Bamford fired on the full-game over 8, citing two starters headed in opposite—but equally volatile—directions. Trevor Williams owns a 6.39 ERA and has surrendered at least three earned in every May outing, while George Kirby looked rusty in his season debut (five runs to Houston) and may need another turn to find his command. Seattle games versus right-handed pitching are 25-14-1 to the over, and the Mariners lineup has a .780 OPS at home this month. Bamford projected both pitchers exiting by the sixth, forcing two mediocre bullpens (Washington 4.57 ERA, Seattle 4.22 ERA last 14 days) to patch together nine outs. He hung a 9.1 expected run total, making any 8 or 8.5 a green-light play.

Bamford said he is ‘feeding Trevor Williams’ and singled out Cal Raleigh to go yard in the nightcap. Williams limps into Seattle with a 6.39 ERA, 1.71 HR/9 and at least one long ball allowed in six straight starts. Raleigh, who has 10 of his 12 bombs off right-handed pitching and a .587 SLG at T-Mobile Park, profiles perfectly against Williams’ 89-mph four-seamer. The switch-hitting catcher’s 45% pull rate and top-20 barrel percentage line up with a Nationals staff that ranks bottom-five in hard-hit suppression. With the marine layer expected to be thin Wednesday night and Seattle’s offense carrying a 111 wRC+ in May, Bamford likes any price of +375 or better on a Raleigh homer.

Malcolm Bamford told listeners he is sprinkling the Angels moneyline at +140 against the Yankees, even though he already bet the full-game over. Bamford’s main angle is fading Clark Schmidt’s ugly road profile—6.75 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and a 10% walk rate that turns every inning into traffic—and a New York bullpen that has thrown 110 high-leverage pitches the last two nights. He expects Yusei Kikuchi to work bulk innings behind an opener, giving Los Angeles a left-handed look that has kept the Yankee lineup near league average versus southpaws. The Halos, meanwhile, own a .760 OPS in Anaheim and will hit nine full innings as the underdog. Bamford projected a 6-5 type game and personally made the Angels +120, calling the available +140 ‘too big to pass up.’

Malcolm Bamford went the opposite route of a side and simply bet the full-game over 9. He reminded listeners that the Yankees mash left-handers (top-3 in wRC+ vs LHP) and every Kikuchi outing has finished above the total. Meanwhile, Schmidt’s 6.75 road ERA gives the Angels a clear path to four or five runs. With both starters averaging fewer than six innings, Bamford does not trust either bullpen: New York’s leverage relievers have thrown 110 pitches the past two nights, and L.A. ranks 25th in bullpen xFIP. He projected a 10.4 combined run expectation and is happy grabbing 8.5 or 9 at standard juice.

Malcolm Bamford targeted the first-five innings under once books finally post a number, projecting 4.5 as playable. He expects only 3–4 innings from Eric Lauer—who has allowed two or fewer runs in every appearance—and trusts Toronto’s top-10 bullpen to bridge the gap. On the other side, Tyler Mahle has been lights out (1.80 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, Rangers 9-2 to the under in his starts), and Texas owns a bottom-five wRC+ versus left-handed pitching. The Blue Jays are 23-17 to the under against righties, so Bamford anticipates both offenses sleepwalking through the first half of the game, calling a 2-1 type score through five.

Bamford countered with a first-five under, banking on a duel between Zack Wheeler and AJ Smith-Shawver. Wheeler has tossed 19 2/3 scoreless innings over his last three starts, sporting a 0.88 WHIP and 33% strike-out rate. Despite Smith-Shawver’s meltdown in Washington, Bamford trusts the rookie’s 2.45 FIP from his prior four outings and believes he can steady himself for one turn through a Braves lineup that remains dangerous but lukewarm. He projects no more than three combined runs through five, preferring to avoid two explosive bullpens later.

Malcolm Bamford took the full-game over 8.5, citing two combustible starters. Alcantara’s ERA is now north of 8.00, and opponents have tagged him for a 46% hard-hit rate. Kyle Hart is no safer: the left-hander has alternated blow-ups all month and carries a 1.53 WHIP. Bamford highlighted Miami’s 9-2 record to the over against southpaws and the Padres’ .781 home OPS versus right-handers. With both bullpens bottom-10 in xFIP over the past two weeks, he expects crooked numbers late and projects a combined 10.1 runs.

