the edge in today’s rubber match.

Kingpin recommends backing Jose Berrios as an underdog play against the Orioles, highlighting Berrios' historical dominance against Baltimore. He holds an impressive career record of 10-2 with a 3.31 ERA against the Orioles and is coming off an excellent performance with 7 innings of 1-run ball versus Boston. The Orioles starter Cade Povich has struggled historically against Toronto (0-2 with an 8.38 ERA). Kingpin believes the right-handed-heavy Jays lineup and Berrios' strong history against Baltimore set him up for success today.

Kingpin pointed out that New York Yankees starter Carlos Rodon has struggled recently, allowing 9 runs across his last two outings for a 5.19 ERA. Despite his historical success against his former club (striking out 12 Giants hitters back in 2023), consistency has been an issue. Considering the Giants' offense is currently hot, led by Wilmer Flores (.302 average and 19 RBIs), Rodon could find himself in trouble once again. Kingpin believes these recent struggles coupled with San Francisco's potent lineup make Rodon vulnerable today.

Kingpin recommends betting Bobby Witt Jr. over 1.5 total bases against the Twins. Witt Jr., who has been a key offensive spark through extra-base hits and stolen bases, faces right-hander Bailey Ober. Kingpin emphasizes Witt Jr.'s versatile ways to accumulate bases — whether by multiple singles, a double, or aggressive base running — driven by his hot early-season performance. Given Ober's predictable tendencies, Kingpin anticipates Witt Jr. continuing his productive streak and crossing this betting prop with ease.

Kingpin recommends Rhys Hoskins over 1.5 total bases prop, citing the batter-friendly environment of Coors Field as ideal for Hoskins' power-hitting profile. Since joining Milwaukee, Hoskins has shown strong potential and should benefit notably from Denver's high-altitude and thin air. Kingpin foresees Hoskins finding extra-base hits readily, providing excellent value on this prop.

Kingpin’s Best Bet is Royals moneyline (-152) at home vs the struggling Twins. Minnesota enters this game slumping offensively, averaging just 3.5 runs per game with stars Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton not yet producing consistently. Kansas City, off to a strong start paced by Bobby Witt Jr., is benefiting from veteran stability on the mound from Michael Wacha, who skillfully navigates struggling lineups. Given Minnesota's continued funk at the plate, Kingpin sees excellent value backing Kansas City, their home advantage, and better current form as key reasons to take the Royals' moneyline.

Kingpin advises taking Jose Ramirez's over 1.5 total bases prop facing Chicago rookie pitcher Jonathan Cannon. Ramirez, the primary engine of Cleveland's lineup and consistent doubles hitter, is favorably matched here and could exploit this matchup. Kingpin sees Ramirez as likely to collect his bases either through multiple hits or extra-base hits given Chicago's recent pitching issues. This prop bet hinges significantly on Ramirez's ability to leverage a rookie pitcher situation and his tendency to deliver consistent offense as Cleveland's linchpin.

Kingpin highlighted Mike Trout (over 1.5 total bases prop) as a standout play against a Tampa Bay bullpen game. Trout has been hitting well early in the season, and facing a bullpen session from the Rays increases the likelihood of favorable hitting opportunities. The reasoning is that Trout will eventually get quality pitches to drive and potentially accumulate multiple bases with just one strong swing or multiple hits. Kingpin strongly advises tailing this prop, expecting Trout's presence to significantly impact the game offensively.

Kingpin recommended backing the Angels (-150 moneyline) against the Rays, citing a clear offensive advantage. LA has started the season strong offensively, averaging 5 runs per game with Mike Trout anchoring a deep lineup. They're facing Zack Littell, who typically pitches in relief, indicating a bullpen game for Tampa. While acknowledging concerns with the Angels' bullpen (four blown saves already), the expectation is that LA's potent lineup will establish an early lead, providing a sufficient cushion for their relievers. Kingpin emphasizes the favorable matchup against the Rays' pitching strategy, asserting the Angels will continue their hot streak.

Kingpin recommended taking the Mariners moneyline (+110) behind ace Luis Castillo at home against a tough Astros lineup. Highlighting Castillo’s stellar first start of 2025 with 10 strikeouts over 8 innings, they emphasized his elite strikeout potential and excellent track record at home since joining the Mariners. Although Houston’s bats, especially Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve, pose a significant threat, Castillo has historically handled high-K matchups well. Kingpin believes Castillo's elite pitching can carry Seattle to a slight upset win, delivering value on both betting and fantasy fronts.

