Neil Parker recommended betting Sungjae Im to shoot under 69.5 in Round 1 at Harbour Town, noting he's historically thrived in opening rounds at this event. Im shot 69 or better in 6 of his last 8 rounds at Harbour Town and finished Top 25 in each of his four recent appearances here, including top-tier finishes like T7 (2023) and T12 (2024). Coming off a strong T5 finish at the Masters, where he flashed well-rounded strokes gained metrics, Im offers clear early-round scoring potential for bettors.

Neil Parker identified Max Homa as a worthwhile Top 30 finish wager at Harbour Town, highlighting his turnaround with a T12 finish at the Masters after missing five straight cuts. Homa showcased significant improvements at Augusta, ranking 12th in approach and 4th in putting, two crucial elements for success at Harbour Town. Though his Harbour Town history is modest, Parker views the current form and confidence boost as indicators of betting value for a Top 30 finish.

Neil Parker recommended a Top 20 finish bet on Daniel Berger based on his recent resurgence, with six Top 25 finishes in his last seven events and positive true strokes gained across all categories. Berger's past visits to Harbour Town are also promising, making the cut in five straight appearances highlighted by a T3 in 2020. Parker emphasized Berger's field rankings (13th tee-to-green, 2nd in driving accuracy, 16th in putting) during his current hot stretch, making him a high-confidence wager at the RBC Heritage.

Neil Parker sees value in Russell Henley after an uncharacteristic missed cut at the Masters, largely due to a single poor round. Henley posted impressive second-round tee-to-green rankings (fifth overall) and strong approach metrics (third overall) during his Masters appearance. Henley's history at Harbour Town includes consecutive Top 20 finishes and consistent positive performances in true strokes gained approach in his last four visits.

Neil Parker recommended betting on Patrick Cantlay to win outright at the RBC Heritage, citing his proven track record at Harbour Town with five Top 5 finishes. Cantlay ranks fifth in true strokes gained approach among this field over his last six events, addressing a key skill needed at Harbour Town. Parker noted Cantlay's struggles around the greens at Augusta in the Masters, which is giving bettors an inflated number at +2000 compared to his +1600 line last year, representing clear value at the current odds.

Neil Parker enthusiastically recommended Lucas Glover as a solid top-40 bet at -110 odds on BetMGM, praising his consistency and remarkable late-career resurgence. Neil cited Glover’s two big-time wins in August 2023 and seven top-five finishes since that time. Statistically, he's been stellar, ranking third in true strokes-gained approach, fifth in driving accuracy, and 20th in strokes gained tee-to-green in nearly two years of sustained form. Glover finished T20 at Augusta the previous year with strong putting gains, has ample Augusta experience (11th appearance, made cut 6 of 10 times), and Neil expects his reliability and accuracy to easily secure him a top-40 finish or possibly flirt with another top-20. Neil labels Glover a cash cow in top-finishing position markets and a vastly underrated play for Masters 2025 betting.

Neil Parker loves betting Corey Conners as the top Canadian at +105 odds on DraftKings, citing Conners' impressive history at Augusta National—three consecutive top-10 finishes followed by a rebound T-38 last year which included strong stroke-gain numbers in approach and putting. Neil prominently highlighted Conners’ blazing recent form, entering Augusta with four straight top-10 finishes and ranking third in the field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green during his recent surge. Neil also suggested Conners as a sneaky outright long-shot pick and noted that Canadian sportsbooks frequently offer boosted odds promotions specifically on Conners. He views Conners as a particularly valuable betting pick this weekend.

Neil Parker recommended Russell Henley as his favorite long shot to win the 2025 Masters at enticing odds of +5500. Neil noted Henley's impressive recent form, including winning the Arnold Palmer Invitational—the biggest victory of his career—and making 20 consecutive cuts. Henley ranks top-20 this year in every true strokes-gained category except off-the-tee, primarily due to accuracy over distance, a factor Neil believes won't hurt him significantly at Augusta National. Importantly, Henley has a consistent and strong Masters history, placing top-40 seven straight times, highlighted by a 4th-place finish in 2023. Neil expects a strong showing from Henley, a Georgia native with demonstrated comfort at Augusta.

