Ryan Heath placed Malik Nabers inside his overall top-12, citing Nabers’ rookie totals of 170 targets, 109 receptions, and 18.2 FPG—numbers only OBJ, Chase, Jefferson, and Nacua have matched in the modern era. That quartet averaged 20.2 FPG in Year 2. With little added target competition and a likely mid-season upgrade to Jaxson Dart, Heath anticipates 1,400+ yards and at least nine TDs, making Nabers a slam-dunk first-round pick.

Ryan Heath is “all-in” on Ladd McConkey at the Round 2/3 turn. McConkey produced 82-1,149-7 on 112 targets as a rookie and saw his target share rise when Justin Herbert was pressured—a scenario that could increase after Rashawn Slater’s injury. Even with Keenan Allen back and rookie Tre Harris in town, Heath projects McConkey to lead the Chargers in receiving yards and flirt with 150+ targets in Jim Harbaugh’s precision passing game, making him a core pick for season-long and best-ball formats.

Ryan Heath cautioned against assuming Ricky Pearsall inherits a lucrative ‘Deebo Samuel’ role. Since Christian McCaffrey’s arrival, Samuel’s hybrid touches have translated to just 13.6 fantasy PPG (WR29 pace). Heath contrasted that with Jauan Jennings’ 17.9 PPG in spot starts and noted Jennings’ superior per-route efficiency. Until Kyle Shanahan shows Pearsall can earn that same volume, Heath views the sophomore as a bench flier rather than a weekly starter.

Ryan Heath remains below consensus on Rome Odunze, arguing that Colston Loveland and Luther Burden provide better cost-adjusted upside in the new Ben Johnson attack. Citing Scott DiBenedetto’s film notes that Odunze struggles downfield and leaning on efficiency metrics that value rookie production over draft capital, Heath projects possession-receiver numbers akin to 70-900-4. With D.J. Moore entrenched and Caleb Williams still acclimating, Heath is fading Odunze in both redraft and dynasty.

Ryan Heath warned drafters off Keon Coleman after Buffalo signed Joshua Palmer, a receiver with overlapping strengths. Heath noted OC Joe Brady has never produced a WR who averaged 15.0 fantasy points per game and highlighted Coleman’s 65-target rookie season as a likely ceiling. With Brady’s committee tendencies and Coleman’s limited separation ability, Heath believes 2025 may be the wideout’s last offseason with any dynasty buzz.

Ryan Heath said Adonai Mitchell is “no more than a stash” and should be avoided in 2025 season-long leagues. Heath pointed to Mitchell’s paltry 34.1% rookie route participation, the presence of Josh Downs, Michael Pittman, and Alec Pierce, and Indianapolis’ still-shaky quarterback situation. Even with above-average separation on certain routes, Heath does not expect the sophomore to command volume and sees little path to weekly fantasy relevance.

Ryan Heath reiterated that he is out on spending a Round-1-to-Round-4 pick on Brock Bowers or Trey McBride. In his eight-year database, Travis Kelce is the lone tight end drafted inside the first four rounds to post a true league-winning season, and Kelce had to average at least 18 PPR points (15.5 Underdog half-PPR) to do it—essentially wide-receiver-one production from the tight-end slot. Heath’s research shows elite tight ends offer no unique edge in wins-above-replacement or spike weeks versus taking an elite wide receiver in the same range. Because Bowers and McBride need WR1-level scoring to justify their cost—an outcome Heath projects as unlikely—he is passing on them in both Best Ball and redraft and starting his tight-end board with George Kittle several rounds later.

Ryan Heath dusted off Hunter Henry as a prime free-round target after digging into the nine full games he played with Drake Maye. In that sample Henry averaged 6.4 targets, 50 yards, and 11.5 expected fantasy points—top-six marks at the position over the full 2024 season. Vegas projects New England to score as many points as the Cowboys this year, and Josh McDaniels’ return is notable: Henry ranked top-five in end-zone targets the last time he played in McDaniels’ scheme. Heath likes Henry as a last-round click in home leagues and as the perfect TE3 on Best Ball builds that chase spike-week variance.

Ryan Heath said Evan Engram is an easy click in managed leagues now that Sean Payton has only Courtland Sutton going inside the top-60 picks. Engram’s 7.8 targets per game over the last two seasons rank fourth among tight ends, and Payton’s long-standing "Joker" role could keep him on the field despite blocking concerns. With Denver projected to play uptempo and feature heavy play-action, Heath envisions Engram stumbling into red-zone volume similar to Jimmy Graham’s Payton-era usage. The TE is a bit pricey on Underdog, but Heath loves him as a last-starter or hero-TE build in season-long formats where his ADP is several rounds cheaper.

