Pat Fantasy Dog Pound celebrated nabbing Jonnu Smith at pick 170, calling it the perfect way to patch a thin tight-end room while adding correlation juice. Smith slipped nearly a full round past ADP in this lobby, and Pat admitted he carried only 1.3% exposure beforehand, so the value was double—closing-line equity plus portfolio diversification. He also loved that Smith gives him a Week-16 bring-back against Detroit for his Amon-Ra St. Brown/Jared Goff stack, turning a normally bland TE selection into a mini-game stack that could matter in Underdog’s money weeks. Pat sees very little risk at the price: if Smith’s usage in Mike McDaniel’s two-tight-end looks holds, the veteran can pop for a 15-point spike, and if not, the late pick barely dents roster construction.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound voiced real discomfort with RJ Harvey’s recent price hike, noting that the UCF rookie is now going ahead of veteran names such as Travis Etienne in some Underdog rooms. Pat’s average exposure sits only "right above ADP" because, in his words, "the new price throws me for a loop." He pointed out that four comparable backs were still on the board when Harvey went off, meaning drafters are paying a premium without a clear workload guarantee. Pat is willing to click Harvey when he drifts, but at the current cost he labels the pick "sketchy" and prefers pivoting to cheaper backs or waiting for the next tier.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound dismissed the idea that Rashee Rice’s looming league discipline could drop right in the middle of Underdog’s Week-16 or Week-17 playoff rounds. He said he is "planning on them getting it done before that" and therefore is not letting the suspension timeline scare him off drafting Rice at his current early-fourth-round price. Pat framed the worry as a leverage opportunity: if social-media chatter pushes a narrative that the decision might be delayed until December, he will happily buy the dip because he expects the NFL to announce a ruling well before best-ball rosters lock for the money weeks.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound has ramped his Daniel Jones exposure from roughly 1-2 percent to 8 percent this week, calling it a pure playing-time arbitrage on Anthony Richardson. Pat views the odds of Jones starting more games than Richardson as a "coin flip," especially for the critical Week 17 best-ball finals, yet Jones is drafted multiple rounds later. Because Jones offers rushing upside and can be stacked cheaply with late-round Colts pass-catchers, Pat considers him an ideal QB2 in two-quarterback builds that prioritize extra roster spots for skill-position darts. He emphasized that even a league-average passing season paired with 500 rushing yards would make Jones a smash at his current ADP if Richardson misses time again.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound acknowledged he almost never drafts Kyle Pitts—only 4.6 percent exposure across all Underdog tournaments—but grabbed a share here because he loves Atlanta’s fantasy-playoff schedule. The Falcons face two projected bottom-10 pass defenses in Weeks 16-17, and Pat already had significant capital in the Atlanta backfield, making Pitts a natural leverage piece for a correlated ceiling. He argued that, at Pitts’ post-hype ADP, drafters can get an athletic tight end with genuine 25-point spike-week potential without sacrificing early-round equity. Pat’s plan is to sprinkle Pitts only when the rest of his roster already leans into Atlanta’s dome-game stretch, turning a low-owned tight end into a playoff differentiator.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said he is now a "big fade" on Najee Harris after being a borderline truther last season. His main concern is that the Chargers have, in his words, "upgraded the running back room—there’s a better running back there now," cutting directly into Harris’s early-down volume and goal-line equity. Pat stressed that paying Najee’s current price makes no sense when the coaching staff just signaled they want more explosiveness at the position. He is reallocating those mid-round picks to backs like J.K. Dobbins or Zach Charbonnet, whom he feels offer comparable upside without the depth-chart threat Harris now faces.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound is fading Davante Adams at his current second-/third-round ADP, holding just 2.7 % exposure. He thinks drafters are paying near-ceiling for a receiver who turns 33 in December and is therefore staring at a potential age cliff. Pat contrasted Adams with Stefon Diggs—who goes in the 70s—arguing that missing on a Round-6 pick won’t wreck your portfolio, but whiffing on a top-30 selection "gets your feelings hurt." Unless Adams posts a season large enough to vault him back into next year’s second round, Pat sees little room for profit and would rather redirect that capital toward younger, higher-leverage swings.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound explained exactly where he is willing to take Rashee Rice in Best Ball Mania depending on the eventual league discipline. He has Rice slotted in the "Flowers range" around pick 50 because the consensus expectation is a four-game suspension that could be appealed down to three. If it ends up five or six games, Pat would slide Rice to the late-fourth or early-fifth, but anything shorter keeps the Chiefs’ WR1 firmly in that early-fourth pocket "right in the Terry range." Pat reminded viewers that playoff-week upside with Patrick Mahomes is worth the temporary hole in Weeks 1-4 and urged drafters to pull the trigger before the public settles on a firmer timeline.

