Liz Loza warned that Saquon Barkley is a fade at his current top-three ADP, citing the wear-and-tear of last season’s 482 total touches. She reviewed every NFL back in the last decade who handled at least 300 carries and 20 receptions (320 touches) and found that, aside from LeSean McCoy, every one of them suffered year-over-year declines in yards per carry, yards per touch, and fantasy points per game. Several—like Adrian Peterson and Derrick Henry—were even forced to shut their seasons down early with injuries. Given that precedent, Loza prefers taking Ashton Jeanty in the mid-first and letting someone else absorb Barkley’s looming efficiency and injury risk.