In contrast, Malcolm Bamford bet the full-game over 8, leaning on Lance McCullers’ tendency to get dragged into shootouts. Houston is 4-0 to the over in McCullers’ starts this year, including a wild nine-run outing against Cincinnati. While Severino has dominated on the road, Bamford trusts neither Oakland’s bullpen nor its offense to let the under survive late innings. With McCullers allowing hard contact (8.4% barrel rate) and Severino susceptible once he turns the lineup over for a third time, Bamford projects both pens getting involved before the seventh and pushing the total past eight.

Malcolm Bamford echoed Rockford’s angle but extended it to the full game, taking under 8. He highlighted that Pablo Lopez has guided the Twins to four straight wins while posting a 2.31 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Rasmussen owns a 0.250 home ERA despite other Rays starters struggling in the oversized spring-training park. Both clubs are over .500 to the under this season, and Minnesota is a ridiculous 25-14-4 to the under versus right-handed pitching. With two stingy bullpens in reserve, Bamford sees little path to nine combined runs.

Malcolm Bamford laid Milwaukee –130, citing Freddy Peralta’s home dominance. Peralta owns a microscopic 0.75 ERA at American Family Field, allowing just 16 hits over four starts while the Brewers are 4-0 in those games. Meanwhile Brayan Bello carries a 1.70 WHIP and has gone 5-2 to the over, signaling constant traffic when he’s on the mound. Boston’s injury-thinned offense has scored only four runs in its last three contests, and Milwaukee is 16-10 at home. Bamford trusts Peralta and a deeper bullpen far more than Bello, making the short moneyline price a value.

Bamford grabbed the Diamondbacks at –125, continuing his auto-fade of Pittsburgh when Paul Skenes pitches. The Pirates are just 4-7 in Skenes’ starts overall and 2-3 across his last five despite the rookie often being priced as a favorite. Arizona has won four of Zac Gallen’s last five outings—including two against the Dodgers and a pair versus the Mets—while providing far superior run support. Bamford sees no reason these clubs should be near pick-em given the Diamondbacks’ stronger lineup, better bullpen, and Gallen’s 2.79 home ERA.

Bamford laid the Dodgers moneyline at –135 despite Clayton Kershaw still ramping up. The core angle is handedness: Cleveland is 2-9 straight-up against left-handed pitching, while Los Angeles owns a 26-12 record versus right-handers like Slade Cecconi. Bamford argued those stark splits outweigh any workload concerns for Kershaw, making the short price on LA worthwhile.

Malcolm Bamford recommended betting the first-five innings under in White Sox-Mets. He highlighted Shane Smith’s 2.10 ERA in five road starts and Griffin Canning’s 2.88 season ERA. First-five unders have cashed in seven of Smith’s ten outings and eight of Canning’s ten. Bamford added that Chicago’s offense is brutal on the road, averaging only 2.8 runs per game, so the pitching should dominate the early frames.

Malcolm Bamford stamped the Marlins-Padres matchup as an "auto-over" at the current 7.5 total. He reminded listeners that Max Meyer has leaked 10 earned runs in his last two road starts and still carries a 5.16 ERA despite one bounce-back outing against the Cubs. On the other side, Stephen Kolek’s early-May darling status has vanished—eight earned runs in his last two trips to the mound and a pitch-to-contact profile that rarely misses bats. Bamford added that both lineups have quietly turned a corner: San Diego is coming off a momentum-building win in Atlanta while Miami’s offense has been “sneaky” with a league-average wRC+ over the past two weeks. With two struggling arms, two engaged offenses and Petco’s marine layer less of a factor in warmer late-May weather, Bamford projected something like 6-4 and grabbed the over before it inevitably touches 8.

Malcolm Bamford played under 7.5 in Oakland–Houston, pointing out that the Astros have faced a left-handed starter only six times all season and own a modest .228 team average against southpaws. JP Sears draws them after two rough outings (10 ER), yet held opponents to nine earned across the previous six and sports far better road splits. Hunter Brown counters with a 0.96 ERA at Minute Maid and hasn’t allowed more than three earned in any 2025 start. Both pens grade as serviceable, and Bamford expects unfamiliarity with Sears plus Brown’s home dominance to keep the scoreboard muted—something like 3-2 either way.