Answering a redraft question, Pat Fantasy Dog Pound advised selecting Puka Nacua over Malik Nabers at the 1.07 in 10-team PPR leagues once the elite six are off the board. Pat conceded Nabers probably carries the higher season-long ceiling but pointed out that Nacua offers a much higher weekly floor thanks to his established chemistry with Matthew Stafford and a clarified offensive role. Nabers, by contrast, must adapt to an offense that could toggle between Russell Wilson and Jaxson Dart in-season, creating early volatility. For managers chasing both stability and upside after the top tier is gone, Pat believes Nacua’s bankable target volume makes him the smarter pick.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound urged drafters not to abandon Keenan Allen even though the veteran still lacks a 2024 team. Allen’s ADP has cratered into the late-round wilderness, yet Pat argued any signing instantly propels him above Adam Thielen, DeMario Douglas, Jalen McMillan, and Romeo Doubs. He believes Allen would outscore every wideout currently drafted in that range on simple target-earning ability alone. The risk is binary—retirement versus a new contract—and Pat is willing to eat that downside because the moment a beat writer leaks that Allen inked a deal, closing-line value evaporates. His plan is to hammer Allen now, then back off once the market reprices him post-signing.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound named Rico Dowdle as the late-round running back most likely to swing his Best Ball Mania bankroll. Dowdle is routinely available in the 130–180 overall range, costs almost nothing against ADP, and offers contingent value as the clear RB2 if an injury sidelines starter Chuba Hubbard. Pat emphasized that even drafters who believe Dowdle’s regular role will be small should care about the asymmetric payoff: one injury vaults him into weekly-starter territory while preserving roster flexibility elsewhere today. Because of that low opportunity cost–high ceiling combo, Dowdle is Pat’s favorite way to load up on cheap backfield leverage.

Asked which training camp would provide the biggest best-ball edge, Pat Fantasy Dog Pound immediately chose Jacksonville. He pointed to the Jaguars’ three-headed backfield and noted the market has no consensus on who will get meaningful touches. Pat expects whichever runner flashes with the first-team offense to see an immediate ADP spike. Until that information surfaces, he is treating all three as price-sensitive one-off bets, grabbing whichever name slips past ADP rather than planting a hard flag. Real-time camp intel, in his view, could translate directly into closing-line value once the depth-chart picture sharpens.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound smashed George Kittle at pick 46 and celebrated getting what he called "that old-school price." Earlier in the offseason Kittle rarely slipped out of the late-30s, so catching him in the mid-40s represents nearly a full-round discount. Pat believes scooping Kittle whenever he dips into that range lets drafters lock in a proven, week-winning tight end while freeing earlier capital for wide-receiver swings. His thesis is simple: elite TE production at a fourth-round cost tilts roster construction in your favor and still leaves plenty of ceiling for the rest of the build.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound believes the market is mispricing Quentin Johnston, saying he ‘goes a little too late’ in what he calls the wide-receiver dead zone. Because that pocket often forces drafters into floor-only slot options, Pat is happily scooping Johnston—along with Cedric Tillman—whenever he needs ceiling at that juncture. The thesis is straightforward: Johnston’s athletic profile and spike-week potential fit best ball better than the low-aDOT chain movers typically drafted around him, and the opportunity cost in that ADP neighborhood is minimal.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound is actively building a Diggs position at an average pick of 76, arguing the discount exists solely because drafters are nervous about off-field drama and whether he’ll be on the field Week 1. Pat’s plan is simple: milk the value until a ‘positive training-camp headline’ inevitably vaults Diggs back to his rightful ADP range in the 50s, then stop drafting once the crowd pays full freight. He framed it as a classic risk-reward play—if the camp reports are good you bank immediate closing-line value; if they’re not, you at least took the shot while he was priced for pessimism.