Mike McClure's SportsLine model is recommending bettors fade previous winner Sam Burns at the 2025 Valspar Championship. Although Burns has outstanding history here, having won in both 2021 and 2022 and scoring a sixth-place finish in 2023, his current form is deeply concerning. In 2025, outside of a T-8 finish at The Sentry, Burns has struggled significantly, recently missing the cut at the Players Championship. Moreover, Burns has finished T-48 or worse in three out of his last four PGA Tour events. Critical driving accuracy stats find Burns languishing at 113th on tour (57.35 percent), coupled with other striking statistics, like ranking 117th in one-putt percentage (38.89 percent) and a notably poor 154th in strokes gained: approach to green (-0.514). McClure sees these underlying stats, coupled with current form trajectory, making him a poor betting choice even at shorter odds, urging bettors to seek stronger values elsewhere.