Liam Murphy cautioned that rookie back RJ Harvey should be treated strictly as a volatile spike-week play. Harvey sits behind J.K. Dobbins on Denver’s depth chart and, according to Murphy, does not project for a workhorse role at any point this season. Instead, Murphy envisions a roller-coaster stat line — zero usable points one week, 20 the next — that is fine for Best Ball Mania as an RB5/6 but scary in managed formats. He drafted Harvey only because aging starters Alvin Kamara and Aaron Jones on this roster could fade late, but he warned listeners not to expect consistent volume from the former UCF star in Sean Payton’s committee attack.

Liam Murphy chose Dalton Kincaid over Dallas Goedert, citing a far higher ceiling. He noted that Buffalo’s target hierarchy is still ambiguous behind Stefon Diggs’ departure, leaving Kincaid’s 19% rookie-year target share plenty of room to climb. Murphy tied the pick to his earlier stance that the Bills plan to reduce Josh Allen’s goal-line carries to preserve their franchise QB; if Allen’s rushing scores drop from 14 to something like 7-8, those red-zone looks have to land somewhere, and Kincaid is the logical beneficiary given his 6’4" frame and 78th-percentile catch radius. With the Bills playing Washington in Week 17, Murphy likes the correlation of a potential shoot-out against a Commanders defense that allowed the NFL’s highest TE PPR points per game (15.7) last year.

Liam Murphy argued that Aaron Jones is still a ceiling play in Best Ball Mania despite turning 30. Murphy pointed out that Kevin O’Connell leans heavily on running backs in the passing game and that Minnesota’s offensive line quietly climbed from 24th to 13th in ESPN’s run-block win rate last season. Because Jones has never been a 300-touch grinder—he’s averaged only 213 touches over the past four years—the tread on his tires is lighter than most backs his age. Murphy also noted that Green Bay’s historical committee usage with Jamaal Williams limited Jones’ collisions, giving him a better shot to stay explosive on his new team. He’s bumping Jones up a half-round in his personal ranks, especially on BBM builds that need reception-heavy spike weeks.

Murphy grabbed Quinshon Judkins at pick 135 but admitted the range of outcomes stretches from a full rookie campaign to a lost season. The Browns have yet to clarify the lower-body issue that sidelined him at minicamp, and Murphy worries it could linger into preseason much like J.K. Dobbins’ mysterious 2021 setback. With Nick Chubb on track for Week 1 and Jerome Ford handling passing downs, Judkins’ best-ball utility hinges on late-season spike weeks. Murphy is only dabbling when the board pushes him into the double-digit rounds and pairing him with other high-variance backs rather than counting on early production.

Murphy knocked Chris Godwin into the middle of the 7th round after new language from beat writers labeled his soft-tissue injury "relatively minor" yet kept him out of early practices. He flagged that Tampa was already installing more 12 personnel under new OC Liam Coen, which could shrink slot snaps for Godwin even when healthy. With Mike Evans commanding red-zone looks and rookie Jalen McMillan rotating in, Murphy sees Godwin as a volume-dependent WR3 whose floor is lower than drafters realize. He is now selecting Jayden Reed and Rashid Shaheed ahead of Godwin.

Murphy predicted that Mike Evans’ price will rise a full round if uncertainty around Chris Godwin’s status lingers. He noted Evans already owns 34% of Tampa’s end-zone targets under Dave Canales and would soak up even more if Godwin’s hamstring issue delays his camp reps. Baker Mayfield averaged 8.2 aDOT to Evans last year and remains willing to pepper him deep, a skill set that creates spike weeks critical to Best Ball Mania. Murphy is proactively grabbing Evans in the late 4th while the market still lets him slip there.

Murphy warned that Josh Allen’s rushing TD total—14 last season—could tumble. Buffalo spent heavily on defense (adding Leonard Floyd and re-signing DaQuan Jones) and wants to keep Allen fresh. Murphy expects Sean McDermott to call fewer QB sneaks in low-leverage spots and let Ray Davis and the tight ends handle inside work when the Bills are protecting leads. Because Allen’s fantasy edge is tied to those 6-point plunges, Murphy thinks he now profiles closer to the QB5–QB6 tier instead of the consensus top two. He is pivoting to cheaper elite-upside options like Jaden Daniels in best-ball drafts.

Liam Murphy said he would slot Jaden Daniels at the very top of his personal 'vibe ranks,' even ahead of established studs. Murphy called the rookie "already a top-five NFL quarterback" because of his proven rushing chops and the fact Eric Bieniemy is expected to scheme designed runs inside the 10. Daniels averaged 8.4 YPC and scored 10 red-zone TDs in his final college season, numbers Murphy likens to rookie-year Lamar. He contrasted that with Josh Allen, noting Buffalo will likely siphon away 1- and 2-yard plunges to protect their franchise arm. With a safe rushing floor, an improving Washington receiving corps, and a soft Week 17 matchup against New England, Murphy views Daniels as a legitimate overall QB1 candidate and is happy to reach for him in Best Ball Mania.

Liam Murphy expressed uneasiness with Kyren Williams’ ADP after dissecting several pieces of Rams coach-speak. GM Les Snead has talked up a desire to be 'more running-back-by-committee,' and Sean McVay has praised Liam Cohen’s multiple-back sets from Tampa last season. Murphy thinks those comments translate to Williams’ snap share sliding from the 90% range to roughly 70-75%. That still leaves Kyren the lead back, but it erodes his weekly ceiling if he continues last year’s mediocre efficiency. Murphy is still mixing Williams at the 3-4 turn for structural reasons, yet he warned that drafters should price in a real chance the Rams fold Jarquez Hunter, Blake Corum or other backs into meaningful work, capping Kyren’s upside.

Murphy upgraded Quentin Johnston after parsing a steady drumbeat of rave reviews from Jim Harbaugh and the Chargers’ staff. Harbaugh publicly called Johnston and rookie Lad McConkey “elite,” and coaches have repeatedly mentioned QJ when discussing their starting X and Z roles. From what Murphy has seen in early formations, Johnston is getting every-down work—sometimes at X but more often at Z where his yards-after-catch skills can be featured on manufactured touches. With Johnston locked into a top-two WR snap rate and an ADP that already bakes in last year’s inefficiency, Murphy believes the second-year wideout has enough spike-week upside to smash in Best Ball Mania drafts and has moved him up his personal ranks accordingly.

Liam Murphy sounded the alarm on Brandon Aiyuk’s status, pointing out that Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers have been noticeably tight-lipped compared with other teams’ usual “ahead of schedule” camp optimism. San Francisco has offered no public timeline for Aiyuk, a stark contrast to how the Buccaneers have at least hinted that Chris Godwin could be ready by Week 1. Murphy said the absence of any positive timetable is the kind of coach-speak red flag he tracks: when the Niners refuse to declare progress, it usually signals a longer recovery window. Because of that vagueness he is downgrading Aiyuk in his best-ball ranks and recommends treating him as a riskier pick until the team provides a firmer update.