Malik Smith said this is a buy-low spot for Geno Smith and recommended betting Over 1.5 passing touchdowns at -108 on BetRivers. He pointed out that Dallas has been shredded through the air all year, giving up the second-most Net Air Yards per attempt (8.0) and an eye-popping 22 passing TDs against only 19 passes defended entering Week 11. The Cowboys’ secondary upgrades at the trade deadline focused on the front seven (adding Quinnen Williams), leaving the coverage unit untouched. While the Raiders rank 31st in scoring (15.4 PPG) and bottom-three in total offense, Smith has flashed ceiling games against similarly weak pass defenses—throwing three TDs versus Washington and four versus Jacksonville. Smith believes facing a Dallas unit allowing more TD throws than pass break-ups is the confidence boost the quarterback needs and expects the Raiders to lean on the pass to exploit that mismatch.