Malcolm Bamford hammered the full-game total of 8.5, saying the market is sleeping on how hittable both starters could be. Brady Singer owns a 4.88 ERA overall and a gaudy 6.66 ERA on the road, rarely stringing together more than three clean innings. Kansas City is expected to debut 25-year-old right-hander Luinder Avila, who struck out 10.7 per nine in AAA but paired it with a 4.4 BB/9 and a mid-4s ERA across each stop in the minors. Bamford noted that young call-ups often struggle with command in a first outing, and he does not trust Singer’s tendency to leak baserunners (1.35 WHIP). With both bullpens ranking bottom-10 in xFIP over the past two weeks, he projects something like a 6-4 finish and wants the over before it climbs to 9.

Malcolm Bamford locked in the first-five under, leaning on two starting pitchers whose profiles fit the bet. Shane Smith sports a 2.10 road ERA through five away outings and has limited opponents to two earned runs or fewer in five of his last six overall. Tyler McGill is still capped around five innings, but Citi Field is where he excels and he draws a White Sox lineup ranked bottom-five in wRC+ versus right-handers. Supporting data backs the under: Chicago is 23-14-2 first-five under against righties, while the Mets are even better at 28-10-1. Bamford expects both offenses to stay quiet early, envisioning a 1-1 or 2-0 scoreboard through five.

Malcolm Bamford hammered the full-game under 8 (and recommended first-five splits) behind two arms in peak form. Joe Ryan’s season line—2.65 ERA, 0.81 WHIP—includes one three-run blip, but he has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four road turns, surrendering fewer than five hits in five straight. Taj Bradley has yielded exactly two earned in four of his last five while keeping the hit column under five in three of four, and he owns markedly better numbers at the Trop. Both lineups are bottom-ten in hard-hit rate and each club is better than .500 to the under on the season (Minnesota 7-of-10, Tampa 6-of-10 recent unders). Bamford projects a 2-1 finish and advised bettors to shop for any juiced 8.5 or pair first-three/first-five unders for extra angles.

Malcolm Bamford targeted the first-five under, citing a stack of trends: Sugano-led Orioles games are 8-1 to the F5 under, while Pallante’s starts sit 5-4. The Cardinals overall are 19-14 to the F5 under this season. Both hurlers limit hard contact—Sugano through heavy ground-ball rates, Pallante via a cutter/sinker mix—and neither bullpen weakness comes into play in a first-half wager. With Baltimore’s win expectancy hinging on run prevention and St. Louis’ road OPS lagging, Bamford expects a 2-1 or 1-1 score through five innings.

Malcolm Bamford went the other way, taking Philadelphia at ‑115 because the price gap is too small for how the two pitchers are trending. Strider has delivered back-to-back average outings and carries two straight losses, so Bamford prefers to keep fading him until he proves the stuff is truly back. Ranger Suarez has thrown scoreless ball in two of his past three starts and the Phillies are 9-1 over the last ten overall. Bamford believes the only reason this isn’t ‑135 or higher is the Strider name on the ticket; he’s happy to exploit that perception gap and back a red-hot Philly lineup in front of a charged home crowd.

Malcolm Bamford’s home-run dart lands on Seiya Suzuki, riding a matchup he’s already attacking via Cubs team totals. German Marquez owns an 11.12 ERA on the road and has been tattooed for five-plus earned runs in back-to-back away outings, surrendering a 51% hard-hit rate in the process. Bamford pointed out that Suzuki homered over the weekend, is slashing .298/.364/.532 at Wrigley this year, and has a .300 ISO versus right-handers who lean heavily on sinkers—exactly Marquez’s primary pitch. With winds projected to blow out at 8–10 mph, Bamford loves Suzuki at anything north of +400 to go deep and expects early-inning fireworks before Marquez can even sniff the fifth.

Malcolm Bamford swallowed the juice and played Arizona –1.5 behind Corbin Burnes, who sports a sparkling 1.48 ERA at Chase Field and four consecutive quality starts (1.38 ERA, 0.92 WHIP in that span). Rookie Mike Burrows allowed four earned in a five-inning debut and now faces a desert lineup far more explosive than Milwaukee. The Diamondbacks have dropped five straight but average 5.2 runs per game at home; Bamford thinks the get-right spot aligns with a pitching mismatch and called –260 on the ML appropriate, making the run line the only playable angle.

