Kosty Safir recommends betting on the Baltimore Orioles against Toronto, citing key market factors and recent team performance. Orioles starter Sugano showed promise in a strong performance against Kansas City despite an earlier loss to the Blue Jays. While both teams hit right-handed pitching similarly, Baltimore holds an advantage in relief pitching, as Toronto's bullpen has been conceding over five runs per game. Safir notes that the Orioles' recent poor road results against Arizona have driven their home price down, creating good value. With both teams coming off losses, the line provides a discounted betting opportunity on the Orioles at -115. Safir emphasizes the Orioles' added motivation against a divisional rival they lost to earlier and expects their bats to ignite against Toronto starter Francis, historically a reliever transitioning to starting duties. Camden Yards' home crowd and favorable circumstances line up strongly for Baltimore.