Kosty Safir said to lay the short price with the San Francisco Giants (about –125) in Monday’s series opener. His case hinged on a pronounced lefty-lefty split: the Royals average barely two runs per game and hit right around .200 against southpaws on the road, while the Giants have excelled both at Oracle Park and specifically versus left-handed pitching. With ace Robbie Ray posting a "phenomenal year" for San Francisco and Chris Bubich dealing for Kansas City, Safir expects a close, low-scoring contest but still projects a 4-2 Giants win that comfortably clears the money-line price.

Kosty Safir advised betting the Astros moneyline at roughly ‑105/-106 in Monday’s Tigers-Astros matchup. Safir argued the number is cheap because the market is fixated on Detroit’s weekend sweep of Baltimore and Houston’s 2-of-3 stumble in Kansas City. He pointed out that Minute Maid Park remains a fortress: Astros starters and relievers own the best combined home ERA in MLB, giving up fewer than two runs per game. While Houston’s lineup has scuffled to fewer than four runs per game overall, their home splits versus right-handed pitching are only marginally below normal, leading Safir to expect a hitting “correction.” On the mound, Ronel Blanco has surrendered five earned runs over his last five starts yet grades as “a much better pitcher than we’ve seen,” setting up bounce-back potential against Jack Flaherty. With pitching advantage, elite home ERA, and positive offensive regression, Safir labeled Houston the clear side and told bettors to lay the short juice.

Kosty Safir recommends betting the Toronto Blue Jays at home against the Atlanta Braves, highlighting Toronto's strong home performance (five home wins already) compared to Atlanta's struggles on the road (only one road win so far). Safir emphasizes a distinct pitching advantage for Toronto. Braves starter Grant Holmes has struggled badly in his first two appearances this year and matches up poorly against Toronto's hitters, who tend to perform strongly against right-handed pitchers (hitting .259 and averaging 3.5 runs per game against righties despite slightly below their overall rate). On the other side, Toronto starter Easton Lucas has impressed in his transition from reliever to starter, posting strong five-inning performances already this season against both the Nationals and Red Sox. Given Atlanta's serious batting woes versus left-handed pitching (.183 average and averaging just 2.5 runs per game), Safir expects Toronto to capitalize on this mismatch.