Malcom Bamford jumped on Miami at +123, framing it as the clear value play against a wildly inconsistent Miles Mikolas. He highlighted Mikolas’ recent ‘volatile’ run—referencing the cryptic “0-5-0-8-6” stretch he rattled off as shorthand for five shaky outings—and said the veteran is impossible to handicap right now. Cal Quantrill, by contrast, has stacked back-to-back strong starts (Milwaukee and Kansas City) and gives Miami the steadier opening five innings. Bamford does not expect the market to correct for Mikolas’ risk, so he is happy to keep firing on the plus-money Fish in both the Tuesday opener and this Wednesday matchup, convinced that winning just one of the two produces profit.

Malcom Bamford called the –135 money-line on Texas a "no-brainer." His core case centers on Nathan Eovaldi’s current heater—four straight victories in which the Rangers have throttled opponents 29-5. Eovaldi has yielded just one earned run across those four outings and three total in his last six road starts, so Bamford trusts him even away from Globe Life. Opposing rookie Jose Soriano is 1-5 with a 5.57 ERA at Angel Stadium, and Bamford noted that Los Angeles has provided little offensive support. With Texas’s lineup averaging more than seven runs during Eovaldi’s streak, he’s comfortable laying the chalk on the money-line and even grabbing the run line for plus-money exposure.

Malcom Bamford laid the short –125 with New York, continuing his stance that You Darvish is unbettable until he proves the second-half resurgence people keep predicting. Darvish’s strike-out rate has fallen to 20.7% and he owns a 1.45 WHIP over his last five turns. The Mets carry a 121 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching in July and have won seven of their last nine despite Tuesday’s slip-up. Clay Holmes has been volatile in July (4.38 ERA) but still sports a 2.98 road ERA and a 55% ground-ball rate overall. Bamford expects New York’s bats to pressure Darvish early, forcing Bob Melvin to the now-taxed Padres bullpen by the fifth. With San Diego just 4-8 in Darvish’s starts this season, he feels the Mets remain undervalued.

Malcom Bamford is back to his favorite angle—Chicago White Sox first-five innings—because Adrian Houser is on an inexplicable heater: 1.38 ERA at Guaranteed Rate Field and six straight wins. Even when Taijuan Walker stumbles (two recent ‘worse’ starts, in Bamford’s words), Philadelphia’s lineup has bailed him out with 21 runs. Bamford doubts that continues on the road and likes the Sox to be leading after five despite a shorter number than he hoped for (+122). He trusts Chicago’s improved competitiveness at home and Houser’s contact-management profile to keep Walker in chase mode early.

Malcom Bamford said he wants nothing to do with Atlanta right now and would happily take Kansas City on the money-line. Joey Wentz is making only his third Braves start after getting rocked for eight runs by Texas, and Bamford does not trust him to work deep. Although the Royals’ season-long numbers versus left-handed pitching look mediocre, Bamford pointed out they are actually profitable against southpaws and have pitched well enough to keep games close. With Atlanta’s rotation decimated by injuries and the club ‘in free-fall’ ahead of the deadline, Bamford thinks the books will still shade the Braves based on name value, leaving the Royals undervalued.

Malcom Bamford said the only bet he wants without seeing Houston’s starter is Washington. He cited the Astros’ mounting injuries, a lack of veteran leadership, and reliance on inexperienced bats. He’s comfortable rolling with Gore after the southpaw’s eight-strikeout gem versus San Diego and thinks the spot favors the underdog Nats until the Astros prove they are healthy again.

Malcom Bamford leaned to Boston around pick ’em if Bailey Ober gets the ball. Ober has a 9.00 ERA across five July starts, routinely putting Minnesota in multi-run holes. While Brayan Bello has allowed exactly three earned in each of his last two, Malcom likes that he generally keeps Boston in every game. With Minnesota’s rotation in flux following the Paddack trade, Malcom prefers the more stable side in the Sox.

Malcom Bamford grabbed Arizona at +110 largely because he wanted no part of Chris Paddack in a rushed Tigers debut. Paddack has been rocked for 5+ earned runs in two of his last three outings and given up six homers over his last four. Malcom added that a mid-week cross-country trade means a new locker room and little prep time. Conversely, Ryne Nelson has limited opponents to two earned or fewer in seven of eight, and Arizona is 7-1 straight up in that span. All signs, per Malcom, point to the Snakes being undervalued.

