Rabbi Mort labeled Quang Bang Lee a clear "dog or pass" play at +115, citing massive grappling upside. He believes Lee can compete on the feet as long as he checks low kicks, but the real edge is wrestling—Bolanos has been “cooked” on the mat, submitted twice, and face-planted by Marcus McGhee. Mort pointed out Bolanos’ chin issues (KO loss to McGhee, knockdown versus Roimas) and poor defensive grappling. He suggested sprinkling Lee by decision (+300) or the richer submission prop (+750) and even mentioned a sub/decision double-chance ticket to capture both likely paths.

Rabbi Mort stayed on the safe side and recommended Sandhagen by decision, projecting a 50-45 or 49-46 scorecard. Mort expects Sandhagen’s volume-heavy, feint-driven style to keep him out of Figueiredo’s power while piling up points with jabs, calf kicks and level-changing looks. He noted that Figueiredo proved durable at 135 pounds against Marlon "Chito" Vera, so the primary danger is a single flash knee or spinning kick, scenarios he believes are already baked into the −520 moneyline. Because Sandhagen is essentially a "point fighter" in Mort’s view and Figueiredo has never been finished above flyweight, the decision prop sitting around −120 to −140 offers the cleanest path to profit without the 25-minute sweat of a straight favorite ticket.

Rabbi Mort said Cameron Smotherman is worth a stab at the plus-money decision line. Smotherman left the now-rudderless Metro Fight Club after Saul Soliz passed away and moved to Lobo Gym, the same Guadalajara room that sharpened Diego Lopes and Alex Caceres. Mort thinks that switch will polish both Smotherman’s boxing and his defensive grappling in a hurry. At just 27, Smotherman looked sharp versus Jake Hadley—stuffing most entries and winning extended exchanges—yet books still rate him the smaller man with durability concerns. Mort acknowledged the chin question but pointed out that only heavy grapplers like ‘Coos’ have put him on his back, and Smotherman’s new camp should shore that up. Because the unnamed favorite’s main edge is a hypothetical wrestling advantage, Mort prefers the ‘dog by decision’ ticket that is currently north of +250 instead of a riskier moneyline flyer.

Rabbi Mort warned listeners not to chase Jeremy Stephens’ +900 to +1000 knockout prop, calling it “the trap of the century.” He reminded bettors that Stephens has not fought MMA since November 2022 and has spent the interim in bare-knuckle boxing, leaving his takedown defense and submission awareness even rustier. Stephens has been submitted in three of his last four MMA appearances and now faces Mason Jones, a 29-year-old Cage Warriors champion who has shown a willingness to wrestle whenever he’s clipped. Mort argued that if Jones gets hurt standing, he’ll immediately grapple, neutralizing Stephens’ only path. Given Stephens’ five prior sub losses, Mort believes the KO number is artificially high to lure casual money and suggested passing entirely or pivoting to Jones-by-submission instead.

Rabbi Mort leaned toward Gillian Robertson by decision at +110, arguing that Rodriguez is durable enough to survive but will spend long stretches pinned to the canvas. Mort highlighted that Rodriguez went the distance with grapplers like Virna Jandiroba and Amanda Lemos, so trusting Robertson’s sub prop feels dicey. Instead, he expects Robertson to rack up control time and win minutes once she secures takedowns. Mort noted Robertson now trains striking locally and is competent enough on the feet to set up entries, while Rodriguez’s 37-year-old legs are less likely to scramble back up quickly. He called the +110 decision price "most likely outcome" and suggested Round-3/Decision double-chance for added safety.

Rabbi Mort said Juliana Miller is a live underdog and specifically targeted her submission prop at +700. He argued Petrovic is being overrated: Naliang took Petrovic down in the third round and Naliang "sucks" as a wrestler in his words. Miller averages 1.8 submission attempts per 15 minutes and trains under Richie Martinez, an OG 10th-Planet black belt. Mort added that Petrovic generally wants to grapple, which actually plays into Miller’s strength because Miller can attack angles for arm-bars or work sweeps off her back. He acknowledged Miller’s three-year layoff and multiple surgeries but still believed the stylistic matchup and juicy price justify a stab on the sub prop and even a sprinkle on Miller moneyline.