Fitzmaurice’s favorite dart throw is Kristoffer Reitan at 350-1 to win and +340 Top-30. The 26-year-old Norwegian captured a DP World Tour title in late May and has rattled off four top-5s and six top-15s in his last nine starts. Pat argues that riding a hot, confident player at triple-digit odds is a standard Open strategy, especially when recent winners like Lowry and Clarke had been peaking in Europe right before lifting the Claret Jug.

At 150-1 outright and +330 Top-20, Fitzmaurice believes Tom Kim is mis-priced. Kim finished runner-up at the 2023 Open at Troon and grabbed 17th at last week’s Scottish Open, indicating he elevates his game on links turf. Pat cited Kim’s above-average driving accuracy and crafty short game—two traits critical for Portrush—and praised his fiery competitive edge showcased in the TGL simulator league. He labels the Korean a ‘compelling long shot’ worth a sprinkle.

Fitzmaurice touted Russell Henley at +6500 to win and +400 for a Top-10. He highlighted a strong correlation between success at PGA National and Open Championship leaderboards; Henley won there in 2014 and was 3rd in 2021. Henley broke through with a 5th-place finish at Royal Troon last year and currently ranks 14th in driving accuracy, 15th in strokes gained on approach, while remaining a reliable putter. Pat sees those precision stats as perfect for Portrush’s small targets.

Fitzmaurice happily jumped on Scottie Scheffler at +450, pointing out that the No. 1 player’s odds have been shorter in nearly every start this season. Scheffler ranks first on Tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green, is top-5 in driving distance and accuracy, and sits second in scrambling—ideal skills for Portrush’s elevated, wind-beaten greens. Pat added that Scheffler’s Texas upbringing gives him a proven history of thriving in windy conditions, making the 18.2% implied probability a bargain.

Fitzmaurice refused to touch Justin Thomas at +5000, citing a season-long struggle with accuracy off the tee. Thomas ranks outside the top 100 in driving accuracy and has lost strokes off the tee in five of his last seven starts. On a course that brutally penalizes misses and demands precise angles into small greens, Pat argues that JT’s current driver issues remove him from outright consideration.

While acknowledging Viktor Hovland’s world-class ball-striking, Fitzmaurice dismissed the Norwegian’s +3000 outright ticket because of a glaring weakness around the greens. He emphasized that Royal Portrush’s elevated, wind-exposed putting surfaces will force players to scramble frequently, and Hovland ranks near the bottom of the PGA Tour in strokes gained: around-the-green. That Achilles heel, Pat believes, makes Hovland an easy fade.

Fitzmaurice is passing on Tommy Fleetwood at +2800 even though the Englishman finished runner-up here in 2019. He argued that books have shaved Fleetwood’s price because he ‘often contends in big events,’ yet noted Fleetwood’s chronic inability to seal the deal, citing multiple close calls without a major victory. With better closers available deeper down the board, Pat says the number is simply too short.

Fitzmaurice advised fading Bryson DeChambeau at +2000, arguing that the American’s ‘grip-it-and-rip-it’ style is a poor fit for Royal Portrush. With elevated greens, fescue, and punishing rough waiting for wayward tee shots, he expects Bryson’s high-variance driver to create too many penalties. The tout prefers players who can keep the ball in play and scramble—two skills he says Bryson’s volatile game does not consistently showcase.

Pat Fitzmaurice said he is steering clear of Rory McIlroy at +750 despite the Northern Ireland narrative. He pointed out that expectations often weigh on McIlroy in majors played close to home and reminded readers that Rory famously missed the cut the last time Royal Portrush hosted in 2019. Fitzmaurice believes that emotional pressure, not talent, is the issue and warned bettors that the hometown hype is already baked into a short number that offers little value.

Pat Fitzmaurice recommended sprinkling on Brian Harman at 90-1 outright and backing him in the top-10 market at +600. Fitzmaurice noted Harman’s short-hitting profile isn’t penalized on the Renaissance Club’s firm, running fairways and highlighted the left-hander’s proven links chops: victory at last year’s Open Championship plus T12 at the 2023 Scottish Open. Although Harman’s 2025 season has been uneven, Pat pointed to an 8th-place finish two weeks ago at the Travelers as evidence the Georgia Bulldog is rounding into form. With the hardpan rollout effectively adding 20–25 yards to Harman’s drives, Fitzmaurice believes his relentless fairway-green routine and elite wedge game make him mis-priced in a field where most eyes are on bombers.

