Sean Koerner suggested grabbing Daniel Jones in Round 17 as insurance against Anthony Richardson’s shoulder setback and accuracy woes. Koerner currently projects an even split—roughly eight or nine starts apiece—because Richardson hasn’t shown reliable passing chops and the Colts set Richardson’s completion prop around 13.5 before last year’s scratch. If Jones wins the job for 12-plus games, Koerner expects him to "thrive in Shane Steichen’s system," pointing to an indoor schedule, a soft AFC South, and a loaded skill group (Pittman, Downs, Pierce, Mitchell, TE Tyler Warren, Jonathan Taylor). Jones’ 40-yard rushing upside gives him a path to weekly top-12 scores, making him an ideal last-round quarterback to pair with Richardson in best-ball builds that need cheap contingency options.

Sean Koerner pitched Keenan Allen as a unique Round-16 moonshot. Despite being 33 and currently teamless, Allen still ranked 34th in fantasy points per game last year and remains an elite route runner. Koerner argued that free-agent status is a feature, not a bug: Allen can wait for a perfect landing spot—an injury replacement or a contender suddenly thin at wideout—allowing him to walk into a top-two target share rather than fight depth-chart politics. He cited scenarios such as a Stefan Diggs suspension in New England or a late Ravens deal that morphs into a Texans playoff rental, emphasizing multiple paths to relevance. The risk of retirement or a bad fit exists, but at pick 190-plus the opportunity cost is negligible compared with the ceiling of a 110-target season. Koerner framed Allen as the quintessential stash for managers willing to swing big in Best Ball tournaments or deep season-long leagues.

Sean Koerner pegged Jaylen Wright as a Round-15 lottery ticket with a clearer path than drafters realize. The 2023 fourth-rounder disappointed as a rookie—ending up in Mike McDaniel’s doghouse—but Koerner likened the potential second-year bounce to Tank Bigsby’s turnaround. Raheem Mostert is gone, leaving Wright as De’Von Achane’s primary backup in an offense that supported two fantasy-viable backs even when both were healthy. Koerner emphasized Miami’s wide zone scheme fits Wright’s blazing 4.38 speed and that Achane’s perfect health last year is unlikely to repeat; the average RB misses 2-3 games. In those weeks Wright could inherit 12-15 touches with multiple goal-line looks on one of the league’s highest-scoring attacks. Even without injury, McDaniel has shown willingness to rotate backs to maintain pace, giving Wright standalone best-ball value. Koerner sees him as the ideal late-round handcuff plus upside play for managers who faded running back early.

Sean Koerner said Brenton Strange is the smash Round-14 tight end because Evan Engram’s move to Denver leaves Strange as the clear No. 1 in Jacksonville. Koerner reminded listeners that whenever Engram missed time last year Strange was almost a one-for-one replacement, finishing TE9 over the first four-game stretch and TE17 over the second while posting an 11-catch blow-up in Week 15. He framed Strange’s ceiling around new OC Liam Cohen, noting Cohen coaxed career years out of Tyler Higbee in 2022 and Cade Otton in 2023. A second-round pedigree plus a likely every-down snap share make Strange an easy bet for 80-plus routes per game and a possible outlier TD season, especially if Trevor Lawrence’s historically low red-zone conversion rate positively regresses. Koerner called him the perfect final tight end in best-ball builds that are already heavy on Jaguars stacks but added he’s plenty viable in season-long formats given the thin tight-end landscape.

Sean Koerner urged drafters to grab Isaiah Likely in Round 13 as one of the few backup tight ends who can genuinely swing leagues. Even with Mark Andrews healthy all year, Likely ranked TE16 in Best Ball points added per game, validating a usable weekly floor at his current TE17 ADP. Koerner spotlighted the contingency upside: when Andrews missed the final five games of 2023, Likely finished as the TE3 overall, averaging 6.0 catches, 71 yards and 0.8 TDs. The Ravens play heavy 12-personnel, so Likely stays on the field enough to provide occasional spike weeks even when Andrews is active, but any injury vaults him into top-5 territory immediately. Chris Raybon added that by Week 5 last season Likely had already logged a TE1 and TE4 finish, illustrating how little patience is required before he pays off. Koerner framed him as the perfect upside-plus-floor complement to an early-round tight end in both Best Ball and season-long leagues.

