Mike Renner forecasted a major jump for the Cardinals defense after an aggressive offseason. He highlighted Jonathan Gannon’s shift from scheme-driven pressure to pure pass-rush talent, noting the additions of Josh Sweat (10.5 sacks last year), veteran Calais Campbell, and draft picks Walter Nolen and Jordan Burch. Renner believes the unit now goes two-deep across the line and could leap from bottom-five in pressure rate to top-10. For season-long fantasy he labeled Arizona a late-round DST target, and for bettors he suggested monitoring early-season unders and longshot odds for the Cardinals to finish top 10 in sacks.

Mike Renner highlighted rookie Damien Martinez—"another Hurricane Seattle scooped up late"—as a sneaky stash. Renner pointed out that the Seahawks’ current backfield is thin behind Kenneth Walker after Zach Charbonnet’s foot surgery, creating an opening for early-down carries. Martinez posted back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons at Miami while averaging 4.1 yards after contact, traits Renner believes translate to the Seahawks’ inside-zone heavy run scheme. He compared the pick to past late-round RB hits (Aaron Jones, Dameon Pierce) and advised taking Martinez in the final rounds of best-ball drafts and monitoring him as a preseason waiver add in redraft formats.

Mike Renner warned that Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s sophomore jump now looks unlikely after Seattle dealt its only true field-stretcher, D.K. Metcalf. Renner argued JSN benefited in 2024 from defenses rolling coverage toward Metcalf’s 4.33 speed, allowing him to feast underneath. The retooled receiving corps now features 32-year-old Cooper Kupp and Marquez Valdes-Scantling—"no one’s scared of him at this point," Renner said—meaning secondaries can squat on short and intermediate routes. Without a vertical threat to open throwing lanes, Renner expects Seattle’s average depth of target to plummet and projects JSN’s yards per route run to fall below last year’s 1.72 mark. He suggested downgrading JSN to a WR4 in season-long leagues and avoiding him in DFS unless his salary drops into the mid-$4K range.

Mike Renner said fantasy gamers should not downgrade George Kittle after the record-setting extension. Renner argued Kittle is still only 31 and tight ends historically hold elite production into their mid-30s—citing Travis Kelce, Antonio Gates and Tony Gonzalez as comps. He added that Kyle Shanahan’s system funnels high-leverage play-action targets to the tight end and the offense’s efficiency craters whenever Kittle misses time. With Kittle ranking top-five among all tight ends in yards per route (1.95) last season and the 49ers reaffirming his role by making him the highest-paid TE ever, Renner expects Kittle to remain a set-and-forget TE1 in season-long leagues and a strong DFS option whenever his price dips.

Mike Renner said the Browns turning pick 87 into Dillon Gabriel is exactly the kind of value swing dynasty managers should chase. Cleveland was sitting outside the top-75 yet still came away with Renner’s QB2 (Gabriel) and QB3 (Shadur Sanders), echoing Washington’s RG3/Kirk Cousins double-dip in 2012. Renner loved Gabriel’s tape—quick processor, accurate intermediate passer, plenty of mobility—and argued that Kevin Stefanski, a two-time Coach of the Year who coaxed 11 wins out of a QB carousel in 2023, can accelerate Gabriel’s development. Because Cleveland already owns Jacksonville’s 2026 first-rounder, the franchise can patiently audition both rookies this preseason and flip whichever one loses the battle for future capital. Renner urged superflex and deep-bench season-long gamers to stash Gabriel now while rookie-draft ADP still sits in the fourth round, predicting meaningful snaps no later than 2026 and possible trade buzz if he flashes in August.

Mike Renner admitted he was higher on Oregon tight end Terrance Ferguson than "pretty much anyone," but said the Rams snagging him at pick 46 gives dynasty managers a chance to get in on a potential top-eight fantasy tight end at a steep discount. Renner noted Ferguson’s 26 percent target-per-route rate, 2.18 yards per route, and 12-of-13 contested-catch conversion rate last season—numbers that would have slotted among the NFL’s top tight ends. He praised Sean McVay’s history of featuring versatile move TEs (think early-career Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett) and pointed out that Los Angeles ranked sixth in play-action rate and fifth in tight-end red-zone targets in 2024. With only a fading Higbee ahead of him and Matthew Stafford still accurate over the middle, Renner forecasted a path to 55-60 rookie targets and labeled Ferguson a priority late-second-round pick in tight-end-premium dynasty rookie drafts and a sneaky best-ball dart for 2025 spike games.

