Peter Overzet encouraged grabbing Andrei ‘Yoshi’ Iosivas in the final round as a cheap leverage play against fellow rookie Jermaine Burton. Pete noted that if Burton fails to lock down the WR3 job, Iosivas would be the next man up for a Bengals offense that ranked first in neutral-situation pass rate after Week 10 last year. He reminded listeners that Iosivas already flashed red-zone chemistry with Joe Burrow—3 TDs on just 18 targets—and that Cincinnati called pass inside the 10-yard line at the league’s fourth-highest rate. Because Yoshi’s ADP still sits outside the top 210 while Burton hovers in the 160s, Overzet views the big-bodied Princeton product as "free spike-week equity" for anyone building Bengals or Week 17 Chiefs stacks.

Peter Overzet admitted he “didn’t pound the table” for Deebo earlier in the round but still believes Samuel is one of the board’s biggest misprices. Overzet argued most drafters are anchored to last year’s down season—when Samuel played through illness and missed three games—yet are ignoring his clean bill of health and a fresh start in Cliff Kingsbury’s YAC-friendly system. Kingsbury has been chasing a Deebo-type weapon for five years and now has him as the unquestioned WR1 opposite rookie Jayden Daniels. Overzet added that Samuel has been posting a steady stream of workout videos and ‘revenge body’ clips, a pattern the market historically rewards once preseason highlights hit Twitter. With drafters happily pushing Terry McLaurin up on holdout rumors but leaving Deebo flat at pick 70-plus, Overzet is scooping Samuel wherever he falls into the sixth and calling him a “free bet on a proven 20-point ceiling.”

Peter Overzet argued Justin Herbert is one of the two most mispriced players in best-ball right now (alongside Dak Prescott). Herbert regularly lasts into the late-sixth despite possessing what Overzet called "undeniable top-five real-life talent" and entering Year 2 in Kellen Moore’s vertical scheme. Overzet expects Moore to further unlock Herbert’s deep-ball aggression—his 7.6-yard average depth of target in 2023 was the lowest of his career—and push pass attempts back toward the 700-throw territory we saw in 2021. With early-round drafters flocking to elite wideouts, he views the discount on a quarterback capable of a 5,000-yard, 40-TD season as a structural edge, especially when paired with similarly undervalued Chargers like Trey Harris and Keenan Allen.

Peter Overzet said the steady trickle of puff pieces on fringe Broncos receivers—Trent Sherfield, Jaleel McLaughlin, and rookie Troy Franklin—actually strengthens Courtland Sutton’s case as the unquestioned alpha. Because Sean Payton keeps auditioning depth options, Overzet believes it confirms the staff is still searching for a reliable No. 2 behind Sutton, not a replacement for him. In best-ball drafts he is treating Sutton as the only Denver wideout worth clicking outside of explicit Bo Nix stacks or Week-17 bring-backs, adding that Sutton’s red-zone dominance (30% end-zone target share last year) gives him weekly spike-week equity even if the overall pass volume is middling.

Peter Overzet said he is actively "packing Loveland bags" because the rookie tight end offers a spike-week ceiling that Jake Ferguson simply cannot match at cost. Loveland still lasts into the 150s, whereas Ferguson—fresh off a new deal—regularly goes 30 picks earlier. Overzet conceded Ferguson’s contract is bullish but argued tournament formats reward upside over floor at tight end, and Loveland’s athletic profile plus down-field usage give him that upside. He expects best-ball rooms to correct once rookies start flashing in preseason, forecasting a one-to-two-round ADP climb. When he already owns Dak Prescott stacks, Overzet is still choosing Loveland over Ferguson, insisting "ceiling outcome Loveland feels" like the sharper bet.