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound advised scooping Luther Burden while he still sits in the injury discount window. Burden’s ADP took a noticeable dive after word got out that he would be sidelined, but Pat expects ‘a small bump’ the moment reporters tweet that Burden has returned to practice. Given the current price already ‘actually seems pretty good,’ Pat sees minimal downside unless a setback keeps him out deeper into August, and he doubts the market will let Burden stay this cheap once positive participation footage surfaces.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said he has inched Jauan Jennings up roughly three slots in his personal ranks after the Brandon Aiyuk injury update. His logic is that any time Aiyuk misses practice reps Jennings immediately slides into the primary boundary-receiver role opposite Deebo, giving him a clear spike-week path in Underdog’s eliminator rounds. Pat warned that the public will probably double-count the injury blurb over the next 48 hours, which could push both George Kittle and Jennings several ADP spots higher. He is still buying now, calling Jennings ‘dare I say better in the eliminator right now,’ but plans to back off once the crowd finishes chasing the news.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound highlighted Colston Loveland as one of his favorite tight-end stabs in the double-tap range. Loveland’s price cratered to pick 132 when news broke that he might miss camp, down from an early post-draft high of 110. Pat noted the market has already corrected four spots upward as whispers grow that Loveland could, in fact, be ready for camp. He expects a sharper jump if a full-go report drops and believes the only scenario Loveland gets cheaper is a new re-injury headline. Because that same tier is ‘loaded with Kraft, Njoku, Warren, a lot of tight ends,’ Pat likes scooping Loveland now to lock in the potential closing-line value before the room notices.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Omarion Hampton is the next big climber on Underdog’s 2025 Rookie & Sophomore board. Hampton is already showing up at the 3-4 turn, and Pat has seen him sneak into the early third in sharper rooms. Pat believes that price still understates Hampton’s profile and expects him to rise "several rounds" once the broader market catches on, likening the situation to previous preseason risers that punished drafters who waited. Because Pat often opens drafts with elite quarterbacks, he admitted he has missed some Hampton shares but is now willing to pay the new sticker price rather than risk being completely shut out. His advice was simple: Hampton "always sort of belonged in that range" and is "one of the players you don’t want to miss," so get your exposure now before the ADP rocket takes off.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called the combination of Dak Prescott, Jordan Love, and Trevor Lawrence a ‘really nice three-QB combo’ because all three are routinely slipping past ADP in Underdog drafts. By scooping each signal-caller a round late, Pat expects to build stacks (Dak–CeeDee Lamb, Love–Christian Watson/Romeo Doubs, Lawrence–Calvin Ridley/Christian Kirk) that come in materially lower-owned than rooms paying sticker price. He views the trio as perfect for a three-quarterback construction: Prescott provides weekly ceiling after finishing 2023 as QB3 in fantasy points per game, Love closed last year with a 21:4 TD-INT ratio over his final eight starts, and Lawrence offers rushing equity plus a Week-17 dome game in Jacksonville. The ADP discount not only frees early capital for wide receivers and running backs but also sets up unique playoff correlations that most of the field simply won’t have.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound pumped the brakes on Jordan Mason at his current Best Ball Mania cost. Pat said drafters are ‘hoping Mason is the short-yardage guy’ but he doubts the 49ers hand that role over completely, noting Mason and Tyrion Davis-Price (the ‘Team Sherman’ back Pat prefers) are being drafted within a few picks of each other despite identical contingent paths. Because Mason’s only real outs are vulturing the occasional goal-line carry or benefitting from a Christian McCaffrey injury, Pat believes his ADP should sit closer to Zach Charbonnet’s ~120 range rather than the top-100 pocket where he now goes. Until the market corrects, Pat is trimming exposure and treating Mason as a portfolio sprinkle at best, not a core late-round target.