Pat Fitzmaurice advised fading Tom Kim at sub-100-1 odds despite Kim’s sparkling track record at the Renaissance Club (3rd, 6th, and 15th the last three years). Fitzmaurice pointed out Kim’s 2025 PGA season has been "absolutely terrible," with only a single top-10 (T7 at Pebble Beach) and no momentum since a T33 at the U.S. Open. Kim ranks outside the top 90 on Tour this year in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and Birdie Rate, suggesting his trademark precision has deserted him. Pat acknowledged the South Korean is near the top of 24-round links-golf metrics, but he still won’t bet a golfer whose current form screams missed cut risk.

Fitzmaurice said bettors should remove Justin Thomas from consideration entirely. Thomas followed missed cuts with 60th and 62nd-place finishes in his last three Scottish Opens and has been one of the worst drivers on Tour this season. Pat stressed that at Renaissance you simply cannot recover from bad tee shots because the thick native areas and pot bunkers kill scoring chances, making JT’s current off-the-tee funk a non-starter.

Pat Fitzmaurice advised taking Tommy Fleetwood at +400 for a top-five (or a top-10) finish but skipping any outright wagers. Fleetwood owns three top-six results in his last five Scottish Open starts and has logged three top-five finishes in his past six overall events, underscoring perfect course fit. However, Fitzmaurice emphasized the Englishman’s win equity is questionable after a painful collapse at the Travelers Championship, where he blew a 72-hole lead. The safety of placement bets captures Fleetwood’s consistent floor without asking him to capture his elusive first PGA Tour victory.

Pat Fitzmaurice pegged Matt McCarty as a prime mid-tier dart at 80-to-1. McCarty sits 16th on TOUR in strokes-gained putting and profiles as a "fairway finder"—two skills Fitzmaurice said are mandatory when the John Deere turns into a -23 birdie fest. Recent results back it up: 4th at the Canadian Open and 19th at the Rocket Mortgage Classic while gaining a combined 8.2 strokes with the flat stick across those two events. Fitzmaurice added that McCarty’s 71% fairway rate over the last eight starts should set up a wedge-heavy attack on the short par 4s at TPC Deere Run, making him live for both outright and top-20 tickets.

Pat Fitzmaurice called Harry Higgs the ultimate value bomb at 250-to-1, arguing "Big Rig" thrives whenever the star power is thin. Higgs finished runner-up last week, 24th in Detroit, and lost a three-man playoff to Ryan Fox at the Myrtle Beach Classic earlier this spring—three top-25s in his last four weak-field stops. Fitzmaurice highlighted Higgs’ recent surge with the putter (gaining 1.2 strokes per round over his last eight) and his improved driving accuracy, up eight percentage points since April. In a projected shootout, Fitzmaurice believes Higgs’ birdie-making bursts give him a puncher’s chance and make top-20 plus each-way tickets attractive leverage plays.

Pat Fitzmaurice labeled Jackson Suber a worthwhile flyer at 110-to-1. Suber’s irons are scorching—he gained 5.6 strokes on approach during a 6th-place Rocket Mortgage finish and has been +3 or better in four of his last five starts. Fitzmaurice pointed to Suber’s wedge proximity numbers (inside top 10 from 100-125 yards) as a perfect fit for Deere Run’s short par 4s. Add in a top-20 at the Canadian Open and continual gains around the green, and Fitzmaurice believes Suber carries legitimate Sunday contention equity in a watered-down field.

Pat Fitzmaurice urged bettors to keep riding Sami Valimaki at triple-digit odds (100-to-1 at open). Valimaki ranks 8th in strokes-gained putting and 27th in SG: Approach this season, a combo Fitzmaurice deems lethal on Deere Run’s soft bentgrass greens. The Finn finished 12th here last year and rolls in with form—19th in Detroit while gaining 4.1 strokes on approach. Fitzmaurice thinks books are ignoring Valimaki’s three straight top-25s on U.S. soil and the fact he gains nearly a full stroke per round on bentgrass. He recommended pairing a small outright with a top-20 prop for safer exposure.