Peter Overzet said the Bengals backfield finally "got so much cleaner" for Chase Brown once Zach Moss was shipped out of town. Without Moss siphoning early-down and goal-line carries, Overzet expects Brown to open the year as the uncontested 1A and views his current late-6th/early-7th-round ADP as a steal. He also likes pairing Brown with rookie Taj Brooks in the 18th as insurance, arguing that Brooks now slots into a true handcuff role instead of being part of a three-man mess. Overzet’s bottom line: the only real threat to Brown’s weekly ceiling is Samaje Perine on obvious passing downs, but Perine was already baked into price; Moss’s departure was not. That delta makes Brown one of his favorite upside RB2 bets in Best Ball streets right now.

Peter Overzet said he is done drafting Travis Etienne at his current 8th-round ADP (around pick 94) and will only consider him once he slides into the 110-plus range. Overzet argued that Jacksonville’s backfield is far more ambiguous than drafters want to admit: rookie Tank Bigsby has reportedly been taking first-team snaps in camp, Etienne was out-played last year, and a brand-new coaching staff has no loyalty to the incumbent. He also noted that early best-ball rooms set Etienne’s price, so it will take weeks for the market to correct. Until then he plans to hammer Bigsby—whose price still sits 2-3 rounds cheaper—while scooping any discounts on rookie Bhayshul Tuten that arise when the hamstring chatter scares the room. In short, stop paying full freight for a back who may be no better than 1A in a three-man committee and pivot to cheaper upside darts in the same backfield.

Peter Overzet defended grabbing Travis Etienne as the team’s RB2, pointing to a viral camp tweet that Etienne is "the player who’s always catching passes from the quarterbacks during positional drills" – a role that previously belonged to Evan Ingram. Overzet argued that if Etienne keeps that dedicated receiving work, he re-captures the true RB1 ceiling people paid a second-round price for last summer, yet he now slips into the mid-fourth. With Jacksonville projected to finish top-10 in offensive snaps and facing the league’s sixth-easiest schedule versus running backs Weeks 15-17, Overzet thinks Etienne’s target share plus every-down goal-line role makes him a smash at current ADP, especially on teams that waited to address running back early in Best Ball Mania.

Peter Overzet doubled down on Rashid Shaheed after citing ESPN analyst Mike Clay’s updated projection of 62 catches, 926 yards and 4 touchdowns. Overzet reminded viewers that line would have landed Shaheed inside last year’s top-30 wide receivers, yet drafters are still letting him slide to roughly pick 150 as a WR6/7. He thinks the Saints offense will be "mostly fine," noting Shaheed already posted 2.59 yards per route run in 2023 and needs only a modest snap-share bump to turn Clay’s forecast into multiple spike weeks. Overzet contrasted the optimism with Clay’s meager 427-yard projection for rookie Pat Bryant, arguing Shaheed is the far superior late-round lottery ticket. With a cheap Week-17 bring-back versus Tennessee and very little roster duplication at his current ADP, Overzet believes Shaheed offers league-winning upside in Best Ball Mania.

Peter Overzet said Rashid Shaheed is still a smash pick in Best Ball Mania drafts, especially when he falls to pick 121 as your sixth wide receiver in a Zero-RB construction. Overzet pointed out that Shaheed is "not even on the PUP list," so the lingering knee worry is overblown. He argued you can comfortably stop drafting wideouts at six when your WR6 carries Shaheed’s weekly deep-ball spike potential, freeing capital for more running-back darts. Overzet also dismissed concerns about a potential downgrade from Derek Carr to rookie Tyler Shough, noting Shaheed only needs a couple of high-value targets to swing a playoff week. With an inexpensive Week-17 bring-back versus Tennessee, Shaheed provides ceiling, correlation and structural flexibility that the room is mis-pricing.

Overzet grabbed Kyler Murray well past pick 100 and immediately paired him with tight end Trey McBride, calling the combo a "huge ADP value." He argued Murray’s late-season return timeline is already priced in, yet drafters are ignoring the rushing upside that wins Weeks 15-17. Stacking the discounted quarterback with McBride provides a cheap path to correlation while leaving salary and draft capital free for elite players elsewhere. Overzet expects Murray to be a difference-maker if the Cardinals beat the 4.5-month recovery estimates the way other dual-threat QBs have post-ACL.

