Reichel made Seattle his lean, stating it was “Mariners or pass” because “you can’t back the Rangers right now.” His model produced a 7.6 total, leaving the side as the only viable angle on a game he thinks Texas is too cold to support.

Reichel’s underdog is Tampa Bay –1.5 at +155. He said, “I don’t trust Stroman,” expecting the Yankee right-hander to get shelled, while Rays starter Pepiot is at least serviceable. Even though Tampa may deal pieces at the deadline, he still prefers their firepower to a Yankees club that “always makes it an adventure” despite recent wins. The juicy price on the Rays’ run line made it his favorite dog.

Scott Reichel locked in Reds –1.5 at +130. He likes the number because ESPN added Carlos Carrasco to the probable list, which in his eyes increases Cincinnati’s edge. Reichel believes the price will “plummet,” especially if Atlanta moves pieces at the deadline, so he urged listeners to grab the run-line early while the plus-money tag is still available.

Scott Reichel plans to bet Seattle once books hang a number. He trusts George Kirby over Kumar Rocker, pointing to Rocker’s 9.91 road ERA and Seattle’s deeper bullpen. Despite both teams slumping, Reichel believes T-Mobile Park and the pitching mismatch give the Mariners a clear edge.

In addition to the total, Reichel laid -1.5 runs at +130 behind Abbott. He called Atlanta “a joke” right now, noting the team’s .230 average versus lefties, a possible Marcell Ozuna sell-off, and a rotating cast of spot starters. With Abbott’s swing-and-miss stuff and the Reds’ hitter-friendly park, Reichel believes Cincinnati can win comfortably and the plus money makes the run line attractive.

Scott Reichel grabbed Tampa Bay at +100 because he believes Ryan Pepiot (3.42 ERA, identical home/road splits) clearly outclasses Marcus Stroman, who just allowed four earned and four walks in 3.2 innings against Philadelphia and has alternated blow-ups with quality starts since returning from the IL. Reichel also cited New York’s shaky bullpen and noted that any late Rays lineup scratches for trade purposes are already baked into the plus money. His model makes Tampa a slight favorite, so he is siding with the Rays on the road.

Scott Reichel predicted Stephen Kwan will not be traded this week. Reichel argued Cleveland’s front office has a long track record of holding controllable hitters until it receives an above-market haul, and Kwan is under club control for at least two more seasons. Reichel added that the Guardians value Kwan’s elite contact profile despite today’s power-driven landscape, so fantasy managers should expect him to remain in the same park and lineup role through the rest of 2025.

Scott Reichel advised bettors to stay away from Cincinnati’s ‘Make the Playoffs’ futures despite the Hayes deal. He argued the Reds remain three games behind San Diego and have virtually no path to jump Philadelphia or Chicago in the Wild Card race. Reichel also cited a roster he views as "lukewarm" in the outfield and middle infield plus an unproven pitching staff. His bottom-line call: the Reds will fall short, so a ‘No’ ticket on their postseason market still carries value.

Scott Reichel said Ke'Bryan Hayes could finally become a league-average hitter now that he is reportedly headed to Cincinnati. Reichel pointed to Great American Ball Park’s friendlier dimensions and the Reds’ developmental staff, noting that a change in scenery has revived other stalled bats (he mentioned Andrew Vaughn as a recent example). Because Hayes already offers elite defense at third, Reichel believes even modest offensive improvement locks him into everyday at-bats and turns him into an undervalued corner-infield option for season-long fantasy managers looking for runs and speed at a thin position.

Scott Reichel warned fantasy managers not to overreact to Ke'Bryan Hayes landing in Cincinnati. Reichel praised Hayes as an elite, possibly platinum-glove third baseman but emphasized the bat remains "average to slightly below average," citing a .236 average with only two homers and 36 RBIs. Even in Great American Ball Park, he does not see a sudden power spike; the Reds traded for glove reliability, not offense. Reichel advised leaving Hayes on waivers in mixed leagues and ignoring him in DFS until his underlying batted-ball profile improves.

