Kyzer Del Busto grabbed Irina Alekseeva by KO/TKO at a juicy +900. He noted that Alekseeva—nicknamed ‘Russian Ronda’ for her judo base and aggressive clinch knees—faces Sagula, a newcomer who was just stopped via second-round strikes on the regional circuit and looked lost defending inside elbows. Del Busto argued the market often overvalues women’s MMA decisions, but Alekseeva already owns a 77-second kneebar submission in the UFC and throws fight-ending overhands whenever opponents exit tie-ups. Against a defensively porous striker on short notice, Del Busto expects Alekseeva to bully into the body lock, land knees and overhands, and secure the finish—making the near 10-to-1 price tag worth a stab.

Kyzer Del Busto singled out the Curtis Blaydes KO/TKO prop at +125 as his favorite way to attack the heavyweight debut of Rizvan Kuniev. Del Busto leaned on the same data Gumby cited earlier—Blaydes’ 6.0 takedowns per 15 minutes, +1.6 significant-strike differential and 13 career finishes by ground-and-pound—but emphasized the betting angle: books are still hanging plus money even though Blaydes has stopped four of his last six wins with elbows from half-guard. Kuniev’s UFC sample is limited and the Russian’s lone PFL fight was erased for PEDs, making Del Busto question how the 30-year-old will look in a post-USADA world. With Blaydes owning a four-inch reach edge and the cardio to wrestle for 15 minutes, Del Busto expects repeated doubles, heavy top pressure and a referee stoppage once the punches add up, turning +125 into a value ticket.

Kyzer Del Busto took the plus-money stab on former champ Jamahal Hill, arguing that Hill’s only setbacks came against current and former title-holders. Hill owns a three-inch edge in both height and reach, lands 7.06 sig-strikes per minute, and sports a +3.03 differential—far superior to Rountree’s –0.78. Kyzer acknowledged Hill’s back-to-back knockouts but pointed out that Rountree’s defense is even shakier (43% significant-strike defense) and he was finished by Pereira in round four after absorbing 88 head strikes. Hill’s straight right hand should beat Rountree’s looping left, and Kyzer expects the Chicago native to keep the fight at boxing range, pile up volume, and possibly score a late TKO, making the +110 money-line a buy.

Kyzer Del Busto took the Bahamondes side, stressing three pillars: size, numbers, and momentum. Bahamondes is seven inches taller, owns a four-inch reach advantage, and is four years younger. Over eight UFC bouts he’s posting a +2.73 significant-strike differential while finishing six of his last seven wins. Fiziev, by contrast, has dropped three straight and hasn’t tasted victory since July 2022. Kyzer noted that despite Fiziev’s Muay Thai credentials he’s actually being out-landed (-0.10 per minute) in the UFC, whereas Bahamondes lands nearly two more sig-strikes per minute. With Bahamondes riding three consecutive finishes at lightweight and Fiziev showing declining durability, Kyzer likes the Chilean to out-volume and possibly stop the former top-10 contender at –125.

Kyzer Del Busto took a swing on Andreas Gustafsson at +160, believing the Swedish mauler’s wrestling pace will sap Chaos Williams’ one-shot power. Gustafsson averages 5.8 takedowns per 15 on the European scene, chains single-legs into body-lock trips, and forces exhausting clinch exchanges. Williams lands bombs early but has faded to 25% striking accuracy after seven minutes in three of his last four bouts and sports just 55% takedown defense. Kyzer envisions Gustafsson eating the initial flurry, dragging Williams to the mat repeatedly, and stealing rounds two and three for either a decision or late ground-and-pound stoppage, making the +160 a worthwhile stab.

Kyzer Del Busto took a swing on Andreas Gustafsson at +160, believing the Swedish mauler’s wrestling pace will sap Chaos Williams’ one-shot power. Gustafsson averages 5.8 takedowns per 15 on the European scene, chains single-legs into body-lock trips, and forces exhausting clinch exchanges. Williams lands bombs early but has faded to 25% striking accuracy after seven minutes in three of his last four bouts and sports just 55% takedown defense. Kyzer envisions Gustafsson eating the initial flurry, dragging Williams to the mat repeatedly, and stealing rounds two and three for either a decision or late ground-and-pound stoppage, making the +160 a worthwhile stab.

Kyzer Del Busto recommended backing Dvalishvili at –275, calling this a "rinse-and-repeat" of November’s one-sided wrestle-fest. He pointed to Merab’s 3-inch reach disadvantage being irrelevant because the Georgian closes distance instantly and chains shots until he’s on a leg. O’Malley’s lone hope, per Kyzer, is that the torn-hip-labrum surgery magically fixed his 63% takedown-defense problem, yet the challenger refused any interim fight to prove it. Meanwhile Merab has out-landed foes by 1.85 strikes per minute while logging 66 takedowns in 14 UFC bouts. Unless the surgery turned Sugar into Jose Aldo overnight, Kyzer sees another five-round grind and advises parlaying the champ with other chalk.

Jeff Fox is rolling the dice on Mario Bautista at +155, choosing to fade Patchy Mix’s risky profile: a 13-month layoff, short-notice UFC debut, history of missing bantamweight, and zero Octagon reps. Bautista rides a seven-fight winning streak inside the UFC, blending 5.63 significant strikes per minute with an underrated submission game (three rear-nakeds during the streak). Fox believes Bautista’s pace, cardio, and pure UFC experience edge will exploit any rust or weight-cut issues Mix encounters on debut. If Mix can’t secure an early backpack, Fox sees Bautista dragging him into deeper waters and cashing as the live underdog.

Jeff Fox (aka Kyzer Del Busto) advised taking the +230 on Vicente Luque, arguing Holland is simply too hard to trust at a steep -270. Fox pointed to Holland’s chronically poor takedown defense, his willingness to accept guard and burn minutes off the clock, plus a history of puzzling in-fight decisions. Luque owns a clear path on the mat (9 submissions, +0.17 strike differential, and superior takedown accuracy) and still packs power if it turns into a brawl. Fox expects Luque to change levels early, force Holland to work off his back, and hunt a finish rather than trade in space.