Matt Harmon noted Jaden Reed was the first name to miss his Top-15 WRs Under-25 list for the second straight offseason, signaling Reed sits right on the edge of stardom. Reception Perception charted Reed with an 80-plus percent contested-catch rate in 2023 while he remained "an awesome separator" versus man and zone and won downfield on digs, corners, and posts. Harmon dismissed last year’s spike in drops as statistical noise given Reed’s prior history. He argued the fantasy community underrates Reed as a slot-only player and still overestimates how run-heavy Green Bay will be. Harmon expects the Packers to pass more now that Jordan Love is healthy and called Reed "somebody I want to bet on," labeling him a mis-priced mid-round pick with genuine year-three breakout potential.

Matt Harmon reiterated that A.J. Brown is still the last wideout drafted from his six-man "true elite" tier, but argued the market is ignoring a very real WR1-overall ceiling. Harmon walked through the Eagles’ current on-paper profile—dominant offensive line, Saquon-powered run game, and a defense he still projects as top-five—then reminded listeners how quickly those assumptions can crumble in the NFL. If interior star Jalen Carter or Saquon Barkley misses time, Philadelphia would almost certainly skew more pass-heavy. In that contingency, Brown’s profile as a "full-field dominant receiver"—career 2.60 yards per route run and top-three Reception Perception success rates—would explode. Harmon said Brown has been "extremely efficient throughout his career" and possesses the talent to finish as the overall WR1 whenever volume spikes. Because current Round-2 ADP bakes in only his median outcome, Harmon encouraged drafters to prioritize Brown in season-long leagues and build heavy best-ball exposure to capture the contingent upside.

Matt Harmon placed A.J. Brown in his six-man "true elite" receiver tier alongside Chase, Jefferson, Lamb, Nico Collins, and Puka Nacua but pointed out Brown routinely goes the latest of the group in fantasy drafts. Harmon conceded Philadelphia’s run-heavy scheme and top-five defense can siphon second-half passing volume, yet he still urges drafters to prioritize Brown because talent ultimately wins out. Brown ranked top-five in success rate versus both man and press in 2023 and remains the clear first read whenever the Eagles do throw. Harmon believes even a modest uptick in 2025 pass rate would unleash league-winning weeks and views Brown’s Round-2 ADP as a rare chance to buy an elite profile at a discount.

Matt Harmon identified Malik Nabers as one of three young wideouts (with Drake London and Brian Thomas Jr.) most likely to leap into Tier-1 status within the next two seasons. Harmon praised Nabers’ three-level route tree, explosive playmaking, and ability to win both after the catch and in contested situations despite last year’s quarterback carousel. Reception Perception graded Nabers as a strong separator against man and zone; Harmon said only "tightening up small route details" separates him from true elite status. Given the Giants’ need for a target alpha, Harmon expects Nabers to command immediate 25-plus-percent target shares and sees WR1 overall spike-week potential as early as Year-2, making him a cornerstone in dynasty and an upside swing in 2024 redraft.

Matt Harmon called Matthew Stafford a "good quarterback two" who should be drafted aggressively in Superflex and best-ball leagues now that he has both Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. Harmon noted Stafford offers zero rushing value, so his ceiling is tied directly to pass-game efficiency and protection. In 2022 the Rams’ injury-ravaged line made Stafford "non-functional," while 2023 splits showed a massive drop-off when pressured. Left-tackle Alaric Jackson’s blood-clot issue is Harmon’s main concern, but if the unit stays healthy the passing environment could be "top-five in the league." Harmon believes Stafford’s low ADP fails to account for that upside and labeled him a priority stack partner with either Rams wideout.

Matt Harmon said Davante Adams can still post WR1 numbers even at age-31 now that he slots in as the Rams’ full-time X receiver. Reception Perception charted Adams at an 80th-percentile success rate versus man and an 89th-percentile mark versus press in 2023—down from his peak seasons but still elite territory. Harmon compared Adams’ aging curve to Dez Bryant (sudden cliff) and Keenan Allen (gradual decline) and concluded Adams looks much closer to the Allen path. Los Angeles has tried and failed to fill the true X role with Odell Beckham and Allen Robinson, so Harmon expects Sean McVay to lean heavily on Adams’ press-beating skill set while keeping Puka Nacua in a movable, designed-touch role. With Matthew Stafford healthy, Harmon projected the Rams to finish as a top-five offense if the offensive line holds up, giving Adams a realistic shot at double-digit touchdowns and weekly WR1 overall finishes in season-long and best-ball formats.