Scott Reichel said bettors should keep fading Arizona’s lineup because the club has "basically waved the flag" on 2025 after its deadline sell-off. He noted the Diamondbacks scored just one run in an entire series with Pittsburgh and were "blasted in every game" by Minnesota. Reichel believes the front-office teardown has led the clubhouse to roll over, so he is targeting unders on Arizona team totals, laying the run line against them, and streaming opposing starters in DFS until the offense shows real improvement.

Scott Reichel took Pittsburgh at +110 with Mitch Keller on the hill, calling it potentially Keller’s ‘last start in this uniform.’ Keller owns a 3.35 ERA since May 1 and has worked six or more innings in seven of his last nine turns, giving Pittsburgh an enormous reliability edge over San Francisco’s to-be-announced starter and shaky bullpen. Reichel mocked the Giants’ annual second-half collapse—2-8 in their last ten—while the Pirates just swept Detroit and are finally scoring. He projects Pittsburgh as a small favorite and will keep fading San Francisco until the market adjusts.

Scott Reichel is taking the Mets around +120 because he refuses to ‘lay it with Dylan Cease.’ Reichel argues Cease’s 4.37 ERA and 1.34 WHIP do not warrant a favorite tag, especially against a Mets club that owns a top-five OPS since the All-Star break. Frankie Montas has been inconsistent, but his 4.45 ERA is nearly identical to Cease’s and he faces a Padres lineup that just snapped a lengthy slump. Reichel added the Sunday-night-baseball fade angle—San Diego had the extra travel—and believes the game is closer to a coin flip; therefore any price north of +110 on New York is worth a stab.

Scott Reichel is auto-playing Texas –1.5 even without a posted line because Jacob deGrom is slated to face an as-yet-undecided Angels bullpen game. Reichel noted the Rangers have won eight straight, including sweeps of the Braves and A’s, and are 36-16 as a betting favorite this year. He believes deGrom will dominate an Angels lineup that ranks bottom-five in wRC+ versus high-velocity righties, and Los Angeles’ thin pitching depth should crumble once their mystery opener exits. With Bochy’s club charging toward a Wild Card spot, Reichel expects another multi-run victory and will play the run line down to –130.

Scott Reichel is grabbing Washington around +200 despite Framber Valdez taking the mound for Houston. He argued the –240 tag cannot be justified after the Astros were swept at home by Oakland and scored only five total runs in the series. Houston’s lineup also lost slugger Isaac Paredes to injury, thinning an already inconsistent offense. Reichel admitted Brad Lord is unproven but noted the Nationals have plated 7-plus runs in consecutive games, and Houston’s recent form makes laying more than two-to-one ‘insane.’ He is happy to ride the live dog while the market continues to price Houston like an elite club.

Scott Reichel grabbed Miami around +100 because he trusts Edward Cabrera’s raw stuff far more than Andre Pallante’s. Reichel pointed out that Pallante has been a disaster lately, coughing up 17 earned runs (18 total) over his last three outings while St. Louis has dropped five straight games he has started. Cabrera’s season has been uneven, but Reichel noted his strike-out upside and that, on his good days, the right-hander sits upper-90s with a wipe-out change. Against a Cardinals lineup he called ‘flat,’ Reichel wants the better arm plus a coin-flip price, saying he would play Miami down to –105.

Scott Reichel laid –1.5 with Philadelphia, trusting Aaron Sanchez (11-3, 2.20 ERA) to carve a punch-less White Sox lineup. Opposing starter Davis Martin sports a respectable 3.89 ERA but owns a 2-8 record because Chicago averages just 2.4 runs in his appearances. The Sox have dropped seven of his last eight starts and rank dead last in OPS versus right-handers. Reichel sees Philly’s balanced offense providing plenty of cushion and likes the run-line price down to –135.

Scott Reichel grabbed Boston around +105 because Minnesota looks lost: the Twins just dropped a home set to Washington, have lost five of six, and may put Byron Buxton on the IL after he exited Sunday. Reichel does not trust Simeon Woods Richardson, whose 5.09 xERA suggests regression, while rookie Rich Fitz has been serviceable enough. With Boston clinging to a Wild Card slot and swinging it well versus righties (114 wRC+ since June 1), Reichel thinks they should be the slight favorite and will ride the momentum.

