PropStarz called Bryce Young’s season prop of 3,150 passing yards "criminally low." The quarterback would need only 187 yards per game over 16 contests to clear it. PropStarz already holds one of his largest season-long positions on the over, banking on continuity in Dave Canales’ offense, the league’s highest-paid offensive line, and new weapons headlined by rookie Tett McMillan. Even modest improvement from last season’s 7-TD, 0-INT finish should push Young well past the total, and PropStarz noted he could play "pretty poor" and still eclipse the number.

PropStarz also prefers the Panthers over 6.5 wins, citing a "really strong offseason" laser-focused on Bryce Young’s development. Carolina spent the eighth pick on 6'4" Tett McMillan, freeing Adam Thielen to play his natural slot role, and invested heavily in pass protection. Young’s final four games (7 TD, 0 INT, 100+ passer rating each outing) convinced PropStarz the sophomore QB is poised to thrive in Year 2 of the Canales system. Add a soft schedule and he believes the number is fair but still worth an over bet.

Alex "PropStarz" Christenson urged bettors to pass on Josh Allen at +600 to repeat as MVP. He stressed how rarely voters crown back-to-back winners and pointed out that Allen must fend off Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes in a loaded quarterback field. To stay in the mix, Allen would need to top last year’s hyper-efficient campaign—he sliced interceptions from 22 to 6 while steering an offense that averaged more than 3.0 points per drive—an improvement PropStarz finds unlikely. With narrative fatigue and fierce competition, he views the +600 price as lacking value.

Alex "PropStarz" Christenson advised taking the under on James Cook’s 2025 rushing touchdown prop of 10.5. Cook erupted for 16 scores last season, but PropStarz called that a glaring outlier compared with the two rushing TDs he logged in both his rookie and sophomore campaigns. He expects regression across Buffalo’s entire offense, which ranked as one of only four units in league history to top 3.0 points per drive. Cook’s 190-pound frame keeps him off the goal line, Josh Allen vultured 12 rushing touchdowns of his own, and bruising rookie Ray Davis looms as another short-yardage option. With volume and efficiency both likely to dip, PropStarz considers double-digit rushing TDs a long shot and labeled under 10.5 one of his favorite season-long bets.

PropStarz said the Bears are the best value bet to take down the NFC North crown. He argued Chicago "won the offseason," starting with luring former Lions coordinator Ben Johnson to run the offense. PropStarz noted that simply removing Johnson from Detroit is a double-win for the Bears, because it both boosts their own scheme and downgrades their main rival. He applauded Chicago’s free-agency haul and draft, highlighting wideout Luther Burden and tight end Colson Loveland as added firepower for No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams, who now steps into an offense "stacked at receiver, tight end, and running back." Defensively, PropStarz called the unit "pretty solid," able to rush the passer and strengthen the interior, giving the roster balance on both sides of the ball. With a fortified supporting cast and familiarity with the division from Johnson, PropStarz expects Chicago to be competitive in what he calls the NFL’s toughest division and likes taking them at plus-money to win the NFC North.

PropStarz said he will be fading the Miami Dolphins in futures and early-season spreads, projecting only six or seven wins. His case: the roster is dangerously top-heavy and produced just one Pro Bowler last year, tight end Jonnu Smith, who was shipped to Pittsburgh in the off-season along with Jalen Ramsey for Minkah Fitzpatrick. Miami had few draft picks and, in PropStarz’s view, botched the ones they did have, producing one of the league’s worst off-seasons. He worries the club may even move Tyreek Hill if things start poorly and reminded listeners that quarterback Tua Tagovailoa remains one concussion away from a season- or career-ending absence. Because public perception is still anchored to the 14-win campaign two years ago, he believes the market is overrating Miami and sees clear value betting their season-win total under and shorting them week-to-week out of the gate.

PropStarz called Tampa Bay at plus money to win the NFC South “ridiculous” value. The Bucs went 3-0 last year against Super-Bowl contenders (Eagles, Bills, Chiefs) and then bolstered the roster by trading for edge rusher Haason Reddick, re-signing linebacker Lavonte David, and spending a top-15 pick on an Ohio State receiver. He noted Baker Mayfield’s 40-TD, MVP-caliber 2023 and a still-elite O-line even if Tristan Wirfs starts on PUP. Defensive improvements and a soft division schedule amplify the edge: Atlanta projects as a .500 club, Carolina remains rebuilding, and PropStarz labeled New Orleans “potentially the worst team in the NFL.”

