Kosty backed Jay Yang’s pick by leaning on a long-standing home-underdog trend. He noted that blindly betting every MLB home dog would have been profitable this season, but sees extra value when the underdog is in good form. Miami keeps winning yet remains disrespected by oddsmakers, frequently catching plus money at home. Kosty believes pairing that systemic edge with Yang’s detailed fade of Brandon Woodruff’s first start back from injury creates an ideal spot to fire on the Marlins at +130.