Mario Puig called it "puzzling" that Woody Marks lingers at a 229.7 ADP given Houston’s clear fourth-round investment in his pass-catching chops. Joe Mixon is battling chronic foot/ankle issues and Nick Chubb is rehabbing a broken foot; even if both suit up, Chubb would likely focus on early-down work, leaving checkdowns and screens to Marks. In full-PPR best ball, Puig sees a path for Marks to become a volume reception back and one of the slate’s best late-round sleepers.

Mario Puig pitched fifth-round pick Jordan James (229.3 ADP) as a DraftKings-only stash who could pay off if either Christian McCaffrey or Isaac Guerendo’s shaky health falters. James mirrored Bucky Irving’s Oregon production with savvy interior vision despite a 5-10, 205-pound frame and middling 4.55 speed. Because DraftKings rosters are 20 players deep, Puig feels managers can afford the bench spot to capture contingency value in Kyle Shanahan’s RB-friendly scheme.

Mario Puig acknowledged Elijah Mitchell’s extensive injury history but called durability the "only" negative at a 228.0 ADP. When healthy Mitchell looked starter-caliber in San Francisco, stacking 1,523 rushing yards, nine TDs, and zero fumbles on 365 career touches (4.7 YPC) while flashing low-4.4 speed. Kansas City is paying him slightly more than Kareem Hunt, signaling hopes Mitchell seizes Hunt’s former role and even pushes Isiah Pacheco. Puig suggested limiting exposure but loves the upside of pairing multiple Chiefs backs in DraftKings’ 20-round builds.

Mario Puig argued that drafters are too quick to bury Blake Corum (214.1 ADP) after an underwhelming debut. Rookie fourth-rounder Jarquez Hunter goes earlier even though Sean McVay prioritizes pass-pro keys where Hunter is raw. Corum’s debut was no worse than Kyren Williams’ 2022 opener, and Corum is both the better athlete and the more polished receiver. Puig expects Hunter, not Corum, to land third on the depth chart, making Corum a live late-round shot for meaningful Rams usage.

Mario Puig highlighted Darius Slayton (205.0 ADP) as the Giants’ version of Dyami Brown: a boundary burner who scares safeties but still cashes in on the occasional bomb. Puig stressed that Russell Wilson’s lone remaining superpower is deep-ball accuracy—exactly Slayton’s wheelhouse—and joked that Wilson "can hardly throw it anywhere else." Even if Jaxson Dart takes snaps, Slayton has produced with worse quarterbacks. The cheap price nets best-ball drafters intermittent 50-yard TD upside without sacrificing early capital.

Mario Puig advised scooping Jerome Ford at a 199.5 ADP before news-driven inflation hits. With Quinshon Judkins facing possible suspension and rookie Dylan Sampson profiling as a 5-foot-8, 200-pound rushing specialist, Ford is locked into Cleveland’s passing-down work and projects for 500+ snaps. Puig believes Ford could outright outproduce Sampson while costing less and providing valuable reception volume in DraftKings’ full-PPR format.

Mario Puig recommended pouncing on Dyami Brown before his 198.8 ADP rises. The Jaguars signed Brown to start opposite Brian Thomas, and Puig argued Brown could out-snap Travis Hunter even if Thomas and Hunter outproduce him on a per-route basis. Brown will run clear-out go routes that open space for teammates but will still collect long bombs and occasional boundary screens. Because drafters can grab him in Round 16 or later, Puig views Brown as one of the best late-round wide-receiver targets for roster construction and spike-week potential.

Mario Puig said Austin Ekeler is being treated like an after-thought at a 151.9 ADP on DraftKings despite remaining Washington’s clear passing-down back. Puig acknowledged two concussions in 2024 but noted that risk is already "maybe twice" baked into a 13th-round cost. In full-PPR best ball drafts, Ekeler supplies a stabilizing floor: he averaged 1.69 yards per route last season (his best mark since 2020) and, when prorated to 17 games, would have produced 1,000+ scrimmage yards split almost evenly between rushing and receiving. Puig framed Ekeler as an inexpensive “glue guy” who lets drafters chase ceiling elsewhere while still locking in weekly catches.

Mario Puig conceded Gibson is not a natural between-the-tackles processor but still labeled him a late-round target at a 216.0 ADP because his 230-pound frame and receiver background create chunk-play and pass-catching upside. Puig estimates Gibson merits at least 400 snaps annually and suggested multiple teams would inquire if New England’s crowded backfield leaves him on the trade block. Even a pure third-down role could deliver usable best-ball weeks, while any move to a more creative offense raises the ceiling significantly.