Matt Harmon argued that fantasy drafters are already bored with Puka Nacua even though the 23-year-old just vaulted into what he calls the NFL’s six-man "true elite" receiver tier. Reception Perception shows Nacua improved from zone-only assassin as a rookie to a complete receiver in Year 2, adding down-field ball-winning that he specifically told Harmon he worked on last offseason. Despite finishing top-five in targets, catches, and yards, Nacua was left off ESPN’s decision-maker top-10 WR list, which Harmon labeled "crazy." He views Nacua as a justified first-round pick in 2024 drafts and a slam-dunk cornerstone in dynasty, noting Cooper Kupp’s age makes Puka the unchallenged alpha in Sean McVay’s high-volume attack for years.

Matt Harmon said he is taking "a lot more Cedric Tillman late than Jerry Jeudy" because the market underrates how close their roles were when both were healthy last year. With the 2025 Browns offense projected to struggle, Harmon prefers the virtually free Tillman over Jeudy, whose Round-9 ADP assumes a target monopoly that simply did not exist. Tillman’s 2.07 yards per route run versus man in 2023 quietly bested Jeudy’s 1.84, and the second-year wideout profiles as Kevin Stefanski’s down-field in-breaker specialist—routes Jeudy also runs, but with less physicality. Harmon views Tillman as a high-leverage final-round flier in best ball and an ideal stash in deeper season-long leagues.

Matt Harmon called Sam Darnold an "imperfect" quarterback and remains skeptical about what Darnold will look like outside Kevin O’Connell’s cushy Vikings scheme, especially in Seattle’s bad-weather games. Even so, Harmon highlighted that Darnold’s 2023 heat map showed he excelled attacking deeper middle-of-field routes—exactly where Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins. With Cooper Kupp’s health a growing question and DK Metcalf in a contract year, Harmon believes JSN is the one reliable pass-catcher Seattle can funnel volume to. Reception Perception charted him as a better man-coverage beater than the public realizes. Harmon projects a jump to 22-25% target share and sees JSN as a priority Round-7 pick in best ball, labeling him "rain-proof PPR glue" even if Darnold is only average.

Matt Harmon placed Drake London third on his QB-worry list yet still sounded bullish long-term. He compared rookie Michael Penix Jr. to a "Gen-Z Jameis Winston" because Penix has a cannon and the aggression to feed London deep but reads defenses better and will check down sooner, reducing the "mind-numbing" interceptions Winston was famous for. Harmon said that combo meshes perfectly with London’s contested-catch and intermediate dig/curl mastery, giving London weekly top-10 upside. The catch: Penix must improve rhythm passing and ball placement to turn London from boom-bust spike-week play into a dependable WR2 floor. Harmon is treating London as a high-variance swing in 2024 redraft and an elite buy in dynasty.

Matt Harmon said he keeps drafting Chris Olave because the market has fully baked in the quarterback uncertainty. Harmon noted Derek Carr and Olave "never had good chemistry," yet Olave still ranked near the league lead in most efficiency metrics (yards per route run, first–read target rate). The Saints brought in rookie Tyler Shough, and Harmon admitted nobody knows what Shough will be as a pro, but that unknown is already depressing Olave’s ADP into the late third/early fourth round. Harmon views that price as pure upside: if Shough is even league-average or if Carr rebounds, Olave’s 30-plus-percent target share and elite separation skills give him an easy path to WR1 overall weeks in both season-long and best-ball formats.

While praising the talent, Matt Harmon also pegged Josh Downs as the wideout most threatened by quarterback volatility. Harmon pointed to the murkiness surrounding Indianapolis’ starter—whether it ends up being Anthony Richardson returning from injury or a veteran such as Daniel Jones—as a major red flag. Both passers carry accuracy and consistency concerns, and simply not knowing who will be under center makes projecting Downs’ week-to-week volume tough. Harmon cautioned that this uncertainty could suppress Downs’ 2024 fantasy ceiling even if the player himself is ready to ascend.