Peter Overzet clicked Deebo Samuel moments after nabbing Godwin, saying he is "fading Twitter" hysteria about one unflattering photo that made Samuel look heavy. Overzet noted 49ers beat writers have been consistently positive on Deebo’s conditioning and usage, and Kyle Shanahan continues to rave about getting him more back-field touches. With Brock Purdy healthy and San Francisco projected top-10 in implied points most weeks, Overzet views Deebo as a ceiling piece who is still available two full rounds after where he went last summer.

Peter Overzet encouraged drafters to “gobble up as much Jauan Jennings as you can” while Brandon Aiyuk remains sidelined indefinitely. Jennings has not requested a trade, per Kyle Shanahan, and now sits atop the depth chart opposite Deebo Samuel after the 49ers added only depth-piece Equanimeous St. Brown. With Aiyuk lacking a return timetable, Overzet expects Jennings to open camp running with the starters and sees him as a free end-of-draft lottery ticket who could command meaningful targets early in the season.

Peter Overzet advised fantasy managers to steer clear of Brandon Aiyuk at his current 91.9 ADP. Overzet pointed to Adam Schefter’s report that Aiyuk is “not anywhere close to having a concrete timeline” to return from his undisclosed injury, and highlighted San Francisco’s decision to sign Equanimeous St. Brown as evidence the 49ers are already bracing for an extended absence. Until Aiyuk’s draft cost slides at least 20 picks, Overzet views him as an avoid in early best-ball and redraft leagues.

Peter Overzet explained that Justin Fields is an ideal third-round quarterback in the Badge Bros Brawl because his rushing production (career 53 rush yards per start) supplies a built-in floor during the 1-of-5 advancement rounds in Weeks 15-16. Unlike pocket passers who demand double stacks to hit ceilings, Fields can be drafted "naked" or with a single skinny stack, letting drafters spend fewer picks on his teammates. That flexibility is valuable in a six-team, 12-round draft where roster spots are scarce. Pete added that Fields has already produced eight top-8 fantasy finishes in 24 career games, so you still capture week-winning upside without sacrificing roster construction.

Peter Overzet said he would take Kyren Williams over Davante Adams at the same draft spot because running-back depth falls off a cliff immediately afterward. In Pete’s view, the Rams’ offense is one of the league’s most concentrated workloads—last year Williams handled 88 % of L.A.’s backfield touches in games he started—so you are essentially locking up a bell-cow role that can’t be replicated later in the Badge Bros Brawl’s 12-round format. The next tier of backs is committee-ridden, while wide receiver remains flush with viable starters. Overzet’s takeaway: if you are staring at that Kyren/WR pocket, grab Williams and let the room push each other around at wideout.

Peter Overzet called Tucker Kraft the clear tier-break tight end behind George Kittle, saying, “I like Kraft—I think he’s the tear break unless you want to get crazy.” In Pete’s view, Kraft offers the exact isolated spike-week potential you want from a TE3 without the ownership drag Isaiah Likely is picking up (he joked Likely could reach 80 % in this contest). That combination makes Kraft the sharper way to round out a three-tight-end build, especially if you already paid up for Kittle and want your final roster spot to chase ceiling rather than duplicate chalk. If Kraft is gone, Pete prefers diving even deeper instead of eating likely’s ownership.

After Jon Warner noted that Chris Olave has never topped 20 half-PPR points on Underdog, Peter Overzet pushed back, calling pick 88 an absurd bargain for a team’s unquestioned WR1. Overzet argued you do not need season-long dominance in the six-team Badge Bros Brawl—just a couple of spike weeks—and the upside is still intact even if the career high has not shown up yet. He added that Olave almost never slips this far in normal rooms, so the discount itself is edge enough to justify the click. Bottom line: Pete is happy to bet on Olave’s wide range of outcomes at a round-15 price tag and let the room overreact to last year’s scoring drought.

