Young called Gleyber Torres (misheard as Glamour) a 100 % clip play to record a hit, RBI, or run and suggested sprinkling a home-run ticket. Torres has at least one of those counting stats in seven straight contests thanks to a .318 average with runners in scoring position. With Juan Soto and Aaron Judge hitting ahead of him, Young expects Gleyber to bat with ducks on the pond multiple times, making the combo prop a high-floor wager while his recent 46 % hard-hit rate gives the homer sprinkle value.

Mills Young grabbed CJ Abrams for over 1.5 total bases at a 60 % recent hit rate, noting the shortstop’s surge since top prospect James Wood joined the lineup. Abrams’ max-EV jumped to 111 mph in July, and he has already stolen seven bags this month, creating extra paths to two bases. Facing a pitcher with a 1.42 WHIP, Young believes Abrams can clear the number with either a double in the gap or a bunt-single plus swipe, while a homer sprinkle sweetens the pot.

Mills Young played Kyle Schwarber (mispronounced as Karl Swarov) over 1.5 total bases and tossed in a home-run sprinkle. Schwarber is coming off a week with a .620 slug and draws a middling right-hander whose four-seam sits dead red at 92 mph — exactly the velocity band where Schwarber’s ISO jumps to .350. Young likes how the Phillies keep him in the two-hole, ensuring extra plate appearances to reach the bases prop, while the wind is forecasted out to right at Citizens Bank Park, juicing the long-ball bonus.

Although Houston owns strong numbers against southpaws, Mills Young leaned over on Garrett Crochet’s 7.0-strikeout prop after noting the left-hander has hit that mark in three of five (60 %). Crochet’s fastball sits 98 mph with a 17 % swinging-strike rate, and his new sweeper has fueled a 33 % K rate since July 1. Young conceded the matchup is risky but believes Crochet’s pitch efficiency — 15.8 pitches per inning over the last month — keeps an eight-K ceiling firmly in play.

Mills Young is riding Nathan Eovaldi’s over 5.5 strikeouts even though Arizona rarely whiffs. Eovaldi has cleared the number in four of his last five (80 % success) thanks to a splitter generating a 38 % chase rate. Young added that Arizona’s lineup skews left-handed, and Eovaldi’s cutter/split combo has held lefties to a .276 xwOBA this season. The right-hander’s ability to work ahead (67 % first-pitch strike rate) should give him the volume to log six plus Ks again.

Mills Young recommended the over on Will Warren’s 4.5-strikeout line, pointing out that the right-hander has cashed this ticket in 60 % of his recent starts. Even when Warren serves up the occasional long ball, Aaron Boone keeps him on the bump to eat innings, a stark contrast to how New York once protected prospects like Phil Hughes and Joba Chamberlain. That leash, combined with a 27 % whiff rate on his slider, makes Young confident Warren can reach five or more punch-outs again.

Mills Young backed Yoshinobu Yamamoto to eclipse 6.5 strikeouts. The Japanese ace has topped that mark in three straight and in 60 % of his past five trips to the mound. Young noted Yamamoto’s efficiency since the All-Star break, usually pitching into the sixth or early seventh while maintaining a whiff rate north of 30 %. Facing an Angels lineup that owns a bottom-10 contact rate against right-handed four-seamers, Young expects at least seven punch-outs and views the over as a core leg for K-prop parlays.

Mills Young said to smash the over on Freddy Peralta’s 5.5-K prop. Peralta has cleared this number in three of his last five outings (60 % hit rate) and draws a strikeout-friendly Pittsburgh lineup. Young reminded listeners that Milwaukee’s staff has been lights-out during the club’s current hot streak and expects the right-hander to work deep enough to fan seven or eight batters. With the Brewers priced as sizeable favorites, Young believes Peralta will attack aggressively instead of nibbling, making the over his favorite pitching prop of the slate.

Mills Young suggested Kyle Schwarber to record a hit with a bonus sprinkle on the home-run market against Toronto. Schwarber has reached safely in 13 of his last 16 games and draws Blue Jays right-hander pitching that has surrendered 1.5 HR/9. Young calls the single-hit prop the floor play while the long-ball ticket offers ceiling at juicy odds.