Neil Parker said Rory McIlroy is clearly his favorite betting pick to win the 2025 Masters, highlighting several compelling reasons. Rory has amassed three worldwide wins plus five additional top-five finishes across his last 11 events since the conclusion of the 2024 PGA season. He's currently leading the tour in adjusted scoring average, and historically he's had exceptional performance at Augusta with seven top-10 finishes. Neil addressed Rory's narrative of major near-misses, countering that Rory consistently contends while others receive praise for similar finishes. Given his phenomenal current form, Augusta track record, and leading metrics, Neil confidently predicts Rory finally completing his career Grand Slam at Augusta this year at +675 odds on Bet365.

Neil Parker advises targeting Lucas Glover as a high-value longshot pick for the Masters at a massive +20000 price, arguing that the market undervalues the veteran's consistently elite ball-striking skills. Although Glover's odds reflect some skepticism, Parker points to recent impressive performances including a T20 finish at the 2024 Masters and a notable resurgence dating to the summer of 2023 that featured back-to-back wins and multiple additional top finishes. Over this extended stretch, Glover ranks third in the field in true strokes gained on approach, fifth in driving accuracy, and top-20 in true strokes gained tee-to-green. His Masters performance last year saw strong putting numbers, ranking 11th in true strokes gained putting. Parker sees ample potential for Glover's boring yet highly efficient fairways-and-greens style to contend again at Augusta, making him an undervalued longshot with serious sleeper appeal and tournament-winning upside.

Betting analyst Neil Parker sees Corey Conners as an enticing sleeper pick for the 2025 Masters, highlighting Conners' impressive tee-to-green game and proven performance at Augusta National. Conners previously earned three consecutive Masters top-10 finishes before an uncharacteristic missed cut in 2023, bouncing back with a solid T38 finish in 2024 where he gained strokes both on approach and on the greens. Coming into Augusta this year, Conners is riding outstanding form, having compiled four consecutive top-10 finishes while gaining true strokes across all five metrics. Crucially, he currently ranks third in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green. Parker also considers the possibility of odds boosts on Conners, potentially offering even greater betting value at the listed +6000 odds. This blend of elite recent form, positive course history at Augusta, and likely enhanced betting odds boosts makes Conners a valuable sleeper selection per Parker.

Neil Parker identified Russell Henley as a valuable sleeper choice to win the 2025 Masters, emphasizing Henley's excellent recent form and his strong history at Augusta. Henley enters the event fresh off the biggest win of his career at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and has impressively made 20 consecutive cuts. Parker highlights Henley's consistent tee-to-green performance, ranking top 20 in every true strokes gained category except off the tee. Even though Henley lacks driving distance, his superior accuracy (seventh in driving accuracy rankings) suits Augusta. Additionally, Henley sports an impressive track record at the Masters, boasting seven consecutive top-40 finishes including a T4 finish in 2023 alongside two additional top-20 performances. Moreover, Henley has gained strokes putting in his last three Masters appearances, ranking 11th in this field in true strokes gained on the greens. Parker strongly recommends considering Henley as a high-upside bet at +5500 due to his combination of stellar recent results, impeccable ball striking, and trusted Augusta track record.

Neil Parker identified Russell Henley as a valuable sleeper choice to win the 2025 Masters, emphasizing Henley's excellent recent form and his strong history at Augusta. Henley enters the event fresh off the biggest win of his career at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and has impressively made 20 consecutive cuts. Parker highlights Henley's consistent tee-to-green performance, ranking top 20 in every true strokes gained category except off the tee. Even though Henley lacks driving distance, his superior accuracy (seventh in driving accuracy rankings) suits Augusta. Additionally, Henley sports an impressive track record at the Masters, boasting seven consecutive top-40 finishes including a T4 finish in 2023 alongside two additional top-20 performances. Moreover, Henley has gained strokes putting in his last three Masters appearances, ranking 11th in this field in true strokes gained on the greens. Parker strongly recommends considering Henley as a high-upside bet at +5500 due to his combination of stellar recent results, impeccable ball striking, and trusted Augusta track record.