Mario Puig acknowledged Estime’s fumbling issues but argued the 5-foot-11, 227-pound back’s power (38-inch vertical, 125-inch broad, 1.58 ten-yard split) makes him Sean Payton’s logical short-yardage specialist. With J.K. Dobbins’ injury history and RJ Harvey’s lighter frame both posing durability concerns, Puig sees common scenarios where Estime becomes Denver’s volume leader in specific game scripts. That upside, baked into a 216.0 ADP, warrants late-round exposure despite the speed limitations.

Mario Puig believes new head coach Aaron Glenn will ignore last year’s politics and let performance decide the backup pecking order behind Breece Hall. Puig thinks Davis, repeatedly undervalued by the prior regime, is more likely than Braelon Allen to seize that RB2 job. If correct, drafters snatching Davis at a 215.9 ADP gain direct contingency leverage on an elite RB1 at minimal cost.

Mario Puig pushed back on the fantasy narrative that Travis Hunter will be a full-time receiver, explaining Jacksonville actually views Hunter as a two-way player who is more advanced at corner. Should Hunter’s reps swing toward defense, Washington would claim primary slot duties in an offense that already funnels limited volume to tight ends. That creates a quiet path to weekly targets at a rock-bottom 215.9 ADP, especially in three-wide sets alongside Brian Thomas and Dyami Brown.

Although MarShawn Lloyd is the favorite for RB2 duties, Mario Puig argued Wilson still matters at a 215.9 ADP. Lloyd’s durability questions and the possibility of a training-camp trade leave multiple avenues to volume for Wilson, whom Puig calls a “proven NFL-caliber pure runner” with big-play power. His one-year deal carries no cap penalty, making him an attractive acquisition target for backfield-needy teams such as Chicago, Dallas, Indianapolis or the Jets. That combination of talent and transactional flexibility justifies a sprinkle of best-ball shares.

Mario Puig noted that Buffalo would incur a larger cap hit by cutting Samuel ($12.09 M) than keeping him, evidence OC Joe Brady still envisions a role for his former Carolina chess piece. Samuel’s 2024 contribution was muted—likely due to lingering health issues—but Puig expects a healthier 2025 to unlock schemed touches in Brady’s motion-heavy offense. At a 215.7 ADP, Samuel offers late-round exposure to Josh Allen’s passing game with dual rushing-and-receiving spike potential.

Labeling Ford the “cheapest viable RB5” at his 211.3 ADP, Mario Puig projected the back to reprise his passing-down role in Cleveland. Ford handled most of those snaps the past two seasons and could flirt with 50 receptions if Joe Flacco starts a majority of games. While second-round pick Quinshon Judkins leads early-down work, Puig stressed that neither Judkins nor fourth-rounder Dylan Sampson currently threaten Ford’s third-down duties, giving drafters a low-cost PPR floor with contingent upside if injuries strike.

Mario Puig admitted he rarely drafts a third quarterback in Underdog’s 18-round format, but called Shough a worthy exception at a 209.0 ADP. The Saints need to evaluate the 26-year-old immediately and are expected to give him extensive 2025 snaps, creating job-security not typically found this late. Shough’s rushing ability can mask inefficient passing and deliver spiked fantasy totals so long as New Orleans leaves him under center, giving managers optionality in two-QB builds and leverage in three-QB structures.

At a 205.6 ADP, Mario Puig argued the market is under-pricing Lockett’s path to playing time. The Titans’ receiver depth chart is “one of the worst in the league,” and Lockett’s one-year, $4-million deal still positions him for 800-plus snaps even if he is merely average. With Treylon Burks rehabbing an October ACL tear and drawing poor reviews, Puig believes Lockett’s reliable route running can rack up usable weeks and provide exposure diversification away from his heavier Dyami Brown and Calvin Austin bags.

Mario Puig pegged Lloyd as the favorite to win Green Bay’s No. 2 job after missing most of 2024 due to injuries. Lloyd’s explosiveness, which Puig calls the “most long-range ability” in the backfield, gives him standalone best-ball value even in limited touches. If Josh Jacobs misses time, Puig sees Lloyd as an immediate fantasy starter. Emanuel Wilson is the only serious competition, but Puig believes Lloyd’s ceiling justifies the 199.0 ADP gamble.

