For Round 1, Parker played Daniel Berger Under 68.5 at -105 on DraftKings. Berger is a two-time winner at TPC Southwind and added a T2 in 2020 plus a T5 the last time he teed it up here in 2021. Since returning from injury he has gained on approach in four straight starts, ranking fourth in this field in that metric and fourth in driving accuracy, while sitting 19th on Tour in adjusted scoring average. Those indicators point to another fast Southwind start Thursday.

Wyndham Clark Top-20 at +160 (DraftKings) made Parker’s card after a stretch that includes T4 at The Open, T11 at the Scottish Open, and T12 at the 3M. Over that run Clark sits ninth in this field for true strokes gained on approach and seventh with the putter. Parker also cited Clark’s extra motivation to advance deep into the FedEx Cup Playoffs and bolster his American Ryder Cup resume as an intangible edge.

Parker played Corey Conners Top-20 at +120 (DraftKings). Conners shut it down after The Open to let a nagging wrist heal, yet still closed Royal Portrush 10-under on the weekend to finish T10 while ranking first in true strokes gained tee-to-green. Parker expects another clinic with the irons in Memphis and believes a neutral putter is all that stands between the Canadian and another playoff-boosting finish.

Parker recommended Russell Henley at +3000 on FanDuel, noting the Georgia Bulldog has rattled off four straight Top-10 finishes in stacked fields and currently ranks second in this week’s field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and third on approach. Henley also brings two prior Top-10s at Southwind and will be teeing it up here for the eighth time, giving him both current form and course familiarity at a price that Parker views as mis-tagged.

Neil Parker said Xander Schauffele is worth an outright wager at +1600 on DraftKings because his profile lines up perfectly for TPC Southwind. Schauffele finished T2 here last season, arrives on the back of consecutive Top-10s at The Open and the Scottish Open, and is gaining a blistering +2.60 true strokes per round tee-to-green over his last eight rounds. That combination of recent ball-striking and proven course comfort makes Parker confident Schauffele can open the FedEx Cup Playoffs with a win.

Parker fired on Andrew Novak at +9000 after the 29-year-old bounced back with a T11 at the Charles Schwab, finishing 2nd in the field in true strokes gained tee-to-green. That result extends a run of five Top-20 finishes in his last six starts, highlighted by a Zurich Classic team win, a solo 2nd at RBC Heritage, and a T3 at Valero. Over that stretch Novak ranks 7th in this Memorial field in tee-to-green performance. While his putter can be streaky, Parker believes Novak’s proven ability to thrive on difficult setups makes him a live longshot in this limited field.

Neil Parker backed Sepp Straka at +4500 to win the Memorial, arguing oddsmakers have slept on a player who already owns two PGA Tour victories this year and grabbed a T5 here in 2024 while gaining strokes in every category. Since his January win at The American Express, Straka ranks 8th in this limited field in both true strokes gained tee-to-green and driving accuracy, 2nd on approach, and 14th in putting. Season-long marks are just as shiny—4th in adjusted scoring average, 2nd in birdie-or-better rate, and 5th in bogey avoidance—signaling the all-around form needed to tame Jack’s Place.

Parker recommended Tony Finau at +5000, noting this will be Finau’s ninth start at Muirfield Village where he’s logged five Top-15 finishes, including a T8 last year with gains across every strokes-gained bucket. Finau arrives having gained true strokes in all facets in consecutive signature events (T15, T19) and sits 12th in this field both tee-to-green and on approach over that span. With momentum building and nothing but high finishes (five Top-5s) since his last win at the 2023 Mexico Open, Parker sees real outright equity at 50-1.

For Round-1 props, Parker took Jordan Spieth over 2.5 bogeys or worse at -125 on DraftKings. Although Spieth boasts a win and seven additional Top-10s at Colonial, he just missed the cut at the PGA Championship and over the past two events sits 96th in this field on approach and 108th in driving accuracy. His season rank is only 58th in bogey avoidance, and he averages exactly 3.0 bogeys per round across his last two trips to Colonial. Spieth is also 92nd on TOUR in Round-1 scoring average. Parker anticipates a generally better week for the Texan overall, but not without a blemish-filled Thursday card.

Parker played Andrew Novak Top-30 at +137 on bet365 despite last week’s missed cut at Quail Hollow. Before that hiccup, Novak rattled off four strong starts: a Zurich team win, two additional Top-5s, and a T17 at the Truist, gaining true strokes across the board in each. During that window he ranks third in this field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green and 17th in putting. Colonial will be his third appearance, and Parker expects familiarity plus elite recent metrics to produce a solid bounce-back showing inside the top 30.

