Passing along analysis from the CBS Sports pick column, Giannotto highlighted that the Ravens have surrendered the fifth-most passing yards per game and have inexplicably never won in Minnesota. That vulnerability lines up with Justin Jefferson, who owns a 32% target share at home and has cleared 100 yards in four straight at U.S. Bank Stadium. With Baltimore’s corners allowing 1.93 yards per route (27th), Giannotto likes Vikings +4 and is targeting Jefferson alternate yardage props, projecting 8-10 catches and 110-plus yards.

Mark Giannotto relayed that Sporting News likes Denver laying the nine on Thursday night because the Broncos’ edge duo continues to live in opposing backfields. Denver’s rush has cranked out 32 sacks (top-8 in the league) and now faces a Raiders line that has surrendered 112 points over its last three road games. Geno Smith has turned the ball over seven times during that stretch and will again be without Brock Bowers, who exploded for 127 yards and three TDs in Week 9 but missed two of those blowouts. Denver is only 1-3 ATS when favored by more than a touchdown, yet the matchup tilt and Mile-High altitude have Giannotto comfortable laying the big number.

Citing Sporting News and ESPN wagering blurbs, Giannotto hammered home that Cleveland’s pass rush, spearheaded by Myles Garrett’s 10 sacks, is a nightmare for a Jets front that has already allowed 31 sacks (fourth-most). Jim Schwartz’s unit leads the NFL in pressure rate and is comfortable in man coverage, allowing them to crank up blitz frequency. With New York averaging just 16 points per game and facing a Browns offense that travels poorly (12.5 ppg on the road), Giannotto likes the under and is grabbing the Browns +2 in what profiles as a field-position slugfest.

Summarizing CBS Sports’ breakdown, Giannotto noted this neutral-site game sets up perfectly for Taylor. Atlanta has coughed up 100+ rushing yards in seven of eight contests and ranks 29th in EPA allowed per carry. The Colts want to hide Daniel Jones after back-to-back multi-turnover outings, so expect a run-heavy plan similar to Taylor’s 24-carry, 148-yard explosion in Week 7. With the public all over Indianapolis, the spread (-5.5) is creeping up, but Giannotto still views Taylor as the path of least resistance and a core DFS play.

Giannotto relayed ESPN’s optimism that Ben Johnson’s between-the-numbers passing concepts perfectly complement Caleb Williams, whose accuracy issues have been concentrated on throws outside the numbers. Johnson’s Lions offenses routinely funneled 65% of targets to interior zones, and early returns suggest Chicago will replicate that blueprint. Facing a Dallas secondary missing All-Pro CB Jaylon Johnson, the Bears are a trendy +1 home dog, and Giannotto expects the Williams–Johnson pairing to show immediate dividends against a defense that just allowed 334 passing yards in Week 2.

Citing BetMGM, Giannotto argued that Spencer Rattler’s clean 2-game resume (0 INT, 118.1 rating, 307-yard, 3-TD outing vs San Francisco) makes New Orleans +7.5 a live bet in Seattle. The Saints have already stayed within one score of the Cardinals and 49ers, and their quick-game approach mitigates the Seahawks’ elite edge rush. With New Orleans throwing at a 66% clip on first down, Giannotto sees a pass-heavy script that supports Rattler overs and a back-door cover.

Referencing ESPN’s betting preview, Giannotto pointed out that Daniel Jones owns the NFL’s sixth-best QBR (80.9) while completing 71.4% of his passes through two weeks. Pair that efficiency with Jonathan Taylor’s 5.6 yards per rush and a Colts offense ranking third in early-down success rate, and he is comfortable laying -3.5 against a Titans team whose pass rush has generated pressure on just 22% of dropbacks. Giannotto predicts Indianapolis reaches 3-0 and keeps Jones firmly in play for over 1.5 passing TD props.

Giannotto summarized Rotowire’s bearish angle on Herbert: Denver led the league in every major pass-rush metric last year and just posted six sacks in Week 2. With LT Rashawn Slater (hamstring) ruled out, Los Angeles’ protection finally faces a front capable of exposing its depth. Rotowire projects a low-scoring slog (DEN 20-17), making Herbert unders and a Broncos +2.5 ticket attractive. Giannotto notes the Chargers have covered only once in six games as a home favorite under Jim Harbaugh when allowing four or more sacks.

Quoting BetMGM analysis, Giannotto drew attention to Philadelphia’s glaring hole opposite rookie Quinyon Mitchell at cornerback—a spot Dallas repeatedly attacked in Week 1. Sean McVay is expected to isolate Puka Nacua (and Davante Adams) on that CB2, setting up heavy target volume. The Rams rank second in pass-rate over expectation and fifth in yards per drive, while the Eagles have ceded 8.1 yards per attempt. Giannotto likes Los Angeles +3.5 and pegged Nacua as a strong anytime-TD and 80-plus receiving-yard ladder play.

Giannotto relayed Sports Illustrated’s reminder that Jake Browning went 4-3 when pressed into duty in 2023, completing 70.4% of his throws with a 98.4 passer rating and 60.1 QBR. Minnesota has yet to score a TD in the first three quarters of any game this season, and its offensive line is allowing pressure on 38% of dropbacks. With Cincinnati catching a field goal, Giannotto believes the downgrade from Joe Burrow is overstated and likes the Bengals to cover, calling Browning a sneaky prop target for over 1.5 passing TDs.