Malcolm Bamford went the opposite direction, targeting a Yankees team-total over (projected 4.5) and a Yes-Run-First-Inning prop that has cashed in 9 of Tyler Anderson’s 10 starts. Anderson has surrendered 14 runs on 21 hits in his last two outings and is allowing a .314 opponent average the first time through the order. New York owns a .272 wOBA versus lefties overall but spikes to .310 on the road and has hit southpaws in six straight series. Bamford expects the Bronx lineup to punish Anderson early—he forecasted 6-1 or 7-1 type final scores—while Rodon limits Anaheim, allowing both overs and Lonte’s under to coexist.

Malcolm Bamford isolated Toronto’s lineup, betting a Blue Jays team-total under (expected 3.0) rather than laying –165 with Texas. He trusts Nathan Eovaldi—one earned run or fewer in six straight and a 33/6 K/BB over that span—to keep Toronto quiet, especially at Globe Life Park where Texas is 17-10. Bamford added that Bowden Francis’ own volatility (five of six starts failing to reach the sixth inning) could shorten the game and keep scoring chances scarce on both sides. He envisions a 2-1 or 3-1 Rangers victory with the Jays stuck on two runs or fewer.

Malcolm Bamford is passing on the bloated ‑320 money line and instead betting Chicago’s team-total over, expecting the lineup to punish German Marquez. Marquez has surrendered five or more earned runs in each of his last two road starts and now carries an 11.12 road ERA, while opponents are slugging .626 against him away from Coors. Bamford noted that the Cubs have scored six-plus runs in six of their last nine and just hung three on Monday even in a getaway-day lineup. Prospect Cade Horton has been solid but unproven, so Bamford prefers isolating the clear edge: Chicago’s sticks versus a pitcher allowing 51% hard-hit contact on the road. He projects the Cubs to clear five runs by the seventh inning.

Malcolm Bamford backed Detroit at even money. He just watched the Tigers take the series opener 3-1 and believes that result is a blueprint: both clubs are top-5 in run prevention but Detroit owns the better current offense and is 18-8 at Comerica. Flaherty’s 1.03 WHIP suggests his 4.05 ERA is a touch unlucky, while Logan Webb, though generally steady, is less dominant outside Oracle Park and is coming off a rare clunker (10 hits vs Kansas City). San Francisco’s lineup has been whiff-happy on the trip and Bamford prefers to trust Detroit’s form and home edge in a low-total game (O/U 7).

Malcolm Bamford said Cleveland is a money-line buy at +105, calling it a potential wrong-team-favored spot. He pointed to Dustin May’s 5.40 ERA in four road starts and the overall rash of injuries that has left the Dodgers’ rotation stretched thin. Meanwhile Tanner Bibee owns a 3.57 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and an even better 1.46 ERA at Progressive Field where the Guardians are 14-8. Bamford noted Los Angeles is just .500 on the road and only one game up in the NL West, whereas Cleveland is coming home hot off a 3-series trip. All of the matchup boxes—pitching form, venue, and current momentum—check toward the Guardians, so he took the plus-money.

Malcolm Bamford echoed the first-five under, trusting both starters. Yamamoto’s 1.80 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP signal immediate bounce-back potential after his lone poor outing, and Bamford likes Gunnar Hogland’s poise after watching him stifle big-league bats for two straight turns. He acknowledged Oakland’s bullpen blew a 5-0 lead in Hogland’s last start, which is why he avoids the full-game total. Bamford would play F5 under 4.5 and even sprinkled a small ‘pizza bet’ on Oakland +225, convinced Hogland can keep the Dodgers quiet early.

Malcolm Bamford said the 9.5 total in Rockies-Rangers is simply too high. He pointed out Colorado’s league-worst 2.15 runs per game away from Coors Field and a 7-4 record to the under versus left-handed pitching. Antonio Senzatela games are 6-2 to the under and the right-hander owns a 3.79 road ERA—far better than his Coors numbers—while Texas contests versus southpaws sit 21-10 to the under. Bamford added that “everything points towards the under” because the Rockies do not score, Senzatela is serviceable on the road, and Patrick Corbin-style 2-1 losses have followed Texas even after its recent offensive uptick. He projected a 5–2 or 4–2 type finish and grabbed the full-game under 9.5.

