Pat Fitzmaurice sees significant betting value in Phil Mickelson, specifically recommending him strongly at +300 odds for a top-20 finish at the 2025 Masters. He underscored Phil's extraordinary Augusta experience as a three-time Masters champion along with notable recent strong finishes on the LIV Tour, including a third-place finish at LIV Hong Kong and sixth at LIV Miami. Fitzmaurice pointed out that Phil's detailed course familiarity, elite short game, and refreshed strong form make him an exceptional choice to deliver a reliable top-20 finish, offering excellent betting return.

Pat Fitzmaurice emphatically recommended betting Max Homa to miss the cut at the Masters, as his form this season has dramatically deteriorated. Fitzmaurice noted Homa has missed five straight cuts entering Augusta, with his best recent finish being an unimpressive 53rd at Pebble Beach back in February. Further amplifying this concern, Homa recently separated from his longtime childhood friend and caddy, suggesting potential mental distractions or further instability. Given these problems, Fitzmaurice's confidence was clear, labeling Homa missing the cut as his single favorite bet of the week, advising bettors strongly to capitalize on Homa's struggles at even money.

Pat Fitzmaurice strongly endorsed Will Zalatoris as a great betting value at Augusta, pointing specifically to his outstanding Masters history. Although Zalatoris hasn't achieved a top-10 finish this season yet, he has managed three consecutive top-10 finishes at the Masters, underscoring his remarkable compatibility with Augusta's notoriously challenging conditions. His consistent top-tier ball striking and recent solid finishes of 11th, 9th and 9th suggest he's rounding into form at precisely the right moment for another strong Augusta showing. Betting Zalatoris for a top 5 or top 10 finish provides substantial value given his proven ability here.

Pat Fitzmaurice identified Russell Henley at odds of +5500 as an intriguing sleeper bet for the Masters. He recognized Henley's reputation as a Bermuda grass specialist, which doesn't align precisely with Augusta's bent grass greens; however, he noted Henley's impressive fourth-place finish at Augusta two years ago and strong form this year, including ranking sixth in strokes gained total and 22nd in approach, as points in his favor. Fitzmaurice acknowledged some concern with Henley's below-average scrambling performance (barely inside Top-100), but the long odds and the advantageous hometown familiarity with Georgia conditions outweighed these issues, making Henley an attractive low-risk, high-reward wager for bettors looking deeper on the card.

Pat Fitzmaurice voiced skepticism about backing Rory McIlroy at Augusta this year despite acknowledging Rory's impressive form including recent wins at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Players Championship. He emphasized Rory's troubled history at Augusta National since dramatically losing a five-shot Sunday lead back in 2011. Pat pointed out Rory's uneven Masters results in recent years, noting specifically he missed two cuts in the last four events and finished outside the top 20 last year. Even though he recognized Rory's talent, Fitzmaurice argued that odds of +650 don't reflect Rory's Augusta struggles and cautioned bettors against placing a wager on him at this price.

While praising Ludvig Aberg's obvious upside and strong debut at Augusta last year, finishing solo second, Pat Fitzmaurice expressed reservations about placing an outright bet on Aberg at +2000 because of concerning recent form. Fitzmaurice underscored that Aberg missed the cut in both of his last two events, noting how unusual it would be for a Masters champion to enter with recent struggles. Despite acknowledging his elite talent and mental composure shown last year, Fitzmaurice confessed this recent form trend is enough reason for skepticism about Aberg's outright betting prospects this week.

Pat Fitzmaurice advised against betting Scottie Scheffler at his opening odds of +400 despite Scheffler being a favorite. Instead, Fitzmaurice laid out a strategy for betting on Scheffler in-play, recommending bettors wait for Scheffler's odds to lengthen in response to early-round fluctuations—a bogey or double early in the tournament or another player building an early lead. Fitzmaurice stressed that Scheffler's ability to come from behind to contend, along with his prior Augusta wins and record there, makes a live-betting strategy sensible, providing a better value rather than betting outright pre-tournament at short odds.

