RJ White bet Sam Darnold under 20.5 touchdown passes. Darnold’s 2024 success owed much to Kevin O’Connell’s scheme and Justin Jefferson, neither of which he’ll have in Seattle. The Seahawks’ pass-catcher group is unproven, the offensive line remains a liability, and Darnold must master a new system. White added that rookie Jalen Milroe could siphon goal-line snaps or late-season starts, further eroding touchdown volume. Behind a porous line Darnold would likely need 17 healthy starts to hit 21 scores, a scenario White views as improbable.

RJ White is fading Justin Herbert under 3,650.5 yards. New OC Greg Roman has coordinated bottom-five pass-attempt offenses in 10 of 11 seasons, and the Chargers’ offseason—adding power backs Omari and Hampton plus Najee Harris—signals a ground-heavy identity. Rashawn Slater’s season-ending injury pushes rookie Joe Alt to left tackle and weakens the right side, increasing sack and injury risk. Combine lower volume with the possibility Herbert misses time and White calls 3,650.5 "aggressive" for this version of the Bolts.

RJ White likes Bo Nix over 3,500.5 passing yards at –105. Nix threw for 3,775 last season despite a conservative early-season script; his final 10 games projected to 4,300 over 17 weeks. Denver added Evan Engram, saw Marvin Mims surge late, and rookie Troy Franklin is reportedly pushing for a starting spot—so much so the team felt comfortable trading away veteran depth. White highlighted Sean Payton’s Saints offenses finishing top-5 in passing yards in each of Payton’s first 11 seasons, suggesting Payton may have found his new Drew Brees. At a number he calls "the lowest we’ll see on Nix for a decade," White is all in on the over.