Bamford threw a dart at Alejandro Kirk at 100-to-1, calling the Blue Jays backstop a "little fat catcher who can hit one over the fence." Kirk’s contact skills and sneaky pop make him the kind of reserve who could enter late, park a homer, and steal voter headlines—exactly how several longshot MVPs have cashed this past decade.

Malcolm Bamford independently landed on Kyle Stowers at triple-digit odds, pointing to the Elias Diaz template—come off the bench, run into one, walk away with the trophy. Bamford reminded listeners that Stowers’ weekend three-homer explosion shows the power is real and that reserve hitters have dominated recent MVP voting. With bases-loaded heroics all it takes, Bamford felt the 100-to-1 price was "completely nutty" relative to Stowers’ path.

Malcolm Bamford said he is happily backing the American League at the pick-em price-point (-111) simply because the league has owned the midsummer classic. The AL has dropped the National League in all but one All-Star Game since 2013, winning 28 of the last 35 overall. Bamford compared it to seeing seven straight reds on a roulette wheel—he is not stepping in front of that heater until it finally cools off. With nothing separating the rosters on paper, he believes the long-term trend itself provides enough betting edge to justify taking the AL moneyline.

Malcolm Bamford backed Brent Rooker to go yard against Tanner Bibee, noting the Guardians rookie has already surrendered 11 homers in just eight road starts and a 4.84 ERA away from Cleveland. Rooker, meanwhile, remains Oakland’s premier power threat with 19 bombs and a .570 slugging percentage versus right-handed pitching. Bamford said the A’s temporary Sacramento venue has played small all month and Friday’s forecast calls for a stiff breeze blowing out to left, further boosting Rooker’s chances. Given Bibee’s 1.6 HR/9 and Rooker’s penchant for punishing belt-high fastballs, Bamford expects sportsbooks to hang a generous +350 or better that he believes should be closer to +275.

Malcolm Bamford is laying the –1.5 with Los Angeles, calling the matchup ‘like finding money in the street.’ Washington limps into Chavez Ravine on an 11-game losing streak that includes series defeats to the Marlins, Pirates and Rockies. Manager David Martinez publicly blasted his roster mid-week, a sign Bamford interprets as clubhouse turmoil. On the mound, Clayton Kershaw carries a pristine 2.16 ERA for June, while counterpart MacKenzie Gore draws a powerhouse Dodger lineup that historically mashes left-handers. Bamford projected a 7-1 final and noted the run line is still plus-money (+105), making it his preferred way to attack a game where the money-line sits near –200.

Malcolm Bamford echoed the San Diego angle, calling this ‘the perfect spot’ to fire on the Padres if you can still find –150 or better. He conceded Lorenzen has been a tick sharper of late, but pointed out that those outings came against light-hitting clubs and his road splits remain ugly (5.94 ERA away from Kauffman). Bamford has struggled to time Pivetta starts, yet noted Petco is the venue where he trusts the right-hander most. With the Royals still just 2-8 over their last 10 despite a mini two-game uptick, and San Diego already 21-12 at home, Bamford is happy to ride the Friars as a mid-range favorite.

Malcolm Bamford is zagging with the under 11, citing Zac Gallen’s bizarrely elite history in Denver—2.79 ERA and 50 Ks across seven Coors starts. He even flagged a potential strikeout prop (≈7.5) given that 7.1-per-start pace. Austin Gomber, meanwhile, tossed five scoreless against Atlanta last week and owns the platoon edge versus Arizona’s left-heavy lineup. Bamford admits betting an under in Coors is nerve-racking but sees value if books hang 11 or higher and believes Gallen’s mile-high magic plus a cooler evening forecast can keep this inside 10 runs.

Malcolm Bamford is isolating New York’s bats and playing their team-total under. He trusts Zack Wheeler to ‘lock them down’, noting the Mets were blanked again Thursday and have fallen into an offensive funk on the road. Wheeler’s home splits are even nastier than his season line, while the Mets sit bottom-10 in wRC+ as visitors. Bamford called Tylor Megill ‘reliably average’, making him reluctant to lay a full-game under because Philadelphia could score. Instead he projects ≤3 runs for New York and will attack whatever team-total books hang, ideally 3.5 or higher.