Pat Fitzmaurice sees Sergio Garcia as an attractive option for DFS contests priced competitively at $7,100 on DraftKings. Fitzmaurice highlighted Garcia's strong affinity for Augusta National, noting Garcia owns a Masters green jacket and has historically thrived at this course. Additionally, Garcia enters Augusta in good recent form and consistently demonstrates the type of strong iron play and course knowledge necessary for success. Considering Garcia's attractive pricing, Fitzmaurice identified tremendous value in rostering him for the Masters DFS contests.

Pat Fitzmaurice strongly endorsed Hideki Matsuyama in the mid-range betting odds for the 2025 Masters, noting his past champion status and strategic alignment with Augusta National's demands. Matsuyama has historically excelled at Augusta, combining consistent iron play, disciplined shot-shaping, and an underrated short game, including his impressive Masters win in 2021. Fitzmaurice indicated Matsuyama's strengths match Augusta particularly well, calling him an optimal betting target given the reasonable odds relative to the top-tier betting favorites.

Pat Fitzmaurice advised betting against Bryson DeChambeau for this year's Masters. He detailed how Bryson's extremely aggressive playstyle struggles to match what Augusta demands, focusing particularly on course management, precision iron play, and putting discipline. DeChambeau's long drives typically don't translate into scoring advantages on Augusta's pine-lined fairways and delicate greens. Fitzmaurice also noted his notoriously poor course history at Augusta, with Bryson frequently shooting above par and missing cuts. Given his projected odds, Fitzmaurice strongly discourages betting on DeChambeau and calls him a major fade.

Pat Fitzmaurice favors using Patrick Reed as a value DFS play for the Masters, highlighting Reed's historical performance at Augusta National. Reed, who won the Green Jacket in 2018, is viewed as an overlooked option because of his current participation in LIV Golf, likely resulting in lower DFS pricing relative to other competitors. Fitzmaurice emphasizes Reed's exceptional short game and strategic course management, both essential success factors at Augusta. He sees Reed's undervaluation as a meaningful opportunity to gain leverage in DFS lineups during the Masters.

Pat Fitzmaurice selects Corey Conners as his one-and-done pick at the Valero Texas Open, highlighting Conners as a proven winner specifically at this event, claiming titles at TPC San Antonio in the past. Despite Conners being labeled previously as overpriced in betting markets due to stronger field competition, Fitzmaurice trusts his prior success and proficiency at this venue to deliver significant earnings this week.

Pat Fitzmaurice is taking small outright bets on Henrik Norlander, viewing him as potentially undervalued in the Valero Texas Open field. Fitzmaurice hinted at possible hedging over the weekend if Norlander performs well, reflecting genuine upside expectations despite recognizing the bet as speculative.

Pat Fitzmaurice is making cautious longshot outright wagers on Steven Fisk for the upcoming Valero Texas Open. Although admitting bets will be small, Fitzmaurice considers Fisk potentially capable of contending and expressed plans to hedge his position if Fisk remains in the mix come the weekend, suggesting noteworthy upside for the under-the-radar player.

Pat Fitzmaurice has placed a wager on Tom Hoge to win the Valero Texas Open at longshot odds of 90-1 and highlighted Hoge's attractive top-10 bet at +650. Fitzmaurice didn't elaborate on statistical reasons but mentioned possibly hedging bets if Hoge is in contention during the weekend, indicating Hoge's realistic upside potential despite high odds. This betting recommendation suggests Hoge is undervalued relative to his chances for a strong finish at TPC San Antonio.

Pat Fitzmaurice identified Davis Riley as a long-shot betting target at 120-1, emphasizing Riley's recent resurgence after a disastrous early-season stretch, including a withdrawal and multiple missed cuts. Riley has dramatically turned his season around, finishing seventh recently at Valspar, sixth at Puerto Rico Open, and holding three straight top-30 appearances at Memorial Park. Fitzmaurice credited Riley's significant leap forward in iron play (approach), which has steadily moved from poor to tour-average—highly beneficial given Riley's already strong driving and excellent putting, making him an appealing bet this week on a familiar and forgiving layout.

