Quoting Sports Illustrated’s betting preview, Giannotto presented Kurt Kitayama (+4500) as a mis-priced contender. Kitayama has finished inside the top-15 in four of his last five starts, a stretch that includes a 3M Open victory and a T-9 last week in Memphis. Over the past three months he ranks fourth in this field in true SG tee-to-green and sits third on Tour in birdie-or-better rate at 25.54%. Giannotto expects another low-scoring shootout at Caves Valley, a scenario that aligns perfectly with Kitayama’s recent scoring surge.

Giannotto circled Taylor Pendrith at +6600 using BetMGM analysis that dubbed Caves Valley one of the most ‘first-shot’ tracks on Tour. Pendrith’s resume this season includes top-15s at other driver-heavy venues—Memorial Park, Quail Hollow, Muirfield Village, Renaissance Club—signaling a predictable spike when length is the premium skill. With only 50 players in the field, Giannotto sees Pendrith’s elite carry distance as a differentiator that can pay off in finishing-position markets.

Giannotto called Sungjae Im (+6000) a sleeper after relaying Sportsbook Wire’s reminder that Im finished third here in 2021 at 23-under. Im booked a T-17 in Memphis despite a closing-round 71, gaining strokes on approach every day. With the playoff cut line looming, Giannotto believes Im’s proven comfort on these greens and historically reliable iron play create a strong top-10 and each-way target at a juicy number.

Referencing PGATour.com’s expert picks, Giannotto noted Cameron Young at +2500 as a mid-tier outright with ceiling. Young captured the Wyndham Championship two weeks ago and, according to PGA Tour ShotLink data, actually gained more strokes ball-striking in Memphis than he did during the win. With driver back in peak form and confidence high, Giannotto expects Young to continue gaining momentum at a venue that rewards long, aggressive play off the tee.

Giannotto pointed bettors to Patrick Cantlay at +2000, citing BetMGM data that still ranks him 10th on the PGA Tour in SG: Total — ahead of most Ryder Cup hopefuls he is competing against this week. Despite sitting 22nd in the OWGR, Cantlay’s season-long metrics remain elite and resemble his 2021 campaign when he beat Bryson DeChambeau in a playoff at this same course. Giannotto argued that the narrative of a down year is overstated and that Cantlay’s proven comfort at Caves Valley plus his balanced tee-to-green profile make the number too long.

Mark Giannotto highlighted Ludvig Aberg at +1800 after quoting Sportsbook Wire’s note that the Swede’s recent run — T-8 at the Genesis Scottish Open, T-23 at the Open Championship, and T-9 last week at the FedEx St. Jude — shows a clear upward trajectory. Giannotto emphasized that Caves Valley is playing longer this year with thicker rough, a profile that rewards Aberg’s combination of elite carry distance and above-average driving accuracy. The course fit, paired with his three straight top-25 finishes against stronger fields, makes Aberg a live outright bet and an aggressive DFS anchor.

Mark Giannotto highlighted Collin Morikawa as a prime candidate to win the 2025 Masters, pointing to Morikawa's impressive position ranking second in strokes gained tee-to-green for 2025, only behind Rory McIlroy. He noted Morikawa has quietly flown under the radar due to an 18-month winning drought, most recently missing the chance at victory at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Despite this, Morikawa has earned three top-10 finishes in just five starts this season and has proven his championship pedigree with prior victories at the PGA Championship and British Open. Giannotto believes Morikawa is ready to take the next step at Augusta National.