DiStefano’s third leg in the +350 same-game parlay is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 hits. Guerrero finally belted his second homer of the season Friday and DiStefano expects that breakout swing to carry into Sunday. The slugger owns a 2-for-8 lifetime line off Max Fried, including an extra-base hit, and is one of the few Jays swinging well amid the team’s wider slump. With Fried attacking the zone early in counts, DiStefano anticipates Guerrero getting at least one solid contact opportunity and cashing the single-hit prop.

For the second leg of his same-game parlay, Mike DiStefano took Under 8.5 runs. He projected a classic pitchers’ duel with Max Fried (4-0, 1.42 ERA, two earned runs or fewer in every 2025 start) facing Kevin Gausman (career success vs NYY, 3.16 ERA this year). Toronto’s offense is sputtering at just 2.5 runs per game over its last six contests, while Gausman has historically limited Yankee power. With both aces in mid-season form and the Blue Jays’ bats ice-cold, DiStefano believes neither club reaches four runs, making the Under 8.5 a strong value play in the Bronx.

Mike DiStefano backed Kevin Gausman to go Over 5.5 strikeouts at -120. DiStefano noted Gausman’s dominance of New York: 6.5 Ks per start across his last 10 outings versus the Yankees and a 6.54 K/GS average the past five seasons. The right-hander has punched out 22 batters in his last three starts and owns a 34% strikeout rate against the current Yankee roster. New York’s lineup fans 24.7% of the time (9.5 Ks per game, third-highest in MLB). Aaron Judge alone has worn 17 strikeouts in 39 career at-bats against Gausman (43.5% K-rate). With that matchup profile and Yankee Stadium’s forgiving dimensions for pitchers on a cool April afternoon, DiStefano expects Gausman to clear the 6-strikeout mark comfortably.

Mike DiStefano suggests betting Bo Bichette to get at least one hit vs the Orioles. Bichette currently has a strong .313 batting average and has registered a hit in four of his last five games. DiStefano highlights Bichette's exceptional past performances at Camden Yards, where he boasts a career OPS of 1.058 and has accumulated 51 hits over just 32 games. With this favorable history and current hitting momentum, Bichette is projected to continue his strong form in today's matchup.

Mike DiStefano suggests taking the Over on Cade Povich's earned run total of 1.5 against Toronto. Despite a solid-looking 3.58 ERA through two starts this season, DiStefano highlights Povich's expected ERA of 5.46 and xBA of .326, indicating significant negative regression ahead. Additionally, in two previous starts against the Blue Jays, Povich posted an 0-2 record, surrendering nine runs on 12 hits (six for extra bases) across 9 and 2/3 innings. The Blue Jays also rank among MLB’s elite against left-handed pitching (.400 OBP / .275 BA), further weakening Povich's prognosis for this matchup.

Mike DiStefano recommends betting on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to go Over 1.5 total bases against Orioles starter Cade Povich. Guerrero has notably excelled against Povich historically, going 4-for-5 lifetime with a home run and two doubles, totaling nine bases. While Povich owns a respectable 3.58 ERA early this season, DiStefano notes his advanced metrics indicate regression is imminent (an expected ERA of 5.46 and an xBA of .326). Toronto also boasts strong metrics against lefties this year (.400 OBP/ .275 BA), making Guerrero a smart pick to accumulate more than 1.5 total bases after hitting the same total six times in his last nine games. DiStefano also notes that Guerrero’s high hard-hit rate (85th percentile) indicates he's due for positive regression after a slow power start and expects the slugger to redeem himself from some mental fielding errors made recently.