Richard Louis cites SportsLine's advanced model, which strongly favors the over for total scored runs set at 8.5. The simulated model projection anticipates a combined total of 9.2 runs, suggesting value exists in betting the over. Louis notes explicitly that the model, routinely reliable and profitable (+629 on run-line picks), identifies considerable value on one specific side of the money line for the Mariners-Reds Event.

Richard Louis cites SportsLine's advanced model, which strongly favors the over for total scored runs set at 8.5. The simulated model projection anticipates a combined total of 9.2 runs, suggesting value exists in betting the over. Louis notes explicitly that the model, routinely reliable and profitable (+629 on run-line picks), identifies considerable value on one specific side of the money line for the Mariners-Reds Event.

Richard Louis spotlights Julio Rodriguez as a hitter likely to be productive given his developing bat control and improving contact ability. Thus far, Rodriguez has accumulated three home runs, seven RBI, and two triples, in addition to multiple hits in two of his last four games. Louis specifically highlights Rodriguez's recent successful outing against Texas (April 13), where he secured multiple hits and drove in a run. Facing Cincinnati's Brady Singer, Louis indicates Rodriguez is primed for another strong offensive performance, recommending Rodriguez as a solid DFS target.

Richard Louis highlights Gavin Lux as a strong, value-oriented fantasy or betting play based on his consistent batting contributions. Lux leads the Reds with a .276 batting average, to go with 16 hits and 7 RBI. Emphasizing his recent productivity, Louis draws attention to Lux's 4-for-4 performance against the Mariners Tuesday, during which he drove in two runs and scored another. Lux already has three multi-hit games, and Louis notes his reliable high-contact approach at the plate makes him especially appealing against Seattle's pitcher Bryan Woo in Thursday's game.

Richard Louis points out the surging power of catcher Cal Raleigh, who now leads the Mariners with 7 home runs and 10 RBI, having homered in four of his past five games. Raleigh's recent power surge included a two-home run performance in Wednesday's victory over the Reds. Considering Raleigh's consistent recent production and power proficiency, Louis indicates Raleigh as a strong DFS play and reliable fantasy acquisition amidst his current hot streak.

Richard Louis highlights Elly De La Cruz as a dynamic and smooth offensive threat for Cincinnati. De La Cruz is tied for fourth in MLB with 18 RBI, also possessing three home runs and 16 total hits. Louis specifically emphasizes De La Cruz's recent form, including his grand slam against Pittsburgh on April 12. Given the matchup against Seattle Mariners pitcher Bryan Woo, who has a solid overall ERA but faces a potent Reds lineup at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park, Louis notes De La Cruz as a favorable bet to contribute significantly in Thursday's series finale.

Richard Louis underscored Royals third baseman Maikel Garcia as a reason to back Kansas City. Garcia shows strong pitch recognition and is batting .279 with two home runs and six RBI. Recently, he's hit safely in three of his last five games, including a notable two-hit game against Baltimore. Garcia's consistent plate discipline provides rationale to support Kansas City betting propositions against Cleveland.

Richard Louis spotlighted Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. as key factor supporting the Royals' potential to cover. Witt Jr. has been consistently productive, sporting a .280 average with team-leading 14 hits. His consistent extra-base hitting includes doubles in three consecutive games. Given his ongoing run of impressive batting performances, Witt Jr.'s hot bat makes Kansas City a solid betting target.

Richard Louis identified Cleveland Guardians left fielder Steven Kwan as a pivotal reason the Guardians can cover against Kansas City. Kwan is posting a .356 batting average, leading his team in hits (16), and demonstrating consistent plate discipline. He is coming off an impressive 4-for-5 performance with a home run, four RBI, and two runs scored. Kwan's reliability and hot streak offer confidence backing Cleveland.

Richard Louis highlighted Cleveland Guardians first baseman Carlos Santana as reason for Cleveland to cover against the Royals. Santana enters the matchup hitting .267 with two home runs and four RBI this season. Historically, he's dominated the Royals across a substantial sample size, hitting 32 home runs, 95 RBI, and scoring 96 runs in 168 career games against Kansas City. Given this consistent long-term success against the opponent, Santana provides leverage for betting on the Guardians.

Richard Louis highlighted Jasson Dominguez as a strong option to go over 0.5 hits at -210 odds facing Pirates' pitcher Bailey Falter. Dominguez has started well in 2025, hitting .292 with seven total hits and coming off a 2-for-4 performance in Friday's opener against Pittsburgh that included two RBIs and a double. He's recorded multiple hits in three straight games. Falter has struggled early, surrendering seven hits in his first start against Miami Marlins. Those factors make Dominguez's single hit prop a highly compelling bet for Saturday's matchup.

Richard Louis advised targeting Aaron Judge to collect at least one RBI in the Yankees matchup with the Pirates at -115 odds. Judge has begun the season in dominant form, leading MLB with 17 RBI and six home runs through only seven games. He produced two RBIs against the Pirates in the series opener on Friday and has recorded at least one RBI in four of seven contests this year. Judge has historically excelled versus Pittsburgh too, totaling 15 hits and 10 RBI against the Pirates, making this RBI prop especially attractive against Pittsburgh's pitching staff, currently ranked seventh-worst in runs allowed across MLB.

Richard Louis recommended placing a bet on the Pirates at +140 in their matchup against the Yankees on April 5. Louis referenced SportsLine's model projection, which forecasts 4.5 runs for Pittsburgh offense against Yankees pitcher Marcus Stroman, who struggled last season with a high 1.47 WHIP and started slow this year giving up three earned runs in just 4.2 innings during his first start. Despite being sizable underdogs, the model sees substantial value in Pittsburgh and gives them a 42% chance of winning, justifying the Pirates as a smart betting play at plus-money odds.