Mario Puig highlighted offseason reports praising Okonkwo’s practice showings and tied the optimism to Tennessee’s quarterback upgrade with Cam Ward. Although Okonkwo has flashed only in spurts so far, Puig noted his athletic prospect profile suggests untapped upside that can surface with more accurate quarterback play. At a 198.4 ADP, Puig views Okonkwo as an inexpensive path to double-digit-point weeks at a fragile tight-end position in best ball builds.

Mario Puig called Slayton “a solid starting NFL receiver who never gets credit” and loves him at a 195.7 ADP. Slayton has consistently generated explosive plays on meager volume and now pairs with Russell Wilson, whose remaining strength is throwing sideline verticals—precisely the route Daniel Jones struggled with. Puig expects the quarterback change to enhance Slayton’s weekly ceiling, making him a perennial spike-week dart in best ball formats.

Mario Puig advised targeting Austin around his 194.0 ADP despite the wideout’s 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. Austin produced three games of 12.9+ half-PPR points and six games of 8.5+ last season without a full-time role. Puig believes similar floor weeks are repeatable and notes Austin could become Pittsburgh’s WR2 if the team fails to add a veteran such as Amari Cooper or Allen Lazard. Even without a three-down snap share, schemed touches and gadget usage give Austin a cheap, low-risk way to round out best-ball receiver rooms.

Mario Puig said Brown is the late-round piece he has “hammered” in Trevor Lawrence stacks at a 191.4 Underdog ADP. Puig projected Brown to log the second-most snaps among Jacksonville wideouts while carrying the highest average depth of target on the roster. Because Brown works almost exclusively as a boundary vertical receiver, Puig expects boom-or-bust weekly results that are perfect for best ball. He added that the Jaguars intend to keep Brown above 40 snaps in most games and that any price rise in camp would be justified, underscoring the current value.

Mario Puig said Jack Bech should only be drafted if he falls into the 15th round because the 146.7 ADP overestimates his 2025 role. Las Vegas already allocates heavy slot and underneath volume to Jakobi Meyers plus tight ends Brock Bowers and Michael Mayer, leaving scant middle-of-field snaps for Bech, whose skill set profiles best inside. The Raiders still need a boundary speed element opposite those tight formations, a job Puig expects to go to Tre Tucker or Dont’e Thornton. With Meyers signed through 2025 and earning nearly $15 million, Puig believes Bech’s fantasy payoff is a year away and recommends passing at current price outside deep dynasty formats.

Mario Puig cautioned that Jauan Jennings’ 61.5 ADP bakes in 2024 numbers he considers unsustainable. Jennings’ yards per route run nearly doubled year-over-year (1.29 to 2.43), his catch rate jumped 5.9 percentage points to a career high, and he drew one target every 5.8 snaps after never better than 8.3. Those gains occurred on just 653 snaps and contrast with a 4.72-second 40 and sub-30-inch vert that previously pegged him as a fringe athlete; historic comps beyond Keenan Allen or Anquan Boldin are rare. With rookie Ricky Pearsall pushing for time and Brandon Aiyuk due back from ACL, Puig expects regression toward Jennings’ earlier 1.5 YPRR baseline and advises fading unless his price drops.

Mario Puig said Courtland Sutton is merely a "fine" pick at 48.3 ADP but still a fade relative to cheaper upside options. He noted two regression flags: Bo Nix’s 29 touchdown passes could dip after a Week 18 explosion versus Chiefs backups, and new addition Evan Engram will replace Lil’Jordan Humphrey in the slot, likely inheriting 90 % of Humphrey’s 519 snaps and commanding a much higher target rate than Humphrey’s 45 looks. That squeeze makes it difficult for Sutton to repeat last year’s 24.6 % target share, capping him near his 2024 stat line while Jordan Addison (63.6), Chris Godwin (65.0) and Chris Olave (65.1) offer higher ceilings later in drafts. Puig prefers pivoting to those names unless Sutton’s price falls.

Mario Puig advised passing on Jameson Williams at his 44.1 ADP because the Lions’ passing ecosystem does not support the volume Williams needs. Amon-Ra St. Brown is an immovable target hog and Sam LaPorta projects for 100-catch upside if St. Brown ever misses time. Even those injuries would not automatically funnel work to Williams because his route tree is almost exclusively vertical whereas Jared Goff prefers underneath throws and struggles pushing the ball downfield. Puig predicted Williams will finish with fewer receptions than any receiver taken inside the top 90 picks and labeled him a classic boom-or-bust best-ball piece who is only worth drafting if he slides several rounds.

