Although he thinks only five super-stars can realistically win, Matt Every still circled Hideki Matsuyama at sub 50-1 as the lone mid-range ticket worth a sprinkle. Matsuyama’s high-launch long-iron game ranks top-10 in SG:Approach from 175-225 yards—the exact window that appears seven times a round at Quail—and his 118-mph ball speed gives him the carry distance to manage saturated fairways. Every noted Hideki has gained strokes off-the-tee in eight straight starts and owns multiple soft-course major top-5s (Erin Hills, Harding Park, Oak Hill). With the market obsessed with Scheffler, McIlroy and DeChambeau, Every believes Matsuyama offers sneaky win equity and is a live Top-10 bet.

Matt Every prefers betting Xander Schauffele at 22-1 to Justin Thomas at the same price. After following Schauffele’s featured-group coverage last week, Every was struck by how “freaking long” he is—roughly four miles per hour more ball speed than Thomas—an edge he believes grows once the rain removes rollout and forces players to attack Quail’s 470-plus-yard par-4s with mid-irons. Every also trusts Schauffele inside 8 feet, a range Tour Junkies research tagged as pivotal on Quail’s paspalum-overseed greens. Because carrying the ball past the thick rough and converting 5-15-foot par-savers will decide the championship, Every labelled Schauffele the superior outright and DFS play over Thomas.

Matt Every backed Ludvig Aberg at 20-1 in the signature-event draft, arguing that a brand-new tour stop erases most course-history edges and plays right into Aberg’s wheelhouse. Every pointed out that Aberg has spent the last two seasons winning on unfamiliar tracks all over the world, calling him "a quick study with a cheat-code driver." While Aberg’s approach numbers have been mediocre the past month, Every’s on-site intel from Pablo Creek indicates the Swede spent all last week grinding wedge distance control—exactly the 125-175 yard window Barnett highlighted earlier. With soft greens expected, Every thinks Aberg’s towering draw can attack tucked pins without fear of spin-back, projecting a high-birdie script that makes him worth an outright or first-round-leader stab.

Matt Every touted Jhonattan Vegas as a live triple-digit longshot, saying he wants a player who can ‘bully’ Craig Ranch. Every recalled a casual 6-under round he watched Vegas post here that looked like a 2-over stroll, evidence of how easily the Venezuelan can dissect this track with raw length. With the layout offering generous landing areas and the winning score likely pushing 24-under, Every believes Vegas’s tee-to-green firepower gives him a realistic chance to spike a low round streak and contend despite negligible recent form.

Matt Every cautioned bettors against jumping on Andrew Novak outright at short odds until the 29-year-old proves he can close. Every reminded listeners that Novak has already been in the final pairing four times in 2025 without sealing the deal. He focused on the RBC Heritage, noting Novak tried to hit it out of bounds three different times on the back nine, relied on lucky kicks, and then opted for a conservative 3-wood in the playoff after sending driver in regulation—signs of indecision under pressure. Every labeled the closing stretch a "total pillow fight" and believes Novak’s course-management and putting still buckle when the trophy is on the line. He suggested fading Novak in outright markets at the CJ Cup and waiting to see him finish the job before investing.

Matt Every highlights Matt Kuchar (8.5:1 Top 10 odds) as a great value at Harbour Town, given his successful course history and suitable playing style which does not overly rely on power driving. Every emphasized that precision and careful ball placement — qualities Kuchar consistently demonstrates — are more important at RBC Heritage than pure distance, making Kuchar an attractive veteran selection this week.

Matt Every suggests Ryan Gerard as an intriguing long-shot play at 120 to 1 odds for the RBC Heritage. Gerard impressed Every at San Antonio despite an imperfect finish under pressure. Every detected a confident player developing consistency and comfort on tour, making Gerard an appealing speculative play this week despite no prior course experience. Additionally, Every considers Gerard a solid value at plus 700 for a top-10 finish.