Mills Young jumped on Spencer Strider over 6.5 Ks at plus money. Strider cashed this line in his last start and owns MLB’s best 36 % strikeout rate since 2023. Facing an Arizona lineup with five starters striking out above 23 %, Young projects at least seven punch-outs and believes the book mis-priced the Braves ace after one middling outing.

Mills Young played Aaron Judge over 0.5 combined hits, RBI or runs and tossed a small wager on a homer. Judge owns a 1.129 OPS over the last two weeks and faces a Guardians staff allowing the sixth-highest barrel rate. Any single contribution cashes the primary prop, but Young sees real upside for a souvenir ball.

Mills Young recommended taking Zac Gallen to eclipse his 5.0 strikeout prop even after two straight unders. Young noted he has tracked Gallen’s K props for three years and believes the market has over-corrected. Despite a tough Atlanta lineup, Gallen still owns a 27 % strikeout rate and averages 6.4 Ks per start. At only five punch-outs, Young called it 'too low not to go' and expects a 6-plus performance.

Mills Young backed Freddy Peralta to clear 6.0 strikeouts versus the Reds. Peralta has hit that mark in six of nine starts despite little national buzz. Cincinnati strikes out at a 26 % clip, and Young thinks the right-hander’s 13.4% swinging-strike rate will play up in Great American Ball Park, projecting 7-8 Ks.

Mills Young advised betting Paul Skenes over 6.5 strikeouts. The rookie flame-thrower has topped this number in three of his past five outings, a 60 % hit rate the PickDawgz betting tools flag as profitable. Skenes is averaging better than 1.3 K per inning, and Young sees no reason to fade him against another swing-and-miss lineup, calling the line 'too low not to go.'

Mills Young targeted Pablo Lopez over 6.0 strikeouts because the Athletics add an extra K to almost every power pitcher they face. He pointed out that hurlers typically exceed their season average by roughly one strikeout against Oakland’s league-high 27 % whiff rate. With Lopez already carrying a 29 % strikeout clip, Young projects 7+ Ks and trusts the matchup more than bettors leaning to the under.

Young is on Kyle Schwarber over 1.5 total bases with a home-run sprinkle. He likes the matchup enough to stack both bets, believing Schwarber’s pull-side power will show up at the plate tonight.

Mills Young played Ronald Acuna Jr. over 1.5 total bases and suggested sprinkling a homer prop as well, confident the Braves superstar’s power/speed combo will translate into extra-base production tonight.

Mills Young went back to Aaron Judge over 1.5 total bases after cashing the same play in Judge’s previous game. The tout expects another long ball and advised adding a home-run sprinkle in addition to the base total, banking on the slugger’s hot form to continue.

Despite the fact Spencer Strider has yet to top 6 strikeouts since returning from injury, Mills Young is still playing the over tonight. His reasoning: Strider "damn near owns" Philadelphia, a club he has historically carved up, to the point Young jokes there should be a statue of him outside the park. He conceded he will reassess future Strider props if the ace fails again, but for this matchup the rivalry history outweighs the recent under run.

Mills Young played Corbin Burnes over 6 strikeouts. Burnes has cashed this ticket in three of his last five starts and sits at a 60% hit rate on the season. With the betting market shaded to the over, Young followed the steam and expects Burnes’ swing-and-miss repertoire to land at least seven punch-outs.

Mills Young recommended Hunter Brown over 6.5 strikeouts, projecting the Astros right-hander for 8 Ks. Brown has cleared 6.5 in 60% of his trips to the mound, and Young framed tonight as a classic bounce-back after Brown’s worst outing of the year in which he was tagged for homers and failed to hit his prop. Facing an Oakland lineup that has struggled to make contact, the bettor consensus leans over and Young is riding with them.

Mills Young said to take Dustin May over 5 strikeouts. May has cashed that number in 60% of his 2025 starts and Young likes how May’s strikeout rate has stayed steady since Opening Day. The capper trusts the consistency, noting that May has avoided the single-digit K outings that sank several tickets Monday, so he is willing to run it back at the same 5-K number tonight.

