Matt Vincenzi recommended backing Byeong Hun An at +500 as the Top Asian finisher at Augusta. An is coming into Augusta with strong recent form, posting top-20 finishes twice in his last three starts. His length off the tee and exceptional touch around tight greens are a perfect fit for the Masters' challenging short-game test. After showing signs of Augusta comfort with a T16 in 2024, combined with the questionable current form of fellow Asian golfers Hideki Matsuyama, Tom Kim, and Sungjae Im, Vincenzi finds value in the +500 odds.

Matt Vincenzi recommended betting Dustin Johnson (+10000) at Augusta, noting Johnson is on a hot streak after early-season struggles. A final-round 64 in Hong Kong, followed by strong play in Miami and Singapore, underscores Johnson's recent return to form. The former Masters champion expressed confident comparison to his victorious 2020 performance. Given his top-10 strokes-gained performance over the field at Augusta historically, Vincenzi advises considering Johnson as a compelling and undervalued Masters threat.

Matt Vincenzi sees Sergio Garcia as offering excellent betting value for Top 20 (+200) and Top Continental European (+900) wagers at the Masters. Highlighting Garcia's outstanding ball-striking form in 2025, Vincenzi underlined his extremely high floor, noting recent elite performances (win, runner-up, third place finishes in recent LIV events). Vincenzi pointed out Garcia's main continental European competition—Ludvig Aberg, Viktor Hovland, Jon Rahm—as carrying significant question marks into the Masters, giving Garcia an attractive opportunity to secure these prop markets.

Matt Vincenzi sees Justin Rose (+11000) as an intriguing long-shot pick with a chance to compete at the Masters. Rose's approach to major-focused preparation, combined with a strong record at Augusta (including a runner-up playoff loss in 2017 and five other top-10 finishes), suggests he could contend again. This season he has demonstrated good form with top-ten finishes at tough, prestigious venues like Pebble Beach and Bay Hill. Vincenzi argues Rose is exactly the type of seasoned veteran who could contend late if top favorites stumble, setting him up for a possible surprise Masters victory.

Matt Vincenzi recommended Sergio Garcia as a potential dark-horse winner at +8000 odds for Augusta. Garcia, at age 46, is experiencing one of the best stretches of his career since moving to LIV Golf, recently winning LIV Hong Kong and gaining significant strokes with elite-level ball striking. Garcia has notably improved his putting and continues to hit the ball long and straight, reminiscent of his prime. Garcia's positive mindset, driven by mentoring younger players, appears to have bolstered his performance. He finished third overall in individual standings on LIV in 2024, behind only Rahm and Niemann, and Vincenzi believes Garcia can leverage his previous Masters triumph in 2017 and considerable Augusta experience into another strong showing or even a victory that would place him among elite Spanish multi-Masters winners.

Matt Vincenzi backed Joaquin Niemann at +4000 odds, arguing his considerable recent success on LIV positions him well for Augusta. Despite limited major success historically, Niemann has had solid performances at Augusta (T16 in 2023, T22 in 2024). He identified Augusta as his best chance to win a major due to a smaller field and prior course experience. Niemann's substantial driving distance (among the longest on tour) gives him an edge, especially if conditions soften, offsetting his low ball flight that's typically a disadvantage on firmer conditions. His six worldwide victories since 2024 trails only Scottie Scheffler, indicating he's primed for a major championship breakthrough soon.

Matt Vincenzi recommended Justin Thomas as a valuable bet at +2500 for the Masters. Thomas, who previously ended a long winless streak by winning the 2022 PGA Championship, appears to have regained confidence and form. This season he's posted top-10 finishes in four of eight events, including a close call runner-up at the Valspar Championship. Vincenzi emphasized Thomas’s significant improvement on the greens, gaining strokes putting in six of eight starts in 2025, notably at the Valspar with 6.72 strokes gained. Thomas expressed confidence in his game heading into Augusta, believing he's very close to capturing another major title.

Matt Vincenzi highlighted Collin Morikawa as a smart betting play at +1800 odds for the 2025 Masters. Morikawa leads the field in strokes-gained approach over his past 24 rounds, a critical metric for Augusta because of the small landing areas and challenging greens. His consistency is notable with no finishes worse than T17 in five starts this season, including two runner-up performances at the Sentry and Arnold Palmer Invitational. Augusta National has also been favorable to Morikawa historically—he's secured three consecutive top-10 finishes, including a third-place finish in 2024. Vincenzi believes Morikawa represents the PGA Tour's best likelihood to capture a green jacket this season and move one step closer to a career grand slam.

Matt Vincenzi targets Mac Meissner as a longshot (+12000) noting his deep Texas roots, collegiate record-setting performance at SMU, and current residency in Dallas. Additionally, Meissner recently showcased explosive iron play at Valspar Championship, ranking fourth in strokes-gained approach while gaining 7.72 strokes. Vincenzi finds strong suitability due to local familiarity and current form.

Matt Vincenzi is bullish on Jordan Spieth for the Valero Texas Open based on Spieth's exceptional recent iron play. At the Valspar Championship at Copperhead, Spieth gained 7.76 strokes on approach, third-best in the field, demonstrating superior form with his irons. Vincenzi also notes this is one of Spieth's favorite courses, further increasing his appeal as an outright pick.

