Young is backing Elly De La Cruz over 1.5 total bases, a wager that has cashed 60 % of the time this month. Although Cabrera starts for the Marlins, Mills notes the right‑hander will not work all nine innings, and Miami’s middle relief owns a 4.70 ERA. De La Cruz’s elite sprint speed gives him extra paths via infield knocks and doubles. Young is sprinkling on a home‑run prop as well given De La Cruz’s 114 mph max‑exit velocity.

Young likes Edward Cabrera to go over 4.5 strike‑outs, adding he would play 3.5 if alternate markets are available. Cabrera has hit this mark in every appearance so far (100 % clip), including a recent 11‑strike‑out outing in just 6 ⅔ innings. The matchup‑independent swing‑and‑miss stuff—powered by a 96 mph fastball and upper‑80s change‑up—makes the low number attractive even if Cabrera does not pitch deep into the game.

Mills Young advised betting Dustin May over 4.5 strike‑outs against the Cubs. Young noted May regularly racks up two strike‑outs in a single inning and therefore does not need a long leash to cash. Because Dave Roberts rarely lets May pitch past the middle of the fifth, Young stressed that the early‑inning swing‑and‑miss profile is critical. After mistakenly taking an under in May’s previous start, he is correcting course, citing the matchup with a Chicago lineup that has whiffed at a top‑10 clip versus right‑handed four‑seam/curveball combinations.