Pat Fitzmaurice said Jackson Koivun deserves a spot on outright cards even though books still treat him like a fringe long-shot. Fitzmaurice reminded listeners that Koivun flashed last week on a bomber-friendly track despite not owning elite distance, finishing inside the top 25 by gaining strokes in every category. He called Koivun’s profile "balanced everywhere, weak nowhere," noting the rookie has gained strokes tee-to-green in four straight PGA TOUR starts while ranking 35th in SG: Approach over his last 24 measured rounds. Because that well-rounded game travels, Fitzmaurice expects Koivun to hold value on any course—including accuracy-centric TPC Deere Run—and likes sprinkling him in the 70-to-1 to 90-to-1 range before the public catches up.

Pat Fitzmaurice reiterated Emiliano Grillo as a value bet, noting top-25 finishes in four of his last five starts and a runner-up at the 2022 Deere. Grillo’s reliable ball-striking profile—he sits top-10 in GIR over the past 24 rounds—gives him a high floor, and Fitzmaurice believes the Argentine’s putter has shown just enough life to cash each-way tickets or finish inside the top 20 at generous mid-60s odds.

Pat Fitzmaurice called Lucas Glover a sneaky outright and top-10 play at +4500. Glover has three top-10s in his last five Deere starts, including a 2018 victory, and arrives fresh off a 9th at the Travelers. Fitzmaurice trusts Glover’s elite approach game and comfort on bentgrass greens to thrive in the expected birdie-fest, noting that his ball-striking metrics remain top-25 on Tour despite the putter shakiness that scares the market.

Pat Fitzmaurice is adding Thriston Lawrence at 65-1, reasoning that the South African’s current form (12th at the U.S. Open and 8th at the Rocket Mortgage) shows his all-around game is peaking. Fitzmaurice argued Lawrence’s lack of elite power is irrelevant at a Deere layout that rewards precise iron play and hot putters. With Aldrich Potgieter winning last week, Fitzmaurice sees a realistic path for another South African to strike if Lawrence sustains the tee-to-green gains he showed in Detroit.

Pat Fitzmaurice advised fading J.T. Poston despite his Deere win in 2022 and 6th-place finish in 2023. The reason: Poston’s trademark putting has cratered – he ranks 93rd in strokes-gained putting this season – and Fitzmaurice does not believe he can keep pace in a projected −23 shootout without that edge. With form trending the wrong direction and the market still hanging top-tier odds, Fitzmaurice is leaving Poston off all outright tickets and DFS lineups.

Fitzmaurice opened his card with Ben Griffin at +2200 outright and a +210 top-10 "kicker," insisting the market still has not caught up to Griffin’s current heater. Griffin owns back-to-back top-6 finishes, has gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, and ranks 12th in putting over that span. Fitzmaurice expects the Rocket Mortgage’s soft greens to accentuate Griffin’s confidence with the flat stick and likes how his 17-under scoring average in 2025 sets up for another shoot-out. With course fit and form aligning, Fitzmaurice is comfortable anchoring his betting and one-and-done exposure to the North Carolina native.

Pat Fitzmaurice tossed Jake Knapp onto his long-shot card at 80-1, pointing out that the Californian marries 320-yard power (top-10 in driving distance) with a surprisingly solid putter—72nd in strokes-gained putting. Fitzmaurice argued that combination is tailor-made for Detroit, where generous fairways let bombers attack and the event routinely turns into a putting contest. With Knapp already flashing a T3 and T12 in similar birdie fests this season, Fitzmaurice sees enough upside to justify an outright sprinkle and DFS exposure.

Pat Fitzmaurice advised passing on Collin Morikawa at the top of the outright board despite his world No. 5 status and runner-up finish here in 2023. Fitzmaurice stressed the Rocket Mortgage routinely devolves into a putting contest—winners average nearly 1.5 strokes gained putting per round—and Morikawa sits 109th on Tour in that metric. Detroit’s generous fairways neutralize Morikawa’s elite iron play while exposing his below-average birdie conversion rate. With only four of six winners here priced shorter than 25-1 and several streaking putters in the mid-tier, Fitzmaurice says the +1200 market leader is "all name value, no edge" and prefers allocating bankroll elsewhere.