Matt Harmon said Josh Downs is "probably the most underrated receiver in the NFL right now" and likened him to Tyler Lockett rather than a run-of-the-mill slot merchant. Reception Perception shows Downs beats press coverage and wins at all three levels, proving he can play outside and stretch the field. Because fantasy drafters still view him as a low-ceiling slot guy, Harmon believes Downs is mis-priced across dynasty, season-long, and best-ball formats. If Indianapolis expands his route tree in Year-2, Harmon sees realistic WR2 upside by 2025 and advised scooping him up while he is cheap.

Matt Harmon cautioned that Quentin Johnston’s fantasy ceiling remains limited even if the Chargers finally deploy him correctly. Last year’s regime "set him up to fail" by asking him to replace Mike Williams as a boundary X—something his TCU film never supported. The new staff should move Johnston off the line and feed him schemed touches where, according to Harmon, he was "quietly pretty good" in 2023. However, once rookie Trey Harris claims the X assignment and Ladd McConkey acts as Justin Herbert’s primary separator, Johnston’s overall target count is likely to shrink in order to reduce his volatility. Harmon advised treating Johnston as a late-round, best-ball-only dart rather than a lineup mainstay in season-long leagues.

Matt Harmon flagged Emeka Egbuka as one of his favorite camp storylines because dynasty ADP assumes the rookie will be buried behind Mike Evans and Chris Godwin all season. Harmon wants to track Godwin’s post-injury practice load and Evans’ usage, noting last year’s 1,000-yard milestone was "heavily manufactured" down the stretch and age cliffs come fast for veteran wideouts. Even with coordinator Liam Cohen gone, Harmon still projects Tampa Bay as a fringe top-10 offense, giving Egbuka a viable path to Year-1 relevance if either starter slips or the team simply diversifies targets sooner than expected. He sees a realistic scenario where, eight weeks into 2025, fantasy managers realize the changing of the guard already happened and Egbuka is a weekly starter. Harmon is scooping him up at a discount in both best-ball and redraft formats before positive camp reports nuke the value.

Matt Harmon said Trey Harris now has a "clear runway" to start in Week 1 after Mike Williams’ surprise retirement vacated the Chargers’ perimeter X spot. Reception Perception graded Harris as "pretty good" versus press at Ole Miss, where he was asked to run a stripped-down but highly effective route tree that showcased his size, contested-catch strength and ability to beat man coverage. Harmon believes the original front-office plan was to let Williams handle the first month before giving the rookie a post-bye "rookie bump," but that timeline is gone—Los Angeles needs Harris to win outside immediately. With Ladd McConkey occupying the No. 1 target earner role and Quentin Johnston sliding off the line for run-after-catch work, Harris should inherit most of Williams’ end-zone and boundary targets in a Justin Herbert offense Harmon still expects to be good even if Jim Harbaugh leans on the run. He recommended drafting Harris in the final rounds of best-ball and season-long leagues as a cheap double-digit-TD upside play.

Matt Harmon still believes Brandon Aiyuk is the best pure receiver on San Francisco’s roster—Reception Perception had him "graduating" toward the elite tier in 2023—but warned drafters that a "devastating" late-season injury and an unresolved extension make him one of the trickiest early-round bets this summer. Harmon emphasised that few players return to peak explosion immediately after major rehab and noted that Aiyuk’s route-running precision loses value if he’s even "20 % short of top speed." With Jauan Jennings pushing for a pay raise and first-round rookie Ricky Pearsall waiting in the wings, Harmon fears the 49ers could slow-roll Aiyuk’s return and spread targets more evenly than managers expect. He advised discounting Aiyuk in redraft and treating him as a risky WR2 until we see full participation in padded practices.

