Ross Benjamin recommends taking Milwaukee Brewers on the run line at +1.5 runs (-125) against the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 12th. He emphasizes Milwaukee's recent hot streak, noting their 8-2 record after an initial 0-4 start. Benjamin is encouraged by rookie pitcher Chad Patrick's quick success at the MLB level, holding an exceptional 0.90 ERA over two starts this season and a stellar minor league performance last year at Triple-A Nashville, where Patrick went 14-1 with a sub-3.00 ERA. Benjamin also cites Milwaukee’s excellent bullpen numbers in night games this year, recording a stellar 1.38 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP in seven night matchups. Offensively, the Brewers have averaged a robust eight runs per game, posting a very strong .343 OBP and collecting 21 extra base hits over their last six contests. Conversely, Arizona's starter Corbin Burnes has struggled early on, posting an underwhelming 5.73 ERA and 1.93 WHIP through his first two appearances of the season. Arizona overall has been mediocre lately, going just 2-4 in their last six games. Benjamin sees great betting value here despite the initial appearance of pitching mismatch.

Ross Benjamin likes the Kansas City Royals as a live underdog betting opportunity against Cleveland, highlighting that Royals starter Michael Lorenzen has established consistent success against Cleveland. Lorenzen has delivered an impressive 2.55 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in four starts against this opponent. He’s also off to a solid 2025 season start, recording a 3.18 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. On the other side, Cleveland pitcher Luis Ortiz has performed poorly with an 8.44 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in two starts, and historically Ortiz and his team have struggled, going 0-3 in situations when he takes the mound as a home favorite of minus 110 or greater. Additionally, Benjamin emphasizes Kansas City's strong resilience early in the season, as they're 5-1 overall and specifically 3-0 recently in games immediately following a loss. All of these factors position Kansas City as a good value play at +115 odds.