Parker advised taking Harris English for a Top-30 finish at -105 on DraftKings. English is coming off a career-best T2 at the PGA Championship where he fired a Sunday-low 65 and gained strokes in every facet. Colonial history is encouraging as well: two prior Top-5s and a T12 in 2023. Over his last eight measured rounds he ranks third in the field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green and fifth on approach, while the putter finally clicked with +2.51 strokes-gained on the greens in the PGA finale. Given that combination of course history and recent ball-striking, Parker sees a Top-30 as a high-percentage wager.

Parker suggested a flyer on Ryan Gerard to win at +7000 on FanDuel. Gerard sits 9th on TOUR in adjusted scoring average and 11th in Par-4 scoring, has gained true strokes in every category all season, and backed it up with a solo second at Valero plus seven Top-20s overall. Last week he finished T8 at the PGA Championship, ranking third in true strokes-gained tee-to-green at Quail Hollow. Parker pointed to Gerard’s Korn Ferry and Mackenzie Tour wins as proof he can close and believes the 70-1 price does not reflect his all-around form.

Neil Parker recommended betting Daniel Berger outright at +2500 on DraftKings. Parker noted Berger already lifted the trophy here in 2020, has made 10 straight cuts, and ranks second in this week’s field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green and third on approach over that stretch. The heater includes two Top-5s and six additional Top-25s, all in tougher, top-heavy fields than the one assembled at Colonial. With the event lacking most of the TOUR’s elite names, Parker believes Berger’s elite ball-striking and past comfort on the layout make him undervalued to win.

Neil Parker urged bettors not to overreact to Andrew Novak’s missed cut at the PGA Championship, noting Quail Hollow’s Green Mile derailed plenty of cards. Prior to that hiccup Novak was on fire: a Zurich team win, two additional Top-5s, and a T17 at the Truist while gaining true strokes across the board. Over that span he ranks 3rd in this week’s field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and 17th with the putter. Although his Colonial history is limited, this is his third crack at the track and Parker expects a quick rebound, making the +6500 outright number on FanDuel attractive.

Neil Parker recommended Brian Harman at +6000, arguing the lefty’s Colonial résumé and scorching putter make him a live sleeper. Harman has teed it up at Colonial 12 times with three Top-10 finishes, giving him as much local knowledge as anyone outside the favorites. Since capturing the Valero in early April he has gained true strokes in every category, including five straight events gaining with the flat-stick—good for 11th in this field in true strokes gained putting. Add in his status as a three-time PGA Tour winner and Parker believes the market is underrating his win equity at 60-1.

Neil Parker said Harris English is worth an outright stab at +4000 because the veteran is peaking everywhere but the sportsbook odds board. English followed a T11 at the Truist with a Sunday-low 65 and solo second at the PGA Championship, gaining true strokes in every category over the last two weeks. Inside this watered-down Colonial field he ranks 3rd in true strokes gained tee-to-green and 5th on approach, a profile tailor-made for the positional demands at Colonial. Although the flat-stick was shaky early at Valhalla, English still picked up +2.51 strokes putting in the final round, a sign Parker expects the putter to cooperate again. Course history adds confidence: two prior Top-5 finishes and a T12 last year at Colonial. Parker views that combination of current form, elite ball-striking metrics, and proven track record as mispriced at 40-1.

Neil Parker recommended Harris English at +22500 (Caesars) citing the veteran's consistency on tough tracks. English has made six straight major cuts, including a T12 at this year's Masters, and he has never missed a weekend in six previous Quail Hollow starts. He finished T3 at the 2023 Wells Fargo on this course and ranks eighth in the entire field in true strokes gained putting since winning the Farmers in January. A five-time PGA Tour winner with a reliable flat stick and proven Quail Hollow record, English profiles as a high-ceiling sleeper worth a small outright wager.

Parker labeled Max Homa a live longshot at +17000 on FanDuel thanks to his proven Quail Hollow comfort. Homa captured the 2019 Wells Fargo here and has followed with back-to-back T8 finishes, producing +1.55 true strokes gained per round over that stretch. Although the Californian's overall game has not peaked this season, he just logged a T12 at the Masters, showing flashes of major-championship form. Given his history of gaining across all four strokes-gained categories at this venue, Parker believes the combination of course fit and an inflated price tag makes Homa a smart outright sprinkle.