Pulling from Sporting News and Arizona Republic write-ups, Giannotto emphasized that C.J. Stroud has carved up Jacksonville for 7 TDs, 0 INTs, and a 110.1 passer rating across his first two meetings while Houston has taken three of the last four in the series. With the Texans getting a full point on the road, Giannotto sees value in backing a Houston offense that ranks top-10 in explosive-pass rate against a Jaguars secondary giving up 8.3 yards per attempt. He projects another tight AFC South game decided by a field goal or less, making Houston +1 the play.

Giannotto, citing ESPN’s early line analysis, expects Atlanta to lean even harder on Bijan Robinson after he erupted for 143 rushing yards against Minnesota. Carolina’s offensive-line injuries (Austin Corbett left knee, Robert Hunt biceps) put the Panthers in negative game scripts and shorten their drives, creating extra possessions for the Falcons. Atlanta is already top-5 in rush rate over expectation and owns six defensive sacks through two weeks, a combination Giannotto believes will give Robinson 20-plus touches and pave the way for the Falcons to cover the -5 spread.

Mark Giannotto highlighted Sports Illustrated’s wager that Green Bay is a smash spot at -8. He pointed to the Packers leading the NFL in net yards per play (+2.4) despite opening with Detroit and Washington—both top-10 DVOA defenses—while the Browns limp in with Joe Flacco directing an offense ranked 30th in EPA per drive. Giannotto noted that Cleveland’s passing attack has generated only 4.9 yards per attempt and that Kevin Stefanski’s unit has failed to top 17 points in either contest. Facing its first weak opponent of the year, Green Bay’s balanced offense and swarming pass rush are projected to turn this into a blow-out cover.

Quoting Sports Illustrated’s betting preview, Giannotto presented Kurt Kitayama (+4500) as a mis-priced contender. Kitayama has finished inside the top-15 in four of his last five starts, a stretch that includes a 3M Open victory and a T-9 last week in Memphis. Over the past three months he ranks fourth in this field in true SG tee-to-green and sits third on Tour in birdie-or-better rate at 25.54%. Giannotto expects another low-scoring shootout at Caves Valley, a scenario that aligns perfectly with Kitayama’s recent scoring surge.

Giannotto circled Taylor Pendrith at +6600 using BetMGM analysis that dubbed Caves Valley one of the most ‘first-shot’ tracks on Tour. Pendrith’s resume this season includes top-15s at other driver-heavy venues—Memorial Park, Quail Hollow, Muirfield Village, Renaissance Club—signaling a predictable spike when length is the premium skill. With only 50 players in the field, Giannotto sees Pendrith’s elite carry distance as a differentiator that can pay off in finishing-position markets.

Giannotto called Sungjae Im (+6000) a sleeper after relaying Sportsbook Wire’s reminder that Im finished third here in 2021 at 23-under. Im booked a T-17 in Memphis despite a closing-round 71, gaining strokes on approach every day. With the playoff cut line looming, Giannotto believes Im’s proven comfort on these greens and historically reliable iron play create a strong top-10 and each-way target at a juicy number.

Referencing PGATour.com’s expert picks, Giannotto noted Cameron Young at +2500 as a mid-tier outright with ceiling. Young captured the Wyndham Championship two weeks ago and, according to PGA Tour ShotLink data, actually gained more strokes ball-striking in Memphis than he did during the win. With driver back in peak form and confidence high, Giannotto expects Young to continue gaining momentum at a venue that rewards long, aggressive play off the tee.

Giannotto pointed bettors to Patrick Cantlay at +2000, citing BetMGM data that still ranks him 10th on the PGA Tour in SG: Total — ahead of most Ryder Cup hopefuls he is competing against this week. Despite sitting 22nd in the OWGR, Cantlay’s season-long metrics remain elite and resemble his 2021 campaign when he beat Bryson DeChambeau in a playoff at this same course. Giannotto argued that the narrative of a down year is overstated and that Cantlay’s proven comfort at Caves Valley plus his balanced tee-to-green profile make the number too long.

Mark Giannotto highlighted Ludvig Aberg at +1800 after quoting Sportsbook Wire’s note that the Swede’s recent run — T-8 at the Genesis Scottish Open, T-23 at the Open Championship, and T-9 last week at the FedEx St. Jude — shows a clear upward trajectory. Giannotto emphasized that Caves Valley is playing longer this year with thicker rough, a profile that rewards Aberg’s combination of elite carry distance and above-average driving accuracy. The course fit, paired with his three straight top-25 finishes against stronger fields, makes Aberg a live outright bet and an aggressive DFS anchor.

Mark Giannotto highlighted Collin Morikawa as a prime candidate to win the 2025 Masters, pointing to Morikawa's impressive position ranking second in strokes gained tee-to-green for 2025, only behind Rory McIlroy. He noted Morikawa has quietly flown under the radar due to an 18-month winning drought, most recently missing the chance at victory at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Despite this, Morikawa has earned three top-10 finishes in just five starts this season and has proven his championship pedigree with prior victories at the PGA Championship and British Open. Giannotto believes Morikawa is ready to take the next step at Augusta National.