Peter Overzet said Aaron Jones belongs in the exact same late-eighth/early-ninth-round tier as Tony Pollard and is one of the final backs on the board with true three-down equity. He called Jones a classic “mystery-box” play because the new Viking offense will be piloted by rookie quarterback Cam Ward, creating a huge range of outcomes. In Pete’s view that uncertainty actually boosts Jones’ appeal: the staff could easily lean run-heavy to protect the rookie, giving the 29-year-old an 18-touch workload that simply does not exist for the backs available after pick 100. Once Pollard and Jones are gone, drafters are forced into muddy committees or pure contingent-upside darts, so Overzet advises scooping whichever of the two falls in every Badge Bros Brawl room before moving on to scroll-down lottery tickets.

Peter Overzet endorsed Tony Pollard as the final running back offering undisputed bell-cow upside before the draft board turns into committee chaos. Pollard and Aaron Jones form Peter’s personal cut-off: both have shown 20-touch workloads and now step into ‘mystery-box’ offenses with rookie quarterbacks that could tilt surprisingly run-heavy. Once those two are gone, you are forced into contingent-upsider types or three-way backfields. Grabbing Pollard in the 9th–10th round range of the Badge Bros Brawl lets you bank early-season volume while everyone else scrolls for handcuffs. Overzet advised pouncing whenever Pollard slips past pick 90, calling it the last reasonable shot at a weekly top-12 back who is still affordable in shallow drafts.

Peter Overzet called Isiah Pacheco a "do-not-draft" in the six-team, 12-round Badge Bros Brawl. Pacheco is landing on roughly 75-85% of rosters, which Peter argued destroys your leverage in a tournament where uniqueness is half the battle. He would rather swing on comparable median projections from lower-owned backs like Travis Etienne or J.K. Dobbins, both of whom are available two to three rounds later. Because the Brawl’s shallow format magnifies any duplication, Overzet believes you must fade chalky mid-round running backs who can be replicated elsewhere. His bottom line: pass on Pacheco entirely and pivot to backs whose ownership gives you an outsized payout if they spike in Week 17.

Peter Overzet warned drafters to brace for a free-fall in Brandon Aiyuk’s Underdog price after Adam Schefter relayed John Lynch’s quote that Aiyuk is “not anywhere close” to a return timetable from last year’s knee injury. Overzet expects the market to re-price Aiyuk from his current WR40 range all the way down to Christian Kirk territory (around WR58/ADP 120-130). He called Aiyuk an “extremely tough click” until we get positive medical news, noting that the combination of an undefined recovery window and 49ers target competition (Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Deebo Samuel) leaves very little ceiling at his old cost. His advice: stay on the sidelines and let the slide happen before considering any exposure.

Peter Overzet said he is now jamming Rashee Rice in the 5th round of the Badge Bros Brawl after fading him when he cost a 2nd-rounder. Citing Jack Miller’s tweet that roughly 20,000 BBM entries paid that earlier premium, Overzet argued Rice is automatically “better than a normal fifth-round pick” because you can spend four earlier selections on other high-end talent and still land the same player. Overzet also likes that a six-game suspension guarantees Rice stays healthy during the season’s most violent stretch, giving drafters back-half production with zero injury risk. In a 12-round, fast-draft format where wide-receiver depth is easy to patch, he believes the risk is minimal relative to the ceiling of locking in Patrick Mahomes’ slot specialist at a two-round discount. His advice: keep smashing Rice at current ADP before the market finishes repricing him.