Sean Koerner pegged Zach Charbonnet as the highest-upside running back available in Round 10. Charbonnet needs Kenneth Walker to miss time, but Koerner stressed how massive the payoff can be: in Walker’s four missed games last year, Charbonnet produced RB7 overall numbers in his first two starts and RB2 overall in the next two. Koerner’s annual backup-RB model gives Charbonnet one of the top "league-winner" ratings because Seattle funnels the entire backfield to one runner when healthy and Charbonnet already handles third-down work. If Walker’s physical running style again leads to missed weeks, Koerner projects Charbonnet for a locked-in 18-22 touches and top-5 weekly finishes, well worth a 10th-round best-ball pick.

Koerner projected sixth-overall pick Ashton Jeanty for immediate bell-cow volume in a Pete Carroll-Chip Kelly marriage that screams run-heavy. Carroll has historically ranked top-5 in neutral-script rush rate and, according to Koerner, specifically lobbied for Jeanty 96th-percentile burst to recreate the Marshawn Lynch era. Kelly’s collegiate offenses funneled 22-25 touches per game to a lead back and his lone NFL season calling plays for Philly produced a league-high 321 carries for LeSean McCoy. Koerner dismissed concerns about Michael Mayer and Brock Bowers siphoning red-zone looks, noting that Kelly still fed McCoy 59 targets alongside a prime Jordan Matthews in 2014. With Jeanty already taking first-team reps and reporting weight-room numbers north of 600-lb squats, Koerner ranked him RB11 in early projections and urged taking him as early as Round 2 in redraft and best-ball formats.

Sean Koerner said keeping Josh McDaniels as offensive coordinator is a sneaky long-term win for Drake Maye. McDaniels coaxed Mac Jones’ career year in 2021 (24 TDs, 67% completion) and, after flameouts in Denver and Las Vegas, is unlikely to land another head-coaching gig. That means Maye could enjoy rare play-caller continuity for multiple seasons — a luxury few young QBs get. Koerner expects McDaniels to replicate his quick-game concepts that generated a 6.8% sack rate and 69% first-read throws for Jones, traits that fit May’s decisive style coming out of UNC. While Koerner cautioned the current roster is still rebuilding and Diggs’ Week 1 health is pivotal, he upgraded May’s three-year projection and endorsed him as an upside QB2 in superflex formats.

Sean Koerner said Clint Kubiak’s arrival in Seattle quietly tilts the offense back toward the backfield and specifically boosts Kenneth Walker. Kubiak’s lone year calling plays for New Orleans fed Alvin Kamara 86 targets—20 on designed screens—and Koerner expects that philosophy to follow him west. He emphasized that Kubiak’s outside-zone run game mirrors what Walker dominated at Michigan State and differs from Shane Waldron’s mixed concepts that sometimes bounced Walker too far outside. With a healthier interior line, Koerner projects Walker’s workload to rise from 15.1 touches per game to 18-19 while preserving his explosive 4.6 yards-after-contact clip. He also tagged Zach Charbonnet as an elite handcuff (“any Walker ding turns Charbonnet into a top-five play”), but the headline takeaway is that Walker’s ceiling jumps a full tier under Kubiak, making him a round-three target in both best ball and season-long leagues.

Sean Koerner called Dalton Schultz the quiet winner of Houston’s coordinator change. Nick Caley coached tight ends for McVay and his offenses live in 11 personnel that funnels lay-up targets to the Y-tight end on boot and mesh concepts. Rams tight ends averaged a 19% target share under Caley despite competing with Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua; Koerner expects a similar design to give Schultz near-every-down routes. With Stefon Diggs gone and Tank Dell’s availability doubtful, Schultz projects for a career-high 90–95 targets and low-end TE1 production. At a TE17 price he’s "the last every-week starter" and an easy stacking partner with Stroud in best-ball tournaments.

