Michael Leone argued Jakobi Meyers remains a bargain despite entering his age-29 season. Meyers finally paired his trademark target volume with efficiency, logging career-best yards per route and back-to-back years of seven touchdowns in Las Vegas. Leone noted that rookie TE Brock Bowers’ meteoric ADP climb has not dragged Meyers down even though their weekly target expectations are negatively correlated. With the Raiders’ QB situation likely forcing a quick-throw scheme, Leone projects another 120-plus targets and believes the veteran’s median outcome has him beating his current ninth-round ADP "by several spots" while still offering a multi-TD ceiling in any given week.

Michael Leone said De'Von Achane should still be going at last year’s 1-2 turn price because the role concerns are gone. Achane logged a true every-down workload down the stretch in 2023 – something drafters never gave him credit for – and Leone projects that to stick in the 17-20-touch range even after Miami added rookie Ollie Gordon as a change-of-pace option. The only thing that cratered was big-play rate: Achane’s yards per carry fell from 7.8 as a rookie to 4.6, but Leone blamed that on a banged-up offensive line and two separate Tua injuries that kneecapped overall efficiency. If those pieces stay healthy, he expects the home-run plays to “snap back” while the workload remains intact, giving Achane both a top-5 weekly ceiling and a rock-solid floor at his current early-second ADP. Leone labeled the price tag “super bullish closing-line value” for Best Ball Mania drafters willing to start RB-RB.

Michael Leone advised sprinkling Ja'Tavion Sanders onto Bryce Young rosters as an inexpensive third-tight-end swing. Leone reminded listeners that whenever a previously discounted offense pops— he cited BBM3’s Jaguars (Evan Engram) and last year’s Texans (Dalton Schultz)— the tight end usually ‘comes along for the ride’ with multiple spike-week touchdowns. Carolina is priced like a bottom-five unit, yet Young now has a rebuilt line and an aggressive play-caller, giving the rookie Sanders a realistic path to end-zone equity if the Panthers surprise. At an ADP in the 200s you are simply betting that offensive improvement, not raw volume, drives tight-end value, a thesis Leone loves chasing with late portfolio darts.

Michael Leone said he refuses to leave a draft with C.J. Stroud and no Dalton Schultz now that the Texans tight end is slipping past the 18-round cut line in Best Ball Mania rooms. Leone argued every risk drafters cite— Houston’s pass volume dipping, rookie Cade Stover siphoning snaps, Schultz’s capped athletic upside— is already more than baked in when the veteran is literally going undrafted. Schultz still enters camp as the undisputed starter after a 93-target season and projects to vacuum up red-zone looks whenever Stroud’s high-efficiency offense stalls inside the 10. Leone framed Schultz as the cheapest, cleanest way to complete a Stroud double stack without burning earlier capital on Nico Collins or Tank Dell and called it a no-brainer leverage spot while the market obsesses over shiny rookies.

Michael Leone suggested adding Chig Okonkwo as an 18th-round third tight end, emphasizing that athletic tight ends often need a longer runway before they explode. Okonkwo closed 2023 with a mini-surge—double-digit PPR points in three of his final four games—and still ranks top-5 among tight ends in yards per route over his first two seasons. Leone likes pairing the 4.52-speed seam stretcher with late rookie QB Cam Ward on Titans builds, arguing that you get an unowned stack and a weekly ceiling that most TE3s simply do not offer. With Tennessee’s pass catchers outside DeAndre Hopkins wide-open for volume and new OC Nick Holz expected to run more play-action, Leone thinks Okonkwo can jump from last year’s 11 % target share to something in the 15-17 % range. At that price you are buying a cheap path to mid-season TE1 weeks while insulating your Best Ball roster from early-season injuries or bye-week land mines.

Michael Leone called DeMario Douglas the "boring guy" you absolutely want when you start drafts with heavy running back capital. Douglas projects to be a locked-in member of every three-wide package even if rookies like Ja’Lynn Polk or Kyle Williams pop in camp, giving him the snap security most late receivers lack. Leone liked the added bonus of correlation with Drake Maye— they had already drafted the rookie quarterback—so any surprise competence from Maye doubles the payoff on Douglas. The second-year slot man quietly earned a 22 % target per route rate as a rookie and now gets an up-tempo Alex Van Pelt scheme that should lean on quick throws behind a shaky offensive line. Leone said that archetype—high-floor PPR sponge tied to your quarterback bet—is exactly how you survive the receiver "dead zone" in Best Ball Mania without chasing WR7s who might never see the field.

Michael Leone labeled rookie Braelon Allen a priority swing in the RB40 range, saying the value "is pretty massive" on a roster that already locked in two early running backs. Leone prefers Allen over Jerome Ford because the ADP gap is wider and the payoff is far bigger if anything happens to Breece Hall—trade rumors, a lingering knee issue, or simply the coaching staff wanting to lighten Hall’s workload. At 235 pounds with proven pass-pro chops, Allen could step directly into 18-plus touches in an Aaron Rodgers offense that should live in the red zone. Leone compared it to last year’s Devon Singletary scenario: you draft the rookie now while uncertainty discounts his price, then watch the tag spike two full rounds once July camp reports confirm he is the clear No. 2. He views Allen as the rare fifth running back who can actually win you a Best Ball Mania playoff week instead of just covering bye weeks.

Michael Leone said Geno Smith is the quarterback he wants when you are hunting for a third passer in the double‐digit rounds, especially on rosters that already roster Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Leone noted that Smith sits several spots higher than Sam Darnold in both ETR’s projections and current ADP, so you are actually gaining closing-line value while still capturing stack correlation. Because JSN was their WR1, anchoring that bet to Seattle’s starter lets you benefit from any Seahawks shootouts rather than praying for JSN to get there on raw volume alone. Leone added that Smith has quietly finished top-10 in completion rate and EPA per drop-back in back-to-back seasons, so you are not sacrificing efficiency to grab the stack. He framed Smith as the perfect late quarterback who both fits your rankings model and unlocks a cheap ceiling game in Best Ball Mania week-17 formats.