Pat Fitzmaurice said the betting market still undervalues Keegan Bradley’s chances of automatically qualifying for the 2025 U.S. Ryder Cup squad. Bradley’s Travelers win vaulted him to eighth in U.S. points—only two spots outside the guaranteed top-six—and Fitzmaurice noted that continued strong iron play and a revived putter make further points accumulation likely. With several summer events still offering elevated points and Bradley historically excelling on Donald Ross courses, Fitzmaurice recommended wagering on the YES side of any ‘Will Keegan Bradley make the team?’ prop before his odds shorten.

Despite Brian Harman’s poor recent form—no top-25 since early April—Pat Fitzmaurice likes him for a top-10 at +450. Harman has finished inside the top-10 in six of the last seven Travelers Championships, leveraging his pinpoint wedges and comfort on the small Poa Annua greens. River Highlands mitigates his distance disadvantage, and Pat believes the reliable course history offsets current ball-striking woes. He will not bet the outright 80-1 number but sees the top-10 prop as a strong value play for bettors seeking safer exposure.

Pat Fitzmaurice advised avoiding J.J. Spaun in all markets. Spaun is fresh off a storybook U.S. Open victory but has missed the cut in three of his last four Travelers appearances. Pat expects a post-major emotional and physical hangover, noting Oakmont’s grind often leaves players "haggard" the following week. Even though Spaun’s profile (positional player under 7,000 yards) theoretically fits River Highlands, Fitzmaurice questions his focus and stamina seven days after lifting a first major trophy, making him a clear fade for outrights, matchups, and DFS.

Pat Fitzmaurice is betting Ben Griffin at 45-to-1 after the North Carolinian racked up four consecutive top-10 finishes, including a T10 at Oakmont where he contended through Saturday. Fitzmaurice believes Griffin’s current ball-striking surge offsets the course’s shorter yardage—despite Griffin historically preferring long-iron venues—because the putter and scoring are peaking. In a no-cut, 72-man event, Pat values Griffin’s recent consistency and sees clear win equity if the irons stay hot.

Pat Fitzmaurice recommended that contending teams built around veterans—he cited a roster with Derrick Henry, Mike Evans and Saquon Barkley—should gamble on Chris Olave. Fitzmaurice acknowledged the "scary" concussion history but argued the payoff is manageable because those lineups really just need Olave to survive the final six to eight games. If he stays upright, his elite separation skills and 2.42 yards per route run could single-handedly swing playoff matchups. Conversely, Fitzmaurice said true juggernauts (e.g., teams with Ja'Marr Chase and Bijan Robinson) should pass because they gain little from the added variance. The upshot: aging contenders can buy Olave at a discount and let his ceiling carry them through one more championship push.

Pat Fitzmaurice urged win-now managers to kick the tires on James Conner, noting that his sellers are fully aware the cliff is coming and therefore motivated to cash out. Conner is still a clear three-down back in Arizona and averaged 17.4 PPR points over his final six healthy games in 2024, yet Fitzmaurice has routinely acquired him for less than a 2027 second-rounder—far cheaper than using a future first on a younger, unproven back. With the Cardinals’ offensive line ranking 10th in adjusted line yards and Kyler Murray’s dual-threat profile freezing linebackers, Conner has an easy path to another 240-touch season and red-zone dominance (29% team share inside the 10 last year). Fitzmaurice labeled the current rookie-hype period as the perfect window because Conner’s value will harden once redraft content reminds the market he is still a locked-in RB2.

Pat Fitzmaurice said Dallas Goedert is one of the easiest buy-low targets in Dynasty right now because the market is irrationally pricing him outside the top-20 tight ends on KeepTradeCut’s ADP board. Fitzmaurice pointed out that Goedert has produced mid-range TE1 numbers whenever he’s healthy—even last season when the Eagles led the league in run-rate. He argued that Goedert’s weekly floor is already playable, but the contingency upside is massive: if either A.J. Brown or DeVonta Smith were to miss time, Goedert’s target share would spike immediately. Fitzmaurice added that any reversion toward a more balanced pass/run split under new OC Kellen Moore would further juice that upside. Because managers will soon shift into redraft mode (which historically drives the price of proven veterans back up), Fitzmaurice framed the current period as the "last discount window" to steal a 29-year-old tight end who could still give two to three top-10 seasons.