Bamford played the first-five under with a pitching-centric handicap. Ryan Weathers debuts after posting a 2.04 road ERA last season, and Jameson Taillon owns a tidy 2.50 ERA in three Wrigley starts. While both clubs trend over for the full game, Bamford trusts the starters far more than two bottom-ten bullpens and wants no part of late-inning chaos. He expects a clean 0-0 or 2-1 type score through five before relievers potentially blow things up.

Malcolm Bamford fired on Over 7.5, noting that both starters invite crooked numbers. Davis Martin has dropped five straight decisions and owns a 5-2 Yerfi record, while Nick Lodolo’s 4-4 Yerfi split and skewed game log (inflated by a rare gem in Coors) suggest early traffic again. The White Sox are 6-4-1 to the over against left-handed pitching, and Cincinnati games are 17-13 to the over overall. Bamford added that a combined 9-6 first-inning-run trend makes a small sprinkle on the Yerfi attractive. He expects shaky command from Martin, a few loud swings off Lodolo, and bullpens that won’t bail either club out.

Malcolm Bamford played the first-five under, trusting both starters to keep things quiet early despite Detroit’s recent scoring binge. Boston rookie Hunter Dobbins owns a 1.19 WHIP, and three of his four MLB outings have been quality, while Tarik Skubal is coming off 12 strikeouts in Texas and continues to look like a Cy Young candidate. Bamford pointed out that individual starting-pitcher totals for both arms trend under even as full-game totals have drifted over thanks to bullpens. He expects Dobbins’ ground-ball profile and Skubal’s swing-and-miss stuff to suppress scoring through five before offenses and pens potentially flip the script late.

Bamford leaned to the over 8.5 with rookie Will Warren facing Luis Castillo. Warren’s starts are 5-2-1 to the over, and while he looked sharp versus Oakland, Bamford wants to see it again before trusting him. Castillo is coming off his worst outing of the year against Toronto and continues to walk hitters. The Yankees are 16-16 to the over overall, but Seattle games versus right-handers are an eye-popping 23-6 to the over. With Seattle on a five-game skid and both starters carrying shaky recent form, Bamford expects runs in T-Mobile Park.

Bamford echoed Rockford’s enthusiasm for the over, stunned books hung 7.5/8.0. Eduardo Rodriguez has surrendered 21 earned runs in his last four starts (6.86 ERA, 1.67 WHIP) and owns a career 5.06 ERA at Oracle Park. Jordan Hicks sports a 5.82 ERA with no meaningful home/road split, and both pitchers’ games are 6-2 to the over. Bamford added that prized prospect Jordan Lawlar provides extra thump and speed for Arizona. All signs point to a higher-scoring afternoon by the bay.

Malcolm Bamford singled out Christian Walker as his favorite long-ball play against Michael Lorenzen in Houston. Lorenzen has coughed up seven homers in just five road starts and owns a 1.8 HR/9 away from Kauffman Stadium. Minute Maid Park’s short porch in left is tailor-made for Walker’s pull-side power—he slugged .554 with 18 of his 33 bombs last season against right-handed pitching. Walker also carries a 47% hard-hit rate and a 16° average launch angle in May, both career highs, indicating his swing is locked in. Bamford expects books to hang a juicy +350 or better and joked that Walker will “break out the double finger guns” after depositing Lorenzen’s first-pitch fastball into the Crawford Boxes. Bettors chasing a bigger payout can sprinkle on the first-home-run market, where Walker projects inside the top three for probability.

Malcolm Bamford went back to the well with San Diego –1.5 after the bullpen’s ninth-inning meltdown cost them Monday. Randy Vasquez owns a 2.30 Petco Park ERA and the Padres are 23-15 on the run line as favorites. Bamford expects the lineup to take out its frustration on Kyle Hendricks, whose 5.30 ERA masks a brutal 7.00 mark on the road. With Los Angeles already securing its one upset win in the series, he forecasted a multi-run Padres bounce-back.

Malcolm Bamford recommended betting the Astros’ team total over against Michael Lorenzen. Lorenzen carries a bloated 5.47 road ERA and has surrendered seven homers in seven away starts. Bamford emphasized that Houston’s lineup historically performs better at Minute Maid Park and that the play stands regardless of which arm—Colton Gordon, a bullpen game, or otherwise—starts for the Astros. Given Lorenzen’s gopher-ball tendencies and Houston’s hitter-friendly park factors, Bamford expects four or more early runs and a comfortable cash on an Astros TT posted around 4.5.