In Underdog’s six-man Badge Bros Brawl where the player pool cuts off at pick 103, Pat Fantasy Dog Pound highlighted Dak Prescott as a uniquely low-owned stacking partner for CeeDee Lamb. Because Dak’s usual ADP sits around 111—just outside the contest’s draftable range—most Lamb drafters can’t pair them without reaching. Pat plans to exploit that gap: any time he starts with Lamb, he’ll "have Dak almost every time" in the late rounds, guaranteeing a correlation that few lineups can replicate. He noted Prescott still finished 2023 as the QB3 in fantasy points per game and led the league in red-zone pass attempts, so the upside remains intact. The strategy play: reach a half-round if needed to secure Dak, creating a differentiated Lamb stack that the field simply won’t have in a contest this shallow.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said snagging Jordan Addison at pick 74 is "getting him at true value" because that’s roughly where Addison would sit if today’s rumor of a possible three-game disciplinary action (unrelated to Addison himself) were priced in. Pat expects the sophomore to be fully ramped by the fantasy playoffs and pointed out that in Weeks 14-18 last year Addison averaged 7.1 targets and 14.6 fantasy points despite playing through several minor injuries. With Justin Jefferson commanding bracket coverage and T.J. Hockenson still working back from ACL surgery, Pat projects Addison to operate as Minnesota’s de-facto chain-mover during the all-important Best Ball playoff weeks. His bottom line: click Addison whenever he drifts into the mid-70s, lock in WR3 production early, and bank on an ADP rise once suspension noise settles.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said the medical reports on Anthony Richardson’s surgically-repaired throwing shoulder look fine, so the only question is efficiency, not health. Pat reminded viewers that in Richardson’s limited rookie snaps he averaged 0.80 fantasy points per drop-back and logged three top-12 weekly finishes in barely two full games of action. He put Richardson’s ceiling at a "25 percent chance to finish as a top-three quarterback on any week he starts" thanks to elite red-zone rushing and designed-run volume. The flip side is that Richardson completed just 59 percent of his passes and posted a 4.9% completion-percentage over expectation, so Pat is fading Indy pass catchers in the same builds. His advice for Best Ball Mania: treat Richardson as a standalone, high-volatility QB1—great in a two-QB room where you don’t need stacking partners to pay off, but be cautious about hitching wide-receiver exposure to him unless camp reports show real passing growth.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called Daniel Jones a no-brainer dart at pick ~200. He expects Jones to open the season as Indianapolis’ starter while Anthony Richardson’s shoulder remains a question mark, forecasting a "ping-pong" scenario where Richardson plays only a handful of games before ceding the job back. Pat likes the environment: a much better offensive line than Jones had in New York, Jonathan Taylor in the backfield (he noted Jones’ fantasy production nearly doubled whenever Saquon Barkley was active with the Giants), plus pass-catchers Michael Pittman, Josh Downs and Alec Pierce to stretch the field. If Jones simply hangs onto the gig through the fantasy playoffs, Pat thinks his rushing floor and upgraded supporting cast could make him one of the highest-ROI quarterbacks in the entire late-round bucket.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said he purposely clicked J.J. McCarthy over Jared Goff because this particular Best Ball Mania roster is already jam-packed with Vikings pieces. He admitted McCarthy is unlikely to outscore Goff on raw projection but argued that if Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and the rest of the Minnesota stack are going to carry the squad through Weeks 15-17, the rookie quarterback has to be the one delivering those points. In Pat’s words, "we need Minnesota to be perfect," so the correlated ceiling McCarthy provides is worth more than Goff’s safer floor in an uncorrelated offense. It’s the classic playoff-weeks game-theory bet—take the lower ADP passer who can fully unlock an existing stack rather than chase isolated production.

