Matt Perraul said the best bet on Sunday is the under 8.5 runs in Braves-Red Sox. He pointed to Boston’s frigid bats—just 15 total runs over their last seven contests (1,1,2,1,5,5,0)—and Garrett Crochet’s dominance on the road (1.76 ERA, .179 BAA, eight earned runs in 41 innings). Crochet has allowed two earned or fewer in each of his past five starts, yet Boston has lost four of them because the lineup never gives him support. On the Atlanta side, Bryce Elder has surrendered 1, 3, 2, 3 and 1 earned runs across his last five appearances, and only two of his nine 2024 outings have cleared an 8.5 total. With both starters capable of working deep and neither offense in peak form, Perraul is laying 1.2 units at –122 juice on the under.

Matt Perraul said the best bet on Sunday is the under 8.5 runs in Braves-Red Sox. He pointed to Boston’s frigid bats—just 15 total runs over their last seven contests (1,1,2,1,5,5,0)—and Garrett Crochet’s dominance on the road (1.76 ERA, .179 BAA, eight earned runs in 41 innings). Crochet has allowed two earned or fewer in each of his past five starts, yet Boston has lost four of them because the lineup never gives him support. On the Atlanta side, Bryce Elder has surrendered 1, 3, 2, 3 and 1 earned runs across his last five appearances, and only two of his nine 2024 outings have cleared an 8.5 total. With both starters capable of working deep and neither offense in peak form, Perraul is laying 1.2 units at –122 juice on the under.