Ron Pick Dawgz is rolling with Oakland as a home underdog. He detailed how Didier Fuentes has struggled at the major-league level and now pitches in one of the league’s more hitter-friendly parks, giving the A’s a tangible edge early. Jeffrey Springs has won three of his last four starts and owns strong recent peripherals. Importantly, Ron highlighted Atlanta’s severe drop-off versus lefties over the past month—23rd in team OPS, 29th in ISO, with an elevated strikeout rate—making Springs a favorable matchup. Expecting 5–6 effective innings from Springs and early damage against Fuentes, Ron labeled the Athletics money line his play.

Ron Pick Dawgz is backing San Francisco at Oracle Park, calling the pitching matchup "lopsided." He questioned Taijuan Walker’s viability as a starter, pointing out that Philadelphia has limited him to bullpen work for stretches and his underlying metrics remain shaky. Robbie Ray, by contrast, has rounded into form and draws a Phillies lineup that has been "nothing special" against left-handed pitching lately. Even though Ron has criticized the Giants’ offense throughout the season, he believes a below-average San Francisco lineup can still get to Walker, making the home side the play.

Ron Pick Dawgz grabbed Arizona for both the first five and full-game money lines. He noted Nick Pivetta has surrendered a homer in four of his last five outings and now draws a Diamondbacks order that ranks top-10 in OPS versus right-handed pitching. Merrill Kelly provides the steadier arm on the other side and faces a Padres lineup sitting 25th in both OPS and ISO against righties over the past 30 days. Given the combination of Pivetta’s gopher-ball issues and San Diego’s recent offensive funk, Ron sees value in backing the Snakes early and often.

Ron Pick Dawgz recommended the Rangers on the money line, pointing to a decisive pitching advantage. Nathan Eovaldi has looked fully healthy since returning from the IL, spinning five scoreless innings in his last start and posting a sub-3.00 ERA on the year. Jose Soriano, meanwhile, owns an inflated home ERA over the past two seasons and was torched for eight runs in his most recent Angel Stadium appearance. Ron conceded Soriano flashed upside on the road against Atlanta, yet stressed there is "no margin for error" when Eovaldi is dealing. Even a so-called quality start (6 IP, 3 ER) by Soriano could still lose, so Ron is siding firmly with Texas.

Ron Pick Dawgz advised laying both the money-line and run-line with Houston. He called Cleveland "the worst offense in baseball" and likes the spot for Hunter Brown, who enters off several sharp outings and now faces a Guardians lineup that ranks dead last in most major categories versus right-handed pitching. On the flip side, Joey Cantillo has been serviceable, but Ron emphasized that the Astros own one of MLB’s best splits against lefties, making Minute Maid (he referred to it as Diken Park) a tough ask for the rookie. Ron projected a low-scoring but clearly one-sided result in Houston’s favor and labeled the Astros the bettable side.

Ron Pick Dawgz is comfortable laying both money-line and run-line with St. Louis. Andre Palante has allowed two or fewer runs in four of five starts, sporting strong ground-ball rates and solid control—an ideal profile versus a Nationals lineup that leads MLB in ground-ball percentage. Conversely, Jake Irvin owns an ERA near six on the road, ugly expected stats, and the current Cardinal hitters carry a .550+ xSLG against him. Ron called it a “pretty big pitching advantage,” making St. Louis the bet.

Despite Pittsburgh’s ugly, three-game shutout in Seattle, Ron Pick Dawgz prefers taking plus money or +1.5 runs behind Mitch Keller. He views Keller and Seth Lugo as offsetting each other and doubts Kansas City’s offense enough to call the game a “virtual coin flip.” Given that uncertainty, Ron wants the extra run or straight money-line with the Pirates rather than laying a price with KC.

Ron Pick Dawgz took Milwaukee money-line at American Family Field. Rookie flamethrower Jacob Mizorowski owns 10 shutout home innings with 13 Ks, and Ron expects a solid outing if the control holds. Milwaukee has the third-best OPS versus lefties over the last 30 days, while Clayton Kershaw “wasn’t his best” against the White Sox and now faces a far tougher split. With lineup edge against southpaws and a live arm, Ron sees value on the Brewers upset.

Ron Pick Dawgz prefers Chicago in the first five innings. Shota Imanaga is the “much better option” than Simeon Woods Richardson, whom Ron still labels the weakest link in Minnesota’s rotation despite recent competence. Because he rates the Twins’ bullpen as “elite” and dangerous in late-game rallies at Target Field, Ron isolates the early frame, siding with the Cubs before pens take over.

Ron Pick Dawgz grabbed Miami at plus money. Yuri Perez has rediscovered his swing-and-miss stuff, logging 6+ strikeouts in two of his last three and tossing six scoreless, one-hit frames vs. Minnesota. Miami has won three of his past four starts. Ron called Nick Martinez a weak link in Cincy’s rotation despite a decent Fenway outing, making the Marlins the value side.

Ron Pick Dawgz sees value in Logan Gilbert’s strikeout over and the Mariners money-line. He called the pitching matchup “lopsided,” noting Gilbert’s ability to generate whiffs and the Yankees’ recent struggles despite Sunday’s Subway-Series win. Will Warren was “crushed” in his last outing, making Ron confident Gilbert can rack up Ks while Seattle claims the opener at Yankee Stadium.

Ron Pick Dawgz laid out why Tampa is a road buy: the Rays own one of baseball’s best 30-day OPS marks versus right-handers, while Jack Flaherty’s ERA is “just under five” and trending poorly. Ryan Pepio, meanwhile, gives Tampa the superior mound option. Ron recommended Rays money-line, expecting their righty-crushing lineup to strike early and Pepio to navigate Detroit’s middling bats.

Ron Pick Dawgz backed the Mets on the money-line, calling the Clay Holmes vs. Brandon Young matchup “lopsided.” Young brings a 7.02 ERA and, in Ron’s words, “isn’t a viable big-league starter right now,” while the Mets have been hot against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days. Holmes has road splits Ron trusts—five to six solid innings are expected if he limits recently rising walks. With New York swinging well and getting the far better arm, Ron labeled the Mets the clear side.