Scott Reichel called the current Braves –180 tag “insane” given Atlanta’s nosedive. The Braves have dropped 11 of their last 12 road games, are rumored to be shopping several veterans, and look like a team playing out the string. Whether Spencer Strider or emergency starter Davis Daniel goes, Reichel doubts either will work deep, forcing a bullpen he rates bottom-five in WPA. Rich Hill’s lone 2025 appearance was solid and, at +150, Reichel believes you’re paying for Atlanta’s brand, not on-field form. He expects a motivated Kansas City lineup to take advantage of Atlanta’s lefty woes (Braves own a .289 team OBP vs southpaws) and said he’ll auto-fade the Braves until bookmakers adjust.

Scott Reichel laid the –1.5 with Los Angeles because he sees a massive starting-pitching gap. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has righted the ship after a brief lull, allowing one earned run across 12 innings in his last two outings, and has generally looked every bit the ace the Dodgers paid for. Chase Burns still flashes gaudy strike-out totals (27 Ks over his last three starts) but everything else has been ugly: eight earned runs in those same outings, shaky command, persistent home-run issues and four straight Cincinnati losses when he takes the ball. Reichel thinks Burns’ inefficiency forces an over-taxed Reds bullpen in early, while L.A.’s deep lineup can capitalize on the walks and long-ball vulnerability. He priced the Dodgers closer to –200 on the moneyline and prefers the cheaper run line to squeeze value.

Scott Reichel swallowed hard and laid –115 with the Yankees, arguing the market is overrating Tampa Bay because Drew Rasmussen is on a strict pitch cap. Rasmussen has failed to complete 4.1 innings in four straight starts, meaning a taxed and possibly soon-to-be-dismantled Rays bullpen will handle at least half the game. Reichel concedes New York’s form is poor but notes they are traditionally stronger at Yankee Stadium, whereas the Rays just got swept by Cincinnati and "are playing arguably worse baseball than the Yankees." With the starting-pitching edge muted by Rasmussen’s workload and neither offense firing, he still believes the small home favorite price is fair.

Scott Reichel laid the run-and-a-half with Cleveland, explaining that Rockies starter Tanner Balaylock is a punching bag away from Coors while Guardians rookie Jonah Chiconi has quietly given length and quality in July. Reichel trusts Chiconi to work deep, notes Colorado averages below three runs per game on the road, and reminds listeners that the Rockies’ bullpen is "awful" once Balaylock inevitably exits. With Cleveland’s offense heating up since the All-Star break and the Guardians priced around –240 on the moneyline, Reichel prefers the cheaper –1.5 run line to cut juice.

Scott Reichel said he is grabbing Detroit as soon as books post a line because Arizona’s roster is being dismantled in real time. He noted the Diamondbacks traded away Nailor and Grishik Sunday night and are rumored to move even more pieces after Zac Gallen’s start. The lineup looks checked out, managing just one total run (and that came in extras) during a three-game sweep by Pittsburgh. Reichel gives the Tigers the pitching edge with Casey Mize, whom he still considers “pretty good,” while Eduardo Rodriguez continues to struggle on the road. With Arizona’s offense ice-cold and clubhouse morale sinking, Reichel is comfortable backing Detroit on the moneyline at anything south of –120 and will look at the run line if books open too high.

Scott Reichel advised betting the Blue Jays at the current -120 moneyline, calling it a cheap tag for a first-place club. He pointed to a clear pitching edge: Chris Bassitt is 11-4 with a 3.80 ERA, whereas Zach Eflin owns a 5.78 ERA and the Orioles have lost four straight games he has started. Reichel noted that Eflin was rocked for 17 earned runs over nine innings in the three outings before his modest five-inning, two-run stint versus Cleveland, so he doubts any real turnaround. With Eflin unlikely to work deep and Toronto’s bullpen far steadier, Reichel expects Bassitt to give the Jays six solid frames and likes them up to about -130.