Mike Renner said Seattle will "100 percent" craft specialty packages for rookie quarterback Jalen Milroe rather than parking him on the bench. Renner compared the plan to Lamar Jackson’s 2018 deployment—five to six snaps a game while Joe Flacco was still the starter—arguing that Milroe’s 4.4 speed and 220-pound frame make him a bigger, faster version of the Damien Martinez pick the Seahawks also made. Even if Milroe never sees full-time work in 2025, Renner expects Shane Waldron (now working under Clint Kubiak) to use red-zone and short-yardage option looks to force defenses into 11-on-11 football. Those gadget plays could deliver goal-line carries and long keeper TDs that create spike weeks despite low volume. Renner urged best-ball drafters to burn a last-round pick on Milroe, citing the headache he creates for defensive coordinators and the immediate rushing equity that translates into fantasy points whether he throws a pass or not.

Mike Renner said Matthew Golden is a "perfect fit" for what Matt LaFleur and Jordan Love want to do, calling him the best full-route-tree receiver in the entire draft. Renner emphasized that Green Bay refuses to telegraph plays by alignment, so Golden’s ability to line up at X, Z or in the slot matters more to the Packers than traditional alpha traits. Renner noted the franchise has not taken a Round-1 wideout since Javon Walker in 2002, yet they broke tendency here because Golden graded out as a top-15 overall player on their board. He reminded viewers that Love led the league in EPA per attempt against man coverage from Weeks 10-18 last season and argued Golden’s nuanced releases will keep that trend rolling. Dynasty managers were urged to treat Golden as an immediate WR3/FLEX candidate, while best-ball drafters should chase the spike-week upside tied to Love’s YOLO down-field mentality (29 deep attempts of 20+ yards over the final six games).

Mike Renner gushed over Chicago snagging Colston Loveland at pick 10, comparing Ben Johnson’s planned usage of the Michigan tight end to how he weaponized Sam LaPorta in Detroit. Renner emphasized Loveland’s versatility—he ran 45% of his 2023 routes from the slot and posted a 2.32 yards-per-route figure that would have ranked third among NFL tight ends last season. He expects Johnson to deploy Loveland on shallow crossers, overroutes, and pre-snap motion to create coverage busts for Caleb Williams, noting that Johnson’s Lions led the league in tight-end targets inside the 10-yard line (24) in 2023. With route flexibility, a rookie QB who thrived on middle-of-field throws at USC (63.7% completion rate between the numbers), and minimal target competition behind DJ Moore, Renner predicted Loveland could crack the low-end TE1 tier as soon as 2025. He urged dynasty managers to draft Loveland ahead of more heralded tight ends and encouraged DFS players to watch for early-season pricing inefficiencies once salaries drop.

Mike Renner said Tetairoa McMillan is “the best pure wide receiver in this draft class” and projects him as an immediate WR1 in Carolina. Renner hammered home McMillan’s elite contested-catch profile—calling his ball skills exactly what Bryce Young needs after last year’s wideouts failed miserably on 50/50 balls. Renner noted that Young already shows a willingness to give his receivers chances downfield (32.4% of 2024 passes traveled 15-plus yards, fifth-highest in the league) but lacked a true winner at the catch point; McMillan solves that on day one. With Dave Canales expected to maintain a pass-leaning script (Tampa ranked eighth in neutral-situation pass rate under him), Renner forecasted 120-plus targets for the rookie and advised season-long managers to treat McMillan as a fringe WR2 from the jump while best-ball drafters chase his weekly ceiling tied to Young’s newfound downfield confidence.