After two straight years of mostly fading him, Pat Fantasy Dog Pound is back in on Patrick Mahomes at his current draft cost. He loves that you can pair Mahomes with Travis Kelce far later than in previous Best Ball Mania seasons and declared, "Mahomes is going to pay out his ADP this year. I’m calling it now." Pat didn’t drop specific stats, but his thesis is simple: Mahomes finally comes at a non-premium price while still carrying week-winning ceiling, and the inexpensive Mahomes-Kelce stack instantly differentiates builds if Rashee Rice’s suspension pushes ownership toward other Kansas City pieces.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound thinks the market has gotten out over its skis on J.J. McCarthy. He noted that McCarthy routinely goes off the board before Justin Herbert and Jordan Love, which Pat called "a little weird." In his personal ranks the rookie would sit behind both veterans—maybe only a spot ahead of C.J. Stroud—because he still has to prove NFL efficiency and may start the season behind Sam Darnold. Pat’s advice is to wait for a price drop or simply take the more bankable production from Herbert or Love in that tier.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called TreVeyon Henderson “a little expensive” at his mid-round ADP. Even though Henderson profiles as a big-play back, Pat expects only about 12 touches per game while Rhamondre Stevenson is still firmly in the mix. He also questioned whether New England’s rebuilt offensive line—"some Elmer’s glue and a prayer"—will create enough rushing efficiency to support two fantasy-relevant backs in what he labeled a clear rebuild year. Pat likes Henderson’s spike-week upside but thinks the price should drop a full round before he starts clicking the rookie as anything more than a portfolio sprinkle in Best Ball Mania.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Stefon Diggs is his single-highest-owned player because the market is still sleeping on how clean the situation looks. Diggs is already taking full reps in camp and Pat thinks an official "full-go for Week 1" report is coming any day. Until that happens his ADP sits at an absurd discount for a team that is, in Pat’s words, "desperate for a wide-receiver one." He ran through the depth chart—Demario Douglas, Mack Hollins, Kayshon Boutte, Kendrick Bourne, a pair of Day-3 rookies—and called it "gross," arguing that target competition is basically non-existent. The cheap price also creates easy stacks with rookie quarterback Drake Maye and even Derrick Henry for playoff-week correlation. Pat’s bottom line: keep smashing Diggs in the 30s and 40s before the inevitable news bump drags him up a full round in Best Ball Mania.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound remains interested in rookie wideout Pat Bryant as a Round-17/18 flier while his average draft position hovers around pick 190. Pat noted he already owns 6.3 percent Bryant exposure and believes the only significant risk is an unexpected Keenan Allen retirement or contract snag, a scenario he calls "very low-probability." At the current price Bryant offers cheap access to Caleb Williams’ passing upside and could emerge as a perimeter complement to DJ Moore if Allen shows his age. Pat’s plan is to sprinkle Bryant into builds that already feature plenty of ceiling at receiver—enough shares to benefit from a breakout, but not so many that a quiet rookie season tanks portfolio EV.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound urged drafters to pump the brakes on Marvin Mims at his current triple-digit ADP. He pulled up Denver’s 2023 snap counts to show that Sean Payton routinely rotated five wide receivers, leaving Mims on the field for only 30 percent of snaps even during his late-season hot streak. Courtland Sutton remains the lone full-time option, so Mims needs both a role change and a playing-time jump to justify costs in the 120s. Pat believes that bet is too thin relative to other wideouts in the same range and is trimming his exposure until the market discounts Mims to reflect the uncertain playing time.