Sean Koerner said Nick Caley’s arrival as offensive coordinator is exactly what C.J. Stroud needs to erase last year’s face-plant. Caley spent the past two seasons under Sean McVay running the Rams passing game, a background Koerner believes will translate into heavier pre-snap motion, a true 11-personnel base and cleaner first reads for Stroud. Inside buzz is that Caley will hand Stroud far more freedom to audible—something Bobby Slowik rarely allowed—which should push Houston’s pass rate back into the league’s top half. The Texans also upgraded a battered offensive line and imported Christian Kirk plus Day-2 rookies Higgins and Noel to make sure there are healthy targets once Tank Dell’s likely season-long absence and Stefon Diggs’ departure kick in. Koerner chalked Stroud’s sophomore crater (18 TDs, 31 sacks) up mostly to protection issues and now projects roughly 4,200 yards with 26-28 scores, good for mid-QB1 numbers at a current QB15 ADP. He urged drafters to scoop Stroud as a late-round ceiling play in best ball and a cheap upside QB1 in redraft.

Sean Koerner urged caution on Chris Olave after noting two major red flags. First, credible beat‐writers have repeated that Kellen Moore is open to moving Olave for draft capital, creating either a mid-summer holdout or an unfamiliar playbook if he’s dealt. Second, Olave has already suffered three documented concussions; Koerner worries a fourth could trigger an IR stint under the league’s stricter 2024 protocols. The upside is obvious—Moore historically force-feeds his No. 1 wideout from the slot (Keenan Allen and DeVonta Smith both logged 30-plus percent slot rates and 27-plus percent target shares under Moore). But with a rookie quarterback (Tyler Shuck) likely starting and Olave’s availability shaky, Koerner dropped him to the bottom of his WR2 tier and advised diversifying with steadier options in Rounds 3-4 of best-ball or redraft leagues.

Sean Koerner downplayed concerns about a post-Liam-Cohen hangover, explaining that new OC John Grizzard already masterminded Tampa’s league-best 51% third-down conversion rate as situational strategist. Because Todd Bowles again promoted from within, Koerner expects the same shotgun-heavy, quick-read scheme that helped Baker Mayfield set career highs in touchdowns (28) and EPA per drop-back. Grizzard’s specialty is sequencing high-leverage downs, so Koerner anticipates the Bucs to remain top-10 in pass rate over expectation, preserving the weekly volume that fed Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and kept Rachaad White’s receiving floor intact. Koerner left Mayfield parked in the mid-QB2 tier but urged drafters not to discount him in superflex or as a cheap stacking partner with Evans in DFS tournaments.

Koerner warned that the Lions offense has "nowhere to go but down" after Ben Johnson’s departure, even though Detroit promoted from within by naming passing-game coordinator John Morton OC. Any drop-off in play design or sequencing could disproportionately hurt Jared Goff, a quarterback Koerner called highly scheme-dependent. While he isn’t slashing Detroit projections yet, Koerner is baking in a modest efficiency downgrade and recommends tempering expectations for Goff in drafts until we see Morton replicate Johnson’s magic.

Koerner compared Colston Loveland to both Sam LaPorta and prime Jimmy Graham, calling him a "legit" pass-catcher who also blocks well. He noted Ben Johnson personally selecting Loveland in Round 2, the same draft capital Detroit invested in LaPorta. While sharing targets with Cole Kmet, DJ Moore, Rome Odunze and Luther Burden may cap 2024 volume, Koerner believes Loveland’s talent and Johnson’s TE-friendly scheme make him a long-term dynasty smash and an intriguing late best-ball flier.

Sean Koerner said Ben Johnson’s arrival in Chicago should turbo-charge Caleb Williams’ second-year leap. Johnson’s Detroit offenses led the league with roughly 3,500 first-read passing yards, while the Bears were second-to-last at just over 2,500. Koerner expects Johnson to script quicker, more defined first reads that let Williams get the ball out instead of absorbing sacks (PFF charged the rookie with 17 self-inflicted sacks). Add an upgraded line plus weapons like DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Luther Burden and rookie tight end Colston Loveland, and Koerner projects a sizeable efficiency spike that justifies Williams’ rising QB7-QB8 best-ball ADP.