Mills Young advised betting Tarik Skubal over 6 strikeouts. The Tigers’ left-hander has cleared this mark in four of his last five starts (80%) while carrying a 31% whiff rate and 14.7% swinging-strike percentage. He faces a bottom-10 offense versus southpaws, and Sports Chat Place’s model grades the over as an A play, so Young is riding the trend.

Mills Young recommended Sonny Gray over 5.5 strikeouts in the opening game of a double-header. Gray has ‘turned his season around,’ cashing this line in 60% of recent starts while posting an 11.1 K/9 and 34% chase rate since mid-April. Young expects a watered-down daytime lineup from the opponent and notes Sports Chat Place’s tools lean to the over.

Mills Young urged bettors to take Aaron Judge to record a hit—he’s 100% on this prop in his recent sample—and sprinkle a homer. Judge’s 54% hard-hit rate and 24-degree average launch angle suggest a dinger is imminent after a ‘long’ three-game drought by his standards. Young sees an easy floor with a ceiling play attached.

Mills Young said to smash Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 6.0 strike-out line. Although the rookie has fallen short in two straight outings, Young loves the bounce-back spot against an Oakland lineup that owns a 28% K-rate versus right-handers and the league’s worst contact rate. Sports Chat Place’s betting tools flag the over as +EV, and Young projects 6–8 punch-outs with Dave Roberts likely letting Yamamoto work deep enough to get there.

Mills Young is betting Bryce Harper OVER 1 total base (60 % recent hit rate) in his revenge spot against Washington. Harper owns a .310/.423/.639 career slash line versus his former team and, per Statcast, has posted a 47 % hard-hit rate in the last two weeks. Mills is adding a small home-run wager, citing the friendly Citizens Bank Park dimensions and Harper’s .320 ISO at home this year.

Mills Young recommended James Wood to go OVER 1 total base, noting the rookie has cleared that mark in 6 of his past 10 (60 %). Mills is also sprinkling a home-run ticket because Wood’s 42 % hard-hit rate and 111-mph max-EV give him legitimate yard potential in any matchup.

Mills Young said to bet Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to record at least one base and sprinkled a home-run ticket as well. Guerrero has cashed this "total bases" number in 6 of his last 10 games (60 % hit rate) and now gets a plus matchup against what Mills dubbed the “Boston Dead Sox” pitching staff. Boston’s staff owns a bottom-ten hard-hit rate allowed over the past two weeks, and Guerrero has a .547 career slugging percentage at Fenway. Mills expects at least one of his three MLB picks to leave the yard, and Guerrero is his favorite candidate.

Young is backing Elly De La Cruz over 1.5 total bases, a wager that has cashed 60 % of the time this month. Although Cabrera starts for the Marlins, Mills notes the right‑hander will not work all nine innings, and Miami’s middle relief owns a 4.70 ERA. De La Cruz’s elite sprint speed gives him extra paths via infield knocks and doubles. Young is sprinkling on a home‑run prop as well given De La Cruz’s 114 mph max‑exit velocity.

Young likes Edward Cabrera to go over 4.5 strike‑outs, adding he would play 3.5 if alternate markets are available. Cabrera has hit this mark in every appearance so far (100 % clip), including a recent 11‑strike‑out outing in just 6 ⅔ innings. The matchup‑independent swing‑and‑miss stuff—powered by a 96 mph fastball and upper‑80s change‑up—makes the low number attractive even if Cabrera does not pitch deep into the game.

Mills Young advised betting Dustin May over 4.5 strike‑outs against the Cubs. Young noted May regularly racks up two strike‑outs in a single inning and therefore does not need a long leash to cash. Because Dave Roberts rarely lets May pitch past the middle of the fifth, Young stressed that the early‑inning swing‑and‑miss profile is critical. After mistakenly taking an under in May’s previous start, he is correcting course, citing the matchup with a Chicago lineup that has whiffed at a top‑10 clip versus right‑handed four‑seam/curveball combinations.