Peter Overzet argued that Omarion Hampton is the single best running-back pick in the late-third/early-fourth round cluster and should probably be a fringe second-rounder. With Najee Harris potentially sidelined, Hampton now profiles as a clear bell-cow for a Chargers offense sporting an "awesome" offensive line and a coaching staff that wants to lean run-heavy. Overzet sees no obvious hole in Hampton’s profile: he’s an elite prospect, already getting first-team reps, and his ADP has not exploded the way Dylan Samson’s has—meaning drafters are still getting a discount. He is comfortable selecting Hampton over Breece Hall and Chase Brown at the same price point (only Kyron Williams gives him pause). The takeaway: keep hammering Hampton before the market corrects upward.

Peter Overzet said he happily clicked DK Metcalf because, in his words, Metcalf can push 150 targets while still being drafted as a fantasy WR4/WR5 in current best-ball rooms. Overzet argued that paying that cheap price for bona-fide alpha volume unlocks week-winning upside without sacrificing early-round capital at running back or quarterback. He jabbed at more projection-driven drafters—“Big ETR is too scared of upside”—claiming they focus on bankable Week-1 roles and overlook a ceiling season from Metcalf if Seattle tilts pass heavy. In short, Overzet views Metcalf’s combination of target share potential and depressed ADP as one of the easiest positive-EV clicks on the board.

Peter Overzet said he is willing to grab Cooper Kupp only because Kupp “is going to give us three good games this year while Jordan Addison is suspended and then he’s going to fall off the age cliff in Week 4.” Overzet framed Kupp as a short-term patch, not a season-long anchor. The take hinges on two points: 1) Kupp’s advancing age and recent injury history make a late-season drop-off likely; 2) the early-season usage window aligns with Addison’s presumed absence, giving drafters a narrow period to bank usable weeks before moving on. In best-ball terms, Overzet views Kupp’s fourth-/fifth-round ADP as palatable only if drafters specifically need early production and are comfortable fading him down the stretch.

Peter Overzet said he would not take Sam LaPorta at pick 49, singling the selection out as the one roster he thought looked shaky. His point was straightforward: a mid-fourth/early-fifth-round price on a tight end limits roster flexibility when wide-receiver and running-back value is still abundant, making the pick a poor bet in current best-ball rooms.

Peter Overzet argued T.J. Hockenson is a sneaky Eliminator pick at his current late-6th price because Jordan Addison may miss the first three games rehabbing an offseason ankle scope. In that span last year Hockenson averaged 10.4 targets and 19.7 fantasy points, showing the offense naturally funnels through him when a receiver sits. Overzet acknowledged the tight end’s ceiling is capped versus Travis Kelce or Brock Bowers, yet pointed out Hock still finished third among TEs in receptions despite Minnesota’s QB carousel. If rookie signal-caller J.J. McCarthy is competent, the unit could "hum," giving Hockenson a stable weekly floor with spike-week upside once injuries hit Justin Jefferson or Addison. Overzet thinks paying the TE4 premium is justified in a format where you can survive on 8-12 points most weeks but win pods when a 25-pointer pops.

Peter Overzet said he is still comfortable clicking Kyren Williams at the 1-2 turn in Eliminator drafts even though Williams ranked near the bottom of the league in explosive-run rate last season. Overzet argued Sean McVay’s history of riding a single back—Williams handled 87 % of Rams RB touches after Week 6—makes the volume too sticky to fade. He acknowledged concern about Kyren joining the "600-plus touch" club that eventually breaks down, but countered that Los Angeles added no serious backfield competition, re-signed all five starting linemen, and projects for the sixth-easiest opening-month schedule in rush EPA. With guaranteed work and a top-10 red-zone share (28 % of team opportunities in 2023), Overzet views Williams as a high-floor RB1 whose price has not caught up to his touch projection.