Matt Vincenzi advocates for Jason Day finishing in the top 10 at +300 odds, based on his historical success at Memorial Park. Day finished T7 in his debut at this venue and T16 in 2023, demonstrating a consistent ability to contend here. Given the anticipated challenging scoring conditions, Vincenzi sees strong value in Day's experience and ability to handle this course.

Matt Vincenzi identified Emiliano Grillo as a sleeper at +30000 odds, highlighting significant underlying improvements. Despite recent poor overall finishes, Grillo displayed elite iron play at The Players Championship, gaining 4.08 strokes on approach in Round 1 alone and following it with another strong approach round. A promising showing at Valspar reinforced Vincenzi's belief that Grillo is on the verge of major breakthroughs.

Matt Vincenzi is bullish on Wyndham Clark at +4000 based on his strong performance on Tom Doak-designed courses, ranking sixth in strokes-gained total over his last 36 rounds on these layouts. Vincenzi loves Clark's skill combination of strong driving distance and putting ability, which aligns with the proven winning formula at Memorial Park through its first four editions. Given these key stats and historical course fit, Clark could seriously contend this week.

Matt Vincenzi likes Jason Day's potential at +4000 odds following recent strong performances coupled with notable swing adjustments. Day recently reconnected with childhood coach Colin Swatton, resulting in key technical adjustments, notably head position and alignment improvements, which Day believes allow his shoulders and swing to function more fluidly. Day showed promising form recently with a T3 at the American Express and a T8 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Previously, Day finished T7 at Memorial Park, indicating good course compatibility. Having rested last week following an illness-induced withdrawal from The Players, Day should be fresh and primed to contend again.

Matt Vincenzi backs Min Woo Lee at +4000 odds, encouraged by Lee's recent consistent performances, notably a final pairing at the Players Championship. Though Lee struggled on the weekend, Vincenzi emphasizes his suitability to Memorial Park. Lee's strength off the tee combined with exceptional short game touch around tight lies aligns perfectly with the demands of Memorial Park. With top-20 finishes in five of seven events this year, including consistently strong putting metrics, Lee’s path to victory requires only a modest improvement in iron play this week.

Matt Vincenzi finds the current odds of +4000 on Tony Finau notably disrespectful considering his excellent Memorial Park record. Finau won the tournament in 2022 and was runner-up in the 2024 edition, illustrating his ability to perform strongly regardless of immediate form. Historically, prior to his win in 2022 and his second-place finish in 2024, Finau entered off missed cuts or poor results, yet still found success at Memorial Park, designed by Tom Doak. Finau also has a victory at the Detroit Golf Club, another Doak-designed course. Vincenzi reasons Finau is uniquely capable of hanging tough with premier names like Scottie Scheffler, making him a strong value bet.

Matt Vincenzi backs Wyndham Clark despite his recent withdrawal at the Players Championship due to a neck issue. Over his prior 36 rounds, Clark ranks sixth in the field in strokes-gained total on Tom Doak-designed courses like Memorial Park. Clark, renowned for his length off the tee and elite putting, matches the profile for past success at this event. His history of excelling against top fields, highlighted by a U.S. Open victory and contending strongly against Scottie Scheffler, underscores his potential to perform well here at the +4000 betting price.

Matt Vincenzi identifies Emiliano Grillo as a savvy long-shot bet at +30000 for the Texas Children's Houston Open. Despite recent disappointing results, Grillo showed notable progress with his ball striking, leading the Players Championship field in strokes-gained approach after day one (+4.08) and maintaining solid figures into the second round (+1.90). He ranked third in strokes-gained off the tee at the Valspar Championship, culminating in a T22 finish, indicating he is close to fully clicking. Given these flashes of premium form, Grillo represents sneaky upside at generous odds.

Matt Vincenzi advises leveraging a favorable opening line on Max Greyserman for the Texas Children's Houston Open. Prior to a disappointing Players Championship, Greyserman had three consecutive top-25 finishes during the Florida Swing. His game aligns well with Memorial Park, having finished T7 in this event last year where he gained roughly four strokes putting. Greyserman excels on fast Bermudagrass greens, ranked third in strokes-gained putting under these conditions, making +7500 look particularly attractive given course suitability and recent consistency.

Matt Vincenzi highlights Davis Riley as mispriced and undervalued heading into the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open. Riley arrives in hot form, fresh off a seventh-place finish at the Valspar Championship, where he ranked fifth in the field in strokes-gained approach (6.80). He notably led the field in strokes-gained approach on Sunday. Riley has strong recent success in Texas, having won the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial in Fort Worth by five strokes over elite competitors like Scottie Scheffler and Keegan Bradley. Last year at Houston Open he finished T14, demonstrating his ability to handle Memorial Park, making him an intriguing option at +19000 odds given his excellent iron play and history in Texas.

Matt Vincenzi recommended Nicolai Hojgaard (+8000) for first-round leader at the Valspar Championship, noting his impressive recent ball striking. Hojgaard ranks 13th in strokes-gained approach and benefits from a preferable morning tee-time grouping, which could be advantageous with predicted weather conditions favoring the AM wave. Vincenzi believes Hojgaard is flying under the radar and poised for a fast start.

Matt Vincenzi recommended betting Jordan Spieth to win the Valspar Championship at +6000 odds, highlighting Spieth's progress following offseason wrist surgery. Despite mixed results this season, Spieth has shown promising signs, notably off the tee, gaining strokes in four straight tournaments. Vincenzi sees consistency from Spieth's driver as an encouraging indicator that he's ready to reclaim peak form similar to his successful 2021-2022 campaigns.