Mike Renner said New England’s offseason has put rookie quarterback Drake Maye in a far better spot than most first–year passers. Renner highlighted three draft additions that immediately move the needle for fantasy: LT Will Campbell, an anchor who “shears up the left side,” Ohio State RB TreVeyon Henderson—a do-everything back Renner called an A-plus talent—and WR Kyle Williams, whom Renner labeled “the best separator in the entire class” and a third-round steal. He argued Maye lacked anyone who could win quickly last year, so Williams’ ability to uncover fast will shorten the learning curve while Campbell gives Maye blind-side security. Renner believes Mike Vrabel will lean on a run-play-action foundation that pairs Henderson’s burst with Maye’s down-field accuracy. The overall package—premium protection, a true man-beater wideout, and a workhorse back—pushes Maye into immediate QB2 territory in superflex and makes him a late-round upside swing in best-ball and redraft formats.

Mike Renner applauded Tennessee’s decision to surround first-overall pick Cam Ward with multiple late-round pass-catchers—TE Gunner Helm (Texas), WR Aleke Ominor (Stanford) and WR Camarry DK (Florida)—saying the Titans "threw the kitchen sink at it" to give their rookie quarterback diverse collaboration partners. Renner believes the volume of developmental weapons raises Ward’s odds of finding an immediate chemistry fit and accelerates his fantasy relevance, especially in superflex and dynasty leagues. He added that the Titans’ new OC figures to install a quick-game scheme that leverages Helm’s seam ability and DK’s speed, giving Ward a realistic path to low-end QB2 numbers as early as Year 1. Renner advised dynasty managers to prioritize Ward over similarly tiered rookie quarterbacks because the surrounding talent and draft capital suggest Tennessee will live with early mistakes while letting him rack up volume.

Mike Renner framed Houston’s draft as an "arms race" response to the high-octane AFC, emphasizing that adding Iowa State duo Jayden Higgins (6'4", contested-catch specialist) and Jalen Noel (quick-twitch slot) alongside Nico Collins gives C.J. Stroud three complementary targets. Renner reminded viewers that Tank Dell’s gruesome late-season injury makes his 2025 availability shaky, so Houston could not rely on him as a volume option. Higgins and Noel combined for nearly 1,200 yards last season and repeatedly won early in routes, something Renner says will hide the Texans’ still-shaky offensive line by providing Stroud fast, defined throws. He predicted that within “the next few years” this group could be "one of the best receiving corps in the NFL," pushing Stroud into perennial top-eight fantasy QB territory. Dynasty managers were urged to buy Stroud and stash Higgins/Noel now before preseason hype catches up.

Mike Renner said the Jaguars have finally surrounded Trevor Lawrence with two true man-beaters in Travis Hunter and Brian Thomas Jr., calling both "force multipliers" who will instantly change the passing game. Renner noted that before this draft Lawrence did not have a single receiver he could trust to win one-on-one, which showed up whenever defenses went to man coverage. Now he has two, and Renner expects new play-caller Liam Cohen to lean on that advantage. Renner framed Hunter as a "two-for-one" pick who gives Jacksonville a second explosive wideout while still keeping the option of occasional snaps on defense. With Lawrence now equipped to punish man looks and Jacksonville committing first-round capital to wide receiver in back-to-back seasons, Renner projected the Jaguars’ 2025 offense to be "unbelievably exciting" and advised fantasy managers to treat Lawrence as a buy-low QB1 in season-long and best-ball formats, banking on a spike in touchdown rate and explosive plays.

Mike Renner said Caleb Williams walks into the best supporting cast of any rookie quarterback in recent memory and should be treated as an immediate fantasy starter. Renner rattled off a four-deep pass-catching arsenal—DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet, plus second-round picks Colson Loveland and slot specialist Luther Burden—that he called "flat-out the best in the NFL right now." He compared Loveland’s seam-stretching ability to Brock Bowers and noted Burden’s 1,200-yard college season as proof he can vacuum up quick-hitting slot targets. Renner’s takeaway: with this much firepower, it is hard to imagine Williams finishing outside the top 10 QBs in redraft or best-ball formats, and the Bears’ offensive totals are a weekly over target for bettors.