Neil Parker is skeptical of Ludvig Aberg’s chances at Augusta due to recent putting struggles. Aberg, who finished second at last year's Masters, has recently missed consecutive cuts—primarily due to losing true strokes on the green in both events. The problems are compounded by inconsistent approach play. Given Augusta’s reliance on precision around challenging greens, Parker sees significant reason for concern this week for Aberg.

Neil Parker endorses Tommy Fleetwood as a compelling Top-Englishman wager for the Masters tournament. Fleetwood rides an impressive 16-tournament made-cuts streak, ranking sixth in Masters field true strokes gained tee-to-green and fourth on approach throughout that stretch. His ability to repeatedly perform in majors, highlighted by a T3 finish in last year's Masters and multiple Top-5 finishes, strengthens confidence in him outperforming fellow countrymen.

Neil Parker expects Jon Rahm to rebound strongly at this year’s Masters. Rahm, the 2023 Masters champion, consistently shines at Augusta National, featuring five Top 10 finishes in his recent Masters history. He has been gaining true strokes consistently during his recent excellent LIV Golf performances. Rahm's stroke gain on approach has been oddly low, leading Parker to argue that statistical regression to the mean suggests Rahm’s approach game will significantly improve at Augusta this week.

Neil Parker advises betting Russell Henley in a head-to-head matchup against Robert MacIntyre at Augusta due to Henley's consistent performance and strong course history. Henley enters having made 20 consecutive cuts, while ranking top 20 in almost every relevant statistical area except off-the-tee, which should matter less due to Augusta's course setup rewarding driving accuracy. Henley's steady record at the Masters—including a T4 in 2023—and recent big win at Arnold Palmer Invitational make him a quality matchup play.

Neil Parker likes Phil Mickelson to finish as the top senior at the Masters tournament. Mickelson started his 2025 LIV Golf season in impressive fashion, landing four straight Top-25 finishes including solo-third in Hong Kong and solo-sixth in Miami. He also arrives with a consistent record at Augusta National, including a T2 finish in 2023, and is currently gaining true strokes across all statistical categories. Parker believes Lefty has plenty left in the tank, making him an ideal choice for this wager.

Neil Parker is down on Xander Schauffele for the 2025 Masters, citing inconsistency since returning from injury. Schauffele struggled significantly with putting recently, notably losing strokes off the tee and on the greens across consecutive events. Although Schauffele historically plays well at Augusta with three recent Top-10 finishes, Parker believes his current shaky form makes him a strong fade candidate in head-to-head matchup markets

Neil Parker recommends betting on Corey Conners as the top Canadian finisher at the Masters, citing his impressive current form that includes four consecutive Top-10 finishes. Conners enters Augusta National riding hot momentum in true strokes gained across the board, particularly ranking third in this Masters field in strokes gained tee-to-green. Despite previous mixed results here, Parker believes Conners is positioned perfectly for success this time around.

Neil Parker likes Justin Thomas in a head-to-head matchup against Xander Schauffele for the Masters. JT ranks third in true strokes gained on approach over his past 14 events, although inconsistent putting limited his finishes initially. However, Thomas's putting has significantly improved in his past two tournaments. Considering Thomas's strong prior performances at Augusta, including Top 10 finishes in 2022 and 2020, Parker sees clear betting value in Thomas over Schauffele.