Neil Parker urged bettors to grab the +9000 outright number on Patrick Reed for the 2025 PGA Championship. Parker pointed to Reed's extensive resume at Quail Hollow: solo 3rd at this year's Masters, runner-up in the 2017 PGA at the same track, plus Top-10 finishes in the 2018 and 2021 Wells Fargo events. The American enters on a heater with seven straight Top-25s (five Top-10s) while gaining true strokes in every major category. Over his last five appearances at Quail Hollow he sits eighth in the field in true strokes gained, and he ranks 20th both tee-to-green and putting during his current form, giving Parker confidence Reed can contend again on a course that clearly suits his eye.

Parker advised laying the ‑115 on Joaquin Niemann to be Top South American in the PGA Championship. The Chilean has three wins in eight LIV starts, will be making his fourth appearance at Quail Hollow, and has gained strokes across the board since his first 2025 victory, ranking eighth tee-to-green and 14th putting in this field during that stretch. His only competition in the market is Jonathan Vegas—who has missed the cut in four of his last six majors—and Nico Echavarria, who missed the cut in his only Quail Hollow start. Given Niemann’s superior form and course familiarity, Parker considers the price a bargain.

Backing Harris English for a Top-40 at +140, Parker cited the veteran’s reliability in majors—six straight made cuts capped by a T12 at the Masters—and his comfort at Quail Hollow, where he has never missed the weekend in six prior appearances and posted a T3 in the 2023 Wells Fargo. English has finished inside the Top-40 in four of his last five starts and is eighth in this field in true strokes gained putting since his Farmers Insurance victory. Parker added that English’s proven success on difficult setups further supports him as a conservative, plus-money play.

Parker called the +140 price on Patrick Reed for a Top-30 finish “enormous” given Reed’s resume. Reed was solo 3rd at this year’s Masters, finished runner-up in the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow, and owns two additional Top-10s at the track (2018 and 2021 Wells Fargo). He’s riding a streak of seven straight Top-25 finishes, five of which were Top-10s, while ranking 20th in this field in both true strokes gained tee-to-green and putting over that span. Reed is also eighth in true strokes gained specifically at Quail Hollow, leading Parker to label the market badly mispriced.

Parker recommended a flier on Corey Conners at +7500 to win outright, noting the Canadian has finished T13 and T8 in his two most recent trips to Quail Hollow and ranks fourth in the field in true strokes gained tee-to-green over his last seven events. Conners has gained strokes off the tee and on approach in each of those seven tournaments and even flipped the usual weakness by gaining strokes putting for the entire run, highlighted by a +2.14 putting performance in the final round of the 2024 Wells Fargo at this venue. Coming off a T11 at the Truist Championship, Parker believes Conners’ elite ball-striking plus trending flat stick give him legitimate sleeper equity.

Neil Parker said Rory McIlroy should be backed at +500 to win the 2025 PGA Championship because Quail Hollow is basically Rory’s personal playground. McIlroy owns four victories and five additional Top-10s in 13 career starts at the course and leads this field in true strokes gained at Quail Hollow over the last five Wells Fargo Championships played here. He arrives on a heater, winning four of his last ten worldwide starts and ranking third in the field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and 10th in putting during that span. Parker acknowledged the difficulty of winning back-to-back majors but argued McIlroy is “playing the best golf on the planet,” making the short price worth swallowing.

Neil Parker wagered on Collin Morikawa to post a Round-1 Top-20 finish at +100, arguing Philadelphia Cricket Club perfectly suits the two-time major champion’s elite iron game. Morikawa enters the week 14th on tour in adjusted scoring average, 4th in birdie-or-better rate, and 8th in bogey avoidance. He’s also gained strokes in every major category this season, ranking 2nd tee-to-green, 1st on approach, and 4th in driving accuracy. Parker expects those strengths to translate immediately on Thursday, creating early leaderboard equity without needing Morikawa to sustain the pace for four days.

Neil Parker took Andrew Novak for a Top-30 finish at -112, citing the rookie’s three-event tear: a victory at the Zurich Classic team event, a solo 2nd at the RBC Heritage, and a T3 at the Valero Texas Open. During that stretch Novak ranks 5th in this field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green and 10th in putting, while also sitting above tour average in adjusted scoring average and bogey avoidance—and he actually leads the entire PGA Tour in putts per round this season. Parker expects the well-rounded form to travel after a week of rest.

