Coleman constructed a Marlins-focused SGP at +550 that starts with Miami moneyline (+190), adds the team total over 4.5 runs (+150) and sprinkles in Kyle Stowers 2+ total bases (+140). The core of his handicap is fading rookie right-hander Landon Knack, who owns a 10.38 ERA in two road outings and is still ironing out his command. Miami’s offense has been noticeably better at loanDepot Park, and Coleman is betting that home splits plus Knack’s struggles allow them to get to five runs. On the other side, Valente Bellozo hasn’t dazzled, but the Dodgers have never faced him—an unfamiliarity edge that could buy the Marlins a few clean early frames. If Stowers can take advantage of Knack’s shaky control and LA’s middle relief, Coleman believes the stars line up for a rare Miami upset and a profitable same-game parlay ticket.

Ryan Coleman rolled out a three-leg SGP built around the Mets offense and made Pete Alonso the centerpiece. He likes Alonso to record 3+ total bases at +175 because the first baseman has already taken Merrill Kelly deep three times and owns a .938 slugging percentage against him. Coleman stacked that prop with Mets team total over 4.5 runs and Mets -2.5, noting several supporting angles: (1) Juan Soto (16 prior ABs) and Jeff McNeil (two career homers) also profile well versus Kelly; (2) Arizona’s bullpen ranks 24th in MLB, giving New York nine innings of friendly pitching; (3) Kodai Senga brings a 1.38 ERA into the matchup and has yet to allow an extra-base hit to anyone in the Diamondbacks lineup, creating a lopsided run-prevention edge. After New York managed only one run the previous night, Coleman expects a bounce-back fireworks show and is comfortable laying the -2.5 run line while chasing plus odds on Alonso’s total bases.