OddsTrader’s AI Model projected Blake Dunn for just 0.368 hits while Caesars is hanging a 0.5-hit line at ‑109. The model’s fade is backed by Dunn’s ugly profile against right-handed pitching: a .000 ISO and .221 wOBA over his last 28 righty matchups, 28.6% strikeout rate, and a ground-ball rate north of 53% in the past 30 days. His fly-ball and hard-contact rates both sit at a meager 13.3%, driving a .200 BABIP. He now faces Spencer Schwellenbach, who is suffocating righties with a .088 ISO, .240 wOBA, 57% ground-ball rate, sub-10% fly-ball rate, 25% K% and only 4.1% walks. The matchup and Dunn’s contact profile make the Under on 0.5 hits a value play.

The AI Model pegs Nolan Schanuel for just 0.854 total bases, yet his prop is 1.5 TB with the Under juiced to ‑190. Schanuel is the Angels’ only true left-handed bat versus righties and has struggled: .145 ISO, .303 wOBA, only 32.7% hard contact, a 5.8% barrel rate and a .240 BABIP over his last 72 right-handed plate appearances. He draws Chris Bassitt, who has held his first 89 lefties to a .188 ISO and .341 wOBA while posting a 26% strikeout rate and minimal walks. With mediocre underlying power and a pitcher who pounds the zone, the model recommends fading Schanuel’s 1.5 total-bases line.

OddsTrader’s model forecasts only 0.293 total bases for Michael Conforto, making the +140 Under on 0.5 total bases attractive. Conforto owns a brutal split against his last 76 righties: .000 ISO, .149 wOBA, 31.6% K-rate, 55% ground-ball rate, 15% line-drive rate, 0% barrels and a .100 BABIP—numbers that threaten his roster spot. He faces Brandon Pfaadt, who limits lefties to 42.5% grounders, 16.2% fly balls, a 23% strikeout rate and just 3.5% walks despite allowing a .217 ISO. Given Conforto’s severe lack of lift and hard contact, the model backs the Under at plus odds.