Mario Puig said Marvin Harrison should be faded at his 26.1 Underdog ADP because Arizona still treats him like a field-stretching decoy rather than a featured target. In 2024 Harrison ran an 82nd-percentile 13.1 ADOT, saw 116 targets on 817 snaps but caught only 53.4% of them because virtually every route drew safety help. The Cardinals refused to add outside speed this offseason, so three-wide sets will again be Harrison, Michael Wilson (11.2 ADOT) and Greg Dortch (4.5 ADOT) with Trey McBride (6.1 ADOT) hogging the underneath middle. Puig believes the staff would have to shave "at least two yards" off Harrison’s average depth of target to unlock a 100-catch season — something he doubts will happen with the current personnel. Unless Kyler Murray suddenly throws 30-plus touchdowns, Puig expects Harrison to underperform similarly priced receivers such as Garrett Wilson, Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams and Mike Evans and recommends drafting him only after he slips past ADP.

Puig called Woody Marks one of the most puzzling discounts in the pool at a 229.7 ADP. Houston spent a fourth-round pick specifically for his pass-catching chops, and both Joe Mixon (foot/ankle) and Nick Chubb (broken foot) enter camp less than 100%. Puig expects Chubb, if healthy, to be an early-down hammer, leaving checkdowns and screens to Marks. Even modest yardage can rack up weekly half-point bonuses in full PPR best ball, making Marks a viable RB6 whose path to targets is clearer than most RB3s.

Jordan James (229.3 ADP) is draftable in 20-round formats because Christian McCaffrey and Isaac Guerendo both have spotty health records. Puig noted James’ Oregon production mirrored Bucky Irving’s, and at 5-10, 205 with 4.55 speed he profiles as a surprisingly sturdy interior runner. The fifth-round pick is expected to make the roster and could inherit meaningful touches the first time the veterans miss a week, giving him hidden contingent value.

Puig acknowledged Elijah Mitchell’s durability woes but argued that at 228.0 ADP the only thing that matters is upside. Kansas City paid Mitchell more than Kareem Hunt, signaling they want him to be at least RB2. In his 27 career games Mitchell rushed for 1,523 yards and nine TDs (4.7 YPC) on 365 touches with zero fumbles and low-4.4 speed. Puig said a healthy Mitchell could actually be better than Isiah Pacheco; he just advises limiting exposure and embracing DraftKings’ 20-round depth to double-tap Chiefs backs if worried about injuries.

At a 214.1 ADP, Blake Corum is being drafted behind fourth-round rookie Jarquez Hunter (205.9) even though Sean McVay historically prioritizes pass-proficiency, an area where Corum outshines the raw Hunter. Puig pointed out that Corum’s disappointing rookie line was no worse than Kyren Williams’ 2022 debut, and Corum is the better athlete. With Hunter’s speed/power yet raw on third down, Puig expects Corum to slot as RB2 and possibly leapfrog Hunter once preseason snaps show the trust gap.

Mario Puig believes Darius Slayton (205.0 ADP) remains the ideal WR8 type because his vertical skill set meshes with Russell Wilson’s one remaining superpower—deep accuracy. Puig noted Wilson “can hardly throw it anywhere else,” giving Slayton weekly long-TD upside. Even if Jaxson Dart replaces Wilson, Slayton has produced with worse quarterbacks before, so the floor is intact while the ceiling grows if Wilson sticks.

Mario Puig called Jerome Ford a priority late flier at 199.5 ADP. Quinshon Judkins’ arrest makes a suspension likely, and rookie Dylan Sampson profiles as a 5-8, 200-pound early-down specialist who is poor in pass protection. Ford was already Cleveland’s preferred passing-down back; Puig now projects him for 500+ snaps and thinks there is a "strong chance" he outscores Sampson outright, meaning his price will rise once camp usage reports hit.

Mario Puig recommended scooping Dyami Brown at his 198.8 ADP because Jacksonville signed him to start opposite Brian Thomas. Puig noted Brown could easily see more snaps than Travis Hunter, yet goes multiple rounds later. While Brown will often clear out space with go routes, he will still see the occasional boundary screen and can punish single-high looks with long bombs, giving him spike-week appeal for a 16th-round or later cost that is likely to climb as drafters catch on.

