Sean Paul recommended backing the Dodgers on the moneyline at -140 (playable to -160). He argued Los Angeles owns a decisive offensive edge, posting a 120 wRC+ since May 10 (4th-best in MLB) while carrying the league’s lowest strikeout rate (18.6%) and a 10% walk rate that ranks 3rd. Max Muncy’s return to form—144 wRC+ over the last 14 games—adds depth behind Shohei Ohtani. On the mound, Dustin May’s 52.1% ground-ball rate gives him an escape valve even though his batted-ball metrics sit below the 30th percentile. May only needs to limit a sluggish Guardians lineup that owns the second-worst wRC+ in that same span, the 4th-fewest homers, and just four hitters above a 100 wRC+. Meanwhile, Cleveland starter Tanner Bibee’s surface ERA (3.57) masks a 5.10 FIP, a strikeout rate that has cratered from 9.69 to 6.67 K/9, a chase rate in the 6th percentile, and a career-worst 1.71 HR/9. Paul called Bibee “fade-worthy” and noted Cleveland’s 42% fly-ball profile plays into May’s sinker. With both talent gap and matchup metrics lining up, Paul sees the Dodgers as undervalued favorites and advises betting their ML.

Sean Paul identified Brewers' slugger Jake Bauers as a sleeper fantasy or DFS play in Sunday's matchup at Yankee Stadium. Facing Marcus Stroman, a righty pitcher who has struggled with declining effectiveness (career-low ground ball rate last season, career-high HR/9), Paul expects Brewers manager Pat Murphy to stack left-handed bats—such as Bauers—in Sunday's lineup to capitalize on the favorable matchup. With Bauers' ability to take advantage of the stadium's short porch in right field, Paul sees potential upside for him to deliver strong fantasy or prop value.

Sean Paul emphasizes Aaron Judge as a strong option for betting props or DFS plays Sunday against Brewers pitcher Aaron Civale. Judge coming off an explosive performance on Saturday where he went 4-for-6 with 3 home runs and 8 RBIs. Paul reasoned Judge's dominance will continue, as opposing pitchers will increasingly pitch around him, creating more traffic and pressure on opposing pitchers and enhancing scoring potential. Given Civale's past struggles (nine runs allowed in 9.2 innings) when pitching at Yankee Stadium and vulnerability to the short porch in right field, Paul expects Judge to again generate significant offensive production.

Sean Paul advises betting on Christian Yelich exceeding 2 total bases based on his favorable matchup history versus Yankees starter Marcus Stroman. Yelich currently holds a .900 career OPS across 12 previous at-bats against Stroman. Paul emphasized also the hitter-friendly environment in Yankee Stadium and expects Yelich to capitalize on Stroman's declining effectiveness, reduced ground ball rate, and home run proneness. Paul expects Brewers manager Pat Murphy to put additional left-handed hitters in the lineup to exploit Stroman's weaknesses, which would further benefit Yelich.

Sean Paul highlighted Yankees shortstop Anthony Volpe as an intriguing player to monitor closely due to his new bat design. Volpe, along with teammate Jazz Chisholm Jr., employed a new bat that shifts more wood toward the label, producing harder contact even away from the traditional sweet spot. Notably, both players homered using this new model, suggesting it has genuine impact potential. Paul believes this innovation could help boost Volpe's offensive output moving forward and potentially increase Yankees' game totals as this bat gains wider adoption within the team.

Sean Paul suggested betting on Joey Ortiz to record a hit as part of his recommended Brewers vs Yankees same-game parlay. Ortiz faces Yankees' lefty starter Max Fried. Paul highlighted his appreciation for Ortiz's consistent ability to put the bat on the ball, emphasizing a favorable individual matchup against a left-handed pitcher. He views Ortiz as a reliable component in building the multi-leg parlay given these circumstances.

In his Brewers vs Yankees analysis, Sean Paul selected Max Fried to achieve at least five strikeouts as part of his parlay play. Paul noted Fried's electric stuff, despite not historically being recognized primarily as a strikeout pitcher. The Brewers lineup exhibited strikeout vulnerability in their opening game, with Jackson Chourio notably striking out in all five plate appearances. Given Fried's talent and Milwaukee's early-season K-prone tendencies, Paul believes this strikeout threshold is highly attainable.

Sean Paul included Yankees first baseman Paul Goldschmidt in his recommended same-game parlay, projecting at least two total bases. The Yankees strategically lead off with Goldschmidt against left-handed pitchers, which is particularly useful with Milwaukee starting lefty Nestor Cortes Jr. Goldschmidt is likely to get four or five at-bats, which along with his extensive experience against NL Central opponents like the Brewers, enhances his probability of accumulating bases. Given the matchup and Goldschmidt's historical effectiveness against left-handed pitching, Paul views him as a strong parlay candidate for productive hitting.

Sean Paul feels confident in backing Max Fried during his first start with the New York Yankees against the Brewers. Fried signed an extensive 8-year, $218 million deal this offseason and has excelled at limiting hard contact—ranking in the 95th percentile in average exit velocity, 89th percentile in hard-hit rate, and 96th percentile in ground-ball rate. Although Fried occasionally struggles with command (walking 2.93 batters per nine innings last year), Paul believes the pitcher's ability to induce soft contact aligns perfectly with attacking Milwaukee's lineup, which performed poorly in their opener and whose key hitters—Jackson Chourio and Christian Yelich—appeared overmatched. These factors contributed to Paul's strong Yankees -1.5 run-line play.

Sean Paul advised betting against Nestor Cortes Jr. as he makes his Milwaukee Brewers debut pitching against his former team, the New York Yankees. Cortes experienced notable regression last season despite being a three-win player, posting just a 3.77 ERA and a 3.84 FIP while his strikeout rate declined. Paul pointed to the Yankees' intimate knowledge of Cortes' pitching repertoire and strategy, hinting they'll have a significant advantage facing him. Additionally, Cortes struggled in limited spring training action, recording a 6.00 ERA with nine strikeouts over just six innings pitched.