Pat Fitzmaurice highlighted Jake Knapp's impressive upgrade in overall performance and consistency in 2025, making him an attractive midrange choice at 75-1 odds. Recent form includes four top-25 finishes prior to a missed cut at the Valspar Championship. Knapp has notably improved his putting game, now ranking 11th on Tour in strokes gained putting, complementing his traditionally strong distance off the tee. Fitzmaurice stressed Knapp is no longer just a 'one-dimensional bomber' reserved for weak-field tournaments like Mexico or Puerto Rico, but a golfer succeeding regularly at higher levels and likely to benefit from Memorial Park's generously wide fairways.

Pat Fitzmaurice recommended keeping a close eye on J.J. Spaun due to his strong recent form and excellent performance in approach shots. Spaun has recorded two runner-up finishes in his last three events, demonstrating a serious run of tournament contention. His strokes-gained metrics in approach shots rank second on tour, complementing his above-average driving distance ability. Fitzmaurice suggested Spaun's impressive combination of recent form and statistical suitability make him distinctly capable of contending strongly at Memorial Park this week.

Pat Fitzmaurice identified Aaron Rai as an attractive choice at 30-1 odds for the Texas Children's Houston Open, citing his exceptional blend of current form and course history. Rai has produced top-15 finishes in three consecutive events leading into Houston, and has notably finished seventh in each of his past two appearances at Memorial Park, along with a 19th-place finish in 2021. Fitzmaurice also highlighted Rai's inherent advantage as an Englishman accustomed to windy playing conditions, a factor projected to be significant according to the forecasted challenging weather conditions this week. Although Rai doesn't possess substantial distance off the tee, it hasn't hindered his past strong performances at Memorial Park, further solidifying his candidacy.

Pat Fitzmaurice declared that given Justin Thomas' recent impressive form, his lengthy win drought is likely coming to an end very soon. Despite ultimately coming just short at the Valspar Championship, Thomas shot an impressive 65, the lowest round of the tournament, after barely making the cut. This quality performance followed another stellar round of 62 the previous week at the Players Championship. Fitzmaurice pointed out Thomas appears completely dialed-in, showcasing peak form with consecutive top-level performances heading toward the Masters, making him an excellent choice in betting markets or fantasy leagues once he's back in play.

Pat Fitzmaurice noted Tony Finau’s exceptional history at Memorial Park Golf Course, making him a strong betting consideration at the Texas Children's Houston Open. Finau previously won decisively at this course in 2023, finishing four shots clear at 16-under par, clearly comfortable with the layout and conditions. Given the importance of having positive previous experience at Memorial Park, Fitzmaurice believes Finau's proven course form combined with the layout's rewards for power and ball-striking makes Finau a smart target in betting markets despite strong competition from Scheffler and McIlroy in the field.

Pat Fitzmaurice is all in on Karl Vilips for the current price of 150 to 1 for the Valspar Championship. Fitzmaurice pointed out how Vilips is not necessarily a bomber but thrives with a strong approach game and elite short game, which were key at his victory in the Puerto Rico Open. He illustrates Vilips as a prodigy similar to Akshay Bhatia, extremely capable with scrambling and putting, and suggests that the Copperhead course layout, which requires precision, will play to Vilips' strengths.

Pat Fitzmaurice pointed out Jake Knapp as an intriguing candidate with potential to contend at Copperhead. Despite Knapp's lack of experience at the Valspar Championship, Fitzmaurice appreciated his recent form featuring three straight top 25s and two consecutive top 15s. While initially recognized as a one-dimensional heavy hitter, Knapp has diversified his game, adding precision off the tee with a manageable two-iron stinger. Fitzmaurice questioned Knapp's approach play on Copperhead's narrow windows but highlighted the golfer's evolving skill set, indicating he might be a dark horse in the tournament.

Pat Fitzmaurice is optimistic about Lucas Glover's chances at the Valspar Championship, noting his strong performance history at Copperhead. A couple of top 15s at this course over the last six years, coupled with a commendable tied for third finish at Sawgrass last week, make Glover a solid bet. Fitzmaurice recounted how Glover saved him from a complete bust last week with top 5 and top 10 finishes cashing in, although he ran out of steam on Sunday. Glover's familiarity and past effectiveness at Copperhead, combined with his recent form, suggest he's well-positioned for another top showing.