Malcolm Bamford preferred the Braves on the run line, citing Washington’s season-long six-game skid and Mitchell Parker’s free-fall (4, 5 and 6 earned runs his last three outings). Atlanta is 13-6 at home and Bryce Elder has covered the run line in five of seven starts as a favorite while logging six innings like clockwork. Bamford envisions a 5-2 or 6-2 Braves victory, enough to offset any total-market disagreement and still capitalize on a modest –160 moneyline that he felt was cheap.

Bamford laid the–1.5 run line behind Clay Holmes, citing six earned runs allowed over his last five outings and a 2.74 ERA. New York has won five straight while covering the run line each time, giving the club its best home start since the pennant-winning 2015 season. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has gone 16 consecutive games without eclipsing four runs and averages just 2.75 on the road. Though Bailey Falter’s lone disaster came against the Dodgers, Bamford doubts the Pirates’ punchless offense can support him. In his words, the Mets will “find a way” to win by multiple runs yet again.

Bamford grabbed Tampa Bay at +120, calling the matchup a coin-flip. Ryan Pepiot’s road ERA sits at 2.61 and he rarely implodes, whereas Chris Bassitt has surrendered 4, 3, 4, and 2 earned runs over his last four and the Blue Jays are a miserable 1-7 in his starts this season. With the Rays playing better than .500 ball away from the Trop and the Jays laying chalk solely on name recognition, Bamford believes the underdog has to be the play at anything above even money.

Malcolm Bamford said the best way to attack this game is Milwaukee on the first-five moneyline. Jose Quintana has been serviceable outside of one blow-up against the Cubs, while Guardians rookie Gavin Williams owns a 1.73 WHIP and issues far too many free passes. Cleveland is batting only .217 against left-handers, and the Brewers are 16-9 in the first five innings versus right-handed pitching. Those factors, coupled with Williams’s control problems, led Bamford to back Milwaukee early before bullpens enter the equation.

Malcolm Bamford played the game under 7.5, calling Max Fried ‘the best pitcher in baseball right now’ after surrendering just one earned run across his last 27.2 innings. Seattle counters with Bryan Woo, who owns a 1.38 ERA at T-Mobile Park and tossed seven one-run frames in his last home appearance. Bamford trusts both bullpens and notes Seattle’s offense—though improved—still ranks in the bottom half versus southpaws. With Fried working deep and Woo’s home splits elite, he envisions a 4-3 type contest and was happy to hit the under at anything 7.5 or better.

Malcolm Bamford targeted the full-game over (waiting on Wrigley wind but expecting 8.5) in Marlins-Cubs. He pointed out that Miami is 17-12 to the over versus right-handed pitching while Chicago is 18-12 in that same split. Cubs starter Ben Brown owns a bloated 7.91 ERA and 14 walks across five home starts, and Bamford doesn’t buy rookie Valente Bellozo’s profile either—too many free passes and a disastrous lone outing at Wrigley. He also flagged red-hot rookie Pete Crow-Armstrong, who has belted 10 homers since April 13, as an additional run-scoring catalyst. Given both pens’ recent 4.50+ ERAs and the likelihood of another hitter-friendly afternoon at Wrigley, Bamford expects double-digit runs and will bet anything 8.5 or lower.

Malcolm Bamford tossed out Hunter Goodman as his home-run dart, banking on Jack Leiter’s command implosion. Leiter has yielded 10 earned runs and issued 10 walks over his last two starts, pushing his season WHIP to a ghastly 1.74. Colorado has thrived on contact under its new skipper, and Goodman has immediately slotted into the clean-up spot with a 45% fly-ball rate. Bamford believes the combination of hard-throwing but erratic righty and a power-hunting middle-order bat is perfect for a long-ball shot, especially in the warm Arlington air. He suggested anything north of +600 as playable and paired the prop with his previously stated Rockies team-total over for correlated upside.