Malcolm Bamford is betting over 8.5 in Reds-Cardinals, reasoning that both starters’ split flaws add the extra runs needed. Brady Singer has been a metronome—five-to-six innings with two-to-three earned runs in five straight outings—but his road ERA (4.26) is a full run higher than at home. Andre Pallante sports nearly identical peripherals yet carries a 4.50 ERA at Busch Stadium versus 3.10 on the highway. Bamford projects each offense to scratch out three early runs, then tack on late insurance against bullpens that both rank bottom-10 in FIP over the last month (Reds 4.58, Cards 4.62). With Singer delivering only three strikeouts per outing and Pallante walking 10.4 % of batters, he expects plenty of traffic and likes anything 9 or lower, calling 5-4 a realistic final.

Malcolm Bamford recommended betting the Blue Jays team-total over rather than a traditional side or full-game total. He highlighted Davis Martin’s 4.62 road ERA and 1.40 WHIP, noting the right-hander has allowed at least one homer in five of his last six away starts. Toronto, meanwhile, is markedly better at Rogers Centre (OPS nearly 60 points higher at home) and doesn’t have to worry about Bowden Francis, who hit the IL with a shoulder impingement after surrendering 7.40 ERA in 14 starts. By stripping out the Jays’ uncertain pitching situation and focusing solely on their bats, Bamford believes a 4.5 or even 5-run team total is reachable against a pitcher giving up loud contact and struggling to miss bats (18.9 % K-rate on the road).

Bamford expects runs in Tropicana. Jack Flaherty is coming off a seven-earned-run drubbing by Cincinnati and now faces a red-hot Rays offense that just erased an 8-0 deficit versus Baltimore. On the other side, Shane Baz owns a 5.36 ERA in the dome and has struggled locating the fastball. With Tampa riding a month-long heater and Detroit’s lineup decent against right-handers, Bamford thinks bookmakers will hang an 8.0 or 8.5 and that’s not high enough – he’s playing the over.

Malcolm Bamford echoed Reichel’s angle, calling the first-five under his top pick. He praised deGrom’s continued brilliance (2.90 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) and pointed out that Burrows’ strikeout stuff keeps him competitive despite shorter outings. Offensively the clubs combine for just 6.8 runs per game and neither hits much above .230. With two struggling lineups and two in-form starters, he expects a low-scoring first half, projecting four runs or fewer before the bullpens enter.

Malcolm Bamford said he would play the full-game under in Friday’s Wrigley matinee. He trusts both starters, noting George Kirby has finally rounded into form with a 3.18 ERA in three June outings – all three finished below the total – while Matthew Boyd owns a 2.79 season ERA and an even better 2.25 mark in Chicago. Bamford added that Seattle’s offense has looked lifeless of late and that typical getaway-day bullpen shuffling plus potential Midwest wind should help keep runs down. He expects the number to open around 7.5 and wants the under anywhere seven or higher.

Malcolm Bamford went after a plus-money longball market, calling his shot on Xavier Edwards to hit a LEADOFF homer against Kyle Freeland. Bamford’s fade of Freeland is well-documented (0-8, 5.72 ERA, contact-heavy profile), and he reasoned that Edwards’ high-contact, line-drive approach can turn into cheap power at sea-level when Freeland inevitably misses arm-side. Bamford expects Edwards to see a first-pitch sinker and sit dead-red, making the leadoff HR prop a juicy sprinkle for bettors who want to maximize Colorado’s pitching woes.

Malcolm Bamford moved beyond his earlier first-five position and took Washington at +115 for the full game, trusting MacKenzie Gore to out-duel Matthew Boyd and spot the Nats’ unreliable bullpen a small cushion. Gore owns a 2.64 home ERA and is coming off back-to-back gems, while the Nationals closed last week with a mini-offensive surge that Bamford believes can continue against Boyd’s middling stuff (only one quality start all year). He admits Washington’s late-inning relief can implode but argues the plus-money compensates for that risk when the Nationals are likely leading through five.

Malcolm Bamford took the slight dog price on Philadelphia, trusting top prospect Mick Abel after his sensational debut—six scoreless frames and nine punch-outs against Pittsburgh. Bamford likes striking early with unknown arms before the league gathers film and believes Abel’s fastball/slider combo can survive Toronto’s offense for a second start. Jose Berrios is workable at Rogers Centre (numbers notably worse at home), and Bamford views the Phils as the better overall club. At -105, he’s willing to roll with the rookie.