Sean Koerner flagged Bhayshul Tuten as a must-draft lottery ticket at his current RB39 price. Koerner stressed that Jacksonville’s entirely new front office and OC Liam Cohen have zero allegiance to holdovers Travis Etienne or Tank Bigsby. He pointed out the organization’s actions—trading away a 2nd- and 4th-rounder for a veteran back, then still spending pick 104 on Tuten —as proof they are determined to remake the backfield. Tuten blazed a 4.32 forty, giving him a 98th-percentile speed score and 97th-percentile burst, while landing at or above the 80th percentile in college yards per carry, target share and dominator rating. Koerner added that 63% of fourth-round backs over the last five seasons finished top-two on their teams in carries as rookies, citing Cohen’s usage of fellow fourth-rounder Bucky Irving for 207 carries and an RB2 fantasy finish in 2023. With an open depth chart and elite athletic profile, Koerner believes Tuten can earn 200+ touches and flirt with weekly RB2 numbers, making him a smash outside the top-40 backs in early best-ball drafts.

Sean Koerner knocked Rome Odunze down to WR35—five spots below his early-summer ADP of WR30—and urged drafters to recognize how many mouths Chicago suddenly has to feed. Keenan Allen’s 150 vacated targets are tempting, but Koerner reminded listeners that GM Ryan Poles immediately replaced that underneath volume by spending Day-2 capital on tight end Colston Loveland and first-rounder Luther Burden. Add DJ Moore’s entrenched alpha role and Koerner sees a capped weekly floor for Odunze, especially because Caleb Williams and Odunze connected on just 3-of-18 deep attempts as rookies. Koerner still likes Odunze’s year-two ceiling under new play-caller Ben Johnson, yet called the current draft price “all ceiling, no buffer,” warning that a realistic outcome has Odunze finishing outside the top-40 wideouts if Burden proves legit or Loveland siphons red-zone looks.

Sean Koerner slid Garrett Wilson down to WR20—five spots below his WR15 ADP—based on the expectation that Justin Fields starts the entire season. Koerner anticipates a sharp drop in pass attempts compared to last year’s Aaron Rodgers plan, noting Fields’ scramble rate will siphon targets and lower overall play volume. Wilson will still command alpha usage, but Koerner worries defenses can devote extra resources to him because the Jets lack a true WR2 threat. The result: a stable weekly floor yet fewer top-12 fantasy finishes. Until New York shows a higher-volume passing script or adds another legitimate receiver, Koerner prefers wideouts with clearer path to elite ceilings in the same draft range.

Calling him a “best-ball only pick,” Sean Koerner pushed Keon Coleman up to WR49 while the market leaves him at WR58. Koerner noted Buffalo cleared out downfield competition by parting with Amari Cooper and Mack Hollins, leaving Coleman to inherit the old Gabe Davis role. The rookie already flashed similar production—29-556-5 on limited routes—almost mirroring Davis’s 35-599-7 debut year. With Khalil Shakir operating as the underneath volume sponge, Koerner projects Coleman to dominate the deep-target pie and sees 80-95% route participation by mid-season. The weekly floor will be low, but in best ball you only need the 2-for-80-and-a-TD weeks, and Koerner expects several of those in Allen-led shootouts. He advised taking the late-round swing before ADP catches up.

Sean Koerner recommended scooping up Darnell Mooney at his WR50 price, ranking him WR45 and framing him as a perfect spike-week piece for best ball builds. Mooney quietly finished WR28 last season thanks to seven games with at least five receptions and 14 catches of 20-plus yards—the second-most deep grabs in the league. Koerner loves that reliability/spike combo and expects an upgrade from Kirk Cousins to rookie Michael Penix Jr., whom many scouts graded as the top deep-ball passer in the 2024 class. Mooney rarely leaves the field—he has topped an 84% route rate in four straight seasons and hit 94% in Atlanta’s 1-WR heavy sets last year—so any efficiency bump immediately translates into bigger weekly ceilings. Koerner summed it up: “Higher floor than people remember and still massive downfield upside.”

