Loughy advised betting Seattle +5 (take +4.5 if that is the best available) in their preseason opener against the Raiders. His confidence comes from Seattle’s quarterback depth: Milro is expected to have designed run packages that add explosive upside, while Drew Lock has a history of piling up touchdowns every August. Loughy noted he will not lay five with Las Vegas when there is no assurance Pete Carroll even plays his starters and feels the Seahawks’ backups are strong enough to keep the game close or win outright at home.

Loughy recommended Seattle +5 (or +4.5) against Las Vegas. He argued the number is inflated by assumptions Pete Carroll will play starters, yet the only public quote is Carroll’s vague “Everybody’s alive, everybody’s ready to go,” which he says provides no snap-count clarity. Even if Geno Smith takes one series, Seattle’s backup duo of Jalen Milro—expected to get designed runs—and Drew Locke offers live offense for three quarters. The Raiders, after Jimmy Garoppolo, will rely on Aiden O’Connell and sixth-round rookie Cam Miller. Loughy doubts Carroll risks starters’ health for a symbolic win over his former team and trusts Seattle’s quarterback depth plus home field to keep the game close, making the points the side to take.

Loughy leaned to Philadelphia +6 at Lincoln Financial Field. Zach Taylor said his starters will get “a few series,” but Loughy doubts they play past an opening drive if they score, highlighting Taylor’s 3-9-1 preseason record. The Bengals’ backup trio of Jake Browning, Desmond Ritter, and Peyton Thorne is unproven, while the Eagles can roll out Tanner McKee and Dorian Finney-Smith, who showed competence last summer. Sirianni’s rosters traditionally keep fourth-string QBs on ice until Week 3, preserving depth advantages through all four quarters. Given Cincinnati’s historically conservative August approach and the Eagles’ stronger second-string units, Loughy prefers grabbing the six points with the home side.

Loughy advised taking Indianapolis -3.5 for the first half (and -0.5 for the first quarter) instead of laying the full -6. Shane Steichen confirmed Anthony Richardson will play the opening quarter-and-a-half, with Daniel Jones finishing the first half, so the Colts’ top two quarterbacks plus the presumed starting offensive line and skill players should stay on the field through most of the first half. Baltimore, after joint practices, plans to sit starters and open with Cooper Rush and other backups. Loughy reminded listeners that John Harbaugh’s famed preseason streak ended in 2023 when the Ravens went 1-2 and averaged only 11 points. With Indianapolis actively evaluating its quarterback competition while Baltimore treats the night as a throw-away, Loughy sees a clear early edge and prefers Colts -3.5 1H (and -0.5 1Q) to avoid second-half backup chaos.