Pat Fitzmaurice pegged Zach Charbonnet as a sneaky buy-low thanks to Seattle’s revamped run game under Clint Kubiak and offensive line guru Rick Denison. Drawing on the Kubiak/Denison track record of churning out anonymous 1,000-yard rushers since the late 1990s, Fitzmaurice expects the Seahawks to be far more efficient on the ground in 2025. Charbonnet is priced like Kenneth Walker’s pure backup, yet the staff’s zone-run history and commitment to a heavier run rate could push Charbonnet into standalone flex value with legitimate league-winning upside if Walker misses time. Dynasty managers can exploit the current discount before camp buzz catches up to the coaching change.

Pat Fitzmaurice labeled 23-year-old Akshay Bhatia a high-upside flyer at +15000 outright and +1600 for a top 5. Bhatia showed he can handle U.S. Open pressure by finishing 16th at Pinehurst last year in just his second appearance. Statwise, Bhatia is 56th in driving accuracy, 21st in strokes gained on approach, and 12th in strokes gained putting—an enticing combination for Oakmont’s glass-tabletop greens. Fitzmaurice believes steady tee-to-green prowess and a hot putter could push Bhatia onto the weekend leaderboard at monster odds.

Pat Fitzmaurice recommended Harris English across the board: +10000 outright, +1200 top 5, and +115 top 30. He called English a "grinder" who shines on brutal tracks, citing a 4th at Winged Foot (2020 U.S. Open) and 3rd at Torrey Pines (2021). English finished T2 at last month’s PGA Championship and T12 at The Memorial—another demanding venue. Importantly, he has never missed the cut in nine U.S. Open starts, reinforcing Fitzmaurice’s confidence in the top-30 ticket while leaving room for ceiling outcomes if the field implodes at Oakmont.

Pat Fitzmaurice urged bettors to grab Ben Griffin at +7000 outright and +900 for a top-5 finish. Griffin is on a tear: T8 at the PGA Championship, a victory at the Charles Schwab Challenge, and runner-up to Scottie Scheffler at The Memorial over his last three starts. Statistically he is solid across every strokes-gained category except driving accuracy, where he ranks 101st. Fitzmaurice acknowledged the occasionally wayward driver could bite at Oakmont but argued Griffin’s recent resiliency and "grit" suit the U.S. Open grind, making these numbers too long to ignore.

Pat Fitzmaurice endorsed Joaquin Niemann at +3500 to win, noting the 26-year-old just captured his fourth LIV title of the season after firing a Sunday 63 to steal the event in Virginia. Niemann finally flashed major chops with an 8th-place finish at last month’s PGA Championship, which Fitzmaurice views as a signal the Chilean is ready to contend on golf’s biggest stages. Oakmont’s lightning greens reward elite ball-strikers, and Fitzmaurice believes Niemann’s recent form and confidence make him a live long-shot to claim his first major.

Pat Fitzmaurice said Bryson DeChambeau is the best outright value at +750, even though Scottie Scheffler is the favorite at +275. Fitzmaurice pointed out that Bryson has finished inside the top 5 in six straight starts, including T5 at The Masters and solo 2nd at the PGA Championship. He has placed sixth or better in five of the last six majors overall. Fitzmaurice emphasized DeChambeau’s ability to gear up for majors and believes his prodigious distance will be a major edge on Oakmont’s narrow, punishing layout where long irons out of thick rough are inevitable. The analyst framed the tournament as a "survival test" and argued that Bryson’s current form and power profile make him the smartest outright ticket on the board.

Pat Fitzmaurice also circled Ryan Fox at 80-1, calling the Kiwi bomber a mis-price given his current form. Fox captured the Myrtle Beach Classic last month, then backed it up with a T-20 at the Memorial—two drastically different setups that showcased both his length off the tee and his improving approach play. He now ranks 31st in Strokes Gained: Total for the season, a metric Fitzmaurice relies on for identifying all-around contenders. The Canadian Open’s 7,400-yard, par-70 layout features six par-4s over 480 yards, which Fitzmaurice believes amplifies Fox’s driving advantage. Coupled with demonstrated winning upside and a confidence boost from recent results, the 80-1 number represents, in his words, “far too much meat on the bone” for outright bettors.

Pat Fitzmaurice flagged Ryo Hisatsune as an 80-1 outright value. Over his last nine worldwide starts, the Japanese rookie has logged three top-10 finishes and five top-20s. That run has pushed him to 25th in Strokes Gained: Total for the season—well inside the top quartile of this field—yet books are still pricing him alongside inconsistent journeymen. Fitzmaurice views Hisatsune’s balanced statistical profile (solid off-the-tee numbers, above-average approach play, and a putter that can run hot) as perfect for a week where scoring opportunities hinge on hitting precise mid-irons and converting birdie looks. With that recent consistency and plenty of ceiling already demonstrated, Fitzmaurice is comfortable taking the 80-1 before the market sharpens.