Peter Overzet warned drafters against one-tight-end Brock Bowers constructions in the Eliminator format. He compared the move to "playing Russian roulette" because a single four-point outing or Bowers’ bye week would deliver an instant loss in a head-to-head pod. Overzet reminded listeners that, unlike Best Ball Mania where elite tight ends can separate with had-to-have-it weeks, Eliminator is an every-week survival test. Even a Travis Kelce-type season includes several duds, and relying on only Bowers amplifies that floor risk. Overzet recommended pairing the rookie with a second tight end who logs consistent routes—think Jake Ferguson or Cade Otton—so the roster is covered on Bowers’ bye and insulated from variance the other 16 weeks.

Peter Overzet called Russell Wilson a sneaky Eliminator buy, projecting the veteran to start roughly 10–11 games for Brian Daboll. Overzet argued Daboll’s seat is red-hot, so he is more likely to lean on Wilson’s low-turnover veteran profile than roll out raw rookie Jackson Dart unless the Giants open 3-5 or worse. He noted beat writers have highlighted Wilson’s 2023 efficiency splits—15th in EPA per play and a 66.4% completion rate—suggesting public perception is harsher than his actual play. The front office also added Jameis Winston as insurance, signaling the organization is fine riding a pocket passer all year. Although the Giants’ offensive line grades a 3/10 in Mike Clay’s unit rankings, Overzet thinks Wilson can offset some of the protection issues by peppering No. 6 pick Malik Nabers on quick hitters. For Best Ball Eliminator formats where floor matters more than ceiling, Overzet views Wilson as a stable QB3 who could post 16-18 points weekly while the field overdrafts riskier prospects who may not see the field.

Peter Overzet said drafters should not flinch at DeAndre Swift’s 8-to-10 pick jump in Underdog’s Eliminator. He argued the price hike actually makes sense because Weeks 1-8 scoring is life-or-death in this format and all the Bears’ tea leaves scream early workload. Chicago’s offensive line projects as one of the league’s most improved units—PFF grades move from 21st to 4th, while Mike Clay gives them a perfect 10/10. New head coach Ben Johnson has already called Swift his unquestioned RB1, and the front office refused to add real competition, leaving only the plodding Roschon Johnson for goal-line scraps. Behind a fortified line and with Year-2 Caleb Williams taking a step forward, Overzet expects Swift to dominate touches out of the gate. The only scenario that could ding him is if coaches explicitly crown Roschon the goal-line back, but until that happens Overzet views Swift as the exact kind of bankable early production that survives the Eliminator pods. He even thinks this contest is a preview of where Swift’s BBM ADP is headed once camp clips surface, so he urges grabbing shares now before the market wakes up.

Peter Overzet said Jerome Ford is now squarely in the Justice Hill bucket—a low-ceiling, high-utility option for Zero RB rooms that need 6-8 opening-week points while rookie backs get up to speed. Ford’s ADP has slipped to rounds 16-18 despite being drafted in every Big Board contest earlier this spring, and Overzet believes the Judkins uncertainty marginally improves Ford’s early-season touch projection. Because Cleveland could lean on the veteran while the rookies acclimate, Overzet is comfortable using Ford as a safety-net pick in Eliminator or BBM formats where he shores up fragile builds without sacrificing late-round upside elsewhere.

Overzet suggested aggressively selecting rushing quarterbacks such as Kyler Murray, Anthony Richardson, Justin Fields, and Bo Nix a round or two ahead of ADP and not worrying about correlating them with teammates. Because their fantasy production is driven by legs rather than passing volume, these QBs can stand alone and free drafters from the normal stacking constraints. Overzet likes the approach for auto-drafts and fast fills like the Mini Schnauzer, where stacking can be difficult, and believes an overweight position on mobile, unstacked QBs creates differentiated line-ups without sacrificing ceiling.

Overzet warned drafters not to chase Ricky Pearsall up the board. He reminded listeners the rookie’s late-season surge came in just two games when Deebo Samuel was hurt, giving Pearsall an unsustainably high route share. With only that small sample and a profile that projects more like a field-stretcher (a Jamison Williams type) than a 25-percent target-share alpha, Overzet believes Pearsall lacks the ceiling people are pricing in. If Pearsall starts creeping into the 5th-round range previously occupied by Jennings, Overzet advised passing until his cost settles back to a more reasonable level.