Sean Koerner knocked Travis Etienne all the way down to RB37 and called him a classic "name-brand trap" you should unload while managers still remember his 2022 breakout. Koerner argued Jacksonville’s front office is telegraphing a changing of the guard: they dealt premium picks for a veteran back this spring, then spent pick 104 on Basil Tutin despite already having Tank Bigsby. He also pointed out Etienne’s efficiency cliff—yards per touch have fallen every season he’s played (5.7 → 4.6 → 4.3)—and reminded listeners Etienne is a 26-year-old who missed his entire rookie season with a serious Lisfranc injury yet still absorbed 290 touches per year once he finally got on the field. Add Bigsby outperforming him on a per-carry basis last year and Koerner sees a committee at best, with a very real chance Etienne loses goal-line and early-down work altogether. In his words, "he probably peaked already," making him a sell in season-long leagues and a player to avoid at current ADP in best ball drafts.

Sean Koerner continues to fade Isiah Pacheco, ranking him RB42 versus an RB33 price on Underdog. Pacheco’s yards per touch have slipped three straight seasons (5.2 → 4.7 → 4.1), and the Chiefs clearly noticed, re-signing Kareem Hunt, acquiring Elijah Mitchell and drafting SMU workhorse Richard Smith. Koerner warned that late-round picks like Pacheco (7th-round) often regress once the team brings in legitimate competition, citing the Clyde Edwards-Helaire precedent. With a realistic committee forming and no guarantee of goal-line exclusivity, Koerner projects only 10–12 touches per game and sees more downside than upside at current cost, preferring higher-ceiling backs in the same range.

Sean Koerner ranked Zach Charbonnet as his RB30—well above the market price near RB36—and called him “one of the best backups in football.” When Kenneth Walker missed two separate two-game stretches last season, Charbonnet posted RB7 and RB2 finishes over those spans, proof of legitimate league-winning potential. Koerner dismissed worries about seventh-round rookie Damien Martinez, noting late-round backs rarely dent year-one workloads, and said chatter around a possible Walker trade only sweetens Charbonnet shares in early best-ball tournaments. Even without a trade, Koerner views Charbonnet as a must-draft lottery ticket thanks to locked-in passing-down usage and a demonstrated every-down ceiling in Shane Waldron’s balanced offense.

Sean Koerner said David Montgomery belongs in the mid-RB2 range, ranking him RB17 while current ADP sits at RB24. Koerner pointed to Montgomery’s rock-solid floor created by a steady dose of goal-line work inside one of the league’s run-heaviest red-zone attacks. Even with Jahmyr Gibbs active all 17 games last season—and Montgomery himself missing three contests—Monty still finished as a weekly RB2 more often than not, which Koerner labeled “essentially his floor.” If Gibbs were to miss time, Koerner’s weekly projections rocket Montgomery into the top-five running-back conversation because he would monopolize early-down and scoring touches. Koerner thinks drafters are again underestimating that high-floor/high-ceiling combo and sees no scheme downgrade despite OC Ben Johnson’s departure, noting Detroit is likely to keep the same power-run DNA.

Sean Koerner echoed Raybon’s enthusiasm and said Taylor’s tape gives him "Mark Andrews/Dalton Schultz vibes" as a pure pass-catching tight end who can be "the guy from day one." Koerner emphasized that with Tyler Conklin now in Los Angeles, Taylor faces almost zero competition for snaps or targets. The Jets ranked 10th in tight-end target share last season despite miserable quarterback play, and Koerner expects that number to stay steady as the coaching staff attempts to simplify reads for Justin Fields. Koerner does not project Taylor to finish as a rookie TE1 but thinks a 55-60 catch, 5-6 touchdown season is firmly in range, making him a high-upside late pick in best-ball formats and a waiver-wire watch list staple in redraft.