Pat Fitzmaurice argued that Rory McIlroy is flat-out under-priced at +450 to win the RBC Canadian Open. Fitzmaurice expected the number to open around +300 with Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele sitting this one out, so seeing +450 immediately screamed value to him. Rory has already bagged multiple victories this season—including the Masters that completed his career Grand Slam—and his statistical profile is spotless: still the Tour’s best driver, gaining consistently on approach over the last five starts, and flashing an upgraded short game. Perhaps most important, McIlroy loves playing north of the border, having lifted this trophy twice at two different venues. Fitzmaurice believes TPC Toronto’s two par-5 bookends and several 500-yard par-4s accentuate Rory’s length advantage and that no one in this field can match his win equity. He advised bettors to lock in the +450 before the market corrects or before Rory blitzes the early rounds and the live number vanishes.

Fitzmaurice cautioned against outright tickets on Brian Harman despite a steady Colonial record—nine finishes of 31st or better in ten starts—because the lefty’s approach play has been “atrocious” in 2025 (outside top-110 SG: Approach). Harman’s path to scoring is sticking wedges close and draining putts; without the former, Pat doubts he can win. He prefers a top-20 stab where Harman’s accuracy off the tee and historically clutch putting still provide value without needing a ceiling performance.

Pat noted that Colonial looks tailor-made for Si Woo Kim’s fairway-first, wedge-heavy skill set, but the stats say otherwise: only one finish better than 50th in eight career tries. He theorized Kim’s preference for Pete Dye sightlines may explain the disconnect and advised passing on outright or DFS shares this week despite the attractive course-fit narrative.

Valimaki sits 35th in strokes gained total, 23rd in approach and a sparkling 10th in putting this season, yet Pat found him at 150-1. He believes the Finn’s balanced profile—accurate driving, pinpoint wedges, hot flat stick—translates perfectly to Colonial’s small greens. Pat grabbed the triple-digit outright and a top-20 ticket, convinced linesmakers have not adjusted to Valimaki’s jump in iron play since switching to new Mizuno blades before the Florida swing.

Pat Fitzmaurice flagged Emiliano Grillo at 90-1 as a must-bet longshot, reminding listeners the Argentine won at Colonial in 2023 and owns two other top-10s plus a pair of top-25s on the track. Grillo has gained strokes with his always-pure irons in five straight starts and is top-40 in bentgrass putting for the season. Pat is playing an outright ticket and a safer top-20 at +280, saying "horse-for-the-course form plus solid 2025 stats make 90-1 way too long."

Although Bo faded him earlier, Pat Fitzmaurice is taking the other side, grabbing Xander Schauffele outright at +2000. Pat acknowledged Xander’s putting slump (-0.32 SG:Putting over last 24 rounds) but noted he still ranks first in the field in strokes-gained tee-to-green over that span. Pat expects Quail Hollow’s historically firm weekend greens to level the putting playing field and believes Xander’s elite mid-iron proximity (second from 175-200 yards) gives him a ceiling few others possess if the flat stick even breaks even.

Pat Fitzmaurice re-upped on Patrick Reed at +9,000 for an outright and as a top-10 bet. Reed has finished top-10 in three of his last four Quail Hollow appearances, including solo second here at the 2017 PGA. He’s also in form after a solo third at last month’s Masters, gaining 6.1 strokes short game. Pat argued Reed’s combination of crafty scrambling and proven major pedigree makes him under-priced, particularly if the forecasted softer conditions turn Quail Hollow into more of a short-game test.

Fitzmaurice labeled Russell Henley an automatic play whenever the greens are Bermuda and locked in an outright at +6,500 with a top-5 kicker at +900. Henley gained 5.2 strokes putting on Bermudagrass en route to a T10 at last year’s Wells Fargo, and Pat highlighted that same surface advantage this week. Add in Henley’s elite fairway-finding (third in fairways hit YTD) and improved proximity from 175-200 yards—the key approach bucket at Quail Hollow—and Pat likes him as a sneaky contender if the winning score lands in the mid-teens under par.