Malcom Bamford backed the Orioles moneyline, laying out several angles. Jose Berrios owns a 6.07 ERA across eight daytime starts and has already served up 10 homers in those outings, so Malcom expects another rough matinee. Meanwhile Dean Kremer has been far steadier at Camden Yards, posting a 2.65 ERA and 5-2 record in seven home turns. Toronto is just one game under .500 away from Rogers Centre and enters on a two-game skid, while Baltimore rides a three-game win streak. Put together, Malcom likes the Orioles to capitalize on Berrios’ daytime vulnerability and keep their run going.

Malcom Bamford took a swing at a plus-money bomb, tabbing Otto Lopez to homer off Sonny Gray. He has already faded Gray on the side—calling the Cardinals starter "rubbish"—and noted Gray’s ground-ball rate has cratered while his barrel rate has climbed above 10% over the last month. Lopez, meanwhile, owns a 44% fly-ball rate since being recalled and has quietly posted a .260 ISO against right-handers this season. With wind projected to blow out to left at 8–10 mph and St. Louis relievers ranking bottom-five in HR/9 the past week, Bamford thinks Lopez offers sneaky value to leave the park.

Malcom Bamford grabbed the Athletics at even money, arguing the books have not caught up to Oakland’s mini-surge. Luis Severino has strung together back-to-back wins over Houston and Cleveland and now faces a Seattle lineup that still looks ordinary against right-handed pitching. On the other side, the Mariners are asking Logan Gilbert— mis-labeled as Logan Evans in some outlets—to cover for a bullpen that will likely be needed after just 4-5 innings. Gilbert’s surface numbers are fine, but Bamford called them "middling across the board" and pointed out Seattle’s offense owns a sub-.690 OPS on the road in July. Oakland just swept the Astros, is riding a four-game winning streak, and has middle-order bats Zack Gelof, Tyler Soderstrom and Shea Langeliers all posting .950+ OPS over the last week. With the A’s suddenly raking and Severino finally healthy, Bamford expects them to stay hot and took the plus-price moneyline.

Malcom Bamford doubled down on the Marlins moneyline, calling +138 "one of my favourite prices on the whole card." He will fade both Sonny Gray, whose once-reliable home splits have evaporated, and a Cardinals team he said he'd bet against "whatever the opposition." Bamford is banking on Sandy Alcantara to back up last week’s seven-scoreless outing versus San Diego and trusts Miami’s recent surge—multiple Monday wins in a row have made the Fish a staple of his card. With Gray’s early-season ground-ball success gone and St. Louis bats in a funk, he projects a 5-3 Miami victory.

Bamford welcomed Kansas City to the betting card at +110 with Seth Lugo on the mound. The Braves are joining his ‘naughty-step’ list after five straight losses and a season-long bankroll drain of –$2,744 for $100 bettors. Even though Spencer Strider is showing signs of life, Atlanta has lost four of his last five starts. Lugo counter-punches with a 2.95 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and a fresh two-year extension; the Royals have won five of his last seven appearances. With Kansas City in better current form and at home, Bamford sees clear value fading Atlanta’s funk.

Malcom Bamford laid the short price on Boston –110, believing Lucas Giolito’s broader road body of work outweighs two rough showings in Philly and Wrigley. He highlighted the Red Sox’s consistent run support for Giolito, Minnesota’s 7-of-10 skid, and Chris Paddack’s 4.95 ERA (6.07 career mark versus Boston) as key edges. With the Twins offense sputtering and Buxton day-to-day, Bamford expects Boston’s high-octane bats to carry the night while Giolito settles back into his earlier form.

Bamford grabbed Cincinnati +130 against a reeling Dodgers club that has dropped 13 of its last 18. Tyler Glasnow owns a 1.00 July ERA, but Nick Lodolo is matching him pitch-for-pitch: a complete-game shutout at Washington and just two earned runs over his past three starts. The Reds’ pen backs him with a 3.00 ERA over the last 10 games, and Great American Ball Park’s swing-and-miss backdrop sets up well for Lodolo’s strikeout prop, which Bamford also plans to attack. Cincinnati is 31-22 at home and riding a four-game winning streak, so at plus money he labeled them a "too juicy" bet.

Malcom Bamford said the only real value left on Thursday’s skinny slate is the Padres moneyline at roughly +120 against St. Louis. He refuses to lay a price with Sonny Gray after the veteran was torched for eight earned runs by Arizona and, as Bamford noted earlier, his entire July game log is "in disarray." The Cardinals’ bullpen grades out league-average while San Diego’s is noticeably better when fully rested. With Yu Darvish another start removed from the IL and likely to work deeper, Bamford argued the wrong team might be favored. Given Gray’s current form, the plus-money price on San Diego is an automatic play and serves as his official underdog lock.

