Nick Giffen likes the 10-to-1 price on Sam Darnold to lead the league in interceptions. He expects Seattle to trail more than last year’s Minnesota squad, forcing Darnold to throw despite Clint Kubiak’s run-centric philosophy. Kubiak’s Saints actually passed at a higher rate and played faster when behind than Minnesota did, so volume should remain high. Darnold tied for the NFL lead with 24 turnover-worthy plays in 2024 yet threw only 12 interceptions—four fewer than Baker Mayfield and Kirk Cousins—so regression is coming. He also swaps Minnesota’s 16th-ranked pass-blocking unit for Seattle’s 25th, adding pressure-induced mistakes to the mix. If he starts all 17 games, Giffen projects mid-teens picks and calls 10-1 “a gift.”