Sean Koerner said Colson Loveland—not Colts rookie Tyra Warren—should be the top first-year tight end on draft boards. Comparing Loveland’s movement skills to Jimmy Graham and citing Ben Johnson’s history with Sam LaPorta, Koerner projected a 70-plus percent route rate and immediate red-zone usage. He was unfazed by Cole Kmet’s presence, labeling Kmet a blocking complement who posted just a 12 percent target share with Caleb Williams last season. Koerner expects Loveland to rival the 89-catch rookie seasons logged by LaPorta and Dalton Kincaid, moving him up to TE8 in early projections while pushing Warren outside his top 12 at the position.

Sean Koerner flagged third-round pick Kyle Williams as a deep sleeper after landing in New England. Stefon Diggs is questionable for Week 1 and the rest of the Patriots receiving depth chart "is a mess," leaving 130-plus targets unclaimed. Koerner praised Williams’ route nuance and hands, stating he could become Drake Maye’s security blanket and even the de-facto WR1 if Diggs’ recovery stalls. Given the Patriots’ league-high 63 percent shotgun rate under new OC Nick Caley, Koerner expects Maye to pepper short-to-intermediate options, projecting Williams for 85-95 targets and advising best-ball drafters to grab him in the final rounds before camp buzz hits.

Sean Koerner initially worried about Green Bay’s crowded receiver room but ultimately tagged first-rounder Matthew Golden as a sneaky Year-1 breakout. Christian Watson is rehabbing a January ACL tear and may "miss most of the season," while Jaden Reed is confined to slot work and Romeo Doubs profiles as a complementary piece. Koerner compared Golden’s polish and after-catch ability to Stefon Diggs, arguing that the Packers would not buck their draft tendencies for anything less than a future No. 1. Even acknowledging Matt LaFleur’s run-leaning preferences with Josh Jacobs, Koerner projected Golden for an immediate 22-24 percent target share and labeled him a late WR3/Flex who could crack the top 30 wideouts if Watson’s recovery lingers.

Sean Koerner called Baker Mayfield the immediate winner of Tampa Bay’s decision to draft Emeka Egbuka. Mayfield now projects to have at least two starting-caliber wideouts on the field at all times even if Mike Evans or Chris Godwin misses time, something Koerner said "killed drives" last season when injuries struck simultaneously. Tampa already ranked eighth in pass rate over expectation, and Koerner expects new OC Liam Coen to maintain a similar tilt, giving Mayfield stable weekly volume. With an upgraded receiver trio, Koerner bumped Mayfield to the high-end QB2 range for season-long leagues and labeled him a "set-and-forget second quarterback" in superflex formats.

Sean Koerner called Emeka Egbuka the "safest" receiver in the class but warned that Tampa Bay’s current depth chart caps his rookie-year ceiling. Koerner praised Egbuka’s polished route tree and quarterback-friendly game—likening him to Amon-Ra St. Brown—but noted that Mike Evans (28 percent target share) and Chris Godwin (23 percent) still command the lion’s share of looks. With Baker Mayfield finishing 29th in pass attempts last year and OC Liam Coen traditionally leaning run-heavy in the red zone, Koerner projected Egbuka for only a 16-18 percent target share and sub-700 yards as the WR3/slot option. He is fading Egbuka at his current WR43 best-ball price and slotting him as a late-round depth pick in season-long formats unless an injury opens up extra volume.

Sean Koerner loved Tetairoa McMillan’s landing spot at No. 8 overall, calling it a "vote of confidence" in Bryce Young and a clear path to alpha volume. Koerner expects McMillan to lead Carolina in targets as a rookie because Adam Thielen is 34, Xavier Leggette profiles as a field-stretcher and the Panthers lack a true chain-mover. At Arizona, McMillan won 68 percent of contested catches and averaged 2.9 yards per route, numbers Koerner compared to the Lions-era Kenny Golladay ceiling. Carolina’s offense was 21st in pace but sixth in pass rate over expectation after Week 10, and Koerner anticipates similar aggressiveness under new OC Kliff Kingsbury. He pegged McMillan for 120-130 targets and recommended drafting him as a mid-range WR3 with upside to crack the top 20 if Bryce Young builds on last year’s late-season efficiency spike.