Peter Overzet said now is the time to scoop up Jauan Jennings after his public trade request pushed the wide-receiver’s ADP down several rounds. Overzet argued Jennings has almost no leverage—he is already reporting to camp, the 49ers value him more than any potential trade partner would, and veteran slot options like Keenan Allen are still on the market for any team that truly wanted a replacement. Because the hold-out probability is virtually nil, Overzet views the market reaction as an overcorrection. He advised taking advantage of the temporary discount in Best Ball drafts while others panic-sell, noting that once the dust settles Jennings’ price should snap back to where it was before the news.

Peter Overzet called Trey Benson a "smash in the waiting" and said he is actively drafting the rookie four full rounds after Zach Charbonnet. Overzet noted Benson’s 4.39 forty at 6'0"/216 and believes that profile makes him a near bell-cow if (or when) 29-year-old James Conner inevitably misses time. He compared the pick to the Charbonnet contingent-upside thesis but argued it is better because Conner’s age and career workload create a clearer injury path than Kenneth Walker’s. Even if Benson does not have standalone touches early, Overzet trusts the big-play element—"just looks fast"—and likes that the Cardinals’ Week-17 matchup with the Bengals naturally correlates with Ja'Marr Chase stacks in BBMVI. Bottom line: at pick 138-145 Benson offers elite contingent upside at a discount and is a core exposure in his Best Ball portfolio.

Peter Overzet said Baker Mayfield is one of the rare pocket passers you can comfortably draft as a solo quarterback in BBM VI. He cited Nerdy Tenor’s Sidekick simulations that repeatedly spit out Mayfield as an optimal tournament play even when unstacked because Tampa’s target tree is so wide— Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Trey Palmer, Jalen McMillan, and Cade Otton all siphon work, keeping any single pass-catcher from monopolizing fantasy points. That distribution lowers the opportunity cost of skipping a traditional double stack and lets drafters instead pair Mayfield with rookie receiving back Bucky Irving for QB-RB correlation. Overzet likes the “ping-pong” ceiling: some weeks Mayfield throws four touchdowns to four different guys, other weeks Irving houses a screen and dominates touches, but you still own the production of an offense he expects to be “sick.” Bottom line: if Mayfield falls to the 14-15 turn, take him even if you’ve already missed on Evans/Godwin and use the savings to hammer other skill positions.

Peter Overzet said managers should snap up Ricky Pearsall at his current mid-70s BBMVI ADP because the market has not priced in Brandon Aiyuk’s looming stay on the PUP list. Overzet expects that once the PUP designation becomes official, drafters will push Pearsall and Jauan Jennings up "eight to ten picks" while Aiyuk slides. He noted that Pearsall already fits the 49ers’ YAC-heavy scheme and is drawing steady first-team reps in camp. The receivers in the same tier — Jerry Jeudy (uncertain Browns QB situation), Jordan Addison (possible suspension), Deebo Samuel (weight/age worries), and Chris Olave (concussion concerns) — all carry negative news, creating room for Pearsall to rocket into the sixth round. Scooping him now locks in closing-line value and gives drafters an inexpensive way to bet on Brock Purdy stacks if Aiyuk’s absence drags into the season.

Peter Overzet said managers no longer need to reach in Round 4–5 to complete Chase/Higgins stacks because the market has “waved the white flag” on Joe Burrow. In roughly 90 percent of his recent BBM VI drafts Burrow is lasting until the sixth, allowing drafters to scoop Marvin Harrison Jr. or Trey McBride early, load up at receiver, then lock in Burrow at a major discount. Pete’s preferred path: plan on Burrow at 6.01; if the room snipes him, pivot to Kyler Murray in Rounds 8–9. The takeaway is structural—stop capitulating to old ADP, exploit the new range, and preserve premium picks for skill-players instead of paying the quarterback tax.