Ryan Heath called Tetairoa “T-Mac” McMillan the steal of 2025 rookie drafts, especially in home leagues where he is still lingering in Rounds 6-7. Heath rattled off that 21 rookie wideouts have topped 16 fantasy points per game in the second half of seasons since 2010—exactly when playoff pushes matter—making first-year breakouts true league-winners. McMillan was a top-10 NFL Draft pick, and wide receivers taken that early over the last four years averaged 7.5 targets and just over 1,000 receiving yards as rookies. Heath re-watched Bryce Young’s tape and noted the quarterback’s propensity for pre-snap reads and cover-2 perimeter shots, the very route tree where the 6'3" McMillan wins. With Carolina lacking target competition, Heath sees an immediate Young-to-T-Mac connection and is willing to pay the 3-4 turn on Underdog while laughing at the Round-7 price tag in casual drafts.

Ryan Heath said Drake London is the easiest wide-receiver smash that casual drafters are still sleeping on. London finished 2024 with a 0.134 first-downs-per-route-run rate—well above the 0.12–0.13 threshold that every league-winning wideout has hit in Heath’s database. In the tiny two-game sample with rookie QB Michael Penix Jr., London averaged 13 targets and 117 receiving yards, numbers that would have led the entire NFL over the last four seasons. Heath noted that London is entering the prime Year-3 to Year-5 window in which 53 % of historical league-winners break out, yet he slips past pick 30 in many home leagues. Heath urged managers to grab London anywhere after the mid-second round, calling him a perfect swing for ceilings in both Season-Long formats and Underdog Best Ball tournaments.

Ryan Heath labeled RJ Harvey a high-upside dart after Denver spent day-two capital on him—only the fourth time Sean Payton has drafted a running back that early. The other three (Reggie Bush, Mark Ingram, Alvin Kamara) averaged more than 100 rookie-year targets, highlighting Payton’s long-standing tendency to pepper backs in the passing game. Heath called Harvey an explosive player who fits that dual-threat mold and believes Payton’s system plus Denver’s shallow receiver depth could unlock immediate PPR value. With Harvey’s ADP drifting downward during the rookie lull, Heath is scooping him everywhere, betting that one preseason splash play will push him up multiple rounds.

Ryan Heath spotlighted Omarion Hampton as a round-two smash while Najee Harris’ murky status keeps his ADP suppressed. Hampton scored above the 95th percentile in Fantasy Points’ composite weight-speed metric—the first first-round running back to clear that bar since Saquon Barkley, who delivered the best rookie fantasy season ever. Heath expects Greg Roman’s run-centric scheme to hand Hampton certified bellcow volume, and he anticipates Hampton’s price could jump to the early-third alongside Chase Brown if negative news on Harris persists. Heath is aggressively loading up on Hampton now in both Best Ball tournaments and redraft leagues before the rookie-news cycle sends him up a round or more.

Ryan Heath pushed Brees Hall into must-target territory at his late-third/early-fourth ADP. Hall has averaged 4.8 targets per game for his career; only Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara and Austin Ekeler have matched that passing-game volume, and Hall’s 1.79 yards per route run ranks second among all backs over that span. Heath believes preseason coach-speak about a three-man committee is noise, noting that a healthy Hall could easily reclaim a bell-cow role in an offense bolstered by first-round tackles Amarius Mims and Olu Fashanu plus a fully healthy interior line. Justin Fields’ mandate to avoid turnovers should funnel check-downs Hall’s way, and a thin receiver room further boosts his receiving ceiling. If Hall regains the burst film graders said he lost while playing hurt in 2024, Heath sees league-winning upside available a full round after the elite backs go off the board.

Ryan Heath argued Chase Brown is the final true difference-making running back available in early round three and should be treated as an A-plus pick. From Week 9 on last season, Brown averaged 22.4 expected fantasy points per game—higher than any year-long workload Fantasy Points Data has tracked for a back. He drew four targets per game even on first and second down, signaling built-in PPR insulation if the Bengals follow Mike Clay’s projection of being the league’s pass-heaviest team. Heath dismissed Zach Moss as a possible cut candidate and labeled Samaje Perine a "meat-shield" who will soak up low-value snaps without jeopardizing Brown’s money touches. With Cincinnati’s offense expected to be "insane," Heath put a top-10 seasonal finish firmly in Brown’s range of outcomes and prefers him over the fading wide-receiver tier or Trey McBride at the 3-4 turn in both Season-Long and Best Ball formats.