Neil Parker played Sam Burns Top 30 at -114, noting the five-time Tour winner has improved his finish three tournaments in a row, capped by a T5 at last week’s Byron Nelson. Although Burns’ season-long ball-striking numbers are down (-0.41 SG approach, ‑0.18 SG tee-to-green vs. last year’s +0.28 and +0.72), he showed progress in both categories at Craig Ranch. Combine that with the fact he leads this entire field in true strokes-gained putting for 2025, and Parker believes a conservative Top-30 ticket lets the red-hot putter do the heavy lifting while limiting risk.

Neil Parker recommended Corey Conners outright at +3200, stating that his modest T49 at the RBC Heritage was likely a post-Masters letdown after finishing T8 at Augusta. Prior to that dip, Conners logged six straight Top-25s including a solo 3rd at the Arnold Palmer and three additional Top-10s. Over that span he ranked 3rd in this field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green, 15th in putting, and 5th in driving accuracy. Parker expects that all-around profile to play perfectly at Philadelphia Cricket Club and sees the Canadian as mispriced relative to the top tier.

Neil Parker backed Tommy Fleetwood at +3000 to win the Truist Championship, arguing the Englishman is knocking on the door of his first PGA Tour victory. Parker pointed out that Fleetwood has made 18 straight cuts, ranks 4th in this field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green and 3rd on approach, and has produced seven Top-10 finishes during that run, most recently a solo 7th in a stacked RBC Heritage. Fleetwood has also gained strokes putting in five of his last seven starts, so Parker believes average work with the flatstick will be enough for the elite ball-striking to carry him into contention on Sunday.

Neil Parker urged bettors to sprinkle on Andrew Novak at +6500, highlighting a confidence-fueled run that includes a team win at the Zurich Classic, a solo 2nd at the RBC Heritage, and a T3 at the Valero Texas Open. Over that three-event sample Novak ranks 5th in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and 10th in putting. Season-long, he also sits above average in adjusted scoring average and bogey avoidance while pacing the PGA Tour in putts per round. Parker believes those metrics translate well to Philadelphia Cricket Club’s demanding layout and make Novak a dangerous sleeper who is still being priced as a journeyman rather than a player in form.

Neil Parker recommended grabbing Sam Burns at +5500, arguing the LSU product is "turning the corner" after a rough stretch. Burns followed three consecutive missed cuts with three progressively better finishes, capped by a T5 at last week’s Byron Nelson where he finally gained strokes both on approach and tee-to-green. Parker compared those numbers to Burns’ 2024 baseline (+0.28 SG:Approach, +0.72 SG:T2G) and emphasized that 2025’s struggles (-0.41/-0.18) are already beginning to reverse. Add in the fact that Burns leads this entire field in true strokes gained putting for the season, and Parker sees a path where even average ball-striking paired with his elite flat stick makes him a live outright ticket in Philly.

Neil Parker said Shane Lowry is worth a stab at +4000 to win the Truist Championship because the Irishman has quietly been one of the steadiest players on Tour. Lowry has made nine straight cuts, logged seven Top-20 finishes during that span, and sits 10th in this elite field for true strokes gained tee-to-green. Parker noted Lowry has gained strokes in every major category over those nine events and owns six worldwide Top-5s since his last solo victory (BMW PGA Championship, Sept. 2022). With the new venue at Philadelphia Cricket Club not offering any course-history edge, Parker believes Lowry’s all-around profile and current confidence give him legitimate win equity at a price that has not yet caught up to the form.

For first-round markets, Parker targeted Cameron Davis as Top Australasian at +240 (bet365). Only four other Australasians are in the field and Davis outranks them all in both DataGolf and FedEx Cup standings. He is 3rd on the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage, a key stat on the low-scoring Craig Ranch layout. Recent form includes a T13 at the RBC Heritage where he ranked 8th in true strokes gained around the green and putting. Parker believes those short-game gains, plus the course’s birdie-friendly setup, point to Davis going low on Thursday and cashing the prop.

Parker recommended Ryo Hisatsune Top-40 at -110 (bet365). The 21-year-old has two Top-5 and two additional Top-20 finishes in his last five worldwide starts, gaining strokes in every category and ranking 19th tee-to-green and 16th in putting among players in this field. Hisatsune sits 17th on the PGA Tour in adjusted scoring average and already owns a DP World Tour victory plus three other worldwide wins. He debuted at the Byron Nelson with a T13 last year, so Parker views a Top-40 ticket as a high-floor way to ride his balanced game and hot form.