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Daniel Jones is one of the sneakiest quarterback clicks in Underdog’s new Eliminator contest. With Anthony Richardson already dealing with another throwing-shoulder issue—the same injury that wiped out most of his rookie year—Pat expects Indy’s offense to start slowly and sees Jones as the safer bet to give you weekly points. Because Eliminator payouts begin in Week 5, early production matters more than in Best Ball Mania, and Jones’ combination of rushing floor and occasional ceiling games fits that bill. Pat likes pairing him with Jonathan Taylor and Michael Pittman as a Week 17 Giants-Colts correlation while their prices remain palatable. He predicted Jones’ 160-plus ADP will climb once drafters realize he’s likely locked in for a full season of starts while Richardson’s timeline stays murky.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound couldn’t pass on Bo Nix when the rookie quarterback fell 19 picks past ADP. He views that type of discount as low-risk, high-reward portfolio leverage: Nix supplies uncorrelated spike-week upside and creates a unique roster construction since most drafters won’t have him paired with a popular Drake Maye–Stefon Diggs stack. Pat emphasized that banking falling values like this is critical in Best Ball Mania, especially at quarterback where late-round volatility already runs high. His rule of thumb: any time a starter-caliber QB slides more than a round, click the name and sort out stacking later—Nix personifies that principle.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound grabbed Travis Kelce at pick 121 and called the veteran tight end a screaming value while the market obsesses over Rashee Rice’s looming suspension. Pat argued the Rice turmoil funnels even more middle-of-the-field work to Kelce, yet drafters have not adjusted his price. He believes Kelce’s ADP "has to go up" once everyone realizes the Chiefs may open the season with an unproven wide-receiver group. Last year Kelce still owned a 23 % target share despite missing a game and posting an unusually low five touchdowns; Pat expects positive TD regression and a potential 25 % target share if Rice is out. Until Kelce’s cost climbs back toward the late first/early second, Pat is happy to scoop him any time he slips into the 100-plus range as a ceiling play that differentiates Best Ball Mania builds.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound highlighted rookie Adonai Mitchell as a home-run swing worth prioritizing in the final rounds. Although Mitchell currently sits fourth on the Colts’ depth chart, Pat argued his ceiling eclipses veterans like Darius Slayton once he earns consistent snaps. Pat is already 25 % exposed and believes that if Mitchell can secure playing time and receive even competent quarterback play, he would "absolutely smash." The bet is purely contingent—Mitchell needs either an injury ahead of him or rapid development—but Pat thinks the combination of rookie talent and potential target vacuum in Indianapolis makes the risk-reward calculus a no-brainer for Best Ball Mania teams hunting unique, late-season spike weeks.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound called Darius Slayton a "super boring" yet serviceable late-round selection whose fantasy ceiling is capped. Pat cited Vegas projections of just 2.5 spike weeks over 16 fantasy points and admitted he would likely take the under. While acknowledging that improved deep-ball quarterback play could nudge Slayton’s numbers up, Pat does not see any plausible path for the veteran’s 2025 ADP to climb into the 130s. In his view, Slayton is merely a safe floor play you mix in when your Best Ball roster already has plenty of high-ceiling wideouts and you just need occasional points, not a league-winner.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound purposely grabbed Mark Andrews around pick 106—about a round ahead of consensus—arguing the micro-reach is not minus-EV. The alternative options in that range are low-ceiling RB2s, whereas Andrews gives elite tight-end upside and instantly differentiates roster construction. Because Andrews rarely falls to pick 120, Pat views the early click as an inexpensive way to secure a top-5 TE, free himself to hammer wide receivers later, and build a more unique, high-ceiling Best Ball Mania team tied to Lamar Jackson’s still-explosive passing attack.