Malcolm Bamford doubled down on the Yankees’ run line, zeroing in on Ortiz’s brutal road line—6.39 ERA and a 27/17 K-BB ratio away from Progressive Field. Ortiz is just 2-6 against the run line as an underdog. Schmidt owns a tidy 3.18 ERA at Yankee Stadium and posted a 3.14 mark in May, giving New York a decisive mound edge. Bamford acknowledged both pitchers trend over the total but trusts the Yankees’ offense and bullpen depth to clear the -1.5 spread.

Malcolm Bamford grabbed Washington first-five innings at plus money to avoid the Nats’ combustible bullpen. He trusts MacKenzie Gore’s 2.64 home ERA and back-to-back gems—including six scoreless in Seattle—far more than Matthew Boyd, whose lone quality start came against Colorado and carries scant predictive weight. With Chicago’s offense trending over the total, Bamford wants Gore on the mound while the game is still tight and believes Washington can be leading after five despite any late-inning shakiness.

Malcolm Bamford was "delighted" to see Houston sitting at -130 and immediately paired them with Miami in a two-teamer. He expected a sub--150 tag given Burrows’ 1.56 WHIP and identical four-earned-run disasters in his first two outings. Gusto will only need to cover three or four innings before Houston’s rested middle relievers take over, and Bamford notes every total trend pointed under—further evidence Burrows may not survive a second trip through a locked-in Astros order. He labeled Houston the card’s strongest straight bet and an automatic parlay leg.

Malcolm Bamford grabbed the Angels at +110 in Fenway, trusting Jose Soriano and a surging lineup headlined by a fully healthy Mike Trout. Soriano owns a 2.03 ERA in seven starts—including six scoreless at Cleveland and seven scoreless versus San Diego—while Lucas Giolito has been rocked at Fenway, surrendering 13 earned in three home appearances (7.36 ERA). Bamford noted the Halos’ streaky nature but pointed out they are currently in an upswing after a six-run first inning Monday. With Trout 5-for-10 since returning and Soriano’s ground-ball profile offsetting Boston’s pull-heavy bats, he likes L.A. to keep its mini-run alive as a short road dog.

Malcolm Bamford advised laying the run-and-a-half with Miami against Colorado. His fade centers on Kyle Freeland’s 0-8 record, 5.72 ERA and the Rockies’ 10-2 run-line deficit in his 12 starts. Colorado’s road mark sits at an abysmal 4-28, and Bamford doubts the club can win two in a row after finally reaching double-digit victories. Meanwhile Cal Quantrill posted a 3.18 ERA across five May outings and has cashed the run line in seven of 11 turns. Bamford expects Miami’s bats to give Quantrill a cushion while Freeland’s contact-heavy profile unravels again, making the Fish a strong multi-run play.

Bamford fired on the full-game over 8, citing two starters headed in opposite—but equally volatile—directions. Trevor Williams owns a 6.39 ERA and has surrendered at least three earned in every May outing, while George Kirby looked rusty in his season debut (five runs to Houston) and may need another turn to find his command. Seattle games versus right-handed pitching are 25-14-1 to the over, and the Mariners lineup has a .780 OPS at home this month. Bamford projected both pitchers exiting by the sixth, forcing two mediocre bullpens (Washington 4.57 ERA, Seattle 4.22 ERA last 14 days) to patch together nine outs. He hung a 9.1 expected run total, making any 8 or 8.5 a green-light play.

Bamford said he is ‘feeding Trevor Williams’ and singled out Cal Raleigh to go yard in the nightcap. Williams limps into Seattle with a 6.39 ERA, 1.71 HR/9 and at least one long ball allowed in six straight starts. Raleigh, who has 10 of his 12 bombs off right-handed pitching and a .587 SLG at T-Mobile Park, profiles perfectly against Williams’ 89-mph four-seamer. The switch-hitting catcher’s 45% pull rate and top-20 barrel percentage line up with a Nationals staff that ranks bottom-five in hard-hit suppression. With the marine layer expected to be thin Wednesday night and Seattle’s offense carrying a 111 wRC+ in May, Bamford likes any price of +375 or better on a Raleigh homer.