Matt Harmon called Jauan Jennings an "attractive draft target" if the 49ers get his contract situation settled before Week 1. Jennings earned only $7.5 million this season despite what Harmon labeled a "really, really solid" 2023 in which he flashed true No. 2/3 receiver chops. Harmon doubts Jennings will ever become a true alpha but noted that his reliability on dig, curl and crossing routes meshes perfectly with Brock Purdy’s timing-based attack. Harmon expects Jennings’ fantasy stock to jump once he’s back in camp, especially with Brandon Aiyuk rehabbing and rookie Ricky Pearsall still on PUP. For now, Harmon is stashing Jennings in the last few rounds of best-ball drafts, betting that an extension—or even a trade to a WR-needy team—spikes his weekly floor.

Matt Harmon said Ricky Pearsall is the 49ers wideout he wants to draft most aggressively once the rookie is taken off the preseason PUP list. Harmon’s Reception Perception charting showed Pearsall "awesome against man coverage" down the stretch of his college career, and he believes that trait translates into a "singular, unique" role in Kyle Shanahan’s offense that no other healthy receiver currently fills. With Brandon Aiyuk still rehabbing a major injury and Jauan Jennings embroiled in a contract standoff, Pearsall could open camp as the primary Z/slot weapon. Harmon thinks the uncertainty has pushed Pearsall’s ADP far too low for both best-ball and season-long formats, calling him a "late-round lottery ticket" who could return starting-caliber production by mid-season.

Matt Harmon highlighted rookie Jalen Royals as a late-round lottery ticket while Rashee Rice serves his suspension. Royals shares Rice’s size and identical 10-yard split, and Harmon’s Reception Perception profile showed the former Utah State standout excelling on curls and in-breaking routes—the same concepts Andy Reid feeds Rice. Draft capital is a hurdle (Day-3 pick), yet Harmon believes Royals’ run-after-catch juice and ability to rip crossers give him a real chance to steal snaps in August. He is already adding Royals in best ball drafts and will monitor his camp usage for an early-season waiver claim in managed leagues.

Matt Harmon warned that Rashee Rice’s combination of a looming 4-to-6-game suspension and last year’s knee surgery creates far more downside than drafters realize. Harmon said Rice wins by bullying defenders after the catch and exploding through break points—traits that can disappear if a receiver is even 20 % short of top speed. He compared Rice’s predicament to recent running backs like Breece Hall, Javonte Williams and J.K. Dobbins, reminding listeners that very few regained their pre-injury juice in Year 1. Reception Perception charting already pegs Rice as a hyper-specialist who rarely beats press on the perimeter; losing any burst opens the door for Xavier Worthy or another dynamic option to leapfrog him permanently. Harmon advised treating Rice as a risky dynasty hold and downgrading him in season-long ranks even after he returns.

Matt Harmon cautioned drafters on Rashee Rice, noting that the expected four-to-six-game suspension plus his offseason knee recovery will delay his 2024 impact. Reception Perception grades Rice as an elite zone-beater and high-end target earner, but Harmon stressed his limitations: he rarely lines up outside, struggles against press-man, and doesn’t threaten vertically. That specialized underneath role means Rice’s fantasy value relies on heavy volume—volume he cannot collect while suspended. Harmon recommends tempering early-season expectations and pricing in the opportunity cost of a bench stash.

Matt Harmon viewed Xavier Worthy as a borderline Round-2 talent but understands why Kansas City spent a first-rounder: they needed a true vertical threat. Reception Perception charting shows Worthy consistently wins on nines, posts, and corners while still separating on quick outbreaking routes from condensed formations. Harmon noted several near-miss explosives with Patrick Mahomes that would have changed public perception if Worthy had kept a toe in bounds or Mahomes had been a touch more accurate. With Rashee Rice likely facing a four-to-six-game suspension, Harmon believes Worthy will inherit additional lay-up targets early while still stretching the field, giving him a clearly defined, fantasy-useful role independent of Rice’s return.

Matt Harmon said Garrett Wilson was pigeon-holed last year, running a nine, a slant, or a screen on more than half of his charted routes and almost never being asked to work the deep middle. Those boundary-only assignments limited his ceiling and exposed him to Aaron Rodgers’ inaccurate throws in that area. Harmon thinks new offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand will import Detroit’s condensed, motion-heavy, multi-formational concepts, allowing Wilson to move around the formation and attack every sector of the field rather than staying tethered to the line of scrimmage. Harmon expects a higher target ceiling and more efficient production, making Wilson a strong season-long buy at current draft cost.