Neil Parker anticipates Scottie Scheffler will not defend his Masters title successfully. Parker points to Scheffler's concerning short-game metrics heading into Augusta. Although Scheffler managed a strong putting performance at Houston Open, his overall short game has faltered, losing true strokes gained around the greens in four of his six PGA Tour events this year. Compared to his dominant form last year, Scheffler's recent play has notably slipped.

Neil Parker recommends betting Rory McIlroy to win the Masters outright, highlighting that his game is incredibly strong right now. Rory boasts three worldwide victories and five additional Top-5 finishes across his last 11 tournaments, along with the best adjusted scoring average on the PGA Tour. Combining his recent form with a proven track record of seven Top-10 finishes at Augusta National, Parker sees this as the year McIlroy finally captures the elusive career grand slam.

Neil Parker recommended a small speculative bet on Max Homa at long odds of +12500 to win the Valero Texas Open. While acknowledging considerable red flags—Homa's game is currently suffering, having missed four consecutive cuts with only one top-20 finish globally since last May—Parker noted Homa's pedigree as a six-time PGA Tour winner capable of turning things around quickly. Parker cited Homa's encouraging T25 result at this event last year, highlighting Homa's ability to gain strokes across the board at TPC San Antonio. Given the very long odds offered, Parker argued Homa is worth a flier for bettors looking for high-upside potential.

Neil Parker identified Bud Cauley as a strong sleeper pick at +5500 odds to win the Valero Texas Open, highlighting Cauley's remarkable comeback after multiple serious injuries that sidelined him for an extensive period. Cauley enters Valero following back-to-back top 10 finishes at THE PLAYERS Championship and the Valspar Championship. Parker pointed out Cauley's impressive statistical profile: third in adjusted scoring average this season and eighth in the field for true strokes gained tee-to-green over his last 10 events. His past performances at TPC San Antonio include a T10 finish in 2017 and consistent play, including a respectable T39 finish in his return to the event last year. Given his current form and positive history at the course, Cauley offers significant value at these odds.

Neil Parker strongly recommended betting on Si Woo Kim to win the Valero Texas Open at +3700 odds, emphasizing his odds are inflated due to a misleading missed cut at the Houston Open. Parker highlighted Kim's recent consistency tee-to-green, ranking fifth in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green over the five weeks prior to Houston. Despite poor putting last week and missing the weekend cutoff for the first time in five consecutive events, Kim previously demonstrated consistency, finishing top 25 in four of those five events. Additionally, Kim boasts strong historical course form at TPC San Antonio with a T4 finish in 2019 and six straight made cuts at the Valero Texas Open, further supporting his value at current odds.

Neil Parker highlights Max Homa (+12500 odds at Valero Texas Open) as an appealing bet despite his recent struggles. Parker clearly notes the red flags—Homa's four consecutive missed cuts, no significant finishes since last May, and his overall poor current form. Regardless, Parker argues these traits have dramatically increased Homa's odds enough to warrant a speculative bet. He supports this reasoning by citing Homa's pedigree as a six-time PGA Tour winner and his decent performance at the 2024 Valero Texas Open, finishing T25 while gaining true strokes across all key metrics. Parker points out Homa has had two weeks off and could potentially rediscover his top form suddenly, making him an ideal high upside gamble at very long odds.

Neil Parker identifies Bud Cauley as a strong sleeper pick to win at +5500 odds in the Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio. Cauley enters the tournament fresh off two consecutive Top 10 finishes at THE PLAYERS and Valspar, showcasing exceptionally strong form. Parker notes that Cauley's recent play isn't a fluke, pointing out his ranking as third in adjusted scoring average this season and eighth among the Valero field in true strokes gained tee-to-green over his past 10 tournaments. Historically, Cauley has also demonstrated solid performances at TPC San Antonio, highlighted by a T10 finish in 2017, T18 in his 2012 debut, and a respectable T39 last year while still working his way back from major injuries. Considering Cauley's recent hot streak and past success at the course, Parker sees excellent betting value in his current price.