Mario Puig said Austin Ekeler is being forgotten at a 151.9 DraftKings ADP (13th round) despite still owning the same pass-heavy role he handled for Washington last year. Ekeler averaged 1.69 yards per route in 2024, his best mark since 2020, and a 17-game pace of his 2024 counting stats clears 1,000 scrimmage yards split almost 50/50 rush/receiving. Two concussions are the only red flag but Puig argued that risk is already double-counted in the price, especially in full-PPR best ball where Ekeler can act as a "glue guy" RB3/FLEX who smooths weekly variance.

Mario Puig called Jaydon Blue one of the worst picks in 2025 best-ball drafts at his 150.1 ADP. Blue is 5-9/196, runs with poor anchor, fumbles, and struggles in blitz pickup, making him a long-shot to earn anything more than gadget snaps. Recent OTA reports have been underwhelming, and the Cowboys already have Javonte Williams entrenched as the starter with Miles Sanders and rookie Phil Mafah positioned ahead of Blue for early-down relief. Puig noted that even if Williams misses time, Blue could remain third on the depth chart. Because his fantasy value relies on rare deep-speed receptions rather than a projectable workload, Puig advised passing unless his price craters.

Tyjae Spears’ 124.8 ADP is too rich for Mario Puig, who praised Spears’ elite make-you-miss ability but highlighted his severe health red flags: a sub-200-pound frame, an arthritic knee with no ACL (per Ian Rapoport), and two documented concussions in 2024. Puig argued that Tennessee will always cap Spears’ workload to preserve that knee, permanently lowering his ceiling compared to sturdier backs. With 20-touch candidates like Rhamondre Stevenson (122.8) and Javonte Williams (129.6) priced in the same neighborhood, Puig urged drafters to treat Spears as a risky bench spark plug, not a core best-ball asset.

Puig warned that Brian Robinson’s 86.3 Underdog ADP bakes in more upside than the Commanders runner actually owns. Robinson is volume-dependent and struggles to create explosive plays, yet Washington imported Austin Ekeler to handle passing downs; Robinson saw just 25 targets last year and owns 80 in his career despite an efficient 7.3 yards per target. Puig added that Jeremy McNichols—another capable receiver—could leapfrog Robinson for any Ekeler spillover. With higher-upside or similar-floor backs such as Rhamondre Stevenson (122.8) and Javonte Williams (129.6) available rounds later, and splash plays from Jordan Mason (91.8), Travis Etienne (96.2) or Zach Charbonnet (115.7) at cheaper prices, Puig advised limiting exposure to Robinson unless his ADP slides significantly.

Mario Puig advised fading Kaleb Johnson at his current 68.7 Underdog ADP because Pittsburgh is expected to lean on Jaylen Warren (98.7 ADP) while Johnson comes off the bench. Puig pointed out that Johnson’s third-round draft capital is being over-weighted by drafters even though he brings little to the two areas that create fantasy points: passing-down snaps and goal-line work. At 6-1/224 with a high center of gravity, Johnson is less effective in short yardage than the 5-8/215 Warren, and he logged almost no third-down reps at Iowa—Lance Zierlein wrote he is "unlikely to be trusted with third-down protection duties." To justify this price Johnson would need to assume nearly the entire 296-touch workload Najee Harris vacated in 2024, a leap Puig considers unrealistic. Meanwhile proven starters such as D'Andre Swift (70.9), Isiah Pacheco (75.0) and Tony Pollard (81.8) are available later. Puig recommended taking only hedge-level exposure, or waiting until Johnson falls past ADP in best-ball drafts.

Mario Puig labeled Aaron Jones a fade at 83.5 ADP, noting the 30-year-old will turn 31 in December and already showed decline last season. Despite eight games of 17+ carries, Jones cleared 100 rushing yards only twice (high of 106) and matched five fumbles with just five rushing TDs. Minnesota traded for the bigger Jordan Mason, and Kevin O'Connell has publicly called the backfield a 1A/1B arrangement. Puig expects Mason to siphon the explosive early-down and short-yardage work Jones once converted into fantasy gold. Given Jones’ diminished burst and lack of anchor power, drafters would be paying seventh-round capital for a committee back who is unlikely to control goal-line touches—an approach Puig calls poor best-ball strategy.