Mike Renner said bettors should treat defensive tackle as the chalk outcome for Jacksonville’s first‑round choice and singled out Michigan’s Mason Graham as the name most likely called at pick 5. Renner noted the Jaguars surrendered 4.7 yards per carry over the final nine games and ranked 30th in ESPN’s run‑stop win rate, making an interior disruptor a glaring need for new coach Dave Canales. He added that Jacksonville’s analytics department values age‑adjusted production—Graham produced a 14.8% pass‑rush win rate despite being only 20—which fits their profile of previous first‑rounders. Renner conceded wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan becomes “very live” only if Chicago trades up for Ashton Jeanty and pushes the Jags back to No. 10, but until that materializes he would lay the current plus money on defensive tackle as the club’s first position drafted.

Mike Renner advised bettors to hammer the +180 on a defensive lineman being San Francisco’s first pick. Renner noted that outside of Nick Bosa the Niners have zero proven pass‑rush snaps under contract, and GM John Lynch’s draft history (three DL in his first four first‑rounders) shows a clear priority. Renner dismissed offensive‑line talk, arguing you can find plug‑and‑play guards in Round 2 but cannot locate premium edge talent after pick 20. He expects San Francisco to choose between Clemson’s T.J. Parker and Texas’ Ethan Burke, both graded as top‑15 overall players on his board.

Mike Renner recommended taking the +320 price on tight end being Chicago’s first selection, specifically targeting Penn State’s Tyler Warren at pick 10. Renner explained that new OC Ben Johnson built Detroit’s passing game around multiple‑TE looks and would love Warren’s inline‑to‑slot versatility. The Bears already fortified both lines in free agency, so Renner does not expect Ryan Pace to use another premium asset there. He believes Warren’s 6'6" frame, 88th‑percentile wingspan and 4.58 forty give Caleb Williams a true mismatch target that Cole Kmet simply is not. Renner added that Chicago can still address running back with Trayvion Henderson at picks 39 or 41, making the TE prop the cleaner path at attractive odds.

Renner advised betting Tet McMillan at +400 (Dave found +500) to sneak into the top 10. He compared the lanky Arizona wideout to Drake London—another contested‑catch specialist who went eighth overall—and pointed out that McMillan separates better on tape and owns a 35% college dominator rating. Renner believes teams picking in the 6‑10 range will covet a true X receiver because the second tier of WRs is a steep drop‑off. With only one or two quarterbacks likely early, several premium spots could open for a receiver, making McMillan’s implied sub‑20% chance too low.

Renner grabbed the +480 on Abdul Carter going second overall, arguing Cleveland could pair him with Myles Garrett to create the NFL’s scariest edge duo since Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware. Renner noted GM Andrew Berry has publicly praised Travis Hunter but believes Carter’s scheme‑versatile explosiveness is the rarer asset. With quarterbacks uninspiring and the Browns already loaded offensively, Renner thinks Berry will lean into defense and gamble on a pass‑rush that can single‑handedly swing playoff games. At nearly 5‑to‑1, Renner sees the bet as a smart way to capture that upside scenario.

Renner pegged Las Vegas as the best bet to draft Ashton Jeanty, backing the Raiders at +110 to be his eventual NFL home. He explained that Chicago would have to jump from pick 10 to 5— a move that historically costs at least a second‑rounder— and the Bears need those Day‑2 selections to plug multiple roster holes. Las Vegas, by contrast, sits squarely in the Jeanty sweet‑spot, owns extra mid‑round capital, and just hired former Boise State offensive coordinator Bush Hamdan, who recruited Jeanty out of high school. Add in Antonio Pierce’s stated desire to “get more explosive in the backfield,” and Renner sees Vegas as the cleanest path.

Mike Renner echoed the fade on Sanders and pushed it further, refusing to bet the quarterback even at top‑10 prices. Renner argued that the two QB‑needy franchises sitting at picks 2 and 3 will have a chance at prospects with rarer physical tools—namely Abdul Carter and Travis Hunter—so they will not reach for Sanders’ average arm strength. He compared Sanders’ ceiling unfavorably to Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, stressing that modern front offices covet elite traits. With only a handful of QB vacancies league‑wide, Renner expects Sanders to "stumble" into the teens, making any single‑digit draft‑position prop a negative‑EV wager.