Parker advised taking Stephan Jaeger as Top German at +130 on DraftKings. Jaeger has played the weekend in five straight events and ranks 6th in the field in true strokes gained on approach during that run. He owns back-to-back Top-20 finishes at TPC Craig Ranch and has dominated the driver here, pacing the field in true strokes gained off the tee in 2024 and ranking 4th in 2023. While his season-long driving accuracy sits 124th, Parker believes the generous sight lines in Dallas mitigate that weakness and set Jaeger up for another strong finish against a shallow German contingent.

Neil Parker backed Byeong Hun An to win at +2700 (bet365), pointing to a growing comfort level at TPC Craig Ranch: T14 in 2023 followed by T4 last year. An has made five straight cuts and sits 3rd in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green over that stretch. Parker highlighted the South Korean’s improved putting here in 2024, when he gained +0.79 true strokes on the greens to rank 19th for the week, arguing that another warm putter paired with elite ball-striking gives An legitimate winning equity at long odds.

Neil Parker said the first win of 2025 is coming for Scottie Scheffler and recommended betting him outright at +280 on DraftKings. Parker noted that the World No. 1 has posted five Top-10 finishes in eight starts this season, including three straight, and has improved in each of his three trips to TPC Craig Ranch, most recently finishing T5 in 2023. Scheffler leads this week’s field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and ranks 2nd on approach and 10th in putting, gaining strokes in all five metrics. Add in the home-state narrative and Parker believes the course sets up perfectly for a breakthrough victory.

Neil Parker urged bettors to sprinkle Sami Valimaki at +11000 on DraftKings. The Finn brings three straight Top-20 finishes into Dallas, highlighted by a solo fourth at the Houston Open. Across those events, Valimaki ranks first in this field in true strokes gained on approach, eighth tee-to-green, and 26th in putting, having gained with both irons and flat stick every time out. With six worldwide wins already on his resume, Parker views the 26-year-old as far more dangerous than his 110-1 price suggests and a worthy long-shot outright ticket at TPC Craig Ranch.

Parker recommended Ryo Hisatsune at +7500 on FanDuel, citing an impressive recent run that includes two Top-5 and two additional Top-20 finishes in his last five starts. During that stretch, Hisatsune has gained true strokes in every category, ranking 19th tee-to-green and 16th in putting among this week’s field. The 22-year-old already owns four worldwide victories (one on the DP World Tour in 2023) and opened eyes with a T13 in his Byron Nelson debut last year. He is also 17th on the PGA Tour in adjusted scoring average for 2025. Parker believes the balanced profile and demonstrated upside make the Japanese youngster a live outright dart at 75-1.

Neil Parker tabbed Stephan Jaeger as his favorite sleeper outright at +4000 on DraftKings. Parker pointed out that Jaeger owns back-to-back Top-20 finishes at TPC Craig Ranch and arrives with top-tier iron play, ranking sixth in true strokes gained on approach over his past five starts. Although Jaeger sits just 124th in this week’s field in true strokes gained off the tee, Parker is confident the sight lines suit him—Jaeger actually led the entire field in driving at the 2024 Byron Nelson and finished fourth in the same metric in 2023. With five straight made cuts and irons clicking, Parker believes Jaeger is positioned for a career-best showing and offers mispriced win equity at 40-1.

For Round 1, Parker played Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama Top 20 at +110 on bet365. Morikawa is fourth on tour in birdie‑or‑better rate, ninth in bogey avoidance, and ranks first in the field in true strokes gained on approach and second tee‑to‑green—an ideal profile for the opening four‑ball format. Kitayama has struggled in 2025 but was 27th in adjusted scoring last season and owns three prior trips here, including a T23 with Morikawa last year. Parker believes Morikawa’s precision can drag Kitayama along for a hot Thursday start.

Parker also grabbed Garrick Higgo and Ryan Fox Top 20 at +150 on FanDuel. The duo finished T4 last year, and Higgo logged another T4 here in 2022 with a different partner. Higgo arrives fresh off a win at the Corales Puntacana, while Fox, a four‑time DP World Tour champ, is above average this season in adjusted scoring and birdie average. Parker noted their "ham‑and‑egg" chemistry and expects another strong showing at TPC Louisiana.

For a finishing‑position play, Parker took Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin Top 20 at +135 on FanDuel. The Canadians finished solo 2nd in their Zurich debut and solo 10th last year, giving them proven course chemistry. Taylor is enjoying another steady season, and even though Hadwin’s form is lukewarm, both rank above tour average in birdie‑or‑better rate and putting average inside 10 feet. Their course familiarity and birdie potential make a Top‑20 ticket attractive in Parker’s model.