Malcom Bamford pounced on Milwaukee +105, refusing to step in front of either the club’s 10-game winning streak or prospect fireballer Jacob Misiorowski. The Brewers just completed a four-game sweep of the Dodgers and have out-scored L.A. 31-16 across two recent series, showing the offense is for real. Logan Gilbert looks hittable right now, allowing four earned runs in three of his last five. Bamford labeled Misiorowski a ‘ticket-cashing machine’ whose starts routinely come at dog prices and sees no reason to deviate until the market adjusts.

Malcom Bamford grabbed Houston –130, pointing out the Astros have won 12 straight Framber Valdez starts regardless of venue. While Gallen is excellent, Bamford noted Valdez’s road wobbles haven’t mattered because Houston keeps bailing him out offensively. The Astros also own this matchup, winning 11 of the last 15 against Arizona. Still salty that last night’s 4-1 first-inning score somehow died under the total, Bamford wants his money back riding the more reliable side and sees the line as a gift under –140.

Malcom Bamford plans to play the Under (expected total 8–8.5) when lines appear. Jacob deGrom has been lights-out—five wins in his last eight with quality starts in seven—and faces an Oakland lineup that ranks 25th in OPS. Probable A’s spot-starter Jack Perkins has only five MLB appearances, all in long relief, but Bamford likes his control and expects three solid innings before a capable bullpen. The bigger issue is Texas’ own lineup: a league-worst 88 wRC+ over the last month with every Statcast metric showing dark-red futility. Bamford’s most likely script is a 4-0 Rangers victory, so anything north of 7.5 is worth an Under ticket.

Malcom Bamford played Over 9.5 because neither arm inspires confidence. Kyle Hendricks’ 4.88 ERA balloons to 5.40 on the road, and Frankie Montas sits north of 5.00 with 10 earned runs allowed in his two outings prior to last week. The Angels are in one of their patented hot spells, scoring 19 runs over the weekend in Philadelphia (6.33 per game). Montas has yielded four homers over his last three, and Bamford sees both lineups doing damage early and often.

Malcom Bamford also took Toronto –120, noting the club has won 14 of its last 17 and owns a 9-3 advantage over New York in the past 12 meetings at Rogers Centre. Scherzer has three straight wins and a 2-3-2-3-2 run-by-run game log, exactly the kind of steadiness he wants to back. With the Yankees just 3-9 in their last 12 north of the border and sending an unknown rookie with recent arm issues, Bamford is happy to ride the league’s hottest team.

Malcom Bamford laid –1.5 with the Phillies because Cristopher Sanchez has turned into a metronome: three straight outings of 7 IP/1 ER and eight consecutive quality starts overall. During his last five, Philadelphia has surrendered 1-2-1-3-1 runs, so the pen is fresh. Meanwhile, Nick “Dick” Pivetta rarely survives the fourth, and Boston’s bullpen could be stretched after Walker Buehler’s short outing the night before. Philly is averaging 5.2 runs per game at home over its last seven, making a multi-run win the most logical outcome.

Malcom Bamford played the Reds at –138, noting that Burns has already cashed as a +150 and +140 dog and is 3-for-4 on quality starts. Paying sub-–140 for him is still a bargain compared with the night he closed –240 against Colorado. On the flip side, Brad Lord has 35 relief appearances but only six starts, all in April/May when Washington went 2-4 and opponents barreled him up. With the Nationals’ bats ice-cold and their bullpen about to do the heavy lifting, Bamford thinks you simply eat the short price on Cincinnati.

Malcom Bamford targeted Matt McLain for a home-run prop against Jake Irvin. Irvin has surrendered 22 long balls in 20 starts—second-most in MLB—and has been particularly homer-susceptible on the road (1.9 HR/9, .507 SLG allowed). Bamford emphasized Great American Ball Park’s league-leading 14% HR boost and pointed out that McLain’s hard-hit rate has climbed to 46% since July 1 while posting six barrels in his last nine games. With Irvin’s four-seamer sitting belt-high and McLain seeing a heavy diet of heaters (53% of pitches faced), Bamford expects at least one elevated fastball to leave the yard and will ride McLain at anything +400 or better.

Malcom Bamford played the Twins team-total under, projecting Minnesota to finish in the 3-run range at Dodger Stadium. Bamford noted the Twins’ brutal 19-31 road record and a lineup that has crashed since June—road runs per game down to 3.7, batting average south of .230, and a bottom-ten walk rate. He expects Shohei Ohtani to give Los Angeles three high-octane innings (he has sequentially ramped from one to three frames in his last two returns) before handing the ball to a rested Dodgers bullpen that owns a top-five xFIP in July. With Minnesota neither taking free passes nor manufacturing steals, Bamford sees few paths to crooked numbers and believes any TT of 4 or higher is worth an immediate under play.