Scott Reichel laid the –145 with Seattle, arguing the franchise’s deadline acquisition of Josh Naylor signals a win-now push while the Angels slide back toward seller mode. He acknowledged George Kirby’s back-to-back four-earned clunkers but reminded listeners the right-hander allowed just eight earned in his five previous starts and owns superior raw stuff to Tyler Anderson. Anderson has been solid at home but sports four-plus runs allowed in five of his last eight overall and struggles away from Anaheim, indicating possible regression even in his own park. Reichel trusts Seattle’s deeper lineup to punish Anderson’s high contact rate and sees extra clubhouse motivation from the front office’s ‘we’re still going for it’ message.

Scott Reichel took San Diego at +135 on principle, calling the Cardinals’ –160 tag “outrageous.” He conceded St. Louis is tough at Busch Stadium but argued Matthew Liberatore’s inconsistency (six earned vs Atlanta last time out) makes them unfit to be big favorites. Padres rookie Adrian Vasquez has allowed two or fewer earned in four of his last five, giving San Diego a live arm and a bullpen with better underlying metrics over the past month (3.45 xFIP vs Cards’ 4.22). Reichel expects a high-scoring affair—both teams slug over .440 against opposite-hand pitching—but believes San Diego’s lineup still carries the higher ceiling, projecting an 8-6 Padres victory.

Scott Reichel isolated Royals first-five moneyline behind Kris Bubic. The left-hander boasts a 2.38 ERA on the year and opened the second half with five scoreless frames against Miami. Conversely, Tanner Bybee owns a 5.37 road ERA and was rocked for five runs (three earned) in Baltimore last time out. Reichel wants no part of either bullpen, preferring to back Bubic head-to-head for the opening five. He projected Kansas City leading 3-1 through five and advised parlay hunters to consider a correlated F5 under as well.

Scott Reichel hammered the under 9 in Dodgers-Red Sox, calling the number “insane” when Garrett Crochet is involved. Crochet owns a 2.35 ERA at Fenway and has yielded only three earned across his last three starts. Clayton Kershaw, meanwhile, sports a sparkling 1.88 road ERA and has allowed two earned or fewer in every road outing this season. Reichel pointed out both pitchers’ elite strikeout-to-walk ratios (Crochet 5.8, Kershaw 4.9) and the Red Sox’s recent offensive funk—just a .675 OPS since the break. He projected a 3-2 or 4-3 type game and warned bettors not to be seduced by Boston’s hitter-friendly park: “Two aces override the Green Monster.”

Scott Reichel laid the run line with Minnesota, confident that Joe Ryan will cruise against Washington. Ryan owns a 2.77 ERA at Target Field and has allowed fewer than three earned runs in six straight outings, surrendering just two total over his last two starts. Opposing rookie Mitchell Parker drags a 6.46 road ERA and a sky-high hit rate; Reichel called him “flat-out unplayable” away from D.C. The Nationals’ light lineup offers little resistance, while the Twins’ bats should feast on Parker’s contact profile—Washington ranks bottom-three in hard-hit rate allowed. Reichel projected a comfortable 6-2 or 7-3 final and felt anything near even money on –1.5 was a gift.

Scott Reichel grabbed Oakland around +180, fading Hunter Brown’s recent collapse—13 runs allowed over his last 15 innings that ballooned his ERA from 2.33 to 2.57. He called Luis Lopez ‘volatile but talented’ and good enough to keep the A’s in striking distance against an Astros lineup that has scored three or fewer in seven of its last ten. With Brown’s current form nowhere near Cy Young-caliber, Reichel thinks Houston should be priced closer to –150, making the plus-money A’s the only side worth playing.

Scott Reichel targeted plus money with Miami first-five. He likes Janson Junk’s current groove—13 straight scoreless road innings and a 3.09 ERA—while anticipating regression from Brewers lefty Jose Kintana, who has surrendered three or more earned in three of his last four despite a 7-3 record. By isolating the opening five frames, Reichel avoids Miami’s shaky bullpen and bets on Junk to carry a 2-1 or 3-2 lead into the sixth.