Matt Every strongly backs Daniel Berger at the RBC Heritage, highlighting Berger's well-documented affinity for Harbour Town and its precision-based layout. Berger has had notable success at this event historically, and Every emphasized Berger's excitement about returning to the event post-injury hiatus. Berger's accurate iron play, disciplined shot-making, and proven course history offer excellent betting value at current 45 to 1 odds, making him one of Every's favorite plays, which he intends to back in outright markets and top-5 finishes.

Matt Every expressed concerns about Jordan Spieth's chances at Augusta due to his recent struggles with uncomfortable tee shots. Every observed Spieth firsthand at multiple recent events and noted issues with shots requiring a right-to-left flight, particularly when trouble was left or wind came off the left side. While acknowledging Spieth's creativity and ability to recover from Augusta's forgiving wooded areas, Every still doubted Spieth's overall ability to generate consistently quality tee shots under pressure at the Masters. Every ultimately concluded Spieth likely isn't currently in winning form, suggesting his volatility makes him risky to back outright despite potentially decent results.

Matt Every recommended Maverick McNealy as a longshot pick despite recent missed cuts. Every revealed insights from McNealy's swing coach, Scott Hamilton, who reassured him that McNealy was striking the ball extremely well despite poor recent results. Hamilton's confidence was validated as McNealy rebounded to finish tied third at the Valero Texas Open right before Augusta, indicating strong underlying form. Every encouraged bettors not to be fooled by recent cuts, emphasizing McNealy's quality play to peak at the right time for a strong Masters outing.

Matt Every specifically mentioned Sepp Straka as an appealing longshot to contend at Augusta National. Every outlined Augusta's consistent demand for tee shots shaped right-to-left, and he noted Straka as a golfer whose preferred ball flight is exactly that—a draw. Although Straka's best Masters finish to date is only a tie for 16th, Every pointed out that his natural right-to-left ball striking is ideally suited for the challenges presented off the tee at Augusta. Every sees this strong course-fit as a clear indication Straka is well-positioned to outperform his odds.

Matt Every expressed concern over Wyndham Clark's fit at Augusta National because of his consistent left-to-right ball flight. Every highlighted that Augusta notably favors golfers who can comfortably shape the ball right-to-left due to various tee shots that demand that type of shot, especially when the trouble is positioned on the left or the wind is coming off the left. He explained how awkward many tee shots become for those who predominantly hit cuts. This specific mismatch between Clark's natural ball flight and Augusta's demands makes him a risky selection.

Matt Every voiced support for Chris Kirk's chances at the Valero Texas Open, primarily because Kirk's game historically aligns well with TPC San Antonio. Every elaborated that even during his own personal struggles as a pro golfer, he had success at Valero. Drawing from his experience, Every confidently stated some golfers just inherently perform well at this venue, indicating Kirk has a similar connection and comfort with TPC San Antonio that should help him overcome current form issues.

Matt Every expressed hesitation about betting on Ben Griffin at the Valero Texas Open, citing concerns over Griffin playing his seventh consecutive event. Although Every initially liked Griffin's fit for TPC San Antonio, the extended stretch of tournaments was a clear negative in his assessment, believing accumulated fatigue could significantly hamper Griffin's ability to perform at peak form.

Matt Every highlighted Sam Ryder as an intriguing pick at the 2025 Valero Texas Open due to Ryder's hot putting streak and recent elevated confidence. Every noted Ryder's form makes him feel like the type of golfer capable of taking control on Sunday and ultimately winning at TPC San Antonio. The enthusiastic endorsement referenced Ryder 'putting like a madman' recently, giving him an ideal skill set to succeed at this venue, known for rewarding consistent play on the greens.

Matt Every confidently selected Akshay Bhatia for the Valero Texas Open season-long bet. He mentioned specifically that Bhatia has recently found significant improvements with his putter, complementing his already solid ball striking. Given the combination of Bhatia's improved short-game form and defending champion status at Valero, Every sees him as well-positioned to contend strongly again.