Sean Koerner projected Travis Hunter to run routes on roughly 80 percent of Jacksonville’s drop-backs even though the team plans to use him occasionally at cornerback. Koerner said the Jaguars traded up to pick Hunter 102 overall with the intention of making him the full-time WR2 opposite Brian Thomas Jr., then sprinkling in defensive snaps as needed. With Evan Engram and Christian Kirk gone, Koerner sees 170 vacated targets and expects Hunter—currently WR35 in best-ball ADP—to earn a 20-22 percent share out of the gate. He conceded the two-way role adds injury risk but argued the upside outweighs it because few receivers in that draft range can approach an 80-percent route rate on a top-10 pass-attempt offense. Koerner is drafting Hunter aggressively in best-ball and would slot him as a high-end WR3 in redraft, while also eyeing potential "receptions + tackles" props if books hang them.

Sean Koerner compared fifth-round pick Jaden Blue to a "Bucky Irving/Tony Pollard hybrid" and argued the rookie could emerge as Dallas’ lead back this season. Koerner noted that Blue’s only competition is 29-year-old Miles Sanders and a banged-up Javonte Williams—both of whom he labeled "washed or close to it." Blue ran 4.42, posted a 38-inch vertical and caught 66 passes at Texas, giving him true three-down ability. Although he is 193 pounds, Koerner believes Dallas will deploy a hot-hand approach similar to last year’s Pollard/Rico Dowdle rotation, opening the door for Blue to keep goal-line snaps if he is rolling. The Cowboys ranked ninth in RB target rate and 12th in pace, so Koerner sees top-24 upside and recommends grabbing Blue in the double-digit rounds of best-ball and redraft drafts before the market catches up.

Sean Koerner believes Quinshon Judkins is the favorite to headline Cleveland’s backfield but cautioned that the Browns’ projected 5.5-win total and likely negative game scripts will cap touchdown upside. Koerner expects Jerome Ford to siphon early goal-line carries while fourth-round rookie Dylan Samson mixes in on passing downs, creating a murky three-man committee. Although Judkins’ explosive lower-body testing reminded the front office of Nick Chubb, Koerner projects only mid-range RB2 value unless Cleveland’s offense outperforms expectations. He advised managers to monitor camp usage but not to chase Judkins aggressively in drafts given the Browns’ limited scoring environment.

Sean Koerner loved Caleb Johnson’s fit in Pittsburgh, saying Mike Tomlin already views the Iowa product as a "Najee Harris 2.0" who can handle traditional workhorse volume. Koerner cited Tomlin’s public praise that Johnson routinely ran into eight-man boxes—over 50 percent of his college carries, tops in the class—yet maintained efficiency. The Steelers spent early-second-round capital on Johnson after losing patience with Najee and Jaylen Warren, a signal they want a bruising early-down back. Koerner expects Johnson to seize the between-the-tackles and goal-line role immediately, pushing Warren into change-of-pace duty. He ranks Johnson as an RB3/Flex in early drafts but believes a 260-touch rookie season is firmly on the table if Pittsburgh’s offense improves under Arthur Smith.

Sean Koerner called RJ Harvey one of the biggest post-draft winners and projected his ADP—currently in the RB40s—to skyrocket into the top 24 backs. Denver spent a second-round pick on Harvey, only the fourth time a Sean Payton–coached team has drafted an RB before Day 3; the other three were Reggie Bush, Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara, all of whom averaged at least 13 touches per game as rookies. The Broncos’ depth chart is wide-open (Jaleel McLaughlin, Day-3 pick Audric Estime, fringe backup Tyler Badie), and Payton has a documented hot-hand approach. Koerner emphasized that Denver targeted running backs at the fourth-highest rate last season, while Harvey flashed plus receiving chops at UCF. He likened Harvey’s frame and juice to Chase Brown—who posted RB5 numbers during a late-season audition—and said volume plus passing-down work gives Harvey a realistic shot at immediate top-20 fantasy production.