Scott Reichel grabbed Texas –120/–125 against an Atlanta club openly shopping pieces at the deadline. He framed it as buyers versus sellers: the Rangers are ‘rolling’ while the Braves look lifeless. Reichel acknowledged Kile Holmes’ better surface stats but prefers Kumar Rocker, who has surrendered just two earned runs over his last three home outings, including 5-2⁄3 innings of no-hit ball versus Detroit. With morale and recent form both tilting strongly toward Texas, he believes the correct line should be closer to –140.

Scott Reichel laid the run-line with Baltimore at –1.5 even though it costs –135. He trusts Grayson Rodriguez, who’s allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight and owns a 1.74 season ERA, to dominate a Rockies club that is 1-7 in Antonio Senzatela’s road starts. Senzatela’s 6.43 road ERA, the Rockies’ league-worst road record, and the loss of middle-order bat Ryan McMahon via trade leave Colorado punch-less. Reichel sees Camden Yards’ eighth-inning handicap as irrelevant because Baltimore’s offense should build a multi-run cushion long before then, making the run line playable despite the juice.

Scott Reichel is backing the Pirates at roughly +118, citing Arizona’s mid-season fire sale. After shipping Josh Naylor and openly shopping Merrill Kelly, the Diamondbacks appear to be waving the white flag; Reichel even speculates Kelly could be scratched or pulled early to protect trade value. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has played well at PNC Park and boasts a suddenly reliable bullpen—‘the unit I trust most on the field,’ per Reichel. With clubhouse uncertainty in Arizona and plus money available, he sees significant value on the Buccos.

Scott Reichel is fading Detroit’s –200 price tag and taking Toronto around +170 despite Tarik Skubal’s stellar season. Reichel notes the Tigers have dropped 10 of their last 11 and average fewer than three runs per game in that span, making their punch-less offense and shaky bullpen unworthy of heavy-favorite status. Meanwhile Kevin Gausman has allowed two earned or fewer in four of his past five starts, and the Blue Jays enter Saturday as one of MLB’s hottest clubs. Reichel is happy to ride Toronto’s momentum and fade a team that ‘can’t score runs’ at an inflated number.

Scott Reichel’s home-run dart lands on Manny Machado versus Miles Mikolas. Reichel wants to fade Mikolas’ recent skid—15 earned runs and five long balls allowed over his last three road turns—inside a game that co-host Lonte Smith already projected as a shoot-out with 90-degree heat in St. Louis. Machado owns two career homers off Mikolas despite a modest .235 average, and Reichel likes that the Padres’ third baseman is trending up after a two-hit night that included a laser-beam double. Mikolas’ sinker has generated just a 38% ground-ball rate since July 1, a red flag against Machado’s loft-heavy swing (41% fly-ball rate this month). Reichel expects books to hang a price in the +350 range and thinks the combination of weather, Mikolas’ declining ground-ball profile, and Machado’s form make that number playable for both prop bettors and one-off DFS tournaments.

Scott Reichel made Seattle a buy at –125, saying the market is underrating Bryan Woo’s consistency and overrating Jose Soriano’s shaky home profile. Woo sports an 8-5 record with a 2.91 ERA and had allowed only four earned runs TOTAL across five starts before a stumble against Houston. On the road he’s held opponents to two or fewer in three straight. Soriano, meanwhile, owns a 5.65 ERA at Angel Stadium and continues to fight walk issues (10.2% BB rate). Reichel added that the Angels were ‘great for four innings versus the Mets and awful thereafter,’ while Seattle just survived consecutive series with Milwaukee and Houston— a massive step up from Los Angeles. He power-rated the game Mariners –140 and called the current number a bargain.