Parker recommended a flier on Jesper Svensson and Niklas Norgaard at +3700 on bet365. Both are DP World Tour winners who thrive in low‑scoring environments: Svensson ranks 12th in the field in driving distance and 11th in both true strokes gained off‑the‑tee and putting, while Norgaard sits second in distance, eighth off‑the‑tee, and 28th with the flat stick. They are 11th and 14th in birdie average this PGA season, leading Parker to project fireworks in the four‑ball rounds (1 and 3) where aggressive scoring is rewarded.

Neil Parker backed Aaron Rai and Sahith Theegala to win the Zurich Classic at +2800 on Caesars. Parker likes how their games complement each other: Rai has gained true strokes in every category this season and owns three straight Top‑25 finishes at TPC Louisiana, highlighted by a T4 in 2022. Theegala’s irons have come alive, gaining strokes tee‑to‑green and on approach in back‑to‑back starts, and Parker believes Rai’s steadiness will free him up to hunt flags. With four previous appearances here and a birdie‑heavy profile, Parker sees plenty of upside at long odds.

Calling it a true lottery ticket, Parker still sprinkled on Nick Watney and Charley Hoffman at massive +30000 odds. The Californians will tee it up together for the eighth time and have made the weekend in six of their last seven Zurich appearances, cashing five Top‑20 finishes—including T19 in 2023 and T11 in 2024. Although Watney failed to regain full PGA Tour status this fall and recently missed the cut in Punta Cana, Parker emphasized the duo’s comfort with TPC Louisiana’s sight lines and with each other in alternate‑shot situations. He added that an ‘out‑of‑nowhere’ team won this event just two years ago, making these odds worth a sprinkle, and suggested pairing the outright with a Top‑20 wager at +475 to mitigate risk.

Parker recommended betting Garrick Higgo and Ryan Fox at +4000, pointing to a blend of sizzling form and proven chemistry. The South African‑Kiwi tandem finished T4 at last year’s Zurich, and Higgo also grabbed a T4 here in 2023 alongside Branden Grace. Higgo arrives hot after winning the Corales Puntacana Championship last week, while Fox carries four DP World Tour titles and sits above tour average in both adjusted scoring and birdie average. Parker believes those complementary skill sets allow them to ‘ham‑and‑egg’ their way to another top‑tier finish—and possibly an outright victory—on a course that historically rewards aggressive birdie makers in Four‑ball and steady ball‑striking in Foursomes.

Neil Parker said the Canadian pairing of Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin is mis‑priced at +4000 to win the Zurich Classic. The duo has teed it up together at TPC Louisiana the past two years and produced a solo‑second in 2023 and a solo‑10th in 2024, giving them one of the best recent course résumés in the entire field. Parker noted both players rank above the PGA Tour average in birdie‑or‑better percentage and in putting average from inside 10 feet, two stats that are amplified in the Four‑ball portions of this event. While he conceded Hadwin’s overall form lags behind Taylor’s this season, the shared familiarity with the unique partner format and the track’s greens makes the Canadians a live outright ticket at 40‑1.

Neil Parker recommended betting Sungjae Im to shoot under 69.5 in Round 1 at Harbour Town, noting he's historically thrived in opening rounds at this event. Im shot 69 or better in 6 of his last 8 rounds at Harbour Town and finished Top 25 in each of his four recent appearances here, including top-tier finishes like T7 (2023) and T12 (2024). Coming off a strong T5 finish at the Masters, where he flashed well-rounded strokes gained metrics, Im offers clear early-round scoring potential for bettors.

Neil Parker identified Max Homa as a worthwhile Top 30 finish wager at Harbour Town, highlighting his turnaround with a T12 finish at the Masters after missing five straight cuts. Homa showcased significant improvements at Augusta, ranking 12th in approach and 4th in putting, two crucial elements for success at Harbour Town. Though his Harbour Town history is modest, Parker views the current form and confidence boost as indicators of betting value for a Top 30 finish.

Neil Parker recommended a Top 20 finish bet on Daniel Berger based on his recent resurgence, with six Top 25 finishes in his last seven events and positive true strokes gained across all categories. Berger's past visits to Harbour Town are also promising, making the cut in five straight appearances highlighted by a T3 in 2020. Parker emphasized Berger's field rankings (13th tee-to-green, 2nd in driving accuracy, 16th in putting) during his current hot stretch, making him a high-confidence wager at the RBC Heritage.