Malcom Bamford grabbed Colorado at +120, trusting Austin Gomber to give the Rockies a puncher’s chance against a Cardinals rotation in shambles. St. Louis pushes yet another depth arm—Michael McGreevy—into the altitude after already owning the sixth-worst starter ERA in July. Bamford noted two of McGreevy’s first four MLB appearances ended in crooked-number shootouts, and Coors Field only magnifies contact issues. While Gomber’s 7.36 home ERA looks ugly, Bamford pointed out that nine of those runs came in a single blow-up versus Arizona; otherwise he has kept Colorado in games and the Rockies have won four of his last five. With St. Louis losers of six straight and their bullpen overworked, Bamford felt any plus-money number on Colorado was worth firing.

Bamford grabbed Chicago at +165, arguing the market underrates a suddenly scorching White Sox lineup that has hung double-digit runs in three straight. Shane Baz owns a 5.47 ERA in ten career starts at Tropicana, and Bamford doubts he can navigate a lineup that finally looks awake. Sean Burke has been ‘absolutely fine,’ and while his road ERA is higher, Bamford sees enough reliability to keep the Sox in it. Given Tampa’s middling form and the big plus-price, he labeled it a clear value play.

Bamford wants nothing to do with a side but likes Atlanta’s team-total over 4.5 (projecting the market will hang either 4.5 or 5). He sees rookie Hayden Birdsong trending down after four straight losses prior to his A’s start, and believes another cross-country flight for the Giants sets up fatigue. While Bryce Elder has been scuffling, Bamford trusts Atlanta’s lineup in the middle of a homestand to exploit Birdsong’s shallow arsenal and a taxed San Francisco bullpen.

Malcom Bamford preferred an ‘ugly’ run-line play rather than paying the –200 moneyline, projecting a 4-1 or 5-1 Mets victory. The handicap is all about Kodai Senga: one earned run over his last three starts and two or fewer in 13 of 14 overall. At Citi Field he sports a microscopic 0.96 ERA with opponents batting just .194. On the other side, Tyler Anderson owns a 5.47 road ERA and 1.44 WHIP, while the streak-prone Angels hit only .232 away from Anaheim. Bamford admitted the Mets’ bats are tepid but believes six solid innings from Senga plus a rested bullpen are enough to cover the ‑1.5 at plus money.

Malcom Bamford said the only side worth taking is Toronto at even money or better. He pointed to the Jays’ .275 team average at Rogers Centre and 20-plus runs scored over the weekend, noting they are 5-2 against New York this season with four straight wins. Bamford hammered the Yankees’ leaky bullpen and Carlos Rodon’s road woes (5.47 ERA away from the Bronx), adding that New York has lost three of Rodon’s last four starts as chalk (-142, ‑144, ‑166). He called the Yankees’ Monday win in Atlanta ‘more luck than judgment’ and trusts Kevin Gausman’s steadiness far more than the Bombers’ current form. With Toronto cruising at home and the Yankees repeatedly burning backers, Bamford is happy to fire on the Jays until the price drifts past –105.

Malcom Bamford skipped the big moneyline and attacked a Phillies team-total over, pointing to Walker Bueller’s brutal road numbers (8-plus ERA away from Fenway) and six-week skid that saw his June/July ERA balloon north of 6.00. Philadelphia’s bats have already flashed, hanging 14 combined runs on Friday and Saturday, and they stay at hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park. Bueller hasn’t toed the rubber since July 10, so rust is an added concern. Bamford trusts Zack Wheeler to keep Boston quiet (1.91 ERA, 6-1 record, .164 BAA at home) and expects the Phillies to do most of the scoring. He recommended isolating a Phils team total rather than sweating the big price tag.

Malcom Bamford preferred the full-game Reds moneyline, citing Singer’s week-to-week consistency (3, 2, 2, and 4 ER in his last four) and a Nationals club that has dropped eight of ten while scoring just 3.7 runs per game at home in July. Cincinnati had rattled off a four-game winning streak before Sunday’s tight loss and owns the deeper lineup and healthier bullpen. Bamford views the Reds as the percentage play and is comfortable laying the short road number despite Singer’s lack of true ceiling, because Washington’s offense simply has not been able to capitalize on opportunities.

Bamford laid –130 with Miami, noting the club had won four straight and Eury Perez’s last four starts—games in which the lineup supplied 36 runs of support. Perez blanked Minnesota over six innings his last time at LoanDepot Park and owns a 2.53 home ERA. While Randy Vasquez has guided San Diego to four consecutive wins, Bamford trusts Miami’s current form, especially with the Padres slashing a middling .243/.309/.382 on the road. He is comfortable up to –135.