Malcolm Bamford told listeners he is sprinkling the Angels moneyline at +140 against the Yankees, even though he already bet the full-game over. Bamford’s main angle is fading Clark Schmidt’s ugly road profile—6.75 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and a 10% walk rate that turns every inning into traffic—and a New York bullpen that has thrown 110 high-leverage pitches the last two nights. He expects Yusei Kikuchi to work bulk innings behind an opener, giving Los Angeles a left-handed look that has kept the Yankee lineup near league average versus southpaws. The Halos, meanwhile, own a .760 OPS in Anaheim and will hit nine full innings as the underdog. Bamford projected a 6-5 type game and personally made the Angels +120, calling the available +140 ‘too big to pass up.’

Malcolm Bamford went the opposite route of a side and simply bet the full-game over 9. He reminded listeners that the Yankees mash left-handers (top-3 in wRC+ vs LHP) and every Kikuchi outing has finished above the total. Meanwhile, Schmidt’s 6.75 road ERA gives the Angels a clear path to four or five runs. With both starters averaging fewer than six innings, Bamford does not trust either bullpen: New York’s leverage relievers have thrown 110 pitches the past two nights, and L.A. ranks 25th in bullpen xFIP. He projected a 10.4 combined run expectation and is happy grabbing 8.5 or 9 at standard juice.

Malcolm Bamford targeted the first-five innings under once books finally post a number, projecting 4.5 as playable. He expects only 3–4 innings from Eric Lauer—who has allowed two or fewer runs in every appearance—and trusts Toronto’s top-10 bullpen to bridge the gap. On the other side, Tyler Mahle has been lights out (1.80 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, Rangers 9-2 to the under in his starts), and Texas owns a bottom-five wRC+ versus left-handed pitching. The Blue Jays are 23-17 to the under against righties, so Bamford anticipates both offenses sleepwalking through the first half of the game, calling a 2-1 type score through five.

Bamford countered with a first-five under, banking on a duel between Zack Wheeler and AJ Smith-Shawver. Wheeler has tossed 19 2/3 scoreless innings over his last three starts, sporting a 0.88 WHIP and 33% strike-out rate. Despite Smith-Shawver’s meltdown in Washington, Bamford trusts the rookie’s 2.45 FIP from his prior four outings and believes he can steady himself for one turn through a Braves lineup that remains dangerous but lukewarm. He projects no more than three combined runs through five, preferring to avoid two explosive bullpens later.

Malcolm Bamford took the full-game over 8.5, citing two combustible starters. Alcantara’s ERA is now north of 8.00, and opponents have tagged him for a 46% hard-hit rate. Kyle Hart is no safer: the left-hander has alternated blow-ups all month and carries a 1.53 WHIP. Bamford highlighted Miami’s 9-2 record to the over against southpaws and the Padres’ .781 home OPS versus right-handers. With both bullpens bottom-10 in xFIP over the past two weeks, he expects crooked numbers late and projects a combined 10.1 runs.

In contrast, Malcolm Bamford bet the full-game over 8, leaning on Lance McCullers’ tendency to get dragged into shootouts. Houston is 4-0 to the over in McCullers’ starts this year, including a wild nine-run outing against Cincinnati. While Severino has dominated on the road, Bamford trusts neither Oakland’s bullpen nor its offense to let the under survive late innings. With McCullers allowing hard contact (8.4% barrel rate) and Severino susceptible once he turns the lineup over for a third time, Bamford projects both pens getting involved before the seventh and pushing the total past eight.

Malcolm Bamford echoed Rockford’s angle but extended it to the full game, taking under 8. He highlighted that Pablo Lopez has guided the Twins to four straight wins while posting a 2.31 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Rasmussen owns a 0.250 home ERA despite other Rays starters struggling in the oversized spring-training park. Both clubs are over .500 to the under this season, and Minnesota is a ridiculous 25-14-4 to the under versus right-handed pitching. With two stingy bullpens in reserve, Bamford sees little path to nine combined runs.