Kingpin liked Justin Verlander’s pitching prop of over 6.5 strikeouts against the inexperienced Reds lineup. Even at age 42, Verlander showed no slowdown in effectiveness striking out 7 batters in his Giants debut. Cincinnati's lineup, headlined by Elly De La Cruz, while talented, is still inexperienced and prone to chasing pitches outside the zone. Given the spacious, pitcher-friendly Oracle Park, Kingpin expects Verlander’s veteran presence and talent to allow him to successfully limit Cincinnati bats and comfortably exceed the strikeout total.

Kingpin advocated for betting Mitch Keller to surpass 5.5 strikeouts, citing Keller’s strikeout-per-inning rate from last year and his strong 8-strikeout opening start in 2025. Despite facing a dangerous Cardinals lineup featuring Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado, St. Louis also includes hitters prone to striking out. Keller’s history of generating swings-and-misses positions him favorably to reach or exceed 6 strikeouts, offering substantial prop betting and fantasy upside even without securing a win.

Kingpin strongly backed the Mets to beat the Marlins by at least two runs on the game’s run line (-1.5 runs, -110 odds). Highlighting Tylor Megill’s early dominance in his first start against Miami and the consistent offensive production from sluggers like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor, Kingpin expressed confidence in the Mets establishing an early lead. Additionally, the Marlins are starting inexperienced pitcher Max Meyer, playing only his second major league start, suggesting a daunting task to handle New York’s potent offense. A comfortable Mets victory is anticipated, making the run line an attractive betting option.

Kingpin recommended betting Max Fried to exceed 6.5 strikeouts, emphasizing Fried's impressive debut as a Yankee where he struck out 7 batters in his first start. They noted the Tigers ranked among the highest strikeout teams in the league last year and continue to show swing-and-miss tendencies. Considering Detroit's lineup struggles and Fried's proven ability to generate swings and misses, the expectation is Fried will comfortably surpass the posted strikeout total and deliver strong fantasy and prop betting value.

Kingpin saw value in backing Toronto as road underdogs behind ace Kevin Gausman against the Red Sox (+115 moneyline). Noting Boston’s hot offensive start—led by Rafael Devers—they still emphasized Gausman’s elite strikeout ability and how his splitter is extremely tough, even against top lineups. Gausman, coming off a 10-strikeout start, historically fares well against aggressive Boston hitters. With Toronto’s own impressive offense (Vladenmir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette) able to scratch out runs against Tanner Houck and the Boston bullpen, Kingpin believes the pitching edge makes the Jays strong value at plus odds.

Kingpin recommends the -1.5 run line bet on the Padres in their matchup with the A's, highlighting San Diego's significant talent mismatch. Led by power bats Juan Soto, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Manny Machado, the Padres' deep lineup should capitalize against Oakland's questionable bullpen and starter Jeffrey Springs. Dylan Cease pitches for San Diego, and his strikeout prowess against an inexperienced Oakland lineup ensures a strong run-preventing effort. Expect the Padres’ offense to comfortably outscore Oakland by multiple runs.

Kingpin identified the Reds moneyline (+100) as a smart underdog bet due to Nick Lodolo's significant pitching advantage. Lodolo has elite strikeout capabilities with a lively fastball and strong breaking stuff, providing a clear edge over rookie starter Landen Roupp of the Giants. Cincinnati’s lineup can capitalize if the inexperienced Roupp falters early. Expect a close contest with Lodolo neutralizing San Francisco’s steady but vulnerable order, positioning Cincinnati for a valuable road win.

Kingpin strongly likes Dansby Swanson to exceed 1.5 total bases against Rangers left-hander Patrick Corbin. Swanson has been locked in, homering in the opener of the series. He matches well against Corbin's pitching style, which has struggled in recent seasons. With favorable weather conditions at Wrigley Field and Swanson’s strong swings against lefties, expect him to consistently generate solid contact, producing at least an extra-base hit or multiple base hits to cash this attractive prop bet.

Kingpin pinpointed Luis Castillo surpassing 7.5 strikeouts against the Houston Astros as one of the top pitcher props of the day. Castillo is elite at generating swings and misses with upper-90s velocity and an elite changeup. Despite Houston’s disciplined lineup, Castillo’s strikeout upside at pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park is strong, especially battling against an ace-level starter like Framber Valdez, where runs will be tough to come by and strikeouts likely abundant.