MadnessDFS labeled Edward Cabrera OVER 4.5 strikeouts his favorite board play. The premium Top Props model shows a 53.8% hit rate, and Cabrera has cleared this number in 11 consecutive outings and in 80% of his past 15. Despite St. Louis ranking just 26th in K-rate (20.2%), Cabrera’s own 24.9% strikeout clip supplies plenty of upside. Books agree—DraftKings has the over juiced to –135, but PrizePicks users don’t pay that vig. With the trade deadline looming and potential lineup shifts for the Cardinals, MadnessDFS sees little downside in riding Cabrera’s hot strikeout form one more time.

MadnessDFS advised playing Rich Hill UNDER 3.5 strikeouts. The 45-year-old left-hander is making just his second start for Kansas City and managed only one strikeout over 5.0 innings and 90 pitches against the Cubs last week. Hill has never been a big swing-and-miss arm and is now pitching primarily to avoid barrels rather than blow hitters away. Even with what MadnessDFS calls a 'decent strikeout matchup' versus Atlanta, the tout expects Hill’s declining stuff to keep him below four Ks. He also warned the line could drop to 3.0, so locking in the under at 3.5 now is key.

MadnessDFS recommended taking Spencer Strider UNDER 6.5 strikeouts on PrizePicks. His Top Props tool assigns just a 52.48% chance that Strider reaches seven punch-outs. The key datapoint is Kansas City’s elite contact profile: the Royals strike out only 18.7% of the time, second-lowest in MLB behind Toronto. Strider’s home/road split also works against him—his ERA balloons to 4.55 away from Truist Park compared to 3.07 at home, hinting at shorter or less dominant road outings. With Strider pitching in KC and facing a lineup devoted to putting the ball in play, MadnessDFS sees value in fading the lofty strikeout line before it potentially drops.