Scott Reichel grabbed Washington at +110, calling the current –130 tag on Minnesota with Zebby Matthews ‘insane.’ Reichel argued the pitching gap actually favors the Nationals: MacKenzie Gore owns a 4.02 ERA and has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four road outings, while Matthews limps in with a 6.26 season ERA and was torched for 5 runs on 8 hits in his lone start since returning from the IL (at Coors Field). Gore’s lone post–All-Star dud came against his former club in San Diego, but Reichel dismissed it as the southpaw’s typical volatility. He also noted that Washington overs have hit in seven of the last ten because the lineup has quietly produced 4.9 runs per game in July; that gives the Nats a path even if Gore’s command wobbles for an inning. With Matthews posting a 1.60 WHIP and the Twins bullpen having thrown 13 innings the previous three days, Reichel made Washington the clear value side and priced them closer to –110 himself.

Scott Reichel recommended taking Cleveland even-money (–105 to +100 depending on book) against Kansas City, insisting the Guardians should be slight road favorites. He conceded Kyle Wacha has a sparkling 2.72 home ERA but pointed out the Royals have LOST seven of Wacha’s last eight outings and five straight overall because their offense provides no support. Meanwhile rookie Gavin Williams owns a 3.54 ERA and has yielded only four earned across his last two starts. Reichel highlighted Cleveland’s surge—wins in eight of eleven—and the return of on-base machine Steven Kwan to the top of the lineup. With Kansas City ranking bottom-five in OPS this month and still striking out 25 % of the time, Reichel sees little chance they cash in on Williams’ occasional walk issues. “KC should not be laying –120 to anybody playing .500 baseball,” he said, calling the Guardians the clear value side.

Scott Reichel recommended taking Texas –1.5 at +135, noting the club has won eight of ten and allowed fewer than three runs in seven straight games. Nathan Eovaldi returns from an 11-day breather having given up one total run across his last three starts and owns a 1.54 ERA since late April. Opposite him is Joey Wentz, whom Reichel labels "not very good" despite a decent outing against the Yankees, and an Atlanta roster already 13 games under .500 and likely to sell at the deadline. With Corey Seager healthy and the offense finally above league-average again, Reichel expects the Rangers’ elite rotation to keep rolling and sees plus money on the run line as the best way to attack the matchup.

Scott Reichel grabbed the White Sox around +160, arguing the market has over-corrected toward the Cubs. He highlighted starter Colin Hauser’s absurd home splits—4-0 with a 0.69 ERA at Guaranteed Rate Field—and the fact Chicago has won five straight Hauser starts while averaging more than five runs per game during that stretch. The South Siders just swept Pittsburgh and took a series from Tampa, so their current form is far better than their season record. Reichel does respect Shota Imanaga’s post-injury dominance (three earned total over his last three outings) but still leans under 8.5 given cross-winds and both pitchers’ strike-throwing profiles. He sees the plus-money side as mispriced in what he expects to be a tight, low-scoring contest.

Scott Reichel advised laying the short price with the Blue Jays, noting that Detroit’s bats have completely flat-lined while Toronto continues to grind out quality plate appearances. The Tigers have scored three or fewer in eight of their last ten and were "absolutely destroyed by Bailey Falter," a sign of how cold the lineup is. Even though Jose Berrios has surrendered four-plus earned in three of his last four starts, Reichel trusts Toronto’s on-base chops (top-10 in pitches per plate appearance and walk rate) to give Berrios a cushion and eventually wear down a Detroit bullpen that has been forced into early duty by short outings from Kenta Maeda and others. With Cleveland inching closer in the division race, he thinks the pressure sits squarely on Detroit, making the Blue Jays a buy at anything up to –130 on the moneyline.

Scott Reichel advised playing Baltimore –1.5 at even money, citing a massive form and venue edge. Dean Kremer is on a 14-inning scoreless streak and has allowed just one run total in his last two starts (14 IP), while Colorado trots out Kyle Freeland and his 2-10 record/5.19 ERA. Even though Freeland has been marginally better the past three outings, the Rockies remain a horrific 12-38 away from Coors Field. Reichel expects Baltimore’s power-heavy lineup (top-10 in ISO) to capitalize on Freeland’s .344 road wOBA and trusts Kremer to cruise against a Rockies squad that just broke a 220-game shutout drought. He projected a comfortable multi-run win and sees no reason to pay a steep moneyline when the run line is available at plus juice.