PropStarz advised taking Green Bay under 9.5 wins at plus money. He argued 2023 was a perfect-health season the Packers are unlikely to repeat. The front office failed to land impact free agents, and he disliked the draft, calling 1st-rounder Matthew Golden “terrible versus man coverage,” a trait that rarely translates quickly to the NFL. With Christian Watson already expected to miss up to half the season, Jordan Love still lacks a true WR1. Meanwhile the NFC North has improved across the board—Chicago upgraded its roster and coaching staff, Detroit remains strong, and Minnesota is no pushover—leaving a tougher schedule and little margin for error.

PropStarz leans OVER Denver’s 9.5-win total at –110, projecting them as a 10-win team despite an AFC West gauntlet. He highlighted a defense that was already top-10 DVOA and just added Dre Greenlaw, Talanoa Hufanga, and first-round CB Jahdae Barron. Pair that with Year-2 Bo Nix in Sean Payton’s offense and a fortified run game, and the median outcome jumps to double-digit victories. In a 17-game season, he sees plenty of scenarios where Denver clears 9.5 even if they only split division games.

PropStarz likes the OVER on Bo Nix’s 24.5 touchdown prop—though he is not sprinting to the window. He emphasized efficiency over raw volume, noting Denver upgraded the ground game with rookie RJ Harvey and J.K. Dobbins while adding Evan Engram as a short-area security blanket. Those pieces should keep the offense on schedule and create easier scoring chances. If Nix plays 16-17 games, PropStarz would be "shocked" if he doesn’t average at least 1.5 TDs per game (≈25-26 total). Given the floor created by Payton’s system and a top-tier offensive line, he sees no justification for betting the under.

PropStarz labeled Trevor Lawrence a "decent value" at +500 to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year. The award has gone to quarterbacks in seven straight seasons (roughly 88% historically), and the AP’s 2024 guidance now emphasizes returning from injury — a box Lawrence checks after appearing in just 10 games while battling multiple ailments. PropStarz noted Lawrence’s narrative juice if Jacksonville surges during the league’s sixth-easiest late-season schedule (per Warren Sharp) and contends for the AFC South. Although Dak Prescott is his favorite in the market, PropStarz believes Lawrence has as good a shot as any longshot behind Dak, given the QB bias and his injury storyline.

PropStarz hammered the over on Travis Hunter’s 695.5 receiving yards. He argued the number is 100-150 yards too low for an every-down talent stepping into a Jaguars offense that just vacated massive volume. Evan Engram (Lawrence’s safety valve) and Christian Kirk are gone, leaving only rookie Brian Thomas Jr. as competition atop the depth chart. Hunter’s elite route running and two-way athleticism should earn him immediate full-time snaps, and PropStarz thinks 14 healthy games make 700 yards Hunter’s floor. He projected an 800-plus yard rookie campaign if Hunter approaches the 120-target range vacated by Engram and Kirk.

PropStarz recommended betting Matthew Golden under 725 receiving yards for the season. He expects a run-first Packers offense and a crowded target tree featuring Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, Christian Watson (projected mid-season return), and Romeo Doubs. Golden’s college tape showed difficulty separating against man coverage, suggesting a slow transition to every-down NFL snaps. With limited volume and possible fourth-option status, Selznick sees little path to 725 yards.

Alex Selznick (PropStarz) loves fading the Packers’ 9.5-win total, noting plus-money on the under. He thinks it’s more likely Green Bay finishes last than first in the division because Chicago had a top-tier offseason, Detroit is already strong, and Minnesota is coming off double-digit wins. Green Bay added little in free agency, had an uninspiring draft, and owns a top-10 toughest schedule per Warren Sharp. Selznick flagged Jordan Love’s durability, regression risk after 2023’s injury-free season, defensive downgrades in the secondary (trading Jaire Alexander, replacing him with Nate Hobbs), and the lack of a true alpha pass catcher as hurdles to reaching double-digit wins.