Razzle said Merrill Kelly belongs in single-entry and three-max builds as a mid-tier SP2. Kelly has quietly settled in after a rocky April, and Razzle likes attacking Oracle Park’s run-suppressing environment. Vegas backs the play: Arizona sits as a small –118 road favorite while Kelly is +170 to record the win. The 4.5 K-prop is juiced to the under, so the upside comes more from run prevention and innings than strikeouts, but Razzle expects low ownership because the field is fixated on Michael King and Tyler Mahle. In a slate light on reliable mid-range arms, Razzle views Kelly’s combination of improving form, a friendly park, and modest win equity as a strong path to 15–18 DraftKings points.