Michael Leone said David Njoku remains an obvious buy despite his ADP climbing into the low-120s. Njoku was one of the few tight ends to separate from replacement level down the stretch last year—top-6 in targets per route run and top-8 in yards after catch per reception from Week 10 forward—yet drafters still lump him into the flat TE2 bucket. Leone noted he has the Browns’ tight end a full round ahead of Underdog’s market in his personal ranks and is purposely staying overweight while the field worries about quarterback uncertainty. His hedging advice was portfolio-based, not player-based: you can throttle back exposure once the price corrects, but you can never recapture the early closing-line value if Njoku’s cost spikes another 15–20 picks in July camp news.

Michael Leone said he would be "very content" taking Jerry Jeudy at the 3/4 turn if Joe Flacco ends up starting a majority of Browns games. Leone cited Flacco’s track record of peppering his top wideouts— a 50-point Amari Cooper eruption in 2023 and multiple 100-yard outings for both Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs during the Colts’ stretch run. Flacco’s aggressive 9.1-yard average depth of target and willingness to throw 35-plus times per game create the exact game scripts that elevate alpha receivers. Leone admitted there’s downside if Flacco doesn’t win the job, but believes Jeudy’s current late-6th ADP already prices in that uncertainty while completely ignoring the top-15 ceiling he’d possess in a pass-heavy Flacco offense.

Michael Leone clicked Mark Andrews in Round 8 and called it an easy smash alongside his existing Zay Flowers shares. He pointed to recent comments from GM Eric DeCosta calling Andrews "integral to everything we do," a signal that snap share will bounce back after last year’s slow return from a serious quad injury. Andrews still flashed ceiling down the stretch, and Leone reminded viewers that the tight end has averaged 2.05 yards per route in Lamar Jackson starts over the past three seasons— a number only Travis Kelce and Sam LaPorta can match. In Leone’s view, an eighth-round price for a player who owns double-digit target upside on a top-5 offense is "the cheapest weekly difference-maker you’ll draft all summer."

Michael Leone said Keon Coleman is the late-round Bills receiver he’s "most excited to draft right now." Leone admitted Coleman’s rookie season was rocky – poor separation metrics and a wrist injury – but emphasized Buffalo’s off-season moves leave a wide-open path to volume. The Bills let Gabe Davis walk, added only cheap veterans, and already view Coleman as a locked-in starter opposite Khalil Shakir. With Josh Allen’s offense annually finishing top-3 in pass TDs, Leone expects Coleman to be "given every opportunity" to post a 20-plus percent target share. Coleman’s ADP hasn’t adjusted the way Shakir’s has, so drafters are still catching a cheap bet on a sophomore leap tied to an elite quarterback, something Leone framed as "exactly the profile that smashes in Best Ball Mania."

Michael Leone argued that the market is double-counting risk on Jerry Jeudy by assuming the entire Browns passing game is doomed. Leone reminded listeners that Jeudy and David Njoku are the only proven target earners on the roster after Amari Cooper’s departure, making them the clear 1A and 1B in a scheme that Kevin Stefanski has historically funneled toward two primary options. Even if Deshaun Watson remains league-average, Leone projects Jeudy for a 24-25% target share and roughly 125 looks— volume that would have made him a sixth-round pick on last year’s Broncos. The former first-rounder still owns top-20 separation metrics per NFL Next Gen Stats, so Leone sees real spike-week potential if Watson flashes anything close to his 2020 deep-ball efficiency. At a late-eighth ADP, Jeudy offers a cheap path to 90-catch upside and provides structural balance for early RB or elite-TE builds in Best Ball Mania.

Michael Leone called Jaxon Smith-Njigba a classic sophomore eruption candidate who is mis-priced at the 2/3 turn. He expects Seattle to lean on heavier two-receiver personnel under new OC Ryan Grubb, which will spike JSN’s route share without asking the team to abandon its run-first DNA. Leone noted that even in last year’s cramped three-wide rotation, Smith-Njigba still managed a 20% targets-per-route clip and flashed an 11-target, 96-yard overtime game against the Rams. With the coaching staff publicly hinting at more slot-perimeter flexibility and DK Metcalf battling a lingering shoulder issue, Leone projects a jump from 77 to roughly 115 targets and believes the former Buckeye’s elite short-area quickness will translate into top-15 yards-after-catch numbers. He views the mid-third ADP slide – down five to six picks since April – as an overreaction to perceived Seahawks implosion risk and is happily clicking JSN as his first wideout after an RB-RB start.

Michael Leone explained why Establish The Run’s updated ranks place Amon-Ra St. Brown neck-and-neck with Justin Jefferson in half-PPR formats. Over the past two seasons the pair are virtually tied in half-point scoring per game, and Detroit projects for significantly more offensive touchdowns than post-Kirk Minnesota. While the Vikings will throw more under Kevin O’Connell, Leone has Detroit penciled in for a league-high 31.5 passing TDs, giving St. Brown a sizable red-zone edge. He conceded Jefferson’s raw target volume stays higher, but the discrepancy is smaller than drafters think once you bake in Sam Darnold’s downgrade at quarterback and the outside possibility of a run-heavy look if J.J. McCarthy starts early. Given St. Brown’s ADP typically sits 3-4 picks after Jefferson, Leone views him as the cleaner value at the 1.04/1.05 turn, especially in rooms that let Bijan or CMC slip past the top three.