Sean Koerner said TreVeyon Henderson landing with New England early in Round 2 is "a huge blow to Rhamondre Stevenson" and signals that Mike Vrabel’s new staff views Henderson as their future feature back. Stevenson just lost snaps to Antonio Gibson last season and now faces a far more explosive runner who clocked 4.37 speed at 216 pounds and averaged 6.2 yards per carry at Ohio State. Koerner expects Henderson to carve out meaningful touches immediately—potentially 12-15 opportunities per game from Week 1—and sees a realistic path to a full three-down role by mid-season. He advised drafters to bump Henderson up from his current RB17 best-ball price while downgrading Stevenson two tiers given the likelihood of a committee skewing toward the rookie as the year progresses.

Sean Koerner warned that Amarian Hampton’s fantasy ceiling took a hit when the Chargers selected him 22nd overall. Hampton must share early-down work with newly-acquired Najee Harris—"a volume monster who has never missed a game"—and could cede occasional snaps to tendered free agent J.K. Dobbins. Koerner predicts Hampton’s current RB13 best-ball ADP will slide toward the RB20 range and personally ranks him RB22-24. He envisions a split similar to 2022 Baltimore, where Dobbins got explosive runs while Gus Edwards siphoned 6-10 carries and some goal-line touches. Talent should eventually win out, but Koerner advised managers to wait for the discount rather than drafting Hampton at pre-draft prices.

Sean Koerner called Ashton Jeanty a "generational talent" who should be treated as a mid-range RB1 immediately. Drafted sixth overall by Las Vegas, Jeanty walks into what Koerner labeled a "wide, wide-open backfield" with no credible competition for touches. With Pete Carroll and Chip Kelly running a historically run-heavy offense, Koerner expects a true three-down workload—think 18-22 carries plus 3-4 targets per week. Jeanty is already coming off the board as RB4 in early best-ball drafts; Koerner initially slotted him at RB7 but said he "can’t fault you" for taking him as a top-five overall pick because running backs hit their prime right away and this landing spot maximizes rookie-year volume, touchdown equity, and ceiling.

Sean Koerner said Jalen Milroe is the rookie quarterback to keep stashed on deep best-ball and superflex benches. Seattle spent a third-round pick on Milroe and immediately dealt Sam Howell, leaving only Sam Darnold ahead of him on the depth chart. Koerner compared Milroe’s profile to Anthony Richardson—erratic arm but "massive, massive rushing upside"—and noted that Clint Kubiak already schemed specialty packages for Taysom Hill last year. If Darnold gets hurt or benched, Koerner would project Milroe as a high-end QB2 on legs alone, forecasting something in the 50–60 rushing yards per start range with designed red-zone looks. Even without a full takeover, a gadget role could give him weekly spike potential, making him a priority late-round flier in best-ball builds hunting ceiling.

Koerner flagged 26-year-old Tyler Shuck as one of the draft’s sneakiest landings. With Derek Carr nursing an uncertain shoulder and the Saints potentially eyeing an expensive divorce, Koerner believes Shuck could stumble into double-digit starts despite going 4th round. The former Texas Tech passer is strictly pocket-based, so he profiles as a QB3 streaming option rather than a league-winner, but volume alone could make him a useful injury-bid in superflex or deep best-ball builds.

Koerner called Jackson Dart a "toolsy" prospect who could eventually average 30-40 rushing yards per game—comparable to early-career Josh Allen or Daniel Jones—once he wrestles the job away from Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston. Because Old Miss ran a one-clap gimmick offense, Koerner expects a longer learning curve and projected only eight starts this season, but he loves the pairing with rookie WR Malik Nabers for late-season best-ball stacks. Draft Dart as a third QB who could pop during fantasy playoff weeks.

Sean Koerner said the No. 1 pick Cam Ward will beat out Will Levis and open the season under center for Tennessee. Ward impressed Koerner with a calm pocket presence, an NFL-caliber arm and an aggressive down-field mindset that should finally give Calvin Ridley catchable deep balls. Koerner projected roughly 20 rushing yards a game—"younger Russell Wilson" levels that create sneaky fantasy value—yet cautioned that a limited supporting cast caps ceiling. With Tennessee still short on pass-catchers, Koerner expects Ward to settle in as a low-end QB2 for 2025 best-ball and redraft formats unless he produces a C.J. Stroud-like outlier rookie campaign.