Ryan Heath advised steering clear of Kyren Williams at his current ADP, labeling the Rams runner "very fragile" for 2025. Williams ranked near the bottom of the league in targets per route run because Matthew Stafford historically ignores running backs, so he lacks the receiving fallback most RB1s enjoy. Heath added that Los Angeles spent Day-2 capital on Blake Corum and Jarquize Hunter, creating real risk that Williams’ 90-percent goal-line share drops into the 65-70-percent range. If his carry monopoly turns merely average, Williams no longer pays off a top-40 pick. Heath prefers taking higher-upside backs in the same draft pocket.

Ryan Heath said De'Von Achane is once again the easiest player for him to hammer in drafts because every plausible 2025 game script points to a top-five finish. In the nine 2024 games he played with Tua Tagovailoa, Achane averaged 22.6 PPR points and more than 20 expected points per game—both would have led all running backs. He also set the all-time rookie record for yards per carry while spearheading what was, by Fantasy Points Data, the league’s most valuable backfield. Heath argued that if defenses keep living in two-high shells, Mike McDaniel will feed Achane endless screens; if the re-tooled offensive line finally unlocks the inside run, his breakaway speed will blow games open. Either way you get a high-end RB1 being drafted a full round after players with similar ceilings. Heath is making Achane a core pick for both Season-Long leagues and Best Ball tournaments.

Ryan Heath pegged Drake Maye as the sneaky dual-threat league-winner you can draft around QB14. Maye averaged over 35 rushing yards per game last season purely on scrambles—more than Jayden Daniels when you isolate Daniels’ full contests—despite only seven designed runs all year. New England deliberately protected him behind a shaky line, but camp reports say the Patriots plan to unleash designed keepers in 2025. Even without those freebies, Maye was a back-end QB1 in his healthy starts. Heath believes a modest bump in rushing volume plus the normal year-two passing leap could vault Maye into the top-10 while you’re paying a mid-teens price tag. He recommended targeting Maye as a single-starter in home leagues or pairing him with an early pocket passer for massive weekly upside in Best Ball tournaments.

Ryan Heath called J.J. McCarthy a slam-dunk final-round pick everywhere. Kevin O’Connell has finished top-6 in pass rate over expectation and top-5 in red-zone pass rate every single year, and that play-calling juice turned Nick Mullens into an 18-point fantasy starter and Josh Dobbs into nearly 20 points per game. Even Sam Darnold posted a QB9 finish under O’Connell despite a battered offensive line. Heath argued that if you think McCarthy is merely a pedestrian prospect, he’s still undervalued; if you think he’s good, his current undrafted status is criminal. In home-league redraft you can take him in Round 15-16 and walk away with no other QB. In Best Ball, he’s the perfect QB2/3 on hyper-fragile builds because the Vikings will throw at the goal line and play fast regardless of game script.

Ryan Heath said Brock Purdy can absolutely break fantasy drafts in 2025 despite a ninth-round ADP. Purdy already averaged 21.1 fantasy points per game last season, good for QB6, and that includes two weather disasters (the Buffalo snow game and a rain-soaked Rams tilt). If you toss those out, he has been sixth in fantasy points per drop-back for his entire career—trailing only the cheat-code rushers. Heath also pointed out that Purdy quietly scores more fantasy points per scramble than Jalen Hurts or Lamar Jackson did last year. Insert the 49ers’ McShanahan offense, Christian McCaffrey back healthy, and an easier 2025 schedule, and Heath thinks Purdy is the exact archetype that posts an "exorbitantly high touchdown rate" while dragging two or three pass catchers onto playoff rosters. He advised scooping Purdy in the late rounds of home leagues or building cheap Best Ball stacks around him and Deebo/Kittle because you are paying a pocket-passer price for a top-six ceiling.

Ryan Heath advised securing Lamar Jackson whenever he slips into the fourth round. Jackson is part of the elite trio that has produced league-winning playoff rates in 5 of the last 6 Round 3-4 draft seasons. Heath noted that every QB league winner since 2017 hit 55 rush attempts; Jackson averaged 143 carries over three fully healthy seasons, blowing past that threshold while adding historic yards-per-carry efficiency. At just 27 years old, Jackson’s legs are still in their prime, and Todd Monken’s pass-first scheme gives him added stackability. Given that running back league winners can still be found in Rounds 5-8, Heath argued Jackson’s locked-in dual-threat ceiling is the highest-leverage pick you can make after the top WR tier dries up.

Ryan Heath highlighted Jalen Hurts as another prime Round 3-4 target. Hurts, along with Allen and Lamar Jackson, owns a 5-for-6 track record of league-winning seasons when drafted in that pocket the past three years. Heath’s study shows Hurts easily satisfies the key marker of at least 55 rush attempts (he logged 164 last season) while adding a unique cheat-code with the Eagles’ goal-line ‘tush-push.’ The Eagles’ offense remains stacked, and Hurts is still under 30, keeping age-related decline off the table. Heath argued that passing on shaky mid-round WRs like Davante Adams or Terry McLaurin in favor of Hurts’ weekly 25-point ceiling is the sharper path because you can circle back for mis-priced rookies such as Brian Thomas later.

Ryan Heath said Josh Allen remains one of the safest league-winner bets in 2025 drafts. Allen is part of the "big three" signal-callers who have produced a league-winning playoff rate in five of the six seasons they have been selected in Rounds 3-4. Heath’s database shows every quarterback league winner since 2017 logged at least 55 rush attempts, and 62 percent cleared 100. Allen easily checks that box, averaging 108 carries and 9 rushing TDs per year during his career. With Buffalo now building its passing game around his legs and explosive outside-structure throws, Heath believes passing-TD variance is a bonus, not a requirement. Because the wide-receiver tier break hits right after Round 2, Heath prefers locking in Allen’s dual-threat ceiling in the early third, then attacking cheaper rookie WR values later on.

Heath urged dynasty and ultra-deep best-ball managers to stash UDFA Jalen Coker. Coker’s rookie 1D/RR beat Marvin Harrison Jr. and ranked inside the top-10 of the past two classes, while his 1.83 YPRR topped the rookie seasons of Amon-Ra St. Brown and Drake London. In eight games with a 70% route share he averaged 54 receiving yards, a better per-game line than several eventual WR1s posted as rookies. Although draft capital is nonexistent, Heath’s research shows it loses predictive power once a Day 2+ receiver gets on the field. He believes Coker can overtake veteran slot man Adam Thielen in Carolina and is a zero-cost flier worth holding.

Ryan Heath views Courtland Sutton as a massive deal near WR28. Sutton already finished 2024 top-12 in 1D/RR (0.112) and expected fantasy points (15.6). Once rookie QB Bo Nix’s accuracy leapt from near league-worst to near league-best after Week 9, Sutton’s 1D/RR vaulted to 0.136 (5th) and his production to 17.4 FPG (WR11). Heath highlighted Sean Payton’s system and Nix’s late-season progression as proof that Sutton functioned as a fantasy WR1 down the stretch. With continuity in scheme and chemistry, Sutton profiles as a low-end WR1/high-end WR2 who is priced as a middling WR3 in best-ball drafts.

Heath labeled Josh Downs a "smash" at his roughly WR48 cost. Downs ranked 10th in 1D/RR (0.114) and 4th in targets per route (30%), plus posted a top-5 Average Separation Score from the slot. Indianapolis ran 11-personnel on 70.7% of snaps (10th-highest), so slot usage won’t cap volume. The bigger upgrade is under center: likely Week 1 starter Daniel Jones finished 2024 top-10 in catchable-throw rate, whereas Anthony Richardson was last, specifically struggling on the horizontal-breaking routes where Downs earns 41% of his targets. Downs averaged 15.5 FPG (WR15 pace) in games with Joe Flacco, showing what accurate quarterbacking can unlock. Heath is pounding the draft button at his price.

Heath highlighted Jauan Jennings as a screaming value at his Underdog WR35 price. Jennings finished 2024 top-10 in both 1D/RR (0.119) and yards per route run (2.47) while earning a 33.7% first-read share and 17.9 fantasy points per game in the nine contests that Deebo Samuel or Brandon Aiyuk missed. With Samuel traded and Aiyuk likely to open 2025 on PUP, the target competition is similar. Jennings also posted a top-20 Average Separation Score, out-separating big-name X receivers like Garrett Wilson and Tee Higgins. Heath reminded readers that nearly 15% of historical wide-receiver breakouts occur in Year 4 and is drafting Jennings confidently as a WR3 who owns WR2 upside.

Ryan Heath called Puka Nacua the most underrated Round-1 selection in 2025 drafts. Nacua’s 0.170 first-downs-per-route-run (1D/RR) ranked 2nd among all seasons in the Fantasy Points Data Suite, more than double Cooper Kupp’s rate. In the nine 2024 games where he wasn’t injured or ejected he averaged 10.7 targets, a ridiculous 44.6% first-read target share, and 104.9 receiving yards per game — all figures that would have led the league. After staying healthy for all 17 games as a rookie, Heath believes durability concerns are overblown and ranks Nacua as a top-5 overall pick, noting he’s still available in the back half of Round 1 on Underdog.

Ryan Heath is back in on Jayden Reed now that his ADP has fallen two rounds. Reed’s 7.33 YAC per reception ranked 4th among 50 qualifiers, and his 33.3% designed-target rate led the NFL. He averaged 18.3 FPG in the five games before Jordan Love’s groin injury. A healthy Love drove a +3.6% pass rate over expectation (would have ranked 7th), versus ‑8.2% after the injury. With Christian Watson rehabbing an ACL and target magnet Dontayvion Wicks possibly demoted for drops, rookie field-stretcher Matthew Golden (9th-percentile college TPRR) may actually funnel more looks to Reed. Heath sees massive upside at the new, cheaper price.

Ryan Heath is fading DK Metcalf at WR25 because Arthur Smith offenses do not feed wideouts. No Smith-coached receiver has eclipsed 115 targets, and Metcalf has never topped 1,000 yards or 13 FPG in a sub-115-target year. He profiles as a ‘big play merchant’—72% of such players see YPRR regression—and must now rely on 41-year-old Aaron Rodgers, who ranked 19th in deep-ball completion rate (38.6%) last season. Heath calls the entire Steelers passing attack an easy avoid.

Ryan Heath urged caution on Cooper Kupp even at a WR49 ADP. Kupp dropped below the critical 0.10 1D/RR marker that has signaled late-career decline 68% of the time and ranked just 51st of 69 qualifiers in Average Separation Score after Week 12. Now 33, he joins Klint Kubiak’s offense that ran 11-personnel only 33.8% of the time (31st) and posted a ‑2.0% pass rate over expectation. With slot snaps set to fall and lacking deep-threat juice, Heath prefers Josh Downs or Emeka Egbuka in the same range.

Ryan Heath is fading Xavier Worthy at his WR23 Underdog price. Worthy produced a first down on only 7.5% of routes (0.075 1D/RR), falling below the 0.085 threshold that historically yields just a 9% Year-2 hit rate. Meanwhile, Rashee Rice’s 0.123 rookie 1D/RR ranked 10th all-time, and legal experts now expect Rice to avoid a 2025 suspension. Heath believes Worthy’s low per-route efficiency plus target competition make him a poor bet to justify a top-25 receiver tag.

Ryan Heath highlighted Devaughn Vele as a near-free flyer. Vele’s 0.096 rookie 1D/RR ranks 16th among first-year receivers since 2021, sandwiched between DeVonta Smith and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Despite running only 53% of Denver’s routes, he finished second on the team in that metric. With Marvin Mims and third-round rookie Pat Bryant offering unproven competition, Heath sees a path for Vele to claim the primary slot job and provide unexpected spike weeks.

Ryan Heath recommended taking deep shots on Jalen Coker in dynasty and late-round best ball. As a rookie UDFA, Coker generated first downs more often than Marvin Harrison Jr. and posted a superior YPRR (1.83 vs 1.74). In eight games above a 70% route share he averaged 54 receiving yards—better rookie marks than Amon-Ra St. Brown, Drake London, and Jayden Reed. Heath notes Coker could overtake 34-year-old Adam Thielen for slot snaps if his per-route efficiency continues.

Ryan Heath labeled Courtland Sutton a huge value at his ~WR28 price. Sutton finished 2024 top-12 in 1D/RR (0.112) and expected fantasy points (15.6 XFP/G). After rookie QB Bo Nix’s accuracy leaped from near worst to near best league-wide, Sutton’s post-Week-10 numbers jumped to 0.136 1D/RR (5th) and 17.4 FPG (11th)—true WR1 production. Heath believes a full season of improved quarterback play in Sean Payton’s system makes Sutton one of the most under-drafted receivers on Underdog.

Ryan Heath called Josh Downs a smash at his ~WR48 ADP. Downs ranked 10th in 1D/RR (0.114) and 4th in targets per route (30%) last year while finishing top-5 in Average Separation Score from the slot. The Colts ran 11-personnel on 70.7% of snaps (10th-highest), guaranteeing three-WR sets. Heath blamed Anthony Richardson’s inaccuracy on horizontal routes for suppressing production; Downs averaged 15.5 FPG with Joe Flacco. Week-1 starter Daniel Jones ranked top-10 in catchable throws per game in 2024, giving Downs a quarterback upgrade. Heath expects a target spike and is drafting him everywhere.

Ryan Heath advised drafting Jauan Jennings as a WR3 at his Underdog WR35 ADP. Jennings finished 2024 top-10 in both 1D/RR (0.119) and YPRR (2.47). With Deebo Samuel traded and Brandon Aiyuk expected to open the year on PUP, target competition is similar to the nine 2024 games in which Jennings averaged 17.9 fantasy points (WR8) on a 33.7% first-read target share. He also posted a top-20 Average Separation Score, out-pacing Garrett Wilson and Tee Higgins. Heath noted that roughly 15% of historical WR breakouts occur in year four and believes Jennings’ profile shows his 2024 surge was no fluke.

Ryan Heath said Puka Nacua remains the most underrated first-round pick in 2025 drafts. Nacua’s 0.170 first-downs-per-route-run ranked 2nd among all seasons in Fantasy Points Data history and was more than double Cooper Kupp’s rate. In nine healthy, non-ejection games he averaged 10.7 targets, a 44.6% first-read share, and 104.9 receiving yards per game—numbers that would have led the league in 2024. After handling a full 17-game rookie workload despite college durability concerns, Heath views him as a top-5 overall fantasy pick who is still slipping to the back half of round one on Underdog.

Heath is back in on Jayden Reed after a two-round ADP slide. Reed’s 7.33 yards after catch per reception ranked 4th of 50 qualifiers, and he led the league with a 33.3% designed-target rate. With Christian Watson rehabbing an ACL tear and target-earner Dontayvion Wicks possibly in the doghouse, rookie Matthew Golden could replace them as a low-TPRR field stretcher, opening even more middle-of-field looks for Reed. Green Bay posted a +3.6% PROE when Jordan Love was healthy (top-7), and Reed averaged 18.3 FPG across those contests. At his discounted price Heath sees WR2 upside for both season-long and best-ball drafters.

Ryan Heath is fading DK Metcalf at his WR25 ADP. Metcalf profiles as a classic "big-play merchant"—his YPRR outpaces his 1D/RR, a combination that regresses 72% of the time. Volume is the bigger killer: no receiver has ever eclipsed 115 targets in an Arthur Smith offense, and Metcalf failed to reach 1,000 yards or 13 FPG in either of his sub-115-target campaigns. Smith’s units have ranked bottom-7 in pass plays three straight seasons, and 41-year-old Aaron Rodgers managed only a 38.6% deep-ball completion rate last year. Heath sees little chance Metcalf accesses a ceiling worthy of his price tag.

Heath warned drafters not to be enticed by Cooper Kupp even at a modest WR49 cost. Kupp fell under the key 0.10 1D/RR age-cliff threshold in 2024, a marker that predicted decline 68% of the time among past elite WRs. His Average Separation Score dropped to 51st of 69 after Week 12, and he now joins Klint Kubiak’s Seattle attack that ranked 31st in 11-personnel usage, likely forcing Kupp outside more often. With Seattle already leaning run-heavy (-2.0% PROE) and Kupp turning 33 without the deep-speed profile of a Rashid Shaheed type, Heath prefers Josh Downs and Emeka Egbuka at similar prices.

Heath advised fading Xavier Worthy at his lofty WR23 Underdog ADP. Worthy’s rookie 1D/RR was a meager 0.075 (51st), well below the 0.085 threshold that historically predicts Year-2 success—only 9% of sub-0.085 rookies have reached 13 FPG the next season. Meanwhile teammate Rashee Rice, who logged a 0.123 1D/RR (2nd-best rookie mark ever), increasingly looks unlikely to be suspended in 2025. With Rice potentially active all year and Worthy’s per-route efficiency screaming regression, Heath sees little upside at the current price and is passing in both season-long and best-ball formats.