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Jalen McMillan finally makes sense now that his ADP has cratered from 105 to the 170 range. McMillan is a classic contingency bet: he only needs one of the “olds”—Mike Evans or Chris Godwin—to miss time for him to step into real volume. Pat reminded listeners that Evans’ hamstring “pops up every year,” creating a credible path to early-season snaps and spike weeks in a Buccaneers offense that still leans pass-heavy. At this depressed cost, Pat is comfortable grabbing McMillan as a Round-17/18 flier who can pay off big if Tampa’s veteran receivers break down.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound told drafters to pump the brakes on Buffalo’s wide-receiver room. He is “pretty confident” no clear alpha emerges after Stefon Diggs’ exit, leaving Khalil Shakir, rookie Keon Coleman, Curtis Samuel and assorted role players to cannibalize one another’s targets. Rather than paying up and trying to guess who pops, Pat prefers either fading the group entirely or sprinkling in just one—never more than two—of the cheapest Bills pass catchers on a roster. He views that approach as higher advance-rate EV than burning draft capital on a player whose weekly ceiling is capped by a committee.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said he is "completely fine" with Jordan Addison’s current cost but is deliberately drafting slightly ahead of ADP because he expects the sophomore wideout to drift even lower. Pat doesn’t view Addison as a poor advance-rate play—the Vikings passing volume and T.J. Hockenson’s injury timeline should keep Addison’s early-season targets intact—but he believes drafters will let him slip, creating an opportunity to stack him cheaper with Minnesota pieces or opposing Week-17 correlations. The plan: don’t reach, let the room give him to you.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound urged drafters to scoop Xavier Worthy while his price is still in the low-40s. He expects Worthy’s ADP to jump into the 30s over the next 7–10 days as the market bakes in a multi-game Rashee Rice suspension. Pat highlighted that Worthy went at pick 42 in his draft despite being the next man up for Patrick Mahomes targets if Rice misses time, and he called the rookie "definitely a riser" given the incoming volume and spike-week profile. Act now before the market corrects.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Rashee Rice is now a value after the legal-related suspension chatter pushed his ADP from 21 back into the 40-52 range. Pat is working off a four-game suspension assumption—"four is sort of where I'm going to land in my brain"—and thinks that at that price Rice should slot right behind Jaylen Waddle, DeVonta Smith, and Zay Flowers and still ahead of Terry McLaurin, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and other tier-three wideouts. He noted that drafters "don't really care about Weeks 1-3" in Best Ball Mania and pointed out that any appeal could trim the ban to three games. With playoff weeks in mind, Pat views a fifth-round Rice as a classic risk-reward smash who could become a unique differentiator in BBM6 finals if the suspension falls early and the Chiefs' WR1 upside hits.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound told viewers to lean into Atlanta stacks because the Falcons draw a cupcake playoff run: Week 15 at Tampa Bay, Week 16 at Arizona, and Week 17 home in their own dome against the Rams. Two dome games plus three defenses that all ranked bottom-half in explosive-pass rate allowed last season sets up a track-meet environment for Drake London, Bijan Robinson, and whoever wins the quarterback job. Pat thinks the weather-proof schedule and likely shoot-out in Glendale give Atlanta pieces underrated Week 17 winning equity in Best Ball Mania.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said recent comments from Kevin Stefanski suggest the Browns still view Nick Chubb as a true bell-cow once he is healthy. Chubb is slipping to roughly pick 78 on Underdog because drafters are nervous about his knee rehab and the overall volatility of the Cleveland offense. Pat argued that if Stefanski really hands Chubb the 18-plus touch workload he enjoyed pre-injury, you are getting a rock-solid RB2 floor with weekly RB1 ceilings at a 7th-round price. He conceded there is still risk—both the recovery timeline and questions about Cleveland’s passing efficiency—but concluded the upside-to-cost ratio is firmly in your favor in large-field best-ball tournaments.