Matt Perrault is bucking conventional wisdom and intends to fade the Dodgers in their first road game of the season. While he didn’t provide extensive matchup details, he stressed this as a bold decision, considering Dodgers' reputation and expectations, signaling caution for bettors typically inclined toward LA in this scenario.

At high-value odds (+360), Matt Perrault endorses Dustin Johnson as an ideal bet to finish in the top 20 at The Masters, emphasizing he still holds the record for the lowest four-round score at Augusta (-20 in 2020). Perrault argues that sportsbooks underestimated the LIV Tour golfers' odds due to lack of visibility. Despite recent struggles, Johnson's historic success and experience at Augusta National create significant betting value. Perrault strongly advises bettors to ensure they wager without dead heat rules and views Johnson as a viable longshot contender to win outright at around 100 to 1.

Matt Perrault points out Sergio Garcia as a significant betting value to place in the top 20 at The Masters. Garcia has previously won at Augusta and arrives in strong recent form, recently winning the LIV Hong Kong event. Perrault argues Garcia's price (+175) is inflated primarily because bettors have overlooked LIV Tour golfers who are out of regular public view. Garcia's strong driving accuracy, past Masters victory, and current form make him a highly appealing top-20 wager without dead heat rules. Additionally, Perrault recommends sprinkling Garcia outright at 80 to 1 odds to win the tournament given his substantial upside.

Matt Perrault strongly advises betting Brooks Koepka over Viktor Hovland in a four-round head-to-head matchup at The Masters. Koepka thrives in major championships and historically performs exceptionally well at Augusta National. Highlighting that Koepka is being undervalued in current markets due to playing on the LIV Tour, Perrault identifies the sportsbooks' pricing errors on LIV Tour players as a key reason for the value. Given Koepka's strong track record, current form, and focus on majors, this matchup at a favorable price of -130 is highly appealing.

Matt Perrault recommends a money line bet on the Philadelphia Phillies due to substantial pitching concerns for the Atlanta Braves. Atlanta's starter, Grant Holmes, struggled significantly in previous outings with just one inning pitched against San Diego and four innings with four walks and four earned runs allowed against the Dodgers. Perrault highlights Holmes' poor performance last season at Triple-A in Las Vegas as another warning sign, paired with injuries in the Braves' rotation significantly weakening their pitching depth. Getting Philadelphia at plus money (+105) in this scenario offers excellent value alongside Braves internal pitching turmoil.

Matt Perrault is taking the Red Sox run line (-1.5) at plus 120 odds, backing Garrett Crochet in his home debut at Fenway Park. Crochet has had two solid starts this season, leading to a 3-0 win over the Orioles and a 5-2 win over the Rangers, going deep into games and limiting earned runs effectively. Perrault strongly favors this spot as Toronto is starting Easton Lucas, a relatively inexperienced 28-year-old lefty who, due to Fenway's features and right-handed Boston hitters like a red-hot Alex Bregman, might struggle. He expects Boston to bounce back after yesterday's loss, taking advantage of Crochet's strong form and a good matchup against Lucas.

Matt Perrault recommended taking the over 4.5 strikeouts for Cade Povich against the Kansas City Royals. He highlighted that Povich delivered an impressive 8 strikeouts in just 4.1 innings against the Red Sox last Monday, demonstrating high swing-and-miss ability. Despite limited innings pitched, Povich comfortably surpassed his previous strikeout prop. Perrault also emphasized the Royals high strikeout tendencies, noting they currently rank 22nd against the K-props for starting pitchers. Given these factors, Perrault believes this sets up well for another strong strikeout outing for Povich and endorsed following the BettingPros prop bet cheat sheet, which also rates this play highly.

Matt Perrault is confidently backing the Phillies at plus 120 moneyline against the undefeated Dodgers. He highlights Philadelphia's strong 5-1 start to the season, including a perfect 3-0 at home, after defeating the Rockies 3-1 in their most recent game. Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo was impressive in his first outing and being a lefty could pose matchup issues for Los Angeles. The Dodgers, despite their historic 8-0 start coming off a championship, just lost Freddie Freeman to an ankle injury after slipping in the shower, which may negatively impact their potent lineup. Perrault emphasizes the rarity of getting significant plus-money value on the Phillies at home, making this wager too good to pass up, especially given Philadelphia's offensive success thus far.

Matt Perrault believes former Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts is very likely to record at least one hit today against the Cubs. Perrault recalled watching the Cubs on his birthday last year and remains high on Bogaerts' hitting ability. He's confident that coming off an offseason move to San Diego, Bogaerts will demonstrate consistency and deliver against Cubs pitching in today's matchup.

Matt Perrault is confident Rafael Devers will record a hit in the Red Sox home opener at Fenway Park. Devers went 0-for-4 in his last outing, but he had two hits the game before and should benefit from being back at Fenway with the home crowd support. Perrault specifically highlighted that Devers will likely get a standing ovation from the home fans in his first at-bat, creating a strong environment for the star to deliver at least one hit against the Cardinals.

Matt Perrault recommended backing Nick Lodolo and the Reds on the money line against the Brewers. He noted Lodolo had a solid first outing, going 6 innings allowing just 2 earned runs and 5 hits. Meanwhile, Brewers pitcher Nestor Cortez struggled mightily in his opener, getting shelled for 8 earned runs and 5 home runs in just two innings vs the Yankees. Perrault anticipates Cortez may again struggle, providing an ideal spot for Cincinnati's offense to wake up after back-to-back shutouts. He considers Lodolo a pitcher he trusted repeatedly last season and expects that to continue in a pitching matchup with a clear advantage for the Reds.

Matt Perrault sees Anthony Santander as a strong value play to exceed 1.5 total bases against Washington Nationals pitching. Despite Santander only clearing this total once in four games this season, Perrault pointed out that the Nationals pitching staff, specifically Michael Soroka, represents a favorable matchup and an opportunity for success. Additionally, the prop bet cheat sheet from BettingPros Premium supports this play, giving added confidence to the bet at plus-money odds (+105).