Matt Every expressed strong enthusiasm towards betting on Alejandro Tosti at the Valero Texas Open, highlighting Tosti's unique competitive edge and potential as an emerging villain on tour. Every praised Tosti for asserting himself by instructing his caddie to confidently back his driver selections. Additionally, Every pointed to Tosti's willingness to call over an official when Min Woo Lee took too long, demonstrating his intensity and competitiveness. Every suggested that Tosti's fiery personality and exceptional talent provide a valuable betting angle, making him an exciting option for betting markets at the Valero.

Matt Every was surprised at Tom Hoge's long odds of 250-1. Despite Hoge's errant tee shot observed last week, Every believes those odds are too extreme for a player of Hoge's caliber. Every implied that Hoge's true value in this spot is significantly better than the betting line indicates, creating a potentially strong value opportunity bet.

Matt Every praised Nick Taylor this week at THE PLAYERS Championship, highlighting Taylor's ability to handle pressure well. He described Taylor as a medium-length hitter who shapes the ball with a reliable right-to-left draw, ideal for TPC Sawgrass conditions. Every specifically emphasized Taylor's clutch putting, noting exceptional performance from the key eight to ten-foot range, crucial for success on greens that players will frequently miss. Every also suggested Taylor's ability to remain in contention through the first two rounds puts him in solid position to deliver at attractive odds.

Matt Every expresses slight caution on Shane Lowry at THE PLAYERS Championship, informed by his personal conversation post-round with Lowry after recent events. Lowry explicitly mentioned struggles with driver confidence, testing multiple clubs on the range, and describing his driver as problematic. Despite Lowry's good overall results lately—7th at API and consistent recent top-20 finishes at Sawgrass—Every advises caution due to lingering driver anxieties. Every sees merit in Lowry’s form, but the specific concern around driver accuracy limits confidence in wagering considerably on him at THE PLAYERS Championship this week.

Matt Every identifies Maverick McNealy as a sleeper bet at THE PLAYERS Championship, emphasizing how McNealy’s mid-range, controlled draw-ball flight perfectly aligns with the demands of TPC Sawgrass. Given McNealy's recent solid form and exceptional iron play, Every believes he's well-suited to contend here at valuable odds. Every specifically values the combination of ball striking consistency and current momentum, making McNealy an intriguing betting target at current pricing.

Matt Every backs Si Woo Kim at THE PLAYERS Championship based on recent conversations with his caddy Manny, and first-hand observations. Despite facing adversity during last week's Arnold Palmer Invitational after an early mishap (hitting into water), Si Woo maintained a positive attitude and recovered strongly to earn a respectable 19th-place finish. Every notes Kim is now heading to TPC Sawgrass, a course he historically enjoys and has succeeded at (former champion). Given his excellent course history, steady current form, and evident comfort level and mindset, Every expresses optimism about betting on Si Woo Kim.

Matt Every strongly endorses Michael Kim as a quality play at THE PLAYERS Championship, emphasizing Kim's impressive recent form and ideal ball flight characteristics for TPC Sawgrass. Every mentions chatting with Sean Foley, Kim's coach, who has been notably enthusiastic about Kim's performance. Kim has shown consistent quality golf recently, maintaining momentum from solid finishes earlier in the season. His 75-to-1 odds provide substantial value according to Every, who views Kim as someone bettors must have exposure to this week.

Matt Every reinforced confidence in Ludvig Aberg at TPC Sawgrass, believing the golf course specifically fits his style even though the layout won't allow Aberg to unleash his driver consistently. Every emphasized Aberg's overall skill set and impressive form tee-to-green. He remarked confidently that Aberg's game matches perfectly with the precision demands Sawgrass presents, positioning him as a very attractive DFS and betting selection despite a recent off-course distraction and disappointing recent finish.

Matt Every expressed strong negativity toward Billy Horschel after a disappointing missed cut performance last week. Every is explicitly avoiding Horschel this week at THE PLAYERS Championship, saying he's 'out on Billy for a little bit' given his consistent recent struggles and failure to deliver in crucial moments. Horschel's recent poor form makes him an unattractive betting and DFS target for Every at TPC Sawgrass.