Malcolm Bamford laid Milwaukee –130, citing Freddy Peralta’s home dominance. Peralta owns a microscopic 0.75 ERA at American Family Field, allowing just 16 hits over four starts while the Brewers are 4-0 in those games. Meanwhile Brayan Bello carries a 1.70 WHIP and has gone 5-2 to the over, signaling constant traffic when he’s on the mound. Boston’s injury-thinned offense has scored only four runs in its last three contests, and Milwaukee is 16-10 at home. Bamford trusts Peralta and a deeper bullpen far more than Bello, making the short moneyline price a value.

Bamford grabbed the Diamondbacks at –125, continuing his auto-fade of Pittsburgh when Paul Skenes pitches. The Pirates are just 4-7 in Skenes’ starts overall and 2-3 across his last five despite the rookie often being priced as a favorite. Arizona has won four of Zac Gallen’s last five outings—including two against the Dodgers and a pair versus the Mets—while providing far superior run support. Bamford sees no reason these clubs should be near pick-em given the Diamondbacks’ stronger lineup, better bullpen, and Gallen’s 2.79 home ERA.

Bamford laid the Dodgers moneyline at –135 despite Clayton Kershaw still ramping up. The core angle is handedness: Cleveland is 2-9 straight-up against left-handed pitching, while Los Angeles owns a 26-12 record versus right-handers like Slade Cecconi. Bamford argued those stark splits outweigh any workload concerns for Kershaw, making the short price on LA worthwhile.

Malcolm Bamford recommended betting the first-five innings under in White Sox-Mets. He highlighted Shane Smith’s 2.10 ERA in five road starts and Griffin Canning’s 2.88 season ERA. First-five unders have cashed in seven of Smith’s ten outings and eight of Canning’s ten. Bamford added that Chicago’s offense is brutal on the road, averaging only 2.8 runs per game, so the pitching should dominate the early frames.

Malcolm Bamford stamped the Marlins-Padres matchup as an "auto-over" at the current 7.5 total. He reminded listeners that Max Meyer has leaked 10 earned runs in his last two road starts and still carries a 5.16 ERA despite one bounce-back outing against the Cubs. On the other side, Stephen Kolek’s early-May darling status has vanished—eight earned runs in his last two trips to the mound and a pitch-to-contact profile that rarely misses bats. Bamford added that both lineups have quietly turned a corner: San Diego is coming off a momentum-building win in Atlanta while Miami’s offense has been “sneaky” with a league-average wRC+ over the past two weeks. With two struggling arms, two engaged offenses and Petco’s marine layer less of a factor in warmer late-May weather, Bamford projected something like 6-4 and grabbed the over before it inevitably touches 8.

Malcolm Bamford played under 7.5 in Oakland–Houston, pointing out that the Astros have faced a left-handed starter only six times all season and own a modest .228 team average against southpaws. JP Sears draws them after two rough outings (10 ER), yet held opponents to nine earned across the previous six and sports far better road splits. Hunter Brown counters with a 0.96 ERA at Minute Maid and hasn’t allowed more than three earned in any 2025 start. Both pens grade as serviceable, and Bamford expects unfamiliarity with Sears plus Brown’s home dominance to keep the scoreboard muted—something like 3-2 either way.

Malcolm Bamford hammered the full-game total of 8.5, saying the market is sleeping on how hittable both starters could be. Brady Singer owns a 4.88 ERA overall and a gaudy 6.66 ERA on the road, rarely stringing together more than three clean innings. Kansas City is expected to debut 25-year-old right-hander Luinder Avila, who struck out 10.7 per nine in AAA but paired it with a 4.4 BB/9 and a mid-4s ERA across each stop in the minors. Bamford noted that young call-ups often struggle with command in a first outing, and he does not trust Singer’s tendency to leak baserunners (1.35 WHIP). With both bullpens ranking bottom-10 in xFIP over the past two weeks, he projects something like a 6-4 finish and wants the over before it climbs to 9.

Malcolm Bamford locked in the first-five under, leaning on two starting pitchers whose profiles fit the bet. Shane Smith sports a 2.10 road ERA through five away outings and has limited opponents to two earned runs or fewer in five of his last six overall. Tyler McGill is still capped around five innings, but Citi Field is where he excels and he draws a White Sox lineup ranked bottom-five in wRC+ versus right-handers. Supporting data backs the under: Chicago is 23-14-2 first-five under against righties, while the Mets are even better at 28-10-1. Bamford expects both offenses to stay quiet early, envisioning a 1-1 or 2-0 scoreboard through five.