Neil Parker recommends betting on Si Woo Kim at +3700 for the Valero Texas Open, arguing Kim's odds provide great value because last week's missed cut at the Houston Open inflated his price. Parker emphasizes Kim's strong recent performances, including finishing inside the Top 25 in four of the last five events before Houston. Over this stretch, Kim ranked fifth in the field in true strokes gained tee-to-green. Additionally, Kim has a positive history at TPC San Antonio, making six straight cuts at this event—including a T4 finish back in 2019. Parker believes the odds are too high for a player with Kim's consistent excellence from tee-to-green and his proven track record at the course.

Neil Parker forecasts Sepp Straka to shoot under 70.5 strokes in the first round (-110 odds) at THE PLAYERS Championship, based on Straka's current standout form and sound statistical profile. Straka comes to Sawgrass in arguably his career's best shape, having recently finished T9, T65, and T16 at this challenging venue. Parker highlights Straka’s elite ball-striking statistics this season, ranking 10th in true strokes gained tee-to-green, seventh on approach, and seventh in driving accuracy within this field. At the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week, Straka notably posted third-best putting and sixth-best approach metrics. Parker also notes that Straka scored 70 or better in all four rounds at last year's PLAYERS, strengthening confidence in a strong start this week.

Neil Parker favors Aaron Rai for a top-40 finish (-110 odds) at THE PLAYERS Championship, building on Rai’s history and robust recent form. Rai placed T19 and T35 during his previous two trips to Sawgrass, and he now arrives after finishing T4 in Mexico and T11 recently at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. This sustained excellent play includes a win and six additional top-10 finishes since the last THE PLAYERS Championship. Rai currently ranks second in driving accuracy and 16th in true strokes gained tee-to-green in the tournament field, showcasing strong, consistent ball-striking expected to help him navigate this challenging course successfully again.

Neil Parker recommends Hideki Matsuyama to finish top 20 (+140 odds), highlighting Matsuyama’s excellent recent consistency and impressive history at Sawgrass. Matsuyama claimed three notable victories in stacked fields over the past 13 months and enters THE PLAYERS Championship off three consecutive top-25 finishes. Furthermore, he secured solo-fifth and T6 placements over the past two editions of THE PLAYERS Championship. Parker also noted Matsuyama's exceptional long-term event history—in all 10 appearances at TPC Sawgrass, he has gained strokes off-the-tee, and achieved positive strokes gained on approach in nine of 10. Matsuyama’s scrambling percentage (second), bogey avoidance (14th), and adjusted scoring average (10th) this season solidify Parker's conviction in another rewarding Matsuyama performance this week.

Neil Parker sees value in backing Justin Thomas outright (+2200 odds) to win THE PLAYERS Championship, highlighting his elite consistency on approach and historical success at TPC Sawgrass. Thomas, the tournament's 2021 champion, has notably gained strokes on approach in nine straight visits to TPC Sawgrass and across his last twelve tournaments overall, ranking second in THE PLAYERS Championship field over this stretch. Despite a tough weekend recently at Bay Hill, Thomas sits fourth in scoring average and eighth in birdie average this season, and has placed within the top-10 five times in his last eight starts, including two runner-ups and a T3 finish. Parker further mentions Thomas's proven winning track record specifically on Pete Dye-designed courses, suggesting he's entering THE PLAYERS Championship primed to contend for another big victory.

Neil Parker is backing Collin Morikawa outright to capture THE PLAYERS Championship at +1500 odds, emphasizing Morikawa's elite form in recent play. Morikawa comes off a solo-second at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and has recorded nine top-5 finishes since taking the ZOZO Championship in October 2023. Parker noted Morikawa currently paces the prestigious PLAYERS field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and ranks second on approach metrics this season, underscoring his recent top ranking in tee-to-green strokes at Bay Hill. Given these consistently strong underlying metrics, Parker predicts Morikawa will finally secure his fifth PGA Tour win this week at Sawgrass.