Malcolm Bamford told listeners he would only fire on Oakland if the market dealt north of +150—then immediately pounced when he saw +175. His angles: the A’s are a surprisingly sturdy 13-7 on the highway while the Dodgers, though 15-3 at home, could be flat after a taxing three-series road trip. Jeffrey Springs’ 3.26 road ERA gives Oakland a real path, and Bamford notes Springs has allowed only two earned over his last two starts after getting roughed up in early May. He is unconvinced Landon Nack’s 4.79 ERA over his last five is anything but a mirage created by a soft schedule. With Oakland’s lineup hitting for power and on-base skills at the top, Bamford believes the Athletics can hang crooked numbers early, making the fat dog tag too enticing to pass.

Malcolm Bamford laid the modest –110 with San Francisco, citing a pair of matchup trends he trusts more than the current pitcher form. First, the Diamondbacks are just 4-7 against left-handed pitching, and they see one tonight in Robbie Ray. Second, the Giants have mauled right-handed starters, going 22-8 straight-up in that split. Bamford acknowledged Brandon Pfaadt’s sharp bounce-back—six scoreless against the Dodgers—plus Ray allowing only five earned runs across his last four turns, but he views both offenses as capable of scraping a few runs. With Arizona’s lineup historically softer versus southpaws and San Francisco thriving when opponents open with a righty, he sees the market price as a discount on the better situational side and locked in the Giants moneyline before it creeps toward –120.

Malcolm Bamford laid the -1.5 run line with San Diego. He highlighted Dylan Cease’s floor—two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts—and the Padres’ dominant splits at Petco (14-4 at home, 23-14 ATS as favorites). Even though Jose Soriano sports a slick 2.42 road ERA, Los Angeles has still lost every one of his recent outings on the run line, illustrating how little margin the Angels’ offense gives him. Bamford added that the Halos have dropped Soriano’s last five starts by multiple runs and remain a bottom-five club in OPS versus right-handed pitching. With San Diego’s bats firing and a bullpen advantage, he projected a comfortable 5-2 or 6-3 final.

Malcolm Bamford laid the –140 with Houston, leaning on three data points. First, the Astros already tagged Kris Bubic for four earned in a 7-3 win on April 27, proving the matchup works for this lineup. Second, Houston’s 13-8 home record dwarfs Kansas City’s 8-11 mark on the road, a simple but telling split when the other variables feel even. Finally, Bamford trusts Framber Valdez to settle in at Minute Maid; Valdez has made only three home starts but has generally been fine in the building, while Bubic faces a park downgrade. Bamford summed it up as a near coin-flip pitcher duel that tilts to the stronger home side, so anything south of –150 is a buy.

Malcolm Bamford went the other way, grabbing the Rockies’ team-total over 3.5 instead. He cannot back Kyle Freeland, but he’s even less convinced Jack Leiter is ready—10 earned runs in Leiter’s last two outings and 10 walks over his past three point to command issues ripe for exploitation. Colorado just snapped a seven-game skid and Bamford thinks their contact-heavy lineup can scrape together four runs, especially with the wind projected to blow out at Globe Life. Because Texas ranks 25th in wRC+ versus lefties and has gone 8-3 to the under this month, he prefers isolating the vulnerable rookie on the other side rather than a full-game over.

Malcolm Bamford laid the -1.5 with Atlanta against Washington, arguing the Nationals’ bats simply can’t threaten Spencer Strider. Washington just finished a 1-5 homestand during which they never reached four runs and looked, in Bamford’s words, ‘frankly dog-shit’. Soroka has surrendered four earned runs in identical 5.1-inning efforts his last two times out, so he doesn’t trust the right-hander to keep pace. Bamford is willing to forgive Strider’s uneven game-log because the rough outings came on the road and versus the Dodgers; at Truist Park he still sports a 2.45 ERA and 13.7 K/9. With Atlanta’s defense and bullpen advantages factored in, he projected a comfortable 4–1 or 5–1 win and told listeners to grab the run-line before it drifts north of -120.

Malcolm Bamford said to back the Mets on the run line behind Kodai Senga against Pittsburgh. Senga owns a microscopic 1.16 ERA when facing sub-.500 teams and New York is 23-17 as a run-line favorite overall. The Mets have covered in four of Senga’s seven starts, including every time the opposition grades as ‘lesser’, while the Pirates’ offense has fallen below four runs in six of its past eight. Bamford added that Francisco Lindor is scorching with a .360 average over the last week, giving the lineup enough punch to create margin. Given Senga’s elite splitter and the Pirates’ 27.9% strikeout rate versus righties, he expects a multi-run cushion and said anything near even money on -1.5 is worth firing.