Malcom Bamford echoed the Tigers play, stressing that the Pirates were just blitzed three straight by the White Sox and have no business laying –125. Jack Flaherty has steadied (2,2,3,3 ER last four starts) and Detroit’s lineup profiles better against Pittsburgh’s shaky bullpen. Bamford respects Skenes’ talent but points out that even elite starting pitching can’t overcome an offense that was out-scored by roughly 20 runs over the weekend. He is happy to grab anything north of even money on Detroit.

Malcom Bamford laid the –135 with Cleveland, calling Baltimore fade-worthy until Tomoyuki Sugano finds his form again. Sugano has been torched for 16 earned runs over his last three outings and has allowed at least three earned in six straight starts. Bamford likes the matchup for Tanner Bibee, who owns a 2.57 ERA and .217 BAA at home and should keep the ball in the yard against an Orioles lineup that struggles away from Camden Yards (-.080 drop in OPS on the road). Cleveland’s bats have heated up (eight runs on Sunday) and their bullpen has been markedly steadier than Baltimore’s, which has coughed up multiple late leads in July. Add in the Guardians’ strong home record and Bamford is comfortable backing them at anything better than –140.

Hunting for a plus-price bomb, Bamford turned his sights on Zack Littell, noting the Tampa right-hander is “giving up tons of homers” this season. With the series shifting to a tight, hitter-friendly park, he zeroed in on Baltimore outfielder Ramon Laureano, who has enough pull power to exploit Littell’s fly-ball tendencies. Bamford conceded it feels odd to target an Oriole for a home-run prop after fading the team in other markets, but he sees no conflict: Littell’s 1.65 HR/9 and 47% hard-hit rate present a standalone edge. Laureano’s career .468 slugging percentage versus righties with above-average four-seam usage (Littell’s primary pitch) sealed the pick. He expects a juicy price in the +500 range and asked, “Ramon, hit us a home run tomorrow, please.”

Bamford laid out a simple directive: back the Mariners at –120 or play their team-total Over because Lance McCullers Jr. is a ticking time bomb right now. McCullers owns a bloated 1.66 WHIP and a game log littered with blow-ups, making him, in Bamford’s words, “really easy to hit.” Conversely, he expects Logan Gilbert (listed by books as Logan Evans) to keep rolling at T-Mobile Park where the right-hander sports a 2.28 ERA and a 4-2 record. Seattle is chasing Houston in the division, turning this into what Bamford calls “a great spot” for the home side to chip away. He projects four or five Mariner runs as “absolutely live” and sees McCullers’ shaky command feeding extra base-runners for an already motivated lineup. All signs, to him, point toward Seattle in both the side and the offensive prop markets.

Malcom Bamford grabbed Milwaukee at +110 because, in his words, “you have to take a punt with the Brewers here.” His case rests on Freddy Peralta’s torrid stretch: the Brewers have won each of Peralta’s last six outings, including a 9-1 dismantling of the Dodgers in which he spun 6 scoreless frames, scattered five hits, and punched out seven. Peralta’s strike-out stuff has travelled, and Bamford noted Los Angeles looked clueless in that most recent matchup. On the other side sits Emmett Sheehan, freshly back from a lay-off with only three short, middling appearances on his ledger. With Milwaukee’s lineup posting a .756 OPS versus right-handed pitching since the All-Star break and Sheehan still building length, Bamford believes the modest underdog tag is mis-priced. He mentioned a first-five bet was “tempting,” but ultimately the full-game moneyline at plus money is his preferred attack angle.

Bamford could not make any case for Colorado with Antonio Senzatela’s 6.75 ERA at Coors and a history of blow-ups nearly every home turn. While Simeon Woods Richardson hasn’t worked deep, his underlying numbers are solid and the Twins’ bullpen owns one of the league’s better leverage marks. Given Colorado’s league-worst run differential and the altitude boost to Minnesota’s lineup, Bamford preferred laying 1.5 runs or targeting a Twins team-total instead of swallowing a steep moneyline.

Bamford took Atlanta at +105, fading Will Warren’s 6.75 road ERA and 1-9 personal record in ten starts. Joey Wentz will open for Atlanta, but Bamford trusts a surging Braves bullpen—strong recent ERA, FIP and BABIP numbers—to cover bulk innings. With the Yankees starter struggling outside the Bronx and colleague Lonte pointing to a Braves second-half surge, Bamford believes the matchup and price converge for a value home play. He added that an Atlanta team-total over is viable if bettors distrust Wentz’s opener role.