Peter Overzet reminded listeners that Diontae Johnson is being treated like a late-round flier (often outside the top-200 picks) even though he posted nine double-digit target games in the past two seasons and recorded a 29% target share in Andy Dalton’s lone Panthers start last year. New HC Dave Canales—who has faced Johnson twice a year in Pittsburgh—called him a proven separator he’s happy to scheme for. Overzet thinks the market overstates the Bryce Young uncertainty and is scooping Johnson as a cheap WR2/3 whenever he builds Carolina stacks.

Peter Overzet said the Bills’ front-office is essentially giving drafters a free injury pass on Dalton Kincaid. Brandon Bean claimed Kincaid’s late-season dip was “really more of an injury thing” and added that the second-year tight end has put on noticeable strength, looks confident in the knee and has been stacking strong OTA practices. Overzet’s read: if the knee was the only roadblock to a 22-percent rookie target share, a fully healthy Kincaid can smash his current mid-TE tier ADP in BBMVI, especially with Buffalo replacing 241 vacated targets from Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis.

Peter Overzet said Hunter Renfrow is back on his best-ball radar after head coach Dave Canales gushed about Renfrow "attacking leverage different ways on his releases" and making plays every day in Panthers’ OTAs. Overzet reminded listeners that Renfrow’s 2023 absence was tied to ulcerative colitis—not diminishing skills— and that he once posted a 103-98-1,038-9 stat line the last time he was healthy. With only Adam Thielen and rookie Jalen Coker ahead of him in a thin receiver room, Renfrow could slide right into full-time slot duties and vacuum up high-percentage targets that score well in Underdog’s half-PPR format. Overzet is comfortable clicking Renfrow in the final two rounds as a cheap bring-back in Bryce Young stacks or as insurance when he fades Thielen.

Peter Overzet echoed Jacob Sanderson’s take that drafters are punishing Brock Bowers for being too good too quickly. Bowers posted a "generational rookie year" yet his ADP has stalled because managers assume there’s no room left for growth. Overzet argued that is backwards for best ball: tight ends rarely command a 22% target share and 1.94 yards per route as rookies; if Bowers merely repeats that he smashes a fourth-round price tag, and any incremental bump (red-zone usage, deeper aDOT once he builds rapport with Aidan O’Connell) could put him in the Kelce-Andrews tier. The market is paying for theoretical upside on lesser prospects while refusing to buy a proven alpha. Pete is using that discount to scoop Bowers as his TE1 whenever he slides past pick 40.

Peter Overzet said Taysom Hill remains one of his favorite ‘scroll-the-eff-down’ tight ends in Best Ball Mania drafts. Overzet reminded listeners that Hill “won a few Dog Bowl seats” on big DFS slates last year thanks to his unique multi-touchdown ceiling. Even though Hill is currently nicked up—and therefore slipping deep into drafts—he is once again TE-eligible, giving drafters a cheap path to gadget-play rushing scores plus occasional red-zone routes. Overzet urged managers who are comfortable with late-round volatility to “take your shot” because Hill’s spike-week profile is unmatched by other tight ends available at the very end of drafts.

Peter Overzet backed Daniel Jones to log more starts than Anthony Richardson this season and labeled the veteran an ideal late-round Best Ball piece. Overzet believes if Jones opens the year under center and plays even "pretty well," the Colts will stay adjacent to playoff contention, removing the incentive to bench him. He conceded Week-17 odds might tilt 60/40 toward Richardson but would still lay action that Jones wins the overall start count. With Indianapolis facing several coin-flip games early and a coaching staff that prefers continuity when winning, Overzet keeps tacking Jones onto the back of three-QB builds and would bet any head-to-head "most starts" market in his favor.