Murphy flagged Aaron Rai as ChatGPT’s favorite longshot at +15000. The Englishman ranks top-5 on Tour in fairways-hit percentage and strokes-gained approach over the last ten events, an ideal profile for Quail Hollow’s elevated, well-bunkered greens. Rai has quietly gained strokes in every major category in five consecutive starts and posted multiple top-25 finishes this season. His nerves were proven when he stared down McIlroy at the 2023 Scottish Open. If the putter cooperates (career best strokes-gained putting the past month), Murphy believes Rai can lurk on Sunday and cash top-10/top-20 tickets as well.

Murphy noted that ChatGPT slots Bryson DeChambeau third at +950. Supporting metrics: recent LIV Golf Korea victory, runner-up at the Masters, average driving distance 328 yards (top-3 worldwide) and strokes-gained off-the-tee plus 1.05 over his last five starts. Quail Hollow’s length (7,600-plus yards) rewards his power, and firmer May fairways will leave him short irons into the par-5s, creating eagle chances. The AI model factored in his improved wedge proximity (ranked 14th in the past three months) as evidence he can convert power into scoring.

Murphy relayed ChatGPT’s projection that Scottie Scheffler, priced +400, will finish runner-up or better. Key data fed into the model included Scheffler tying the PGA Tour 72-hole scoring record with a 31-under at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, ranking No.1 in strokes-gained tee-to-green over the last 12 months, and gaining over 1.2 strokes per round with the putter since March. His elite long-iron game is tailor-made for Quail Hollow’s 16-hole stretch known as the Green Mile, where approach shots over 190 yards are common.

Ryan Murphy said Rory McIlroy is the rightful +450 favorite to win at Quail Hollow. McIlroy rolls in with Masters momentum (completing the career Grand Slam) and an unmatched course résumé: four career victories at Quail including 2010, 2015, 2021 and 2023. ChatGPT’s model emphasized that familiarity, plus McIlroy’s elite current form—bogey-free 66 to open, 65 Friday surge fueled by a 343-yard drive/eagle, and a gritty 70 in Saturday winds. Murphy added that Rory’s iron play (laser-accurate approaches) and